HarrisDemocratic75.3%100,998TrumpRepublican20.9%27,978KennedyIndependent1.5%2,055
D+54.4- Lead
- 73,020
- Total
- 134,135
- vs nation
- D+55.9
- Turnout
- 71.4%
Akashiccounty
Santa Cruz County, CA
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 71.4% of 191,055 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic78.4%114,246TrumpRepublican18.5%26,937JorgensenLibertarian1.2%1,704
D+59.9- Lead
- 87,309
- Total
- 145,649
- vs nation
- D+55.5
- Turnout
- 75.6%
ClintonDemocratic73.3%95,249TrumpRepublican17.3%22,438SteinGreen3.4%4,485
D+56.0- Lead
- 72,811
- Total
- 130,012
- vs nation
- D+53.9
- Turnout
- 70.4%
ObamaDemocratic75.4%90,805RomneyRepublican20.0%24,047JohnsonLibertarian1.6%1,971
D+55.5- Lead
- 66,758
- Total
- 120,385
- vs nation
- D+51.6
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic77.3%98,745McCainRepublican19.8%25,244OtherAll other candidates2.9%3,747
D+57.5- Lead
- 73,501
- Total
- 127,736
- vs nation
- D+50.3
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic73.0%89,102BushRepublican24.9%30,354OtherAll other candidates2.2%2,628
D+48.1- Lead
- 58,748
- Total
- 122,084
- vs nation
- D+50.6
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic61.5%66,618BushRepublican27.3%29,627NaderGreen10.0%10,844
D+34.1- Lead
- 36,991
- Total
- 108,350
- vs nation
- D+33.6
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic56.5%58,250DoleRepublican26.9%27,766PerotReform6.4%6,555
D+29.6- Lead
- 30,484
- Total
- 103,062
- vs nation
- D+21.1
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+54.4MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 264,9262024 5-year
- Median household income
- $111,0932024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 53.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 35.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+59.9 in 2020MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+51.8 in 1924MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Sonoma County, CA · twin score 98.9
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 71.4%136,505 participants ÷ 191,055 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +20.8 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off versus state
- -5.2 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 50.7%–57.7%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 132,165 | 187,647 | 70.4% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 121,700 | 190,834 | 63.8% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 146,857 | 194,296 | 75.6% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 106,044 | 193,477 | 54.8% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 136,505 | 191,055 | 71.4% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
153 precincts · 134,043 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -1022010220 | 1,596 | 404 | 88 | 2,088 | 76.4% | 19.3% | D+57.1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -2035420354 | 1,489 | 483 | 58 | 2,030 | 73.3% | 23.8% | D+49.6 |
| Precinct -3160031600 | 1,695 | 177 | 125 | 1,997 | 84.9% | 8.9% | D+76.0 |
| Precinct -2030020300 | 1,486 | 447 | 42 | 1,975 | 75.2% | 22.6% | D+52.6 |
