HarrisDemocratic40.5%3,392TrumpRepublican58.7%4,922KennedyIndependent0.4%31
R+18.2- Lead
- 1,530
- Total
- 8,384
- vs nation
- R+16.8
- Turnout
- 61.5%
Akashiccounty
Winston County, MS
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 61.5% of 13,633 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic43.7%4,040TrumpRepublican55.3%5,112JorgensenLibertarian0.4%41
R+11.6- Lead
- 1,072
- Total
- 9,236
- vs nation
- R+16.1
- Turnout
- 66.1%
ClintonDemocratic43.4%3,850TrumpRepublican55.3%4,910JohnsonLibertarian0.6%55
R+11.9- Lead
- 1,060
- Total
- 8,881
- vs nation
- R+14.0
- Turnout
- 63.2%
ObamaDemocratic46.9%4,607RomneyRepublican52.6%5,168JohnsonLibertarian0.5%48
R+5.7- Lead
- 561
- Total
- 9,829
- vs nation
- R+9.6
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic45.5%4,653McCainRepublican53.8%5,497OtherAll other candidates0.7%71
R+8.3- Lead
- 844
- Total
- 10,221
- vs nation
- R+15.5
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic42.3%3,978BushRepublican57.2%5,386OtherAll other candidates0.5%51
R+15.0- Lead
- 1,408
- Total
- 9,415
- vs nation
- R+12.5
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic43.9%3,672BushRepublican55.5%4,645NaderGreen0.2%20
R+11.6- Lead
- 973
- Total
- 8,368
- vs nation
- R+12.1
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic46.9%3,488DoleRepublican47.0%3,498PerotReform5.8%434
R+0.1- Lead
- 10
- Total
- 7,438
- vs nation
- R+8.7
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+18.2MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 17,5362024 5-year
- Median household income
- $53,0312024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 49.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 47.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 0.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+98.4 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+88.6 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Clarke County, AL · twin score 97.3
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 61.5%8,384 participants ÷ 13,633 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +27.6 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off versus state
- -0.3 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 33.9%–41.3%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 8,881 | 14,058 | 63.2% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 7,058 | 14,026 | 50.3% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 9,244 | 13,991 | 66.1% | C/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 5,323 | 13,826 | 38.5% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 8,384 | 13,633 | 61.5% | C/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 152/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 156/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
25 precincts · 8,384 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -FairgroundFairground | 419 | 956 | 12 | 1,387 | 30.2% | 68.9% | R+38.7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -Mill CreekMill Creek | 342 | 713 | 11 | 1,066 | 32.1% | 66.9% | R+34.8 |
| Precinct -Nanih WaiyaNanih Waiya | 151 | 903 | 7 | 1,061 | 14.2% | 85.1% | R+70.9 |
| Precinct -County AgentCounty Agent | 721 | 168 | 11 | 900 | 80.1% | 18.7% | D+61.4 |
| Precinct -NoxapaterNoxapater | 200 | 522 | 1 | 723 | 27.7% | 72.2% | R+44.5 |
| Precinct -American LegionAmerican Legion | 557 | 139 | 8 | 704 | 79.1% | 19.7% | D+59.4 |
| Precinct -Mars HillMars Hill | 200 | 356 | 4 | 560 | 35.7% | 63.6% | R+27.9 |
| Precinct -East WinstonEast Winston | 143 | 395 | 5 | 543 | 26.3% | 72.7% | R+46.4 |
| Precinct -Zion RidgeZion Ridge | 326 | 57 | 2 | 385 | 84.7% | 14.8% | D+69.9 |
| Precinct -New National GuardNew National Guard | 95 | 265 | 2 | 362 | 26.2% | 73.2% | R+47.0 |
| Precinct -ShilohShiloh | 92 | 261 | 3 | 356 | 25.8% | 73.3% | R+47.5 |
| Precinct -Lovorn TractorLovorn Tractor | 146 | 187 | 4 | 337 | 43.3% | 55.5% | R+12.2 |
