HarrisDemocratic38.3%3,251TrumpRepublican61.0%5,172KennedyIndependent0.4%31
R+22.7- Lead
- 1,921
- Total
- 8,480
- vs nation
- R+21.2
- Turnout
- 59.5%
Akashiccounty
Butler County, AL
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 59.5% of 14,331 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic41.8%3,965TrumpRepublican57.5%5,458JorgensenLibertarian0.6%59
R+15.7- Lead
- 1,493
- Total
- 9,488
- vs nation
- R+20.2
- Turnout
- 63.2%
ClintonDemocratic42.9%3,726TrumpRepublican56.4%4,901JohnsonLibertarian0.7%65
R+13.5- Lead
- 1,175
- Total
- 8,692
- vs nation
- R+15.6
- Turnout
- 56.9%
ObamaDemocratic46.1%4,374RomneyRepublican53.6%5,087OtherAll other candidates0.4%35
R+7.5- Lead
- 713
- Total
- 9,496
- vs nation
- R+11.4
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic43.1%4,188McCainRepublican56.5%5,485OtherAll other candidates0.4%36
R+13.4- Lead
- 1,297
- Total
- 9,709
- vs nation
- R+20.6
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic40.6%3,413BushRepublican59.2%4,979OtherAll other candidates0.3%24
R+18.6- Lead
- 1,566
- Total
- 8,416
- vs nation
- R+16.1
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic46.2%3,606BushRepublican52.9%4,127NaderGreen0.5%36
R+6.7- Lead
- 521
- Total
- 7,803
- vs nation
- R+7.2
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic49.3%3,828DoleRepublican43.1%3,352PerotReform6.9%538
D+6.1- Lead
- 476
- Total
- 7,770
- vs nation
- R+2.4
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+22.7MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 18,6302024 5-year
- Median household income
- $44,7552024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 50.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 44.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+96.1 in 1940MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+80.4 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Winston County, MS · twin score 96.6
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 59.5%8,530 participants ÷ 14,331 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +22.2 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off versus state
- -3.4 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 37.3%–46.8%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 8,774 | 15,427 | 56.9% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 8,240 | 15,360 | 53.6% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 9,527 | 15,080 | 63.2% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 5,990 | 14,609 | 41.0% | C/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 8,530 | 14,331 | 59.5% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
21 precincts · 8,478 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -AMERICAN LEGION BLDGAMERICAN LEGION BLDG | 628 | 611 | 8 | 1,247 | 50.4% | 49.0% | D+1.4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -LBW CONFERENCE CTR_LBW CONFERENCE CTR_ | 434 | 651 | 14 | 1,099 | 39.5% | 59.2% | R+19.7 |
| Precinct -DUNBAR COMM_ CTR_DUNBAR COMM_ CTR_ | 684 | 190 | 6 | 880 | 77.7% | 21.6% | D+56.1 |
| Precinct -SR_ MULTIPURPOSE CTR_SR_ MULTIPURPOSE CTR_ | 489 | 300 | 3 | 792 | 61.7% | 37.9% | D+23.9 |
| Precinct -MCKENZIE CITY HALLMCKENZIE CITY HALL | 117 | 400 | 5 | 522 | 22.4% | 76.6% | R+54.2 |
| Precinct -CENTRAL VFDCENTRAL VFD | 186 | 276 | 2 | 464 | 40.1% | 59.5% | R+19.4 |
| Precinct -PROVIDENCE VTG HOUSEPROVIDENCE VTG HOUSE | 97 | 323 | 4 | 424 | 22.9% | 76.2% | R+53.3 |
| Precinct -NEW MCLAINS VTG HOUSENEW MCLAINS VTG HOUSE | 72 | 342 | 1 | 415 | 17.3% | 82.4% | R+65.1 |
| Precinct -HARRISON'S VTG HOUSEHARRISON'S VTG HOUSE | 30 | 346 | 2 | 378 | 7.9% | 91.5% | R+83.6 |
| Precinct -ROCKY CREEK VTG HOUSEROCKY CREEK VTG HOUSE | 38 | 257 | 2 | 297 | 12.8% | 86.5% | R+73.7 |
| Precinct -FOREST HOME VTG HOUSEFOREST HOME VTG HOUSE | 49 | 214 | 1 | 264 | 18.6% | 81.1% | R+62.5 |
| Precinct -MIDWAY & DAMASCUS VFDMIDWAY & DAMASCUS VFD | 60 | 200 | 1 | 261 | 23.0% | 76.6% | R+53.6 |
| Precinct -SEARCY VFDSEARCY VFD | 71 | 139 | 1 | 211 | 33.6% | 65.9% | R+32.2 |
| Precinct -GARLAND VFDGARLAND VFD | 42 | 139 | 0 | 181 | 23.2% | 76.8% | R+53.6 |
| Precinct -STEINER'S STORESTEINER'S STORE | 18 | 152 | 0 | 170 | 10.6% | 89.4% | R+78.8 |
| Precinct -MANNINGHAM VTG HOUSEMANNINGHAM VTG HOUSE | 97 | 69 | 2 | 168 | 57.7% | 41.1% | D+16.7 |
| Precinct -CHAPMAN POST OFFICECHAPMAN POST OFFICE | 30 | 121 | 1 | 152 | 19.7% | 79.6% | R+59.9 |
| Precinct -INDUSTRY OLD SCH HOUSEINDUSTRY OLD SCH HOUSE | 7 | 140 | 0 | 147 | 4.8% | 95.2% | R+90.5 |