| Precinct -2202222022 | 1,487 | 411 | 61 | 1,959 | 75.9% | 21.0% | D+54.9 |
| Precinct -5403054030 | 1,399 | 486 | 65 | 1,950 | 71.7% | 24.9% | D+46.8 |
| Precinct -3150031500 | 1,687 | 164 | 71 | 1,922 | 87.8% | 8.5% | D+79.2 |
| Precinct -5403354033 | 1,349 | 501 | 62 | 1,912 | 70.6% | 26.2% | D+44.4 |
| Precinct -2033020330 | 1,385 | 428 | 55 | 1,868 | 74.1% | 22.9% | D+51.2 |
| Precinct -2026020260 | 1,400 | 392 | 73 | 1,865 | 75.1% | 21.0% | D+54.0 |
| Precinct -5009850098 | 1,310 | 410 | 82 | 1,802 | 72.7% | 22.8% | D+49.9 |
| Precinct -1020110201 | 1,313 | 392 | 76 | 1,781 | 73.7% | 22.0% | D+51.7 |
| Precinct -3130031300 | 1,459 | 218 | 60 | 1,737 | 84.0% | 12.6% | D+71.4 |
| Precinct -1008010080 | 1,357 | 315 | 56 | 1,728 | 78.5% | 18.2% | D+60.3 |
| Precinct -3161131611 | 1,424 | 233 | 61 | 1,718 | 82.9% | 13.6% | D+69.3 |
| Precinct -3120031200 | 1,378 | 247 | 66 | 1,691 | 81.5% | 14.6% | D+66.9 |
| Precinct -2023220232 | 1,278 | 347 | 62 | 1,687 | 75.8% | 20.6% | D+55.2 |
| Precinct -3142031420 | 1,457 | 139 | 89 | 1,685 | 86.5% | 8.2% | D+78.2 |
| Precinct -1009010090 | 1,278 | 300 | 86 | 1,664 | 76.8% | 18.0% | D+58.8 |
| Precinct -2034120341 | 1,205 | 410 | 48 | 1,663 | 72.5% | 24.7% | D+47.8 |
| Precinct -3140031400 | 1,433 | 166 | 63 | 1,662 | 86.2% | 10.0% | D+76.2 |
| Precinct -5003150031 | 1,240 | 310 | 67 | 1,617 | 76.7% | 19.2% | D+57.5 |
| Precinct -3162031620 | 1,367 | 181 | 58 | 1,606 | 85.1% | 11.3% | D+73.8 |
| Precinct -5011150111 | 1,212 | 325 | 60 | 1,597 | 75.9% | 20.4% | D+55.5 |
| Precinct -3110031100 | 1,326 | 218 | 50 | 1,594 | 83.2% | 13.7% | D+69.5 |
| Precinct -3120231202 | 1,321 | 169 | 94 | 1,584 | 83.4% | 10.7% | D+72.7 |
| Precinct -1006010060 | 1,210 | 263 | 69 | 1,542 | 78.5% | 17.1% | D+61.4 |
| Precinct -1002010020 | 1,194 | 281 | 59 | 1,534 | 77.8% | 18.3% | D+59.5 |
| Precinct -5017350173 | 1,097 | 350 | 72 | 1,519 | 72.2% | 23.0% | D+49.2 |
| Precinct -2024220242 | 1,115 | 344 | 58 | 1,517 | 73.5% | 22.7% | D+50.8 |
| Precinct -3140231402 | 1,227 | 204 | 85 | 1,516 | 80.9% | 13.5% | D+67.5 |
| Precinct -3130231302 | 1,311 | 135 | 69 | 1,515 | 86.5% | 8.9% | D+77.6 |
| Precinct -2204022040 | 1,136 | 334 | 43 | 1,513 | 75.1% | 22.1% | D+53.0 |
| Precinct -1019010190 | 1,165 | 282 | 41 | 1,488 | 78.3% | 19.0% | D+59.3 |
| Precinct -1013010130 | 1,131 | 297 | 56 | 1,484 | 76.2% | 20.0% | D+56.2 |
| Precinct -1011010110 | 1,139 | 277 | 55 | 1,471 | 77.4% | 18.8% | D+58.6 |
| Precinct -1027010270 | 1,151 | 251 | 51 | 1,453 | 79.2% | 17.3% | D+61.9 |
| Precinct -1045010450 | 1,052 | 339 | 56 | 1,447 | 72.7% | 23.4% | D+49.3 |
| Precinct -5034250342 | 993 | 397 | 43 | 1,433 | 69.3% | 27.7% | D+41.6 |
| Precinct -4373143731 | 1,026 | 372 | 29 | 1,427 | 71.9% | 26.1% | D+45.8 |
| Precinct -1110011100 | 1,127 | 238 | 46 | 1,411 | 79.9% | 16.9% | D+63.0 |
| Precinct -2025220252 | 1,019 | 336 | 48 | 1,403 | 72.6% | 23.9% | D+48.7 |
| Precinct -5150051500 | 1,119 | 178 | 66 | 1,363 | 82.1% | 13.1% | D+69.0 |
| Precinct -4008040080 | 985 | 322 | 47 | 1,354 | 72.7% | 23.8% | D+49.0 |
| Precinct -5401054010 | 960 | 358 | 36 | 1,354 | 70.9% | 26.4% | D+44.5 |
