HarrisDemocratic23.1%12,392TrumpRepublican75.5%40,449KennedyIndependent0.6%309
R+52.4- Lead
- 28,057
- Total
- 53,543
- vs nation
- R+50.9
- Turnout
- 59.1%
Akashiccounty
Morgan County, AL
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 59.1% of 90,877 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic24.6%13,234TrumpRepublican73.8%39,664JorgensenLibertarian1.3%705
R+49.2- Lead
- 26,430
- Total
- 53,722
- vs nation
- R+53.6
- Turnout
- 61.0%
ClintonDemocratic22.5%11,254TrumpRepublican75.1%37,486JohnsonLibertarian2.3%1,168
R+52.6- Lead
- 26,232
- Total
- 49,908
- vs nation
- R+54.7
- Turnout
- 57.9%
ObamaDemocratic27.2%13,439RomneyRepublican71.8%35,391OtherAll other candidates1.0%493
R+44.5- Lead
- 21,952
- Total
- 49,323
- vs nation
- R+48.4
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic27.5%13,895McCainRepublican71.3%36,014OtherAll other candidates1.3%633
R+43.8- Lead
- 22,119
- Total
- 50,542
- vs nation
- R+51.0
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic30.1%14,131BushRepublican69.1%32,477OtherAll other candidates0.8%399
R+39.0- Lead
- 18,346
- Total
- 47,007
- vs nation
- R+36.6
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic37.6%16,060BushRepublican60.4%25,774NaderGreen1.1%450
R+22.8- Lead
- 9,714
- Total
- 42,681
- vs nation
- R+23.3
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic36.5%14,616DoleRepublican54.4%21,765PerotReform8.4%3,348
R+17.9- Lead
- 7,149
- Total
- 40,013
- vs nation
- R+26.4
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+52.4MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 124,4712024 5-year
- Median household income
- $68,8452024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 72.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 12.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 10.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+85.3 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+56.6 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Coffee County, AL · twin score 92.6
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 59.1%53,721 participants ÷ 90,877 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +24.6 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off versus state
- -0.9 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 34.5%–40.3%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 50,964 | 88,063 | 57.9% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 39,636 | 88,277 | 44.9% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 53,905 | 88,342 | 61.0% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 33,021 | 90,716 | 36.4% | C/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 53,721 | 90,877 | 59.1% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
39 precincts · 53,543 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -JOHN J SPARKMAN CIVICJOHN J SPARKMAN CIVIC | 747 | 4,397 | 62 | 5,206 | 14.3% | 84.5% | R+70.1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -PRICEVILLE EVENT CTRPRICEVILLE EVENT CTR | 557 | 3,436 | 56 | 4,049 | 13.8% | 84.9% | R+71.1 |
| Precinct -1ST BAPT CH HARTSELLE1ST BAPT CH HARTSELLE | 581 | 2,828 | 38 | 3,447 | 16.9% | 82.0% | R+65.2 |
| Precinct -DECATUR BAPT CHDECATUR BAPT CH | 1,134 | 2,174 | 45 | 3,353 | 33.8% | 64.8% | R+31.0 |
| Precinct -DECATUR CH OF CHRISTDECATUR CH OF CHRIST | 619 | 1,926 | 38 | 2,583 | 24.0% | 74.6% | R+50.6 |
| Precinct -FIRST BIBLE CHFIRST BIBLE CH | 810 | 1,344 | 30 | 2,184 | 37.1% | 61.5% | R+24.5 |
| Precinct -1ST BAPT AUSTINVILLE1ST BAPT AUSTINVILLE | 806 | 1,264 | 22 | 2,092 | 38.5% | 60.4% | R+21.9 |
| Precinct -UNION HILL SR CTRUNION HILL SR CTR | 269 | 1,623 | 36 | 1,928 | 14.0% | 84.2% | R+70.2 |
