akashic
1876–2024
Marin County, California
Marin County·California

For thirty-two years, Marin County voted Republican. Then it stopped.

One of the nation's most lopsided presidential margins in 2024

18762024·38 elections
Marin County, California · Frank Schulenburg · Wikimedia Commons
Latest
D+64
in 2024
Archetype
Realigner
since the recent cycles
Population
257,969
2024 ACS
Most similar
Denver County
CO · similarity 1.00
115 precincts · 144,129 votes cast
Harris · D+64
Margin
Turnout
Harris +50
Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024D
+63.9%
116,15224,054144,129
2020D
+66.5%
128,28824,612155,830
2016D
+61.8%
108,70721,771140,683
2012D
+51.2%
99,89630,880134,731
2008D
+57.6%
109,32028,384140,570
2004D
+47.8%
99,07034,378135,325
2000D
+35.9%
79,13534,872123,155
1996D
+29.9%
67,40632,714116,140
1992D
+34.9%
76,15830,479130,707
1988D
+19.1%
69,39446,855117,920
1984D
+0.6%
57,53356,887116,050
1980R
−9.6%
39,23149,678108,507
1976R
−9.7%
43,59053,425101,715
1972R
−6.5%
47,41454,123103,883
1968R
−6.2%
36,27841,42282,755
1964D
+23.6%
46,46228,68275,364
1960R
−14.8%
27,88837,62065,665
1956R
−32.2%
17,30133,79251,244
1952R
−34.6%
14,23629,57444,278
1948R
−18.9%
12,54018,74732,855
1944D
+4.3%
14,51613,30427,896
1940D
+1.7%
11,36510,97422,640
1936D
+32.0%
12,1526,21118,572
1932D
+19.3%
9,7646,48016,996
1928R
−15.9%
5,6867,86213,688
1924R
−47.4%
6565,78010,800
1920R
−47.2%
1,6885,3757,813
1916R
−6.2%
3,7894,3288,647
1912D
+44.5%
2,84906,400
1908R
−43.7%
9832,7324,003
1904R
−45.9%
7722,1993,110
1900R
−29.4%
9041,6812,644
1896R
−24.3%
8741,4482,358
1892R
−10.7%
9491,1862,213
1888R
−7.6%
8029361,774
1884R
−7.8%
7278511,587
1880R
−14.9%
5617611,345
1876R
−2.5%
6196511,270
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
100.0%
Irish
0.7%
African American
1.8%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
0.0%
speak English only
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
23.7%
Non-Christian
5.8%
Mainline Protestant
2.8%
Other Christian
2.4%
Baptist
1.3%
Pentecostal & Holiness
0.7%
Methodist
0.3%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 63.0% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Marin County's D+63.9 margin in 2024 places it among the most heavily Democratic counties in the country, a pattern sustained by high educational attainment and coastal affluence that have long defined its electorate.

The unraveling was not abrupt. The Democratic margin in Marin County peaked at sixty-seven points in 2020; it narrowed steadily over the late twentieth century. The 1984 election delivered the county to the Republican party for the first time in many years, by a margin of one points. By 2024, the margin had widened further.

The economic and demographic context is severe. Marin County's median household income of $149,091 is among the lowest of any county in the United States; 8% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Denver County and Dane County.