- Lead
- 24,099
- Total
- 42,158
- vs nation
- D+58.6
Virginia 3rd State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 29,319
- Total
- 45,571
- vs nation
- D+59.9
- Lead
- 27,511
- Total
- 44,311
- vs nation
- D+60.0
- Lead
- 19,181
- Total
- 42,604
- vs nation
- D+41.2
- Lead
- 19,575
- Total
- 40,241
- vs nation
- D+41.4
- Lead
- 13,915
- Total
- 34,637
- vs nation
- D+42.6
- Lead
- 9,310
- Total
- 30,418
- vs nation
- D+30.1
- Lead
- 8,311
- Total
- 26,849
- vs nation
- D+22.4
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+57.2MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 86,0052024 5-year
- Population density
- 10,001 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 8.6 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $121,5702024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 47.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 13.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 23.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+64.3 in 2020MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+31.3 in 1876MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 16, VA · twin score 95.3
presidential history
Party record book
Virginia 3rd State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
2004–2024 · 6 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
81.0%
36,930 votes · D+64.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Hillary Clinton, 2016 · 77.7%
Republican
George W. Bush2004
29.4%
10,189 votes · D+40.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Mitt Romney, 2012 · 26.8%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
36,930votes
81.0% of the vote · D+64.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Hillary Clinton, 2016 · 34,409 votes
Republican
Mitt Romney2012
11,416votes
26.8% of the vote · D+45.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · George W. Bush, 2004 · 10,189 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Hillary Clinton2016
+60.0pts D vs U.S.
Place D+62.1 · U.S. D+2.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · +59.9 pts
Republican
Mitt Romney2012
−41.2pts R vs U.S.
Place D+45.0 · U.S. D+3.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · John McCain, 2008 · −41.4 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Virginia 3rd State House District sits in the Mid-Atlantic and Appalachia. In 2024 it voted Democratic.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 64.3 points in 2020 and a Republican high of 31.3 points in 1876. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 7.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 57.2 points.
A population of 86,005, a 48% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $121,570 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 16 and State House District 2.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Virginia 3rd State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/51003/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.