| Precinct -4007240072 | 846 | 465 | 37 | 1,348 | 62.8% | 34.5% | D+28.3 |
| Precinct -2331023310 | 927 | 361 | 51 | 1,339 | 69.2% | 27.0% | D+42.3 |
| Precinct -3133031330 | 1,141 | 139 | 49 | 1,329 | 85.9% | 10.5% | D+75.4 |
| Precinct -1061010610 | 967 | 302 | 53 | 1,322 | 73.1% | 22.8% | D+50.3 |
| Precinct -4341043410 | 902 | 343 | 34 | 1,279 | 70.5% | 26.8% | D+43.7 |
| Precinct -2018020180 | 797 | 420 | 45 | 1,262 | 63.2% | 33.3% | D+29.9 |
| Precinct -5110051100 | 1,031 | 165 | 50 | 1,246 | 82.7% | 13.2% | D+69.5 |
| Precinct -3120131201 | 986 | 152 | 60 | 1,198 | 82.3% | 12.7% | D+69.6 |
| Precinct -1029210292 | 899 | 253 | 43 | 1,195 | 75.2% | 21.2% | D+54.1 |
| Precinct -2022120221 | 888 | 255 | 41 | 1,184 | 75.0% | 21.5% | D+53.5 |
| Precinct -4371043710 | 818 | 308 | 50 | 1,176 | 69.6% | 26.2% | D+43.4 |
| Precinct -4321043210 | 824 | 277 | 45 | 1,146 | 71.9% | 24.2% | D+47.7 |
| Precinct -5413054130 | 732 | 359 | 39 | 1,130 | 64.8% | 31.8% | D+33.0 |
| Precinct -5111051110 | 913 | 138 | 56 | 1,107 | 82.5% | 12.5% | D+70.0 |
| Precinct -1014410144 | 837 | 220 | 48 | 1,105 | 75.7% | 19.9% | D+55.8 |
| Precinct -3130131301 | 937 | 108 | 39 | 1,084 | 86.4% | 10.0% | D+76.5 |
| Precinct -3125031250 | 936 | 100 | 47 | 1,083 | 86.4% | 9.2% | D+77.2 |
| Precinct -1202312023 | 807 | 217 | 42 | 1,066 | 75.7% | 20.4% | D+55.3 |
| Precinct -5406054060 | 732 | 293 | 29 | 1,054 | 69.4% | 27.8% | D+41.7 |
| Precinct -5014150141 | 758 | 229 | 57 | 1,044 | 72.6% | 21.9% | D+50.7 |
| Precinct -3003030030 | 804 | 180 | 51 | 1,035 | 77.7% | 17.4% | D+60.3 |
| Precinct -2001120011 | 684 | 292 | 30 | 1,006 | 68.0% | 29.0% | D+39.0 |
| Precinct -4311043110 | 669 | 260 | 29 | 958 | 69.8% | 27.1% | D+42.7 |
| Precinct -2331223312 | 676 | 251 | 30 | 957 | 70.6% | 26.2% | D+44.4 |
| Precinct -5019050190 | 635 | 244 | 39 | 918 | 69.2% | 26.6% | D+42.6 |
| Precinct -4343243432 | 597 | 280 | 23 | 900 | 66.3% | 31.1% | D+35.2 |
| Precinct -5009150091 | 667 | 191 | 38 | 896 | 74.4% | 21.3% | D+53.1 |
| Precinct -5012050120 | 624 | 226 | 40 | 890 | 70.1% | 25.4% | D+44.7 |
| Precinct -1026010260 | 666 | 184 | 35 | 885 | 75.3% | 20.8% | D+54.5 |
| Precinct -4351143511 | 611 | 234 | 26 | 871 | 70.1% | 26.9% | D+43.3 |
| Precinct -1035110351 | 679 | 149 | 36 | 864 | 78.6% | 17.2% | D+61.3 |
| Precinct -5023250232 | 610 | 209 | 27 | 846 | 72.1% | 24.7% | D+47.4 |
| Precinct -1203012030 | 650 | 158 | 27 | 835 | 77.8% | 18.9% | D+58.9 |
| Precinct -1112011120 | 660 | 141 | 32 | 833 | 79.2% | 16.9% | D+62.3 |
| Precinct -1028110281 | 587 | 203 | 36 | 826 | 71.1% | 24.6% | D+46.5 |
| Precinct -4350143501 | 595 | 169 | 33 | 797 | 74.7% | 21.2% | D+53.5 |
| Precinct -3000130001 | 604 | 131 | 42 | 777 | 77.7% | 16.9% | D+60.9 |
| Precinct -2015020150 | 571 | 167 | 36 | 774 | 73.8% | 21.6% | D+52.2 |
| Precinct -2003020030 | 475 | 258 | 27 | 760 | 62.5% | 33.9% | D+28.6 |
| Precinct -5020350203 | 559 | 128 | 44 | 731 | 76.5% | 17.5% | D+59.0 |
| Precinct -5040250402 | 482 | 207 | 34 | 723 | 66.7% | 28.6% | D+38.0 |
| Precinct -2054120541 | 520 | 165 | 27 | 712 | 73.0% | 23.2% | D+49.9 |
| Precinct -2006120061 | 453 | 208 | 27 | 688 | 65.8% | 30.2% | D+35.6 |
