- Lead
- 14,367
- Total
- 29,542
- vs nation
- D+50.1
Virginia 4th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 19,894
- Total
- 32,580
- vs nation
- D+56.6
- Lead
- 19,643
- Total
- 31,341
- vs nation
- D+60.6
- Lead
- 15,001
- Total
- 29,931
- vs nation
- D+46.3
- Lead
- 14,723
- Total
- 28,920
- vs nation
- D+43.6
- Lead
- 10,245
- Total
- 24,987
- vs nation
- D+43.5
- Lead
- 7,254
- Total
- 21,940
- vs nation
- D+32.5
- Lead
- 6,162
- Total
- 18,454
- vs nation
- D+24.9
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+48.6MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 88,1992024 5-year
- Population density
- 14,459 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 6.1 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $91,4662024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 28.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 23.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 30.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+67.0 in 1908MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+4.3 in 1952MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 7, CO · twin score 89.6
presidential history
Party record book
Virginia 4th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
2004–2024 · 6 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
79.5%
25,906 votes · D+61.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Hillary Clinton, 2016 · 78.8%
Republican
George W. Bush2004
29.2%
7,291 votes · D+41.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Mitt Romney, 2012 · 24.5%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
25,906votes
79.5% of the vote · D+61.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Hillary Clinton, 2016 · 24,701 votes
Republican
Mitt Romney2012
7,328votes
24.5% of the vote · D+50.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · George W. Bush, 2004 · 7,291 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Hillary Clinton2016
+60.6pts D vs U.S.
Place D+62.7 · U.S. D+2.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · +56.6 pts
Republican
George W. Bush2004
−43.5pts R vs U.S.
Place D+41.0 · U.S. R+2.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · John McCain, 2008 · −43.6 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | D | 81.0%28,111 | 19.0%6,588 | 34,699 |
With a 2024 presidential margin of D+48, this Northern Virginia or Richmond-area district ranks among the commonwealth's most lopsided, reflecting a dense, highly educated urban core where competitive general elections are rare.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 67.0 points in 1908 and a Republican high of 4.3 points in 1952. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 12.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 48.6 points.
A population of 88,199, a 29% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $91,466 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 7 and State House District 41.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Virginia 4th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/51004/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.