- Lead
- 31,242
- Total
- 52,158
- vs nation
- D+61.4
Virginia 1st State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 32,214
- Total
- 51,639
- vs nation
- D+57.9
- Lead
- 25,885
- Total
- 46,643
- vs nation
- D+53.4
- Lead
- 15,775
- Total
- 45,863
- vs nation
- D+30.5
- Lead
- 16,887
- Total
- 42,872
- vs nation
- D+32.1
- Lead
- 11,365
- Total
- 36,948
- vs nation
- D+33.2
- Lead
- 6,657
- Total
- 32,875
- vs nation
- D+19.7
- Lead
- 5,973
- Total
- 29,615
- vs nation
- D+11.6
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+59.9MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 85,0402024 5-year
- Population density
- 7,331 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 11.6 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $177,3352024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 69.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 4.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 11.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+62.4 in 2020MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+57.9 in 1876MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 7, VA · twin score 97.1
presidential history
Party record book
Virginia 1st State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
2004–2024 · 6 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
80.0%
41,326 votes · D+62.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 79.0%
Republican
George W. Bush2004
34.1%
12,594 votes · D+30.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Mitt Romney, 2012 · 32.0%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
41,326votes
80.0% of the vote · D+62.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 41,181 votes
Republican
Mitt Romney2012
14,671votes
32.0% of the vote · D+34.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · John McCain, 2008 · 12,708 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
+61.4pts D vs U.S.
Place D+59.9 · U.S. R+1.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · +57.9 pts
Republican
Mitt Romney2012
−30.5pts R vs U.S.
Place D+34.4 · U.S. D+3.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · John McCain, 2008 · −32.1 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Covering the mountainous terrain of Virginia's far southwest corner, this district has delivered double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles, reflecting the region's long shift away from its historically Democratic coal-country roots.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 62.4 points in 2020 and a Republican high of 57.9 points in 1876. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 2.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 59.9 points.
A population of 85,040, a 70% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $177,335 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 7 and State House District 5.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Virginia 1st State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/51001/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.