| Precinct -5020150201 | 491 | 162 | 35 | 688 | 71.4% | 23.5% | D+47.8 |
| Precinct -4363143631 | 459 | 212 | 16 | 687 | 66.8% | 30.9% | D+36.0 |
| Precinct -4361043610 | 472 | 193 | 19 | 684 | 69.0% | 28.2% | D+40.8 |
| Precinct -2004020040 | 409 | 238 | 17 | 664 | 61.6% | 35.8% | D+25.8 |
| Precinct -5006150061 | 395 | 236 | 20 | 651 | 60.7% | 36.3% | D+24.4 |
| Precinct -5002150021 | 487 | 107 | 30 | 624 | 78.0% | 17.1% | D+60.9 |
| Precinct -5022150221 | 472 | 122 | 19 | 613 | 77.0% | 19.9% | D+57.1 |
| Precinct -2014320143 | 407 | 181 | 22 | 610 | 66.7% | 29.7% | D+37.0 |
| Precinct -3001030010 | 452 | 96 | 40 | 588 | 76.9% | 16.3% | D+60.5 |
| Precinct -1016110161 | 417 | 124 | 26 | 567 | 73.5% | 21.9% | D+51.7 |
| Precinct -5034050340 | 379 | 158 | 22 | 559 | 67.8% | 28.3% | D+39.5 |
| Precinct -2004120041 | 392 | 145 | 16 | 553 | 70.9% | 26.2% | D+44.7 |
| Precinct -5051150511 | 386 | 133 | 34 | 553 | 69.8% | 24.1% | D+45.8 |
| Precinct -5034350343 | 339 | 166 | 22 | 527 | 64.3% | 31.5% | D+32.8 |
| Precinct -5043150431 | 376 | 127 | 24 | 527 | 71.3% | 24.1% | D+47.2 |
| Precinct -2041120411 | 350 | 151 | 19 | 520 | 67.3% | 29.0% | D+38.3 |
| Precinct -4364043640 | 370 | 140 | 10 | 520 | 71.2% | 26.9% | D+44.2 |
| Precinct -4026340263 | 320 | 184 | 10 | 514 | 62.3% | 35.8% | D+26.5 |
| Precinct -4310043100 | 315 | 131 | 15 | 461 | 68.3% | 28.4% | D+39.9 |
| Precinct -1014210142 | 299 | 107 | 18 | 424 | 70.5% | 25.2% | D+45.3 |
| Precinct -5001350013 | 304 | 79 | 24 | 407 | 74.7% | 19.4% | D+55.3 |
| Precinct -4362143621 | 290 | 82 | 19 | 391 | 74.2% | 21.0% | D+53.2 |
| Precinct -2001320013 | 235 | 119 | 21 | 375 | 62.7% | 31.7% | D+30.9 |
| Precinct -1201012010 | 258 | 76 | 12 | 346 | 74.6% | 22.0% | D+52.6 |
| Precinct -4373243732 | 211 | 86 | 6 | 303 | 69.6% | 28.4% | D+41.3 |
| Precinct -5120051200 | 206 | 34 | 5 | 245 | 84.1% | 13.9% | D+70.2 |
| Precinct -5020250202 | 177 | 48 | 13 | 238 | 74.4% | 20.2% | D+54.2 |
| Precinct -2056320563 | 156 | 68 | 7 | 231 | 67.5% | 29.4% | D+38.1 |
| Precinct -5052250522 | 153 | 49 | 8 | 210 | 72.9% | 23.3% | D+49.5 |
| Precinct -1022910229 | 149 | 39 | 11 | 199 | 74.9% | 19.6% | D+55.3 |
| Precinct -4325143251 | 140 | 35 | 3 | 178 | 78.7% | 19.7% | D+59.0 |
| Precinct -1053110531 | 121 | 44 | 11 | 176 | 68.8% | 25.0% | D+43.8 |
| Precinct -1053910539 | 106 | 64 | 6 | 176 | 60.2% | 36.4% | D+23.9 |
| Precinct -3113031130 | 107 | 16 | 12 | 135 | 79.3% | 11.9% | D+67.4 |
| Precinct -5014450144 | 76 | 33 | 3 | 112 | 67.9% | 29.5% | D+38.4 |
| Precinct -5023450234 | 80 | 23 | 5 | 108 | 74.1% | 21.3% | D+52.8 |
| Precinct -4371143711 | 83 | 17 | 6 | 106 | 78.3% | 16.0% | D+62.3 |
| Precinct -1052110521 | 77 | 21 | 7 | 105 | 73.3% | 20.0% | D+53.3 |
| Precinct -5025050250 | 78 | 19 | 3 | 100 | 78.0% | 19.0% | D+59.0 |
| Precinct -5011050110 | 70 | 14 | 8 | 92 | 76.1% | 15.2% | D+60.9 |
| Precinct -2039120391 | 69 | 18 | 4 | 91 | 75.8% | 19.8% | D+56.0 |
| Precinct -1014010140 | 62 | 26 | 2 | 90 | 68.9% | 28.9% | D+40.0 |
| Precinct -1028410284 | 64 | 12 | 2 | 78 | 82.1% | 15.4% | D+66.7 |
| Precinct -4026140261 | 28 | 49 | 1 | 78 | 35.9% | 62.8% | R+26.9 |
