- Lead
- 25,720
- Total
- 44,249
- vs nation
- D+59.6
Virginia 2nd State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 28,012
- Total
- 44,283
- vs nation
- D+58.8
- Lead
- 23,942
- Total
- 40,653
- vs nation
- D+56.8
- Lead
- 15,635
- Total
- 39,150
- vs nation
- D+36.1
- Lead
- 16,396
- Total
- 36,631
- vs nation
- D+37.5
- Lead
- 11,488
- Total
- 31,513
- vs nation
- D+38.9
- Lead
- 7,289
- Total
- 27,898
- vs nation
- D+25.6
- Lead
- 6,513
- Total
- 25,185
- vs nation
- D+17.3
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+58.1MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 84,6362024 5-year
- Population density
- 9,728 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 8.7 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $135,1872024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 60.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 8.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 11.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+63.3 in 2020MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+34.7 in 1876MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 3, VA · twin score 95.2
presidential history
Party record book
Virginia 2nd State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
2004–2024 · 6 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
80.5%
35,633 votes · D+63.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 78.0%
Republican
George W. Bush2004
31.2%
9,823 votes · D+36.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Mitt Romney, 2012 · 29.2%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
35,633votes
80.5% of the vote · D+63.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 34,515 votes
Republican
Mitt Romney2012
11,422votes
29.2% of the vote · D+39.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · John McCain, 2008 · 9,904 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
+59.6pts D vs U.S.
Place D+58.1 · U.S. R+1.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · +58.8 pts
Republican
Mitt Romney2012
−36.1pts R vs U.S.
Place D+39.9 · U.S. D+3.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · John McCain, 2008 · −37.5 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
With a 2024 presidential margin of D+58.1, this Northern Virginia or urban district ranks among the most lopsided in the state, reflecting a densely populated electorate that has consistently delivered outsized Democratic margins at every level.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 63.3 points in 2020 and a Republican high of 34.7 points in 1876. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 5.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 58.1 points.
A population of 84,636, a 60% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $135,187 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 3 and State Legislative Subdistrict 12A.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Virginia 2nd State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/51002/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.