| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 24,049 | 13,528 | 39,219 | |
| 2020 | D | 28,782 | 13,267 | 43,340 | |
| 2016 | D | 22,079 | 10,888 | 37,915 | |
| 2012 | D | 23,193 | 9,658 | 35,137 | |
| 2008 | D | 27,843 | 10,721 | 40,184 | |
| 2004 | D | 24,385 | 12,955 | 38,429 | |
| 2000 | D | 16,634 | 12,272 | 34,410 | |
| 1996 | D | 14,952 | 9,765 | 32,692 | |
| 1992 | D | 18,344 | 7,958 | 36,538 | |
| 1988 | D | 17,152 | 12,979 | 30,947 | |
| 1984 | R | 14,407 | 16,369 | 31,422 | |
| 1980 | R | 10,784 | 12,432 | 28,224 | |
| 1976 | D | 10,653 | 9,784 | 21,509 | |
| 1972 | R | 9,435 | 11,128 | 21,814 | |
| 1968 | R | 7,935 | 8,305 | 17,904 | |
| 1964 | D | 11,869 | 6,322 | 18,227 | |
| 1960 | D | 9,476 | 9,301 | 18,871 | |
| 1956 | R | 7,767 | 10,327 | 18,137 | |
| 1952 | R | 6,580 | 10,388 | 17,157 | |
| 1948 | R | 5,553 | 6,368 | 12,603 | |
| 1944 | D | 5,452 | 4,655 | 10,143 | |
| 1940 | D | 7,055 | 5,345 | 12,569 | |
| 1936 | D | 6,432 | 3,670 | 10,266 | |
| 1932 | D | 5,867 | 3,365 | 9,551 | |
| 1928 | R | 2,628 | 4,810 | 7,588 | |
| 1924 | R | 739 | 3,465 | 6,137 | |
| 1920 | R | 1,789 | 4,443 | 6,749 | |
| 1916 | R | 3,371 | 3,494 | 7,468 | |
| 1912 | D | 2,507 | 0 | 5,648 | |
| 1908 | R | 1,752 | 2,746 | 4,942 | |
| 1904 | R | 1,489 | 2,904 | 4,718 | |
| 1900 | R | 1,861 | 2,192 | 4,124 | |
| 1896 | D | 2,120 | 2,093 | 4,278 | |
| 1892 | D | 2,023 | 1,709 | 4,082 | |
| 1888 | D | 2,006 | 1,711 | 3,821 | |
| 1884 | D | 1,589 | 1,317 | 3,013 | |
| 1880 | D | 1,313 | 969 | 2,290 | |
| 1876 | D | 1,283 | 929 | 2,212 |
Mendocino's sparse population, rugged Pacific coastline, and long-established counterculture communities have anchored its Democratic lean for decades, with 2024's D+26.8 margin consistent with its recent presidential-cycle pattern.
The Democratic margin in Mendocino County peaked at forty-four points in 1912. By 1988 the county had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was twenty-seven points, the most Democratic-leaning result in the county's modern history.
The economic context is the key. Mendocino County's median household income of $68,092 sits well below state and national norms, and 15% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Windham County and Santa Cruz County.