| Precinct -2022220222 | 50 | 8 | 1 | 59 | 84.7% | 13.6% | D+71.2 |
| Precinct -1023410234 | 35 | 17 | 2 | 54 | 64.8% | 31.5% | D+33.3 |
| Precinct -4023040230 | 27 | 22 | 1 | 50 | 54.0% | 44.0% | D+10.0 |
| Precinct -5008250082 | 14 | 33 | 3 | 50 | 28.0% | 66.0% | R+38.0 |
| Precinct -4367043670 | 26 | 18 | 3 | 47 | 55.3% | 38.3% | D+17.0 |
| Precinct -5014550145 | 27 | 17 | 2 | 46 | 58.7% | 37.0% | D+21.7 |
| Precinct -1015110151 | 26 | 5 | 3 | 34 | 76.5% | 14.7% | D+61.8 |
| Precinct -5144051440 | 31 | 0 | 0 | 31 | 100.0% | 0.0% | D+100.0 |
| Precinct -4017040170 | 17 | 10 | 3 | 30 | 56.7% | 33.3% | D+23.3 |
| Precinct -5018150181 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 26 | 57.7% | 30.8% | D+26.9 |
| Precinct -5022250222 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 26 | 76.9% | 19.2% | D+57.7 |
| Precinct -2047020470 | 11 | 10 | 3 | 24 | 45.8% | 41.7% | D+4.2 |
| Precinct -5026350263 | 14 | 8 | 1 | 23 | 60.9% | 34.8% | D+26.1 |
| Precinct -5051350513 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 23 | 73.9% | 21.7% | D+52.2 |
| Precinct -5008350083 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 22 | 72.7% | 22.7% | D+50.0 |
| Precinct -5050250502 | 14 | 7 | 0 | 21 | 66.7% | 33.3% | D+33.3 |
| Precinct -1028010280 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 17 | 70.6% | 29.4% | D+41.2 |
| Precinct -1055010550 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 14 | 64.3% | 35.7% | D+28.6 |
| Precinct -5002350023 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 64.3% | 14.3% | D+50.0 |
| Precinct -4027040270 | 4 | 9 | 0 | 13 | 30.8% | 69.2% | R+38.5 |
| Precinct -3004630046 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 80.0% | 20.0% | D+60.0 |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | −15.2% |
| 1880 | −5.5% |
| 1884 | −9.7% |
| 1888 | −6.2% |
| 1892 | −8.0% |
| 1896 | −0.2% |
| 1900 | −13.2% |
| 1904 | −35.1% |
| 1908 | −23.6% |
| 1912 | +40.2% |
| 1916 | +3.0% |
| 1920 | −41.7% |
| 1924 | −51.8% |
| 1928 | −38.0% |
| 1932 | +14.9% |
| 1936 | +6.0% |
| 1940 | −3.4% |
| 1944 | −8.5% |
| 1948 | −20.7% |
| 1952 | −34.4% |
| 1956 | −27.4% |
| 1960 | −19.7% |
| 1964 | +17.3% |
| 1968 | −9.8% |
| 1972 | −3.5% |
| 1976 | +8.0% |
| 1980 | −5.8% |
| 1984 | +8.1% |
| 1988 | +24.8% |
| 1992 | +36.2% |
| 1996 | +29.6% |
| 2000 | +34.1% |
| 2004 | +48.1% |
| 2008 | +57.5% |
| 2012 | +55.5% |
| 2016 | +56.0% |
| 2020 | +59.9% |
| 2024 | +54.4% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 2 House · 35 Senate · 3 Senate special · 12 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2024D+45.0
Presidential vote · 2024D+54.4
Registration leans Democratic; the presidential vote runs 9.5 points more Republican.
168,185 registered voters · 2024 · up from 166,928 in 2022
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−2,701 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −17,209 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $113,647 in average income, against $126,556 for residents who stayed — 10% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+31.2 on average — 23 points more Republican-leaning than Santa Cruz County, CA itself (D+54.4).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Santa Clara County, CA1,029D+40.0
