akashic
1876–2024
Congressional District 3·Mississippi

Mississippi 3rd Congressional District voted Democratic for a century; it now votes Republican by 29 points.

One of the South's most reliably Republican federal districts

18762024·38 elections
MS
Latest
R+29
in 2024
Archetype
Old Confederacy
since the recent cycles
Population
651,613
2024 ACS

Mississippi 3rd Congressional District, Mississippi: Old Confederacy district. In 2024, voted R+29%. Democratic peak: D+96 in 1936.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+29MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
Old ConfederacyAkashic typology
Population
651,6132024 5-year
Median household income
$58,2222024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
58.3%2024 5-year
Black
34.3%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
2.8%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+96 in 1936MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+86 in 1964MIT Election Lab
R
GUEST, MichaelCongress 119 · Republican

Predecessors: HARPER, Gregg (2017–2019), HARPER, Gregg (2015–2017), HARPER, Gregg (2013–2015), HARPER, Gregg (2011–2013)

Source · Voteview / Lewis, Poole, Rosenthal et al. (CC-BY).

23 counties · 4 D · 19 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−29.4%
98,149181,297282,374
R
−24.1%
113,148186,203303,145
R
−26.2%
101,391175,375282,088
R
−21.0%
116,692179,496298,765
R
−22.7%
115,569183,942301,749
R
−31.3%
90,003172,773264,717
R
−28.9%
79,593145,334227,252
R
−16.1%
77,501109,516199,363
R
−19.2%
80,259123,142222,806
R
−28.4%
74,904134,943211,057
R
−31.9%
71,211138,667211,430
R
−7.7%
91,699107,390203,540
R
−5.9%
79,69989,996173,254
R
−63.7%
25,458119,317147,316
O
+8.9%
27,65414,535146,640
R
−85.6%
7,33694,481101,818
O
+13.4%
23,49514,02270,546
D
+44.6%
38,64411,86160,084
D
+29.8%
45,44224,59570,037
O
+5.2%
3,40382549,293
D
+91.0%
44,9252,12847,053
D
+93.8%
43,1151,35644,530
D
+96.1%
45,04785945,966
D
+93.9%
36,7271,08337,941
D
+59.0%
31,6778,17039,847
D
+81.7%
26,0981,95329,560
D
+71.3%
18,9742,94722,484
D
+89.9%
22,69097224,168
D
+88.1%
15,51835317,222
No data
No data
D
+78.3%
13,1911,42415,022
D
+85.9%
17,6991,18519,214
D
+76.5%
10,42825813,297
No data
No data
No data
No data

U.S. Senate

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
YearWonD %R %Total
2024R37.2%62.8%1,215,401
2020R44.1%54.1%1,311,354
2018R39.5%58.5%936,215
2014R37.9%59.9%631,858
2012R40.6%57.2%1,241,568
2008R38.6%61.4%1,247,026
2006R34.9%63.6%610,921
2002R0.0%84.6%630,495
2000R31.6%65.9%994,144
1996R27.4%71.0%878,662
1994R31.2%68.8%608,085
1990R0.0%100.0%274,244
1988R46.1%53.9%946,719
1984R39.1%60.9%952,240
1982D64.2%35.8%645,026
1978R31.8%45.3%590,236
1976D100.0%0.0%554,433

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
11.1%
English
10.5%
Irish
7.8%
German
4.4%
Scottish
1.6%
Italian
1.2%
French
1.2%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
95.8%
speak English only
Spanish2.3%
Other languages0.8%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.6%
Other Indo-European0.5%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Baptist
40.7%
Other Christian
7.7%
Methodist
7.2%
Pentecostal & Holiness
2.6%
Catholic & Orthodox
1.7%
Mainline Protestant
1.4%
Non-Christian
0.3%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 38.5% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Mississippi's 3rd has returned double-digit Republican presidential margins for decades, anchored by rural communities across the state's central and southern corridors where GOP alignment at the federal level is nearly uniform.

The shift began with civil rights. The realignment unfolded over the late twentieth century. The Republican margin reached its widest at eighty-six points in 1964. The 2024 margin was twenty-nine points.

The political shift has tracked, in Mississippi 3rd Congressional District, the political shift of the South more broadly. A 58% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $58,222, and a 19% poverty rate describe the demographic context.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Congressional District 3, Mississippi. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/2803/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Congressional District 3, Mississippi vote in 2024?
In 2024, Congressional District 3, Mississippi voted Republican by 29.4 points (R+29), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 282,374 votes cast, 98,149 went Democratic and 181,297 went Republican.
What is Congressional District 3, Mississippi's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Congressional District 3, Mississippi as a "Old Confederacy" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 14 times, Republican 15 times, and other 3 times.
When did Congressional District 3, Mississippi last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Congressional District 3, Mississippi voted Democratic was 1956.
How many people live in Congressional District 3, Mississippi?
Congressional District 3, Mississippi has a population of 651,613 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Congressional District 3, Mississippi?
Median household income in Congressional District 3, Mississippi is $58,222 — below the national median of $80,734. The Mississippi state median is $56,447.
What is the political history of Congressional District 3, Mississippi?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Congressional District 3, Mississippi from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 14 went Democratic and 15 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Old Confederacy" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.