akashic
1876–2024
State House District 16·Virginia

For fifty-six years, Virginia 16th State House District voted Republican. Then it stopped.

One of Virginia's most Democratic-leaning legislative districts

18762024·38 elections
VA
Latest
D+35
in 2024
Archetype
Realigner
since the recent cycles
Population
68,095
2024 ACS

Virginia 16th State House District, Virginia: Realigner district. In 2024, voted D+35%. Democratic peak: D+61 in 1912.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
D+35MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
RealignerAkashic typology
Population
68,0952024 5-year
Median household income
$153,6372024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
49.1%2024 5-year
Black
9.6%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
17.6%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+61 in 1912MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+34 in 1928MIT Election Lab
1 counties · 1 D · 0 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
D
+34.7%
22,92510,79134,967
D
+41.9%
24,9139,99035,643
D
+35.8%
21,0689,35632,699
D
+20.5%
18,70312,26731,400
D
+21.2%
18,41211,92430,626
D
+7.3%
14,57412,57627,371
R
−1.4%
11,65711,99424,547
R
−1.6%
10,09410,44321,669
R
−2.7%
9,50310,11422,853
R
−22.8%
7,45811,90319,480
R
−26.1%
6,36510,86717,281
R
−26.7%
4,3748,16414,220
R
−8.9%
5,4606,55112,218
R
−33.8%
3,2546,65210,040
R
−10.8%
2,6573,4096,960
D
+22.5%
2,8881,8254,717
R
−3.6%
1,5461,6613,217
R
−13.8%
9271,2322,211
R
−21.9%
4947721,268
R
−12.6%
221292563
R
−6.2%
212240455
D
+15.8%
194141336
D
+29.4%
17394269
D
+32.5%
16181246
R
−34.2%
73149222
D
+32.5%
9445151
D
+23.2%
9559155
D
+42.4%
702899
D
+60.8%
591179
D
+47.3%
682493
D
+29.2%
462572
D
+17.5%
12789217
D
+5.9%
125111238
D
+17.2%
12991221
No data
No data
No data
No data

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
English
10.2%
German
10.1%
Irish
9.5%
Italian
4.5%
American
3.3%
Polish
2.3%
Scottish
1.9%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
61.0%
speak English only
Spanish13.6%
Asian & Pacific Islander11.7%
Other Indo-European8.8%
Other languages4.9%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
18.0%
Other Christian
9.8%
Non-Christian
8.0%
Methodist
4.1%
Mainline Protestant
4.0%
Baptist
2.8%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.2%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 52.1% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

With a 2024 presidential margin of D+38.7, this district ranks among the most reliably Democratic in the state, reflecting a dense, urban electorate that has shifted further left over successive election cycles.

The unraveling was not abrupt. The Democratic margin in Virginia 16th State House District peaked at sixty-one points in 1912; it narrowed steadily over the late twentieth century. The 2004 election delivered the district to the Republican party for the first time in many years, by a margin of seven points. By 2024, the margin had settled into deep Republican territory.

The economic and demographic context is severe. The median household income of $153,637 is among the lowest at this geographic scale; 6% of residents live below the federal poverty line.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
State House District 16, Virginia. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/51016/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did State House District 16, Virginia vote in 2024?
In 2024, State House District 16, Virginia voted Democratic by 34.7 points (D+35), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 34,967 votes cast, 22,925 went Democratic and 10,791 went Republican.
What is State House District 16, Virginia's political archetype?
Akashic classifies State House District 16, Virginia as a "Realigner" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 19 times, Republican 15 times, and other 0 times.
When did State House District 16, Virginia last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which State House District 16, Virginia voted Republican was 2000.
How many people live in State House District 16, Virginia?
State House District 16, Virginia has a population of 68,095 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in State House District 16, Virginia?
Median household income in State House District 16, Virginia is $153,637 — above the national median of $80,734. The Virginia state median is $93,170.
What is the political history of State House District 16, Virginia?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in State House District 16, Virginia from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 19 went Democratic and 15 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Realigner" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.