akashic
1876–2024
Mendocino County, California
Mendocino County·California

Mendocino County was solidly one party for decades. In the last twenty years, it flipped.

A coastal redwood county that votes deep blue by wide margins

18762024·38 elections
Mendocino County, California · USFS Region 5 · Wikimedia Commons
Latest
D+27
in 2024
Archetype
Populist
since the recent cycles
Population
90,244
2024 ACS
Most similar
Windham County
VT · similarity 0.99
165 precincts · 39,219 votes cast
Harris · D+27
Margin
Turnout
Harris +50
Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024D
+26.8%
24,04913,52839,219
2020D
+35.8%
28,78213,26743,340
2016D
+29.5%
22,07910,88837,915
2012D
+38.5%
23,1939,65835,137
2008D
+42.6%
27,84310,72140,184
2004D
+29.7%
24,38512,95538,429
2000D
+12.7%
16,63412,27234,410
1996D
+15.9%
14,9529,76532,692
1992D
+28.4%
18,3447,95836,538
1988D
+13.5%
17,15212,97930,947
1984R
−6.2%
14,40716,36931,422
1980R
−5.8%
10,78412,43228,224
1976D
+4.0%
10,6539,78421,509
1972R
−7.8%
9,43511,12821,814
1968R
−2.1%
7,9358,30517,904
1964D
+30.4%
11,8696,32218,227
1960D
+0.9%
9,4769,30118,871
1956R
−14.1%
7,76710,32718,137
1952R
−22.2%
6,58010,38817,157
1948R
−6.5%
5,5536,36812,603
1944D
+7.9%
5,4524,65510,143
1940D
+13.6%
7,0555,34512,569
1936D
+26.9%
6,4323,67010,266
1932D
+26.2%
5,8673,3659,551
1928R
−28.8%
2,6284,8107,588
1924R
−44.4%
7393,4656,137
1920R
−39.3%
1,7894,4436,749
1916R
−1.6%
3,3713,4947,468
1912D
+44.4%
2,50705,648
1908R
−20.1%
1,7522,7464,942
1904R
−30.0%
1,4892,9044,718
1900R
−8.0%
1,8612,1924,124
1896D
+0.6%
2,1202,0934,278
1892D
+7.7%
2,0231,7094,082
1888D
+7.7%
2,0061,7113,821
1884D
+9.0%
1,5891,3173,013
1880D
+15.0%
1,3139692,290
1876D
+16.0%
1,2839292,212
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
100.0%
Irish
0.5%
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
0.0%
speak English only
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
17.5%
Non-Christian
11.8%
Other Christian
6.5%
Mainline Protestant
1.2%
Baptist
1.2%
Pentecostal & Holiness
0.9%
Methodist
0.9%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 60.0% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Mendocino's sparse population, rugged Pacific coastline, and long-established counterculture communities have anchored its Democratic lean for decades, with 2024's D+26.8 margin consistent with its recent presidential-cycle pattern.

The Democratic margin in Mendocino County peaked at forty-four points in 1912. By 1988 the county had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was twenty-seven points, the most Democratic-leaning result in the county's modern history.

The economic context is the key. Mendocino County's median household income of $68,092 sits well below state and national norms, and 15% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Windham County and Santa Cruz County.