HarrisDemocratic61.5%6,419TrumpRepublican37.8%3,943KennedyIndependent0.3%30
D+23.7- Lead
- 2,476
- Total
- 10,435
- vs nation
- D+25.2
- Turnout
- 47.4%
Akashiccounty
Bolivar County, MS
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 47.4% of 22,026 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic64.8%8,904TrumpRepublican34.0%4,671WestIndependent0.5%62
D+30.8- Lead
- 4,233
- Total
- 13,744
- vs nation
- D+26.3
- Turnout
- 59.4%
ClintonDemocratic65.4%9,046TrumpRepublican33.2%4,590JohnsonLibertarian0.7%100
D+32.2- Lead
- 4,456
- Total
- 13,824
- vs nation
- D+30.1
- Turnout
- 55.5%
ObamaDemocratic68.6%10,582RomneyRepublican30.5%4,701JohnsonLibertarian0.7%108
D+38.1- Lead
- 5,881
- Total
- 15,428
- vs nation
- D+34.3
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic67.2%10,334McCainRepublican31.8%4,891OtherAll other candidates1.0%156
D+35.4- Lead
- 5,443
- Total
- 15,381
- vs nation
- D+28.1
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic62.9%9,631BushRepublican36.2%5,535OtherAll other candidates0.9%141
D+26.8- Lead
- 4,096
- Total
- 15,307
- vs nation
- D+29.2
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic62.3%8,436BushRepublican35.8%4,847NaderGreen0.5%64
D+26.5- Lead
- 3,589
- Total
- 13,538
- vs nation
- D+26.0
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic65.8%8,670DoleRepublican30.6%4,027PerotReform2.4%320
D+35.2- Lead
- 4,643
- Total
- 13,176
- vs nation
- D+26.7
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+23.7MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 29,5342024 5-year
- Median household income
- $39,5852024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 31.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 63.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+91.6 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+73.0 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Coahoma County, MS · twin score 98.6
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 47.4%10,435 participants ÷ 22,026 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +25.8 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off versus state
- -2.1 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 21.6%–29.8%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 13,824 | 24,930 | 55.5% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 11,130 | 24,134 | 46.1% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 13,755 | 23,160 | 59.4% | C/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 7,665 | 22,835 | 33.6% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 10,435 | 22,026 | 47.4% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 152/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
58 precincts · 10,435 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -West ClevelandWest Cleveland | 158 | 765 | 7 | 930 | 17.0% | 82.3% | R+65.3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -North West ClevelandNorth West Cleveland | 127 | 677 | 6 | 810 | 15.7% | 83.6% | R+67.9 |
| Precinct -Mound BayouMound Bayou | 623 | 80 | 2 | 705 | 88.4% | 11.3% | D+77.0 |
| Precinct -BoyleBoyle | 214 | 486 | 4 | 704 | 30.4% | 69.0% | R+38.6 |
| Precinct -ShawShaw | 588 | 107 | 2 | 697 | 84.4% | 15.4% | D+69.0 |
| Precinct -West Central ClevelandWest Central Cleveland | 148 | 490 | 9 | 647 | 22.9% | 75.7% | R+52.9 |
| Precinct -East ClevelandEast Cleveland | 592 | 32 | 6 | 630 | 94.0% | 5.1% | D+88.9 |
| Precinct -EastgateEastgate | 460 | 43 | 1 | 504 | 91.3% | 8.5% | D+82.7 |
| Precinct -South ClevelandSouth Cleveland | 457 | 23 | 1 | 481 | 95.0% | 4.8% | D+90.2 |
| Precinct -North ClevelandNorth Cleveland | 306 | 95 | 3 | 404 | 75.7% | 23.5% | D+52.2 |
| Precinct -East RosedaleEast Rosedale | 367 | 24 | 3 | 394 | 93.1% | 6.1% | D+87.1 |
| Precinct -ShelbyShelby | 293 | 27 | 5 | 325 | 90.2% | 8.3% | D+81.8 |
| Precinct -District 3 Road BarnDistrict 3 Road Barn | 273 | 27 | 3 | 303 | 90.1% | 8.9% | D+81.2 |
| Precinct -East Central ClevelandEast Central Cleveland | 244 | 9 | 1 | 254 | 96.1% | 3.5% | D+92.5 |
| Precinct -MerigoldMerigold | 131 | 121 | 1 | 253 | 51.8% | 47.8% | D+4.0 |
| Precinct -BenoitBenoit | 139 | 72 | 4 | 215 | 64.7% | 33.5% | D+31.2 |
| Precinct -PacePace | 174 | 40 | 0 | 214 | 81.3% | 18.7% | D+62.6 |
| Precinct -GunnisonGunnison | 141 | 66 | 0 | 207 | 68.1% | 31.9% | D+36.2 |
| Precinct -RenovaRenova | 199 | 7 | 1 | 207 | 96.1% | 3.4% | D+92.8 |
| Precinct -West RosedaleWest Rosedale | 164 | 38 | 3 | 205 | 80.0% | 18.5% | D+61.5 |
| Precinct -Cleveland CourthouseCleveland Courthouse | 73 | 122 | 4 | 199 | 36.7% | 61.3% | R+24.6 |
| Precinct -Morrison Chapel ChurchMorrison Chapel Church | 15 | 182 | 0 | 197 | 7.6% | 92.4% | R+84.8 |
| Precinct -Duncan-AlligatorDuncan-Alligator | 100 | 61 | 1 | 162 | 61.7% | 37.7% | D+24.1 |
| Precinct -SkeneSkene | 9 | 144 | 0 | 153 | 5.9% | 94.1% | R+88.2 |
| Precinct -WinstonvilleWinstonville | 139 | 10 | 2 | 151 | 92.1% | 6.6% | D+85.4 |
| Precinct -BeulahBeulah | 114 | 25 | 1 | 140 | 81.4% | 17.9% | D+63.6 |
| Precinct -ChoctawChoctaw | 99 | 25 | 1 | 125 | 79.2% | 20.0% | D+59.2 |
| Precinct -ScottScott | 50 | 70 | 0 | 120 | 41.7% | 58.3% | R+16.7 |
| Precinct -LongshotLongshot | 20 | 48 | 1 | 69 | 29.0% | 69.6% | R+40.6 |
| Precinct -StringtownStringtown | 2 | 27 | 1 | 30 | 6.7% | 90.0% | R+83.3 |