| Precinct -FORT DECATUR REC CTRFORT DECATUR REC CTR | 824 | 1,062 | 34 | 1,920 | 42.9% | 55.3% | R+12.4 |
| Precinct -NEEL VFDNEEL VFD | 182 | 1,708 | 15 | 1,905 | 9.6% | 89.7% | R+80.1 |
| Precinct -BCOMING CH / EPIC CHBCOMING CH / EPIC CH | 458 | 1,134 | 37 | 1,629 | 28.1% | 69.6% | R+41.5 |
| Precinct -S_A_V_E_S_ FIRE DEPT #1S_A_V_E_S_ FIRE DEPT #1 | 199 | 1,387 | 8 | 1,594 | 12.5% | 87.0% | R+74.5 |
| Precinct -BURNINGTREE COUNTRY CLUBBURNINGTREE COUNTRY CLUB | 321 | 1,219 | 29 | 1,569 | 20.5% | 77.7% | R+57.2 |
| Precinct -AQUADOME REC CTRAQUADOME REC CTR | 998 | 528 | 21 | 1,547 | 64.5% | 34.1% | D+30.4 |
| Precinct -TRINITY MUN BLDGTRINITY MUN BLDG | 280 | 1,237 | 22 | 1,539 | 18.2% | 80.4% | R+62.2 |
| Precinct -POINT MALLARD EVENT CTRPOINT MALLARD EVENT CTR | 345 | 1,123 | 27 | 1,495 | 23.1% | 75.1% | R+52.0 |
| Precinct -NEW CTR BAPT CHNEW CTR BAPT CH | 116 | 1,152 | 15 | 1,283 | 9.0% | 89.8% | R+80.7 |
| Precinct -COUNTY DISTRICT 3 VOTINGCOUNTY DISTRICT 3 VOTING | 90 | 1,037 | 14 | 1,141 | 7.9% | 90.9% | R+83.0 |
| Precinct -LACEY'S SPRING SR CTRLACEY'S SPRING SR CTR | 173 | 937 | 16 | 1,126 | 15.4% | 83.2% | R+67.9 |
| Precinct -CARRIE MATTHEWS REC CTRCARRIE MATTHEWS REC CTR | 842 | 111 | 5 | 958 | 87.9% | 11.6% | D+76.3 |
| Precinct -EVA TOWN HALLEVA TOWN HALL | 85 | 866 | 7 | 958 | 8.9% | 90.4% | R+81.5 |
| Precinct -COTACO FIRE STATIONCOTACO FIRE STATION | 128 | 804 | 13 | 945 | 13.5% | 85.1% | R+71.5 |
| Precinct -FALKVILLE MUN BLDGFALKVILLE MUN BLDG | 95 | 787 | 11 | 893 | 10.6% | 88.1% | R+77.5 |
| Precinct -W MORGAN E LAWRENCE W&SW MORGAN E LAWRENCE W&S | 107 | 676 | 11 | 794 | 13.5% | 85.1% | R+71.7 |
| Precinct -WESTMEADE BAPT CHWESTMEADE BAPT CH | 358 | 402 | 17 | 777 | 46.1% | 51.7% | R+5.7 |
| Precinct -TRI-COUNTY VFDTRI-COUNTY VFD | 70 | 621 | 7 | 698 | 10.0% | 89.0% | R+78.9 |
| Precinct -AMER LEGION BLDG POST 15AMER LEGION BLDG POST 15 | 190 | 438 | 11 | 639 | 29.7% | 68.5% | R+38.8 |
| Precinct -MASSEY FIRE DEPTMASSEY FIRE DEPT | 57 | 575 | 5 | 637 | 8.9% | 90.3% | R+81.3 |
| Precinct -CTR SPRINGS METHODIST CHCTR SPRINGS METHODIST CH | 91 | 528 | 8 | 627 | 14.5% | 84.2% | R+69.7 |
| Precinct -DANVILLE VFDDANVILLE VFD | 50 | 523 | 4 | 577 | 8.7% | 90.6% | R+82.0 |
| Precinct -LEBANON BAPT CHLEBANON BAPT CH | 52 | 516 | 5 | 573 | 9.1% | 90.1% | R+81.0 |
| Precinct -ODEN RIDGE VFDODEN RIDGE VFD | 35 | 473 | 3 | 511 | 6.8% | 92.6% | R+85.7 |
| Precinct -DECATUR UTILITIESDECATUR UTILITIES | 173 | 278 | 8 | 459 | 37.7% | 60.6% | R+22.9 |
| Precinct -COUNTY COURTHOUSECOUNTY COURTHOUSE | 155 | 287 | 8 | 450 | 34.4% | 63.8% | R+29.3 |
| Precinct -GRACE POINT BAPT CHGRACE POINT BAPT CH | 39 | 369 | 5 | 413 | 9.4% | 89.3% | R+79.9 |
| Precinct -DECATUR FIRE & POLICE TRNG CTRDECATUR FIRE & POLICE TRNG CTR | 57 | 306 | 3 | 366 | 15.6% | 83.6% | R+68.0 |
| Precinct -GUM POND FIRE STATIONGUM POND FIRE STATION | 31 | 278 | 1 | 310 | 10.0% | 89.7% | R+79.7 |
| Precinct -TURNER SURLES COMM CTRTURNER SURLES COMM CTR | 217 | 18 | 3 | 238 | 91.2% | 7.6% | D+83.6 |
| Precinct -MACEDONIA C P CHURCHMACEDONIA C P CHURCH | 51 | 77 | 2 | 130 | 39.2% | 59.2% | R+20.0 |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | +29.9% |
| 1880 | +33.2% |
| 1884 | +27.7% |
| 1888 | +53.9% |
| 1892 | +50.0% |
| 1896 | +17.4% |
| 1900 | +7.4% |
| 1904 | +51.1% |
| 1908 | +47.5% |
| 1912 | +60.9% |
| 1916 | +68.4% |
| 1920 | +53.6% |
| 1924 | +55.0% |
| 1928 | −9.6% |
| 1932 | +75.0% |
| 1936 | +85.3% |
| 1940 | +82.4% |
| 1944 | +71.5% |
| 1948 | −11.7% |
| 1952 | +50.0% |
| 1956 | +43.2% |
| 1960 | +28.4% |
| 1964 | −56.6% |
| 1968 | −5.2% |
| 1972 | −55.6% |
| 1976 | +28.8% |
| 1980 | +5.1% |
| 1984 | −36.3% |
