HarrisDemocratic31.4%1,899TrumpRepublican67.9%4,113KennedyIndependent0.3%19
R+36.6- Lead
- 2,214
- Total
- 6,053
- vs nation
- R+35.1
- Turnout
- 67.9%
Akashiccounty
Lawrence County, MS
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 67.9% of 8,912 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic34.2%2,260TrumpRepublican64.8%4,285JorgensenLibertarian0.3%19
R+30.6- Lead
- 2,025
- Total
- 6,613
- vs nation
- R+35.1
- Turnout
- 70.4%
ClintonDemocratic34.5%2,195TrumpRepublican64.3%4,091JohnsonLibertarian0.6%40
R+29.8- Lead
- 1,896
- Total
- 6,364
- vs nation
- R+31.9
- Turnout
- 66.9%
ObamaDemocratic36.8%2,468RomneyRepublican62.6%4,192JohnsonLibertarian0.4%30
R+25.7- Lead
- 1,724
- Total
- 6,698
- vs nation
- R+29.6
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic36.9%2,587McCainRepublican62.3%4,369OtherAll other candidates0.8%53
R+25.4- Lead
- 1,782
- Total
- 7,009
- vs nation
- R+32.7
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic36.6%2,308BushRepublican62.7%3,956OtherAll other candidates0.7%42
R+26.1- Lead
- 1,648
- Total
- 6,306
- vs nation
- R+23.7
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic43.1%2,841BushRepublican55.8%3,674NaderGreen0.5%32
R+12.6- Lead
- 833
- Total
- 6,587
- vs nation
- R+13.2
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic46.2%2,481DoleRepublican44.5%2,392PerotReform8.8%471
D+1.7- Lead
- 89
- Total
- 5,371
- vs nation
- R+6.9
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+36.6MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 11,7862024 5-year
- Median household income
- $43,5312024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 63.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 31.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+94.8 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+81.9 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Turner County, GA · twin score 92.8
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 67.9%6,053 participants ÷ 8,912 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +26.6 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off versus state
- -1.3 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 41.3%–48.7%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 6,364 | 9,508 | 66.9% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 5,237 | 9,504 | 55.1% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 6,664 | 9,468 | 70.4% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 3,885 | 8,871 | 43.8% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 6,053 | 8,912 | 67.9% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
36 precincts · 6,053 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -Courthouse A-ZCourthouse A-Z | 177 | 955 | 7 | 1,139 | 15.5% | 83.8% | R+68.3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -Coopers Creek (A-Z)Coopers Creek (A-Z) | 65 | 523 | 5 | 593 | 11.0% | 88.2% | R+77.2 |
| Precinct -New HebronNew Hebron | 118 | 457 | 0 | 575 | 20.5% | 79.5% | R+59.0 |
| Precinct -SontagSontag | 170 | 340 | 3 | 513 | 33.1% | 66.3% | R+33.1 |
| Precinct -JayessJayess | 25 | 463 | 4 | 492 | 5.1% | 94.1% | R+89.0 |
| Precinct -ArmArm | 223 | 257 | 2 | 482 | 46.3% | 53.3% | R+7.1 |
| Precinct -West Monticello (A-Z)West Monticello (A-Z) | 168 | 277 | 2 | 447 | 37.6% | 62.0% | R+24.4 |
| Precinct -Silver CreekSilver Creek | 225 | 157 | 5 | 387 | 58.1% | 40.6% | D+17.6 |
| Precinct -Stringer/N Pleasant HillStringer/N Pleasant Hill | 217 | 154 | 3 | 374 | 58.0% | 41.2% | D+16.8 |
| Precinct -West District 5West District 5 | 204 | 86 | 4 | 294 | 69.4% | 29.3% | D+40.1 |
| Precinct -OmaOma | 221 | 53 | 0 | 274 | 80.7% | 19.3% | D+61.3 |
| Precinct -S District 4S District 4 | 73 | 186 | 6 | 265 | 27.5% | 70.2% | R+42.6 |
| Precinct -TopekaTopeka | 13 | 205 | 0 | 218 | 6.0% | 94.0% | R+88.1 |
| Center Voting District28_280772 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Cooper's Creek Voting District28_280773 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Courthouse Voting District28_280774 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| East Arm Voting District28_280771 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Grange Voting District28_280775 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Hooker Voting District28_280776 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Jayess Voting District28_280777 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Monticello Voting District28_280778 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| National Guard Armory Voting District28_280779 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| New Hebron Voting District28_2807710 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Nola Voting District28_2807711 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| North Silver Creek Voting District28_2807712 