HarrisDemocratic71.9%2,308,786TrumpRepublican24.3%780,757SteinIndependent1.5%48,874
D+47.6- Lead
- 1,528,029
- Total
- 3,209,674
- vs nation
- D+49.1
Akashicmedia market
San Francisco-Oakland-San Jose
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
10 counties by 2024 margin · County returns · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
BidenDemocratic76.4%2,743,430TrumpRepublican21.4%769,302OtherAll other candidates2.2%79,505
D+55.0- Lead
- 1,974,128
- Total
- 3,592,237
- vs nation
- D+50.5
ClintonDemocratic74.3%2,270,699TrumpRepublican18.5%564,402OtherAll other candidates7.3%222,047
D+55.8- Lead
- 1,706,297
- Total
- 3,057,148
- vs nation
- D+53.7
ObamaDemocratic73.2%2,045,198RomneyRepublican23.7%663,422OtherAll other candidates3.1%86,302
D+49.4- Lead
- 1,381,776
- Total
- 2,794,922
- vs nation
- D+45.6
ObamaDemocratic74.0%2,163,130McCainRepublican23.8%697,030OtherAll other candidates2.2%64,050
D+50.1- Lead
- 1,466,100
- Total
- 2,924,210
- vs nation
- D+42.9
KerryDemocratic69.7%1,879,156BushRepublican28.8%776,972OtherAll other candidates1.5%40,890
D+40.9- Lead
- 1,102,184
- Total
- 2,697,018
- vs nation
- D+43.3
GoreDemocratic64.2%1,559,930BushRepublican29.7%721,199OtherAll other candidates6.1%149,213
D+34.5- Lead
- 838,731
- Total
- 2,430,342
- vs nation
- D+34.0
ClintonDemocratic60.5%1,378,251DoleRepublican28.0%638,744OtherAll other candidates11.5%262,642
D+32.4- Lead
- 739,507
- Total
- 2,279,637
- vs nation
- D+23.9
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+47.6MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 7,325,3812024 5-year
- Population density
- 675 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 10,850 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $139,7312024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 35.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 4.9%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 24.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+55.8 in 2016MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+47.9 in 1924MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Washington, DC (Hagerstown), VA · twin score 94.3
presidential history
Party record book
San Francisco-Oakland-San Jose · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
76.4%
2,743,430 votes · D+55.0
Runner-up · Hillary Clinton, 2016 · 74.3%
Republican
Warren G. Harding1920
67.0%
230,729 votes · R+45.0
Runner-up · Theodore Roosevelt, 1904 · 63.7%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
2,743,430votes
76.4% of the vote · D+55.0
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 2,308,786 votes
Republican
Ronald Reagan1984
1,065,680votes
47.7% of the vote · D+3.3
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · 993,906 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Hillary Clinton2016
+53.7pts D vs U.S.
Place D+55.8 · U.S. D+2.1
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · +50.5 pts
Republican
Calvin Coolidge1924
+22.7pts R vs U.S.
Place R+47.9 · U.S. R+25.2
Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · +18.8 pts
U.S. House elections · 2 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2024D+40.8
Presidential vote · 2024D+47.6
Registration leans Democratic; the presidential vote runs 6.8 points more Democratic than the rolls.
4,300,906 registered voters · 2024 · up from 4,206,397 in 2022
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
−49,702 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −693,220 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +3,693 |
| 2012 | +14,339 |
| 2013 | +16,501 |
| 2014 | +9,624 |
| 2015 | −3,561 |
| 2016 | −33,614 |
| 2017 | −51,757 |
| 2018 | −54,324 |
| 2019 | −65,971 |
| 2021 | −197,299 |
| 2022 | −125,243 |
| 2023 | −91,300 |
| 2024 | −64,606 |
| 2025 | −49,702 |
The Bay Area DMA anchors one of the nation's most lopsided presidential margins, routinely delivering 80-plus-point Democratic advantages, yet its sheer ad-buy cost makes it a rare target for competitive spending.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 55.8 points in 2016 and a Republican high of 47.9 points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the market moved 7.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 47.6 points.
A population of 7,325,381, a 35% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $139,731 describe the market. The market's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Washington, DC (Hagerstown) and Seattle-Tacoma.
Political twins — media markets
The media markets whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Washington, DC (Hagerstown)
Virginia
94.3twin score
median income2016–2024 trajectory≠ 2004 margin
Seattle-Tacoma
Washington
93.7twin score
2024 marginpopulation scaleelasticity≠ 2004 margin
Chicago
Illinois
88.8twin score
2000–2016 trajectory≠ % Asian
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
San Francisco-Oakland-San Jose, California. Akashic. https://akashic.app/dma/807/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Places within San Francisco-Oakland-San Jose
Frequently asked questions
How did San Francisco-Oakland-San Jose, California vote in 2024?
In 2024, San Francisco-Oakland-San Jose, California voted Democratic by 47.6 points (D+47.6), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 3,209,674 votes cast, 2,308,786 went Democratic and 780,757 went Republican.
When did San Francisco-Oakland-San Jose, California last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which San Francisco-Oakland-San Jose, California voted Republican was 1980.
How many people live in San Francisco-Oakland-San Jose, California?
San Francisco-Oakland-San Jose, California has a population of 7,325,381 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in San Francisco-Oakland-San Jose, California?
Median household income in San Francisco-Oakland-San Jose, California is $139,731 — above the national median of $80,734. The California state median is $99,122.
What is the political history of San Francisco-Oakland-San Jose, California?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in San Francisco-Oakland-San Jose, California from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 21 went Democratic and 12 went Republican.