| Precinct -BOLLING VTG HOUSEBOLLING VTG HOUSE | 34 | 106 | 1 | 141 | 24.1% | 75.2% | R+51.1 |
| Precinct -FRIENDSHIP OLD SCH HOUSEFRIENDSHIP OLD SCH HOUSE | 7 | 128 | 1 | 136 | 5.1% | 94.1% | R+89.0 |
| Precinct -CENTER HILL VTG HOUSECENTER HILL VTG HOUSE | 61 | 68 | 0 | 129 | 47.3% | 52.7% | R+5.4 |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | +32.1% |
| 1880 | +40.3% |
| 1884 | +22.7% |
| 1888 | +17.0% |
| 1892 | +32.3% |
| 1896 | +34.8% |
| 1900 | −20.8% |
| 1904 | +75.6% |
| 1908 | +65.3% |
| 1912 | +75.1% |
| 1916 | +86.8% |
| 1920 | +77.9% |
| 1924 | +75.8% |
| 1928 | +27.7% |
| 1932 | +93.3% |
| 1936 | +92.9% |
| 1940 | +96.1% |
| 1944 | +91.8% |
| 1948 | −6.5% |
| 1952 | +38.4% |
| 1956 | +17.9% |
| 1960 | +39.8% |
| 1964 | −80.4% |
| 1968 | +10.1% |
| 1972 | −53.6% |
| 1976 | +18.9% |
| 1980 | +4.1% |
| 1984 | −14.9% |
| 1988 | −6.1% |
| 1992 | +6.2% |
| 1996 | +6.1% |
| 2000 | −6.7% |
| 2004 | −18.6% |
| 2008 | −13.4% |
| 2012 | −7.5% |
| 2016 | −13.5% |
| 2020 | −15.7% |
| 2024 | −22.7% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 2 House · 36 Senate · 4 Senate special · 12 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2018 | 14,079 |
| 2020 | 14,646 |
| 2022 | 14,317 |
| 2024 | 14,526 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−82 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −1,854 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $37,662 in average income, against $55,159 for residents who stayed — 32% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+9.8 on average — 32 points more Democratic-leaning than Butler County, AL itself (R+22.7).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Montgomery County, AL35D+30.6
- Lowndes County, AL25D+37.3
- Crenshaw County, AL22R+54.6
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Montgomery County, AL49
- Covington County, AL27
- Crenshaw County, AL25
- Lowndes County, AL22
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −77 |
| 2012 | −170 |
| 2013 | −304 |
| 2014 | −11 |
| 2015 | −153 |
| 2016 | −154 |
| 2017 | −121 |
| 2018 | −216 |
| 2019 | −141 |
| 2021 | −110 |
| 2022 | −84 |
| 2023 | −201 |
| 2024 | −30 |
| 2025 | −82 |
Butler County sits in Alabama's Black Belt region, where a majority-Black population and persistent rural poverty produce distinctive voting coalitions. The 2024 presidential margin of R+22.6 reflects ongoing realignment in this historically contested corridor.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 96.1 points in 1940 and a Republican high of 80.4 points in 1964. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 6.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 22.7 points.
A population of 18,630, a 51% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $44,755 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Winston County and Pickens County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Winston County
Mississippi
96.6twin score
% Black% Evangelical% White
Pickens County
Alabama
96.4twin score
% Black% Evangelicalmedian income
Leake County
Mississippi
95.5twin score
% Black% Evangelical% White
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Butler County, Alabama. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/01013/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Embed this page
A live widget for your site — no API key, attribution built in, CC BY 4.0. All widgets & sizes →
Cities & towns in Butler County
Alabama at the ballot boxAll elections →
Frequently asked questions
How did Butler County, Alabama vote in 2024?
In 2024, Butler County, Alabama voted Republican by 22.7 points (R+22.7), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 8,480 votes cast, 3,251 went Democratic and 5,172 went Republican.
When did Butler County, Alabama last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Butler County, Alabama voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Butler County, Alabama?
Butler County, Alabama has a population of 18,630 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Butler County, Alabama?
Median household income in Butler County, Alabama is $44,755 — below the national median of $80,734. The Alabama state median is $63,999.
What is the political history of Butler County, Alabama?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Butler County, Alabama from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 23 went Democratic and 12 went Republican.