| 1988 | −27.5% |
| 1992 | −13.6% |
| 1996 | −17.9% |
| 2000 | −22.8% |
| 2004 | −39.0% |
| 2008 | −43.8% |
| 2012 | −44.5% |
| 2016 | −52.6% |
| 2020 | −49.2% |
| 2024 | −52.4% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 2 House · 36 Senate · 4 Senate special · 12 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2018 | 79,900 |
| 2020 | 85,651 |
| 2022 | 85,888 |
| 2024 | 88,609 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−39 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +46 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $58,071 in average income, against $78,540 for residents who stayed — 26% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+38.9 on average — 13 points more Democratic-leaning than Morgan County, AL itself (R+52.4).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Madison County, AL562R+8.9
- Lawrence County, AL253R+62.3
- Cullman County, AL217R+80.3
- Limestone County, AL206R+43.7
- Marshall County, AL83R+71.5
- Jefferson County, AL76D+10.4
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Madison County, AL508
- Lawrence County, AL310
- Limestone County, AL264
- Cullman County, AL238
- Marshall County, AL93
- Lauderdale County, AL62
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +19 |
| 2012 | −159 |
| 2013 | −702 |
| 2014 | −377 |
| 2015 | −391 |
| 2016 | −536 |
| 2017 | −328 |
| 2018 | +130 |
| 2019 | +285 |
| 2021 | +210 |
| 2022 | +1,026 |
| 2023 | +799 |
| 2024 | +109 |
| 2025 | −39 |
Morgan County, anchored by Decatur along the Tennessee River, has delivered Republican presidential margins above 50 points in recent cycles, reflecting a rural-to-suburban shift that has deepened conservative alignment across much of northern Alabama.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 85.3 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 56.6 points in 1964. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 3.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 52.4 points.
A population of 124,471, a 72% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $68,845 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Coffee County and Chilton County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Coffee County
Alabama
92.6twin score
% Evangelical2008–2012 trajectory% unaffiliated≠ American ancestry
Chilton County
Alabama
91.9twin score
% Evangelical2008–2012 trajectory% unaffiliated
Marshall County
Alabama
91.7twin score
% Evangelical2004–2008 trajectoryelasticity
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Morgan County, Alabama. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/01103/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Morgan County
Alabama at the ballot boxAll elections →
Frequently asked questions
How did Morgan County, Alabama vote in 2024?
In 2024, Morgan County, Alabama voted Republican by 52.4 points (R+52.4), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 53,543 votes cast, 12,392 went Democratic and 40,449 went Republican.
When did Morgan County, Alabama last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Morgan County, Alabama voted Democratic was 1980.
How many people live in Morgan County, Alabama?
Morgan County, Alabama has a population of 124,471 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Morgan County, Alabama?
Median household income in Morgan County, Alabama is $68,845 — below the national median of $80,734. The Alabama state median is $63,999.
What is the political history of Morgan County, Alabama?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Morgan County, Alabama from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 22 went Democratic and 14 went Republican.