- Lead
- 46,214
- Total
- 80,904
- vs nation
- D+58.6
- Turnout
- 73.2%
Alexandria city, VA
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 73.2% of 111,276 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 51,696
- Total
- 82,508
- vs nation
- D+58.2
- Turnout
- 76.8%
- Lead
- 43,957
- Total
- 75,762
- vs nation
- D+55.9
- Turnout
- 75.7%
- Lead
- 31,950
- Total
- 73,411
- vs nation
- D+39.7
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 31,292
- Total
- 70,364
- vs nation
- D+37.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 21,272
- Total
- 61,515
- vs nation
- D+37.0
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 14,590
- Total
- 55,199
- vs nation
- D+25.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 12,414
- Total
- 45,399
- vs nation
- D+18.8
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+57.1MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 156,9762024 5-year
- Median household income
- $119,6812024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 49.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 21.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 18.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+68.2 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+50.7 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Arlington County, VA · twin score 98.1
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 73.2%81,418 participants ÷ 111,276 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +27.3 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off versus state
- +3.5 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 45.9%–53.5%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 76,366 | 100,824 | 75.7% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 66,780 | 104,975 | 63.6% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 83,251 | 108,334 | 76.8% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 55,006 | 111,023 | 49.5% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 81,418 | 111,276 | 73.2% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
62 precincts · 80,904 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -110-Charles Houston Center110-Charles Houston Center | 3,940 | 691 | 128 | 4,759 | 82.8% | 14.5% | D+68.3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -205-Douglas MacArthur School205-Douglas MacArthur School | 3,398 | 881 | 161 | 4,440 | 76.5% | 19.8% | D+56.7 |
| Precinct -207-Temple Beth El Synagogue207-Temple Beth El Synagogue | 3,253 | 988 | 171 | 4,412 | 73.7% | 22.4% | D+51.3 |
| Precinct -103-Lyles Crouch School103-Lyles Crouch School | 3,138 | 970 | 126 | 4,234 | 74.1% | 22.9% | D+51.2 |
| Precinct -101-Old Town North101-Old Town North | 3,211 | 885 | 93 | 4,189 | 76.7% | 21.1% | D+55.5 |
| Precinct -209-James K Polk School209-James K Polk School | 3,154 | 791 | 121 | 4,066 | 77.6% | 19.5% | D+58.1 |
| Precinct -211-Alex Renew211-Alex Renew | 3,109 | 705 | 82 | 3,896 | 79.8% | 18.1% | D+61.7 |
| Precinct -204-Blessed Sacrament Church204-Blessed Sacrament Church | 2,897 | 649 | 117 | 3,663 | 79.1% | 17.7% | D+61.4 |
| Precinct -202-George Mason School202-George Mason School | 2,725 | 788 | 117 | 3,630 | 75.1% | 21.7% | D+53.4 |
| Precinct -206-Alexandria City High School206-Alexandria City High School | 2,733 | 712 | 99 | 3,544 | 77.1% | 20.1% | D+57.0 |
| Precinct -102-City Hall102-City Hall | 2,495 | 919 | 111 | 3,525 | 70.8% | 26.1% | D+44.7 |
| Precinct -104-Durant Center104-Durant Center | 2,779 | 608 | 100 | 3,487 | 79.7% | 17.4% | D+62.3 |
| Precinct -307-Tucker West307-Tucker West | 2,517 | 768 | 118 | 3,403 | 74.0% | 22.6% | D+51.4 |
| Precinct -201-Naomi L. Brooks School201-Naomi L. Brooks School | 2,687 | 457 | 79 | 3,223 | 83.4% | 14.2% | D+69.2 |
| Precinct -105-Lee Center105-Lee Center | 2,499 | 610 | 89 | 3,198 | 78.1% | 19.1% | D+59.1 |
| Precinct -109-Fire Department Headquarters109-Fire Department Headquarters | 2,430 | 604 | 65 | 3,099 | 78.4% | 19.5% | D+58.9 |
| Precinct -302-Patrick Henry Rec Center302-Patrick Henry Rec Center | 2,253 | 575 | 97 | 2,925 | 77.0% | 19.7% | D+57.4 |
| Precinct -208-NOVA Arts Center208-NOVA Arts Center | 2,225 | 589 | 88 | 2,902 | 76.7% | 20.3% | D+56.4 |
| Precinct -303-Charles E Beatley Library303-Charles E Beatley Library | 2,257 | 552 | 89 | 2,898 | 77.9% | 19.0% | D+58.8 |
| Precinct -305-John Adams School305-John Adams School | 1,851 | 561 | 106 | 2,518 | 73.5% | 22.3% | D+51.2 |
| Precinct -210-F. T. Day School210-F. T. Day School | 1,806 | 464 | 89 | 2,359 | 76.6% | 19.7% | D+56.9 |
| Precinct -309-Olympus Condo309-Olympus Condo | 1,726 | 442 | 92 | 2,260 | 76.4% | 19.6% | D+56.8 |
| Precinct -111-Potomac Yard111-Potomac Yard | 1,768 | 385 | 61 | 2,214 | 79.9% | 17.4% | D+62.5 |
| Precinct -310-Del Pepper Center310-Del Pepper Center | 1,475 | 518 | 67 | 2,060 | 71.6% | 25.1% | D+46.5 |