| American Legion Voting District28_28159301 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| County Agent Voting District28_28159402 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| East Winston Voting District28_28159201 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Fairground Voting District28_28159102 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lovorn Tractor Voting District28_28159204 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Mars Hill Voting District28_28159504 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Mill Creek Voting District28_28159303 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Nanih Waiya Voting District28_28159203 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| New National Guard Armory Voting District28_28159104 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Noxapater Voting District28_28159502 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Shilioh Voting District28_28159405 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Wathall Voting District28_28159101 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Zion Ridge Voting District28_28159401 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +59.1% |
| 1896 | +90.8% |
| 1900 | +81.7% |
| 1904 | +90.9% |
| 1908 | +86.9% |
| 1912 | +89.3% |
| 1916 | +90.1% |
| 1920 | +77.1% |
| 1924 | +92.4% |
| 1928 | +88.7% |
| 1932 | +98.4% |
| 1936 | +98.2% |
| 1940 | +97.4% |
| 1944 | +94.6% |
| 1948 | +9.8% |
| 1952 | +53.7% |
| 1956 | +65.5% |
| 1960 | +21.9% |
| 1964 | −88.6% |
| 1968 | +6.7% |
| 1972 | −58.0% |
| 1976 | +3.8% |
| 1980 | +4.9% |
| 1984 | −18.9% |
| 1988 | −15.9% |
| 1992 | −4.0% |
| 1996 | −0.1% |
| 2000 | −11.6% |
| 2004 | −15.0% |
| 2008 | −8.3% |
| 2012 | −5.7% |
| 2016 | −11.9% |
| 2020 | −11.6% |
| 2024 | −18.2% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 3 House · 37 Senate · 4 Senate special · 9 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 13,419 |
| 2018 | 13,238 |
| 2020 | 12,790 |
| 2022 | 12,384 |
| 2024 | 12,530 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+52 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −864 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $46,657 in average income, against $55,465 for residents who stayed — 16% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+26.0 on average — 7.8 points more Republican-leaning than Winston County, MS itself (R+18.2).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Oktibbeha County, MS51R+0.3
- Neshoba County, MS34R+50.9
- Choctaw County, MS20R+49.3
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Oktibbeha County, MS45
- Neshoba County, MS32
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −144 |
| 2012 | −40 |
| 2013 | −170 |
| 2014 | −94 |
| 2015 | −148 |
| 2016 | −68 |
| 2017 | −82 |
| 2018 | −26 |
| 2019 | −150 |
| 2021 | +2 |
| 2022 | +28 |
| 2023 | −20 |
| 2024 | −4 |
| 2025 | +52 |
Winston County sits in east-central Mississippi's piney-woods belt, where a declining manufacturing base and a population that has shrunk roughly 15% since 2000 have reshaped the electorate even as presidential margins continue to widen on the Republican side.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 98.4 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 88.6 points in 1964. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 6.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 18.2 points.
A population of 17,536, a 49% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $53,031 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Clarke County and Grenada County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Clarke County
Alabama
97.3twin score
% Black% Evangelical% White
Grenada County
Mississippi
97.0twin score
% Black% Evangelical% White
Butler County
Alabama
96.6twin score
% Black% Evangelical% White
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Winston County, Mississippi. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/28159/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Winston County
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Frequently asked questions
How did Winston County, Mississippi vote in 2024?
In 2024, Winston County, Mississippi voted Republican by 18.2 points (R+18.2), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 8,384 votes cast, 3,392 went Democratic and 4,922 went Republican.
When did Winston County, Mississippi last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Winston County, Mississippi voted Democratic was 1980.
How many people live in Winston County, Mississippi?
Winston County, Mississippi has a population of 17,536 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Winston County, Mississippi?
Median household income in Winston County, Mississippi is $53,031 — below the national median of $80,734. The Mississippi state median is $56,447.
What is the political history of Winston County, Mississippi?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Winston County, Mississippi from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 18 went Democratic and 13 went Republican.