- Lead
- 2,703
- Total
- 6,790
- vs nation
- D+41.3
- Turnout
- 46.3%
Coahoma County, MS
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 46.3% of 14,652 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 3,645
- Total
- 8,501
- vs nation
- D+38.4
- Turnout
- 53.2%
- Lead
- 3,952
- Total
- 8,912
- vs nation
- D+42.3
- Turnout
- 49.9%
- Lead
- 5,080
- Total
- 10,549
- vs nation
- D+44.3
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 4,680
- Total
- 10,568
- vs nation
- D+37.0
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 3,129
- Total
- 10,608
- vs nation
- D+32.0
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,967
- Total
- 9,553
- vs nation
- D+20.1
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,335
- Total
- 9,611
- vs nation
- D+15.8
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+39.8MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 20,5402024 5-year
- Median household income
- $37,4612024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 18.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 74.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+95.4 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+62.5 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Sunflower County, MS · twin score 99.1
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 46.3%6,790 participants ÷ 14,652 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +29.1 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- +1.2 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 17.3%–26.1%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 8,912 | 17,847 | 49.9% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 6,627 | 17,207 | 38.5% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 8,772 | 16,501 | 53.2% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 3,685 | 15,309 | 24.1% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 6,790 | 14,652 | 46.3% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
37 precincts · 6,790 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -Clarksdale # 2Clarksdale # 2 | 532 | 422 | 12 | 966 | 55.1% | 43.7% | D+11.4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -Clarksdale # 5Clarksdale # 5 | 787 | 137 | 9 | 933 | 84.4% | 14.7% | D+69.7 |
| Precinct -Clarksdale # 4Clarksdale # 4 | 864 | 55 | 7 | 926 | 93.3% | 5.9% | D+87.4 |
| Precinct -LyonLyon | 266 | 558 | 8 | 832 | 32.0% | 67.1% | R+35.1 |
| Precinct -Clarksdale CourthouseClarksdale Courthouse | 314 | 180 | 5 | 499 | 62.9% | 36.1% | D+26.9 |
| Precinct -JonestownJonestown | 397 | 23 | 3 | 423 | 93.9% | 5.4% | D+88.4 |
| Precinct -Sasse Street Fire StationSasse Street Fire Station | 353 | 15 | 2 | 370 | 95.4% | 4.1% | D+91.4 |
| Precinct -Clarksdale # 3Clarksdale # 3 | 297 | 61 | 9 | 367 | 80.9% | 16.6% | D+64.3 |
| Precinct -Friars PointFriars Point | 289 | 39 | 5 | 333 | 86.8% | 11.7% | D+75.1 |
| Precinct -LulaLula | 94 | 115 | 1 | 210 | 44.8% | 54.8% | R+10.0 |
| Precinct -Rena LaraRena Lara | 30 | 144 | 3 | 177 | 16.9% | 81.4% | R+64.4 |
| Precinct -CoahomaCoahoma | 143 | 25 | 2 | 170 | 84.1% | 14.7% | D+69.4 |
| Precinct -Clarksdale # 4 NorthClarksdale # 4 North | 83 | 45 | 0 | 128 | 64.8% | 35.2% | D+29.7 |
| Precinct -FarrellFarrell | 93 | 32 | 2 | 127 | 73.2% | 25.2% | D+48.0 |
| Precinct -DublinDublin | 55 | 66 | 2 | 123 | 44.7% | 53.7% | R+8.9 |
| Precinct -BoboBobo | 64 | 36 | 1 | 101 | 63.4% | 35.6% | D+27.7 |
| Precinct -RoundawayRoundaway | 32 | 27 | 0 | 59 | 54.2% | 45.8% | D+8.5 |
| Precinct -Cagle CrossingCagle Crossing | 18 | 28 | 0 | 46 | 39.1% | 60.9% | R+21.7 |
| Bobo Voting District28_28027012 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Cagle Crossing Voting District28_28027016 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Clarksdale 1-4 Voting District28_28027018 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Clarksdale 2-4 Voting District28_28027008 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Clarksdale 3-3 Voting District28_28027009 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Clarksdale 3-4 Voting District28_28027017 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Clarksdale 4-2 Voting District28_28027014 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Clarksdale 4-3 Voting District28_28027019 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Clarksdale 5-4 Voting District28_28027011 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Coahoma Voting District28_28027002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Dublin Voting District28_28027015 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Farrell Voting District28_28027006 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Friar's Point Voting District28_28027003 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Jonestown Voting District28_28027004 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lula Voting District28_28027001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lyons Voting District28_28027005 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Rena Lara Voting District28_28027010 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Roundaway Voting District28_28027013 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Sherard Voting District28_28027007 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +70.1% |
| 1896 | +59.6% |
| 1900 | +54.5% |
| 1904 | +77.5% |
| 1908 | +73.7% |
| 1912 | +86.4% |
| 1916 | +93.8% |
| 1920 | +86.1% |
| 1924 | +83.7% |
| 1928 | +77.7% |
| 1932 | +92.7% |
| 1936 | +95.4% |
| 1940 | +89.4% |
| 1944 | +85.2% |
| 1948 | +5.7% |
| 1952 | +13.3% |
| 1956 | +18.0% |
| 1960 | +7.5% |
| 1964 | −62.5% |
| 1968 | +31.9% |
| 1972 | −27.0% |
| 1976 | +19.3% |
| 1980 | +20.3% |
| 1984 | +8.4% |
| 1988 | +10.6% |
| 1992 | +20.5% |
| 1996 | +24.3% |
| 2000 | +20.6% |
| 2004 | +29.5% |
| 2008 | +44.3% |
| 2012 | +48.2% |
| 2016 | +44.3% |
| 2020 | +42.9% |
| 2024 | +39.8% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 17,838 |
| 2018 | 18,171 |
| 2020 | 18,471 |
| 2022 | 15,393 |
| 2024 | 15,358 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−309 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −6,812 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $39,422 in average income, against $48,965 for residents who stayed — 19% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+11.9 on average — 28 points more Republican-leaning than Coahoma County, MS itself (D+39.8).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- DeSoto County, MS48R+24.1
- Shelby County, TN45D+25.4
- Tunica County, MS33D+38.9
- Bolivar County, MS20D+23.7
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- DeSoto County, MS79
- Shelby County, TN66
- Lafayette County, MS26
- Tunica County, MS25
- Bolivar County, MS20
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −410 |
| 2012 | −386 |
| 2013 | −566 |
| 2014 | −471 |
| 2015 | −457 |
| 2016 | −768 |
| 2017 | −739 |
| 2018 | −638 |
| 2019 | −548 |
| 2021 | −398 |
| 2022 | −485 |
| 2023 | −297 |
| 2024 | −340 |
| 2025 | −309 |
Coahoma County, anchored by Clarksdale in the Mississippi Delta, is roughly 75% Black — a demographic concentration that has driven presidential margins exceeding 30 points Democratic in every recent election cycle.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 95.4 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 62.5 points in 1964. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 3.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 39.8 points.
A population of 20,540, a 19% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $37,461 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Sunflower County and Leflore County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Coahoma County, Mississippi. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/28027/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.