Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the city’s overall result across 2004–2024, on current city boundaries.
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
HarrisDemocratic82.7%951TrumpRepublican16.3%188OtherAll other candidates1.0%11
D+66.3
Lead
763
Total
1,150
vs nation
D+67.8
BidenDemocratic85.8%910TrumpRepublican13.9%147OtherAll other candidates0.4%4
D+71.9
Lead
763
Total
1,061
vs nation
D+67.5
ClintonDemocratic84.8%969TrumpRepublican14.5%166OtherAll other candidates0.7%8
D+70.3
Lead
803
Total
1,143
vs nation
D+68.2
ObamaDemocratic83.8%1,166RomneyRepublican16.0%223OtherAll other candidates0.2%3
D+67.7
Lead
943
Total
1,392
vs nation
D+63.9
ObamaDemocratic81.4%1,187McCainRepublican17.8%259OtherAll other candidates0.8%12
D+63.6
Lead
928
Total
1,458
vs nation
D+56.4
KerryDemocratic77.6%954BushRepublican22.4%276OtherAll other candidates0.0%0
D+55.1
Lead
678
Total
1,230
vs nation
D+57.6
Key facts
2024 presidential margin
D+66.3MIT Election Lab
Population
3,2482024 5-year
Population density
492 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
Land area
6.6 sq miTIGER/Line
Median household income
$26,2502024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
9.6%2024 5-year
Black
72.7%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
14.6%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+71.9 in 2020MIT Election Lab
Participation
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
2004–20248 cycles · 5 audited
2024 turnout
55.2%1,160 participants ÷ 2,100 CVAP
2020→2022 drop-off
+16.0 ptsPersistently low turnout
Drop-off vs state
-9.5 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Mechanical 2026
39.2%–43.6%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Participation by cycle
Presidential Midterm Derived, pre-2016
0%20%40%60%
33.8%
29.7%
20042008201220162018202020222024
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
Cycle
Participants
CVAP
Turnout
Series
Quality
1,160
2,100 ± 245
55.2%
Audited
E/D
2022Mid
616
2,074 ± 284
29.7%
Audited
E/D
1,065
2,330 ± 311
45.7%
Audited
E/D
2018Mid
907
2,683 ± 249
33.8%
Audited
E/A
1,149
2,791 ± 320
41.2%
Audited
E/D
1,392
2,760
50.4%
Derived
—
1,458
3,522
41.4%
Derived
—
1,230
4,284 extrapolated
28.7%
Derived
—
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
2024: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 323/229.
2022: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 322/184.
2020: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 321/4.
2018: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 320/139.
2016: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 319/133.
2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
presidential history
Party record book
Union Springs, AL · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
2004–2024 · 6 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
85.8%
910 votes · D+71.9
Runner-up · Hillary Clinton, 2016 · 84.8%
Republican
George W. Bush2004
22.4%
276 votes · D+55.1
Runner-up · John McCain, 2008 · 17.8%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
1,187votes
81.4% of the vote · D+63.6
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · 1,166 votes
Republican
George W. Bush2004
276votes
22.4% of the vote · D+55.1
Runner-up · John McCain, 2008 · 259 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Hillary Clinton2016
+68.2pts D vs U.S.
Place D+70.3 · U.S. D+2.1
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · +67.8 pts
Republican
John McCain2008
−56.4pts R vs U.S.
Place D+63.6 · U.S. D+7.3
Runner-up · George W. Bush, 2004 · −57.6 pts
U.S. House elections · 2 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Union Springs · which candidate this place backed in each party’s presidential nominating contest, cycle by cycle. A primary is a contest inside one party, so it has no Democratic–Republican margin and is not part of the general-election record above.
Akashic reports votes cast, not delegates awarded. The two can disagree: Clinton led the 2008 national primary popular vote by less than half a point and did not win the nomination.
Primary returns are published at county grain. The figures below are Bullock County, Alabama, the county containing Union Springs — Union Springs’s own primary vote sits inside those totals and is not separately reported.
Presidential nominating contests in Union Springs, by party and cycle.
○no contest record — Akashic holds no result for that party and cycle here. It is not a claim that no contest was held. Telling apart a contest that was cancelled, one that went uncontested, and one simply not yet ingested needs a nominating-contest calendar, which is a separate ingest from results and does not exist yet.
Republican presidential primaries are not yet ingested — the Republican series runs from 1856 and is in scope. The row is kept so its absence is visible: a Democratic-only panel would otherwise read as though no one else held a contest.
Akashic carries 10 states for 2012 and 3 states for 2024. Cycles in which an incumbent president seeks renomination are thin by nature — few states run a contested primary — so a sparse column is politics, not a hole in the record.
County returns carry a leader and a lead over the runner-up, and nothing more. The full candidate field with vote shares is published at state grain — follow a cycle above to the state contest for it.
Union Springs anchors one of Alabama's poorest and most heavily African American counties, where turnout patterns and local electoral outcomes diverge sharply from statewide trends.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 71.9 points in 2020. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 5.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 66.3 points.
A population of 3,248, a 10% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $26,250 describe the city.
In 2024, Union Springs, Alabama voted Democratic by 66.3 points (D+66.3), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 1,150 votes cast, 951 went Democratic and 188 went Republican.
How many people live in Union Springs, Alabama?
Union Springs, Alabama has a population of 3,248 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Union Springs, Alabama?
Median household income in Union Springs, Alabama is $26,250 — below the national median of $80,734. The Alabama state median is $63,999.
What is the political history of Union Springs, Alabama?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Union Springs, Alabama from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 6 went Democratic and 0 went Republican.