| Alex Renew51510000112 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Blessed Sacrament Church51510000204 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Cameron Station Community Ctr51510000308 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Charles Barrett Center51510000203 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Charles E Beatley Library51510000303 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Charles Houston Center51510000110 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Chinquapin Park Recreation Ctr51510000206 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| City Hall51510000102 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Cora Kelly51510000106 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Douglas MacArthur School51510000205 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Durant Center51510000104 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Fire Department Headquarters51510000109 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| George Mason School51510000202 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| George Washington Middle Sch51510000108 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| James K Polk School51510000209 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| John Adams School51510000305 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Ladrey Senior Building51510000101 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lee Center51510000105 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lyles Crouch School51510000103 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Maury School51510000201 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Mt Vernon Recreation Center51510000107 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| NOVA Arts Center51510000208 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Olympus Condo51510000309 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Patrick Henry Rec Center51510000302 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Potomac Yard51510000111 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct -106-Cora Kelly Center106-Cora Kelly Center | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct -107-Mount Vernon Recreation Center107-Mount Vernon Recreation Center | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct -108-George Washington Middle School108-George Washington Middle School | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct -203-Charles Barrett203-Charles Barrett | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct -212-The View212-The View | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct -304-Samuel Tucker School304-Samuel Tucker School | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct -306-William Ramsay306-William Ramsay | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct -308-Cameron Station Community Center308-Cameron Station Community Center | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Samuel Tucker School51510000304 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| South Port51510000307 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Temple Beth El Synagogue51510000207 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| The Hermitage51510000210 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| William Ramsay School51510000306 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +25.9% |
| 1896 | +17.3% |
| 1900 | +36.3% |
| 1904 | +59.1% |
| 1908 | +65.9% |
| 1912 | +68.2% |
| 1916 | +47.7% |
| 1920 | +20.8% |
| 1924 | +29.6% |
| 1928 | −10.6% |
| 1932 | +41.6% |
| 1936 | +46.4% |
| 1940 | +37.8% |
| 1944 | +12.6% |
| 1948 | +0.2% |
| 1952 | −14.0% |
| 1956 | −7.2% |
| 1960 | +4.5% |
| 1964 | −1.3% |
| 1968 | +3.4% |
| 1972 | −50.7% |
| 1976 | +7.9% |
| 1980 | −1.8% |
| 1984 | +5.3% |
| 1988 | +7.5% |
| 1992 | +26.7% |
| 1996 | +27.3% |
| 2000 | +26.4% |
| 2004 | +34.6% |
| 2008 | +44.5% |
| 2012 | +43.5% |
| 2016 | +58.0% |
| 2020 | +62.7% |
| 2024 | +57.1% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 106,029 |
| 2018 | 106,682 |
| 2020 | 112,734 |
| 2022 | 111,981 |
| 2024 | 119,387 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−2,187 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −31,937 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $96,647 in average income, against $155,105 for residents who stayed — 38% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+43.3 on average — 14 points more Republican-leaning than Alexandria city, VA itself (D+57.1).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Fairfax County, VA2,536D+34.7
- Arlington County, VA1,572D+58.1
- District of Columbia, DC1,232D+83.8
- Prince George's County, MD538D+74.8
- Prince William County, VA496D+17.9
- Montgomery County, MD339D+52.8
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Fairfax County, VA3,351
- Arlington County, VA1,130
- Prince William County, VA692
- Prince George's County, MD612
- District of Columbia, DC605
- Montgomery County, MD303
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +53 |
| 2012 | −1,232 |
| 2013 | −1,466 |
| 2014 | −2,640 |
| 2015 | −2,249 |
| 2016 | −1,374 |
| 2017 | −1,751 |
| 2018 | −3,355 |
| 2019 | −2,615 |
| 2021 | −5,881 |
| 2022 | −3,179 |
| 2023 | −2,654 |
| 2024 | −1,407 |
| 2025 | −2,187 |
This independent city across the Potomac from Washington, D.C., delivered a 57-point Democratic margin in 2024, driven by a dense, highly educated, and majority-minority electorate concentrated in one of the region's oldest urban cores.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 68.2 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 50.7 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 5.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 57.1 points.
A population of 156,976, a 49% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $119,681 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Arlington County and Boulder County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Alexandria city, Virginia. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/51510/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.