akashic
1876–2024
Warren County, North Carolina
Warren County·North Carolina

Warren County changed its political identity.

A rural Black-majority county that votes Democratic by wide margins

18762024·38 elections
Warren County, North Carolina · Doug Kerr from Albany, NY, United States · Wikimedia Commons
Latest
D+19
in 2024
Archetype
Realigner
since the recent cycles
Population
18,795
2024 ACS
Most similar
Bertie County
NC · similarity 0.99
14 precincts · 10,013 votes cast
Harris · D+19
Margin
Turnout
Harris +50
Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024D
+18.9%
5,8723,97610,013
2020D
+25.7%
6,4003,75210,293
2016D
+32.5%
6,4133,2149,842
2012D
+37.8%
6,9783,14010,162
2008D
+39.5%
7,0863,06310,195
2004D
+29.0%
5,1712,8408,027
2000R
−34.9%
2,2024,5766,795
1996D
+36.0%
4,1411,8616,339
1992D
+40.5%
4,6561,7677,125
1988D
+32.4%
4,2492,1636,429
1984D
+19.4%
3,9462,6646,618
1980D
+39.9%
3,7501,5825,430
1976D
+37.9%
3,1851,4274,635
1972R
−20.7%
1,6982,6034,366
1968D
+27.8%
2,2937965,383
1964D
+19.8%
2,8491,9094,758
1960D
+61.4%
2,9977173,714
1956D
+58.4%
2,7337183,451
1952D
+63.4%
2,9606643,624
1948D
+78.8%
2,3761922,771
1944D
+82.2%
2,4802422,722
1940D
+83.1%
2,6762472,923
1936D
+91.2%
3,0471403,187
1932D
+91.9%
2,6611102,777
1928D
+68.6%
2,0373792,416
1924D
+80.0%
1,7421661,970
1920D
+72.7%
1,8652952,160
1916D
+68.6%
1,2172271,444
1912D
+76.4%
9871121,145
1908D
+56.5%
1,0662961,362
1904D
+72.1%
1,0601651,242
1900D
+8.1%
1,5731,3372,910
1896R
−28.4%
1,2132,1753,393
1892R
−24.0%
7371,4743,072
1888
No data
1884
No data
1880
No data
1876
No data
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
100.0%
African American
37.8%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
0.0%
speak English only
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Baptist
15.4%
Other Christian
10.8%
Mainline Protestant
7.3%
Methodist
6.9%
Pentecostal & Holiness
2.4%
Catholic & Orthodox
0.9%
Non-Christian
0.1%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 56.2% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Warren County's population is roughly 60% Black, making it one of the most racially distinct rural counties in North Carolina and anchoring its consistent double-digit Democratic margins in statewide and presidential contests.

The unraveling was not abrupt. The Democratic margin in Warren County peaked at ninety-two points in 1932; it narrowed steadily over the late twentieth century. The 2004 election delivered the county to the Republican party for the first time in many years, by a margin of twenty-nine points. By 2024, the margin had settled into deep Republican territory.

The economic and demographic context is severe. Warren County's median household income of $50,638 is among the lowest of any county in the United States; 21% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Bertie County and Northampton County.