- Lead
- 1,882
- Total
- 4,111
- vs nation
- D+47.3
- Turnout
- 53.3%
Bullock County, AL
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 53.3% of 7,773 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 2,300
- Total
- 4,613
- vs nation
- D+45.4
- Turnout
- 59.3%
- Lead
- 2,390
- Total
- 4,692
- vs nation
- D+48.8
- Turnout
- 57.9%
- Lead
- 2,810
- Total
- 5,322
- vs nation
- D+48.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,620
- Total
- 5,415
- vs nation
- D+41.1
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,716
- Total
- 4,717
- vs nation
- D+38.8
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,962
- Total
- 4,904
- vs nation
- D+39.5
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,924
- Total
- 4,384
- vs nation
- D+35.4
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+45.8MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 10,0582024 5-year
- Median household income
- $31,3102024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 21.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 69.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 6.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+99.7 in 1904MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+68.0 in 1880MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Noxubee County, MS · twin score 98.6
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 53.3%4,144 participants ÷ 7,773 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +25.3 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off versus state
- -0.2 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 28.0%–34.3%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 4,742 | 8,195 | 57.9% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 3,706 | 8,202 | 45.2% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 4,633 | 7,808 | 59.3% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 2,678 | 7,877 | 34.0% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 4,144 | 7,773 | 53.3% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
8 precincts · 4,111 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -COUNTY CAREER TECH CTR_COUNTY CAREER TECH CTR_ | 961 | 186 | 10 | 1,157 | 83.1% | 16.1% | D+67.0 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -RICHARD B STONE COMPLEXRICHARD B STONE COMPLEX | 597 | 77 | 2 | 676 | 88.3% | 11.4% | D+76.9 |
| Precinct -OLD MERRITT SCHOOLOLD MERRITT SCHOOL | 546 | 56 | 3 | 605 | 90.2% | 9.3% | D+81.0 |
| Precinct -ALMERIA CLUB HOUSEALMERIA CLUB HOUSE | 172 | 299 | 8 | 479 | 35.9% | 62.4% | R+26.5 |
| Precinct -WALTON CHAPEL METHODISTWALTON CHAPEL METHODIST | 296 | 74 | 0 | 370 | 80.0% | 20.0% | D+60.0 |
| Precinct -CORNERSTONE REC_ CTR_CORNERSTONE REC_ CTR_ | 232 | 73 | 0 | 305 | 76.1% | 23.9% | D+52.1 |
| Precinct -FITZPATRICK VFDFITZPATRICK VFD | 80 | 177 | 3 | 260 | 30.8% | 68.1% | R+37.3 |
| Precinct -PEROTE VOTING BLDG_PEROTE VOTING BLDG_ | 99 | 159 | 1 | 259 | 38.2% | 61.4% | R+23.2 |
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | +24.1% |
| 1880 | −68.0% |
| 1884 | +32.3% |
| 1888 | +21.3% |
| 1892 | +52.0% |
| 1896 | +40.5% |
| 1900 | +70.6% |
| 1904 | +99.7% |
| 1908 | +97.5% |
| 1912 | +98.7% |
| 1916 | +98.7% |
| 1920 | +99.4% |
| 1924 | +97.8% |
| 1928 | +47.5% |
| 1932 | +97.5% |
| 1936 | +99.1% |
| 1940 | +97.3% |
| 1944 | +95.6% |
| 1948 | −1.2% |
| 1952 | +35.0% |
| 1956 | +40.6% |
| 1960 | +29.4% |
| 1964 | −57.6% |
| 1968 | +40.8% |
| 1972 | +3.1% |
| 1976 | +40.3% |
| 1980 | +44.6% |
| 1984 | +34.7% |
| 1988 | +37.1% |
| 1992 | +41.7% |
| 1996 | +43.9% |
| 2000 | +40.0% |
| 2004 | +36.4% |
| 2008 | +48.4% |
| 2012 | +52.8% |
| 2016 | +50.9% |
| 2020 | +49.9% |
| 2024 | +45.8% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2018 | 7,472 |
| 2020 | 7,457 |
| 2022 | 7,151 |
| 2024 | 7,181 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−33 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −1,219 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $40,340 in average income, against $45,226 for residents who stayed — 11% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+6.9 on average — 39 points more Republican-leaning than Bullock County, AL itself (D+45.8).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Montgomery County, AL31D+30.6
- Pike County, AL23R+25.1
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Montgomery County, AL35
- Pike County, AL26
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −254 |
| 2012 | −81 |
| 2013 | −85 |
| 2014 | +96 |
| 2015 | −259 |
| 2016 | −31 |
| 2017 | −213 |
| 2018 | −28 |
| 2019 | −72 |
| 2021 | −64 |
| 2022 | +26 |
| 2023 | −220 |
| 2024 | −1 |
| 2025 | −33 |
Bullock County's electorate is roughly 75% Black, producing some of the largest Democratic margins in the state — the 2024 presidential result sat at D+45.8, a figure that has held relatively stable across recent cycles.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 99.7 points in 1904 and a Republican high of 68.0 points in 1880. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 4.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 45.8 points.
A population of 10,058, a 21% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $31,310 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Noxubee County and Allendale County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Bullock County, Alabama. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/01011/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.