Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
San Francisco-Oakland-San Jose
presidential margin
2008D+50.12012D+49.42016D+55.82020D+55.02024D+47.6
full record · 1892 → 2024
D+47.6
2024
median income$139,731U.S. $80,734 · CA $99,122
median age40.0U.S. 39.1 · CA 37.9
poverty rate8.6%U.S. 12.5% · CA 12.0%
bachelor’s+ (25+)51.8%U.S. 35.6% · CA 36.6%
non-english44.2%U.S. 22.3% · CA 44.4%
race · ethnicity · ancestry
German7.1%
English6.9%
Irish6.7%
Chinese9.8%
Asian Indian6.2%
Filipino4.6%
Mexican17.0%
Salvadoran1.6%
Guatemalan1.1%
African American†4.0%
African0.2%
Ethiopian0.2%
Aztec0.3%
religion
other traditions
Mainline1.9%
Muslim1.8%
Latter-day Saints1.5%
Hindu1.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents, unaffiliated is the unclaimed remainder.

San Francisco-Oakland-San Jose, California

Akashic
San Francisco-Oakland-San JoseHarrisD+47.6
—
2024 presidential margin by county for San Francisco-Oakland-San Jose, CAA map of the constituent counties of San Francisco-Oakland-San Jose, CA, each outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), seated within the faint outlines of the surrounding states.Mendocino County, CA · D+26.8San Mateo County, CA · D+50.3Contra Costa County, CA · D+37.9San Francisco County, CA · D+64.8Santa Clara County, CA · D+40.0Napa County, CA · D+34.9Sonoma County, CA · D+46.2Lake County, CA · R+1.4Alameda County, CA · D+53.6Marin County, CA · D+63.9
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Kamala Harris ✓Democratic71.9%2,308,786
Donald TrumpRepublican24.3%780,757
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.American Independent3.7%120,131
D+60
R+60
10 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
County-level results (10 counties) — table
2024 presidential result by county for San Francisco-Oakland-San Jose, CA — winner and D-vs-R margin.
CountyWinnerMargin
Alameda County, CADemocraticD+53.6
Contra Costa County, CADemocraticD+37.9
Lake County, CARepublicanR+1.4
Marin County, CADemocraticD+63.9
Mendocino County, CADemocraticD+26.8
Napa County, CADemocraticD+34.9
San Francisco County, CADemocraticD+64.8
San Mateo County, CADemocraticD+50.3
Santa Clara County, CADemocraticD+40.0
Sonoma County, CADemocraticD+46.2
34 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonDemocraticRepublicanOtherMarginTotal
D
71.9%Harris2,308,786
24.3%Trump780,757
3.7%Kennedy120,131
+47.6%
3,209,674
D
76.4%Biden2,743,430
21.4%Trump769,302
2.2%Jorgensen79,505
+55.0%
3,592,237
D
74.3%Clinton2,270,699
18.5%Trump564,402
7.3%Johnson222,047
+55.8%
3,057,148
D
73.2%Obama2,045,198
23.7%Romney663,422
3.1%Johnson86,302
+49.4%
2,794,922
D
74.0%Obama2,163,130
23.8%McCain697,030
2.2%Nader64,050
+50.1%
2,924,210
D
69.7%Kerry1,879,156
28.8%Bush776,972
1.5%Badnarik40,890
+40.9%
2,697,018
D
64.2%Gore1,559,930
29.7%Bush721,199
6.1%Nader149,213
+34.5%
2,430,342
D
60.5%Clinton1,378,251
28.0%Dole638,744
11.5%Perot262,642
+32.4%
2,279,637
D
56.4%Clinton1,441,543
24.8%Bush633,955
18.8%Perot479,844
+31.6%
2,555,342
D
58.0%Dukakis1,311,169
40.6%Bush917,833
1.4%Paul31,150
+17.4%
2,260,152
D
51.0%Mondale1,138,928
47.7%Reagan1,065,680
1.3%Bergland29,347
+3.3%
2,233,955
R
40.7%Carter813,119
44.3%Reagan884,547
15.0%Anderson300,569
−3.6%
1,998,235
D
49.7%Carter933,400
45.9%Ford862,030
4.4%Macbride82,218
+3.8%
1,877,648
R
48.3%McGovern979,944
49.0%Nixon993,906
2.7%Schmitz54,731
−0.7%
2,028,581
D
50.6%Humphrey875,091
41.6%Nixon720,390
7.8%Wallace135,208
+8.9%
1,730,689
D
65.6%Johnson1,097,834
34.3%Goldwater574,203
0.1%Hass2,413
+31.3%
1,674,450
D
51.7%Kennedy806,256
47.9%Nixon746,445
0.3%Byrd5,440
+3.8%
1,558,141
R
44.6%Stevenson602,189
55.0%Eisenhower742,697
0.3%Andrews4,341
−10.4%
1,349,227
R
43.9%Stevenson568,436
55.3%Eisenhower715,695
0.8%Hallinan10,890
−11.4%
1,295,021
R
46.5%Truman491,997
48.0%Dewey508,542
5.5%Thurmond57,942
−1.6%
1,058,481
D
57.6%Roosevelt549,870
41.9%Dewey400,379
0.5%Thomas4,463
+15.7%
954,712
D
55.9%Roosevelt477,329
42.9%Willkie365,953
1.2%Thomas10,171
+13.1%
853,453
D
67.3%Roosevelt480,924
31.4%Landon224,376
1.2%Lemke8,807
+35.9%
714,107
D
57.8%Roosevelt354,614
38.3%Hoover234,985
3.9%Thomas24,158
+19.5%
613,757
R
40.7%Smith214,592
58.1%Hoover306,173
1.2%Thomas6,158
−17.4%
526,923
R
6.7%Davis26,369
54.6%Coolidge215,371
38.7%La Follette152,823
−47.9%
394,563
R
21.9%Cox75,593
67.0%Harding230,729
11.1%Debs38,223
−45.0%
344,545
D
47.2%Wilson166,524
46.6%Hughes164,300
6.2%Benson21,695
+0.6%
352,519
O
43.6%Wilson104,716
0.0%Taft0
56.4%Roosevelt135,480
Roosevelt +12.8
240,196
R
30.5%Bryan42,986
58.7%Taft82,650
10.8%Debs15,245
−28.2%
140,881
R
25.6%Parker34,440
63.7%Roosevelt85,572
10.7%Debs14,325
−38.1%
134,337
R
38.3%Bryan47,419
57.6%McKinley71,304
4.1%Woolley5,087
−19.3%
123,810
R
45.3%Bryan55,517
52.6%McKinley64,398
2.1%Palmer2,546
−7.3%
122,461
D
48.0%Cleveland53,200
44.0%Harrison48,759
7.9%Weaver8,794
+4.0%
110,753
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1892 to 2024. Most recent: +47.6% in 2024.flipped D · 1984+47.6%DR18922024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1892+4.0%
1896−7.3%
1900−19.3%
1904−38.1%
1908−28.2%
1912+43.6%
1916+0.6%
1920−45.0%
1924−47.9%
1928−17.4%
1932+19.5%
1936+35.9%
1940+13.1%
1944+15.7%
1948−1.6%
1952−11.4%
1956−10.4%
1960+3.8%
1964+31.3%
1968+8.9%
1972−0.7%
1976+3.8%
1980−3.6%
1984+3.3%
1988+17.4%
1992+31.6%
1996+32.4%
2000+34.5%
2004+40.9%
2008+50.1%
2012+49.4%
2016+55.8%
2020+55.0%
2024+47.6%
DemocraticRepublican
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Voter registration in San Francisco-Oakland-San JoseRegistered voters by party of registration, 2022–2024. Latest total 4,300,906 in 2024.1.1M2.2M3.2M4.3M4.3M20222024
DemocraticRepublicanUnaffiliatedOther parties
Voter registration in San Francisco-Oakland-San Jose
YearTotal registeredDemocraticRepublicanUnaffiliatedOther
20224,206,3972,366,278600,6321,017,404222,083
20244,300,9062,403,503647,1661,005,311244,926
Source: California Secretary of State