| Benoit Voting District28_28011104 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Beulah Voting District28_28011109 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Boyle Voting District28_28011501 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Choctaw Voting District28_28011504 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Cleveland Courthouse Voting District28_28011406 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Cleveland Eastgate Voting District28_28011405 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Duncan/Alligator Voting District28_28011301 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| East Central Cleveland Voting District28_28011201 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| East Cleveland Voting District28_28011402 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| East Rosedale Voting District28_28011107 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Gunnison Voting District28_28011101 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Longshot Voting District28_28011110 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Merigold Voting District28_28011401 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Mound Bayou Voting District28_28011303 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| North Cleveland Voting District28_28011403 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Northwest Cleveland Voting District28_28011202 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Pace Voting District28_28011103 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Renova Voting District28_28011404 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Scott Voting District28_28011105 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Shaw Voting District28_28011503 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Shelby Voting District28_28011302 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Skene Voting District28_28011502 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| South Cleveland Voting District28_28011505 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Stringtown Voting District28_28011106 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| West Central Cleveland Voting District28_28011203 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| West Cleveland Voting District28_28011204 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| West Rosedale Voting District28_28011102 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Winstonville Voting District28_28011108 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +70.8% |
| 1896 | +48.6% |
| 1900 | +32.2% |
| 1904 | +36.6% |
| 1908 | +50.3% |
| 1912 | +88.2% |
| 1916 | No data |
| 1920 | +52.0% |
| 1924 | +60.1% |
| 1928 | +75.9% |
| 1932 | +80.8% |
| 1936 | +91.6% |
| 1940 | +85.4% |
| 1944 | +73.2% |
| 1948 | +3.6% |
| 1952 | −6.4% |
| 1956 | +12.0% |
| 1960 | +2.8% |
| 1964 | −73.0% |
| 1968 | +25.3% |
| 1972 | −33.8% |
| 1976 | +18.8% |
| 1980 | +25.5% |
| 1984 | +11.6% |
| 1988 | +10.7% |
| 1992 | +28.5% |
| 1996 | +35.2% |
| 2000 | +26.5% |
| 2004 | +26.8% |
| 2008 | +35.4% |
| 2012 | +38.1% |
| 2016 | +32.2% |
| 2020 | +30.8% |
| 2024 | +23.7% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 3 House · 35 Senate · 4 Senate special · 9 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 27,144 |
| 2018 | 23,627 |
| 2020 | 24,319 |
| 2022 | 20,680 |
| 2024 | 20,245 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−210 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −6,544 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $39,062 in average income, against $56,891 for residents who stayed — 31% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+25.4 on average — 1.6 points more Democratic-leaning than Bolivar County, MS itself (D+23.7).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Sunflower County, MS82D+35.5
- Shelby County, TN50D+25.4
- Washington County, MS43D+35.0
- DeSoto County, MS31R+24.1
- Coahoma County, MS20D+39.8
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Shelby County, TN89
- DeSoto County, MS85
- Sunflower County, MS75
- Washington County, MS50
- Harris County, TX21
- Coahoma County, MS20
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −483 |
| 2012 | +45 |
| 2013 | −163 |
| 2014 | −226 |
| 2015 | −706 |
| 2016 | −739 |
| 2017 | −848 |
| 2018 | −666 |
| 2019 | −519 |
| 2021 | −512 |
| 2022 | −677 |
| 2023 | −517 |
| 2024 | −323 |
| 2025 | −210 |
Bolivar County sits in the heart of the Mississippi Delta, where a majority African American population and persistent rural poverty have produced some of the most reliably Democratic presidential margins in the state for decades.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 91.6 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 73.0 points in 1964. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 7.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 23.7 points.
A population of 29,534, a 31% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $39,585 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Coahoma County and Leflore County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Coahoma County
Mississippi
98.6twin score
% Black2004–2016 trajectory
Leflore County
Mississippi
98.0twin score
% Black2008–2016 trajectory
Dallas County
Alabama
98.0twin score
% Black2012–2020 trajectory≠ college share
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Bolivar County, Mississippi. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/28011/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Bolivar County
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Frequently asked questions
How did Bolivar County, Mississippi vote in 2024?
In 2024, Bolivar County, Mississippi voted Democratic by 23.7 points (D+23.7), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 10,435 votes cast, 6,419 went Democratic and 3,943 went Republican.
When did Bolivar County, Mississippi last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Bolivar County, Mississippi voted Republican was 1972.
How many people live in Bolivar County, Mississippi?
Bolivar County, Mississippi has a population of 29,534 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Bolivar County, Mississippi?
Median household income in Bolivar County, Mississippi is $39,585 — below the national median of $80,734. The Mississippi state median is $56,447.
What is the political history of Bolivar County, Mississippi?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Bolivar County, Mississippi from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 26 went Democratic and 3 went Republican.