- Monterey County, CA545D+29.9
- Los Angeles County, CA285D+32.9
- Alameda County, CA236D+53.6
- San Francisco County, CA195D+64.8
- San Mateo County, CA174D+50.3
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Santa Clara County, CA869
- Monterey County, CA721
- Los Angeles County, CA288
- San Francisco County, CA244
- Alameda County, CA242
- San Diego County, CA220
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +81 |
| 2012 | +13 |
| 2013 | +980 |
| 2014 | +605 |
| 2015 | +1,000 |
| 2016 | −565 |
| 2017 | −697 |
| 2018 | −1,858 |
| 2019 | −1,339 |
| 2021 | −9,988 |
| 2022 | +3,444 |
| 2023 | −3,437 |
| 2024 | −2,747 |
| 2025 | −2,701 |
Santa Cruz County consistently posts some of the widest Democratic presidential margins in the state, driven by a dense concentration of university affiliates, tech workers, and long-established Democratic-voting communities along Monterey Bay.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 59.9 points in 2020 and a Republican high of 51.8 points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 5.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 54.4 points.
A population of 264,926, a 54% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $111,093 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Sonoma County and Denver County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Sonoma County
California
98.9twin score
2008–2024 trajectory
Denver County
Colorado
97.4twin score
2008–2024 trajectory≠ college share
Multnomah County
Oregon
95.7twin score
2008–2024 trajectory≠ % Latino
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
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All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Santa Cruz County, California. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/06087/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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California at the ballot boxAll elections →
Frequently asked questions
How did Santa Cruz County, California vote in 2024?
In 2024, Santa Cruz County, California voted Democratic by 54.4 points (D+54.4), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 134,135 votes cast, 100,998 went Democratic and 27,978 went Republican.
When did Santa Cruz County, California last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Santa Cruz County, California voted Republican was 1980.
How many people live in Santa Cruz County, California?
Santa Cruz County, California has a population of 264,926 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Santa Cruz County, California?
Median household income in Santa Cruz County, California is $111,093 — above the national median of $80,734. The California state median is $99,122.
What is the political history of Santa Cruz County, California?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Santa Cruz County, California from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 16 went Democratic and 21 went Republican.