The Bay Area DMA anchors one of the nation's most lopsided presidential margins, routinely delivering 80-plus-point Democratic advantages, yet its sheer ad-buy cost makes it a rare target for competitive spending.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 55.8 points in 2016 and a Republican high of 47.9 points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the market moved 7.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 47.6 points.

A population of 7,325,381, a 35% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $139,731 describe the market. The market's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Washington, DC (Hagerstown) and Seattle-Tacoma.

Political twins — media markets

The media markets whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Washington, DC (Hagerstown)
Virginia
94.3twin score
median income2016–2024 trajectory≠ 2004 margin
Seattle-Tacoma
Washington
93.7twin score
2024 marginpopulation scaleelasticity≠ 2004 margin
Chicago
Illinois
88.8twin score
2000–2016 trajectory≠ % Asian

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
San Francisco-Oakland-San Jose, California. Akashic. https://akashic.app/dma/807/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Places within San Francisco-Oakland-San Jose

counties10
Alameda CountyContra Costa CountyLake CountyMarin CountyMendocino CountyNapa CountySan Francisco CountySan Mateo CountySanta Clara CountySonoma County

Frequently asked questions

How did San Francisco-Oakland-San Jose, California vote in 2024?
In 2024, San Francisco-Oakland-San Jose, California voted Democratic by 47.6 points (D+47.6), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 3,209,674 votes cast, 2,308,786 went Democratic and 780,757 went Republican.
When did San Francisco-Oakland-San Jose, California last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which San Francisco-Oakland-San Jose, California voted Republican was 1980.
How many people live in San Francisco-Oakland-San Jose, California?
San Francisco-Oakland-San Jose, California has a population of 7,325,381 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in San Francisco-Oakland-San Jose, California?
Median household income in San Francisco-Oakland-San Jose, California is $139,731 — above the national median of $80,734. The California state median is $99,122.
What is the political history of San Francisco-Oakland-San Jose, California?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in San Francisco-Oakland-San Jose, California from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 21 went Democratic and 12 went Republican.