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Oakvale Voting District28_2807713 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Oma Voting District28_2807714 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Peyton Town Voting District28_2807715 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Sontag Voting District28_2807716 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| South Silver Creek Voting District28_2807717 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Stringer Voting District28_2807718 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Tilton Voting District28_2807719 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Topeka Voting District28_2807724 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Wanilla Voting District28_2807721 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| West Arm Voting District28_2807722 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| West Monticello Voting District28_2807723 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +60.3% |
| 1896 | +62.5% |
| 1900 | +61.2% |
| 1904 | +63.4% |
| 1908 | +79.4% |
| 1912 | +87.1% |
| 1916 | +94.8% |
| 1920 | +59.9% |
| 1924 | +84.9% |
| 1928 | +56.7% |
| 1932 | +93.5% |
| 1936 | +94.8% |
| 1940 | +94.1% |
| 1944 | +94.3% |
| 1948 | +4.0% |
| 1952 | +33.5% |
| 1956 | +49.3% |
| 1960 | +12.7% |
| 1964 | −81.9% |
| 1968 | +10.6% |
| 1972 | −64.6% |
| 1976 | +3.0% |
| 1980 | −1.6% |
| 1984 | −27.1% |
| 1988 | −18.7% |
| 1992 | −1.8% |
| 1996 | +1.7% |
| 2000 | −12.6% |
| 2004 | −26.1% |
| 2008 | −25.4% |
| 2012 | −25.7% |
| 2016 | −29.8% |
| 2020 | −30.6% |
| 2024 | −36.6% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 3 House · 37 Senate · 4 Senate special · 9 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 9,526 |
| 2018 | 9,002 |
| 2020 | 9,081 |
| 2022 | 8,701 |
| 2024 | 8,940 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+104 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −368 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $42,483 in average income, against $55,935 for residents who stayed — 24% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+45.4 on average — 8.8 points more Republican-leaning than Lawrence County, MS itself (R+36.6).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Lincoln County, MS37R+45.4
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Lincoln County, MS47
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −215 |
| 2012 | −67 |
| 2013 | −62 |
| 2014 | −15 |
| 2015 | +59 |
| 2016 | +104 |
| 2017 | −178 |
| 2018 | −183 |
| 2019 | +145 |
| 2021 | −115 |
| 2022 | +31 |
| 2023 | +10 |
| 2024 | +14 |
| 2025 | +104 |
Lawrence County's population of roughly 13,000 is heavily rural and has trended steadily toward lopsided Republican presidential margins, hitting R+36.6 in 2024—reflecting a broader realignment across small, majority-white counties in the state's southern tier.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 94.8 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 81.9 points in 1964. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 6.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 36.6 points.
A population of 11,786, a 64% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $43,531 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Turner County and Richland Parish.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Turner County
Georgia
92.8twin score
% Evangelical% Blackmedian income
Richland Parish
Louisiana
92.7twin score
% Black% Evangelical% Catholic
Wayne County
Mississippi
92.1twin score
% Evangelical% Blackmedian income≠ Irish ancestry
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Lawrence County, Mississippi. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/28077/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Frequently asked questions
How did Lawrence County, Mississippi vote in 2024?
In 2024, Lawrence County, Mississippi voted Republican by 36.6 points (R+36.6), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 6,053 votes cast, 1,899 went Democratic and 4,113 went Republican.
When did Lawrence County, Mississippi last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Lawrence County, Mississippi voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Lawrence County, Mississippi?
Lawrence County, Mississippi has a population of 11,786 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Lawrence County, Mississippi?
Median household income in Lawrence County, Mississippi is $43,531 — below the national median of $80,734. The Mississippi state median is $56,447.
What is the political history of Lawrence County, Mississippi?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Lawrence County, Mississippi from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 18 went Democratic and 13 went Republican.