HarrisDemocratic54.8%4,960TrumpRepublican44.4%4,017KennedyIndependent0.4%38
D+10.4- Lead
- 943
- Total
- 9,057
- vs nation
- D+11.9
- Turnout
- 63.7%
Akashiccounty
Clay County, MS
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 63.7% of 14,228 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic57.4%5,844TrumpRepublican41.0%4,181JorgensenLibertarian0.5%48
D+16.3- Lead
- 1,663
- Total
- 10,189
- vs nation
- D+11.9
- Turnout
- 69.1%
ClintonDemocratic57.2%5,722TrumpRepublican41.5%4,150JohnsonLibertarian0.7%69
D+15.7- Lead
- 1,572
- Total
- 10,003
- vs nation
- D+13.6
- Turnout
- 66.0%
ObamaDemocratic60.6%6,712RomneyRepublican38.8%4,291JohnsonLibertarian0.5%54
D+21.9- Lead
- 2,421
- Total
- 11,072
- vs nation
- D+18.0
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic59.1%6,558McCainRepublican40.3%4,466OtherAll other candidates0.6%68
D+18.9- Lead
- 2,092
- Total
- 11,092
- vs nation
- D+11.6
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic52.0%4,753BushRepublican47.5%4,342OtherAll other candidates0.5%46
D+4.5- Lead
- 411
- Total
- 9,141
- vs nation
- D+7.0
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic55.3%4,515BushRepublican43.7%3,570NaderGreen0.5%41
D+11.6- Lead
- 945
- Total
- 8,165
- vs nation
- D+11.1
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic56.4%4,267DoleRepublican39.0%2,948PerotReform4.5%337
D+17.4- Lead
- 1,319
- Total
- 7,564
- vs nation
- D+8.9
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+10.4MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 18,3832024 5-year
- Median household income
- $43,1252024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 36.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 60.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 0.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+95.1 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+85.3 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Warren County, GA · twin score 96.0
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 63.7%9,057 participants ÷ 14,228 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +25.1 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off versus state
- -2.7 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 38.5%–43.9%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 10,003 | 15,148 | 66.0% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 7,833 | 15,146 | 51.7% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 10,355 | 14,984 | 69.1% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 6,319 | 14,370 | 44.0% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 9,057 | 14,228 | 63.7% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
28 precincts · 9,057 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -North-West PointNorth-West Point | 791 | 551 | 12 | 1,354 | 58.4% | 40.7% | D+17.7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -East-West PointEast-West Point | 536 | 765 | 11 | 1,312 | 40.9% | 58.3% | R+17.5 |
| Precinct -West-West PointWest-West Point | 753 | 230 | 8 | 991 | 76.0% | 23.2% | D+52.8 |
| Precinct -South-West PointSouth-West Point | 563 | 256 | 4 | 823 | 68.4% | 31.1% | D+37.3 |
| Precinct -SiloamSiloam | 277 | 513 | 4 | 794 | 34.9% | 64.6% | R+29.7 |
| Precinct -Central-West PointCentral-West Point | 328 | 325 | 12 | 665 | 49.3% | 48.9% | D+0.5 |
| Precinct -CaradineCaradine | 479 | 113 | 7 | 599 | 80.0% | 18.9% | D+61.1 |
| Precinct -Union StarUnion Star | 272 | 281 | 6 | 559 | 48.7% | 50.3% | R+1.6 |
| Precinct -VintonVinton | 249 | 230 | 1 | 480 | 51.9% | 47.9% | D+4.0 |
| Precinct -PhebaPheba | 205 | 233 | 5 | 443 | 46.3% | 52.6% | R+6.3 |
| Precinct -CairoCairo | 132 | 184 | 2 | 318 | 41.5% | 57.9% | R+16.4 |
| Precinct -TibbeeTibbee | 159 | 110 | 2 | 271 | 58.7% | 40.6% | D+18.1 |
| Precinct -Pine BluffPine Bluff | 205 | 60 | 3 | 268 | 76.5% | 22.4% | D+54.1 |
| Precinct -Cedar BluffCedar Bluff | 11 | 166 | 3 | 180 | 6.1% | 92.2% | R+86.1 |
| Cairo Voting District28_28025303 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Caradine Voting District28_28025401 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Cedar Bluff Voting District28_28025502 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Central West Point Voting District28_28025302 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| East West Point Voting District28_28025203 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| North West Point Voting District28_28025102 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Pheba Voting District28_28025503 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Pine Bluff Voting District28_28025504 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Siloam Voting District28_28025301 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| South West Point Voting District28_28025501 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Tibbee Voting District28_28025202 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Union Star Voting District28_28025201 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Vinton Voting District28_28025101 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| West West Point Voting District28_28025403 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +83.5% |
| 1896 | +88.8% |
| 1900 | +92.7% |
| 1904 | +93.2% |
| 1908 | +92.5% |
| 1912 | +92.9% |
| 1916 | +93.6% |
| 1920 | +88.0% |
| 1924 | +86.5% |
| 1928 | +83.8% |
| 1932 | +95.0% |
| 1936 | +95.1% |
| 1940 | +84.5% |
| 1944 | +82.8% |
| 1948 | +2.2% |
| 1952 | +6.6% |
| 1956 | +36.3% |
| 1960 | +7.4% |
| 1964 | −85.3% |
| 1968 | +18.4% |
| 1972 | −46.4% |
| 1976 | +7.3% |
| 1980 | +10.5% |
| 1984 | −0.8% |
| 1988 | +2.7% |
| 1992 | +15.5% |
| 1996 | +17.4% |
| 2000 | +11.6% |
| 2004 | +4.5% |
| 2008 | +18.9% |
| 2012 | +21.9% |
| 2016 | +15.7% |
| 2020 | +16.3% |
| 2024 | +10.4% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 3 House · 37 Senate · 4 Senate special · 9 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 14,605 |
| 2018 | 14,498 |
| 2020 | 14,750 |
| 2022 | 14,084 |
| 2024 | 14,299 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+9 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −1,471 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $39,086 in average income, against $54,513 for residents who stayed — 28% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+13.4 on average — 24 points more Republican-leaning than Clay County, MS itself (D+10.4).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Lowndes County, MS71R+8.2
- Oktibbeha County, MS69R+0.3
- Lee County, MS28R+38.8
- Monroe County, MS25R+35.9
- Chickasaw County, MS20R+13.7
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Lowndes County, MS74
- Oktibbeha County, MS56
- Monroe County, MS30
- Lee County, MS27
- Chickasaw County, MS25
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −128 |
| 2012 | −97 |
| 2013 | −41 |
| 2014 | −158 |
| 2015 | −135 |
| 2016 | −146 |
| 2017 | −196 |
| 2018 | −251 |
| 2019 | −70 |
| 2021 | −97 |
| 2022 | −92 |
| 2023 | −51 |
| 2024 | −18 |
| 2025 | +9 |
Clay County's D+10.4 margin in 2024 stands out in a state where most rural counties have shifted sharply Republican, driven by a majority-Black population concentrated around the county seat of West Point.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 95.1 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 85.3 points in 1964. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 5.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 10.4 points.
A population of 18,383, a 37% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $43,125 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Warren County and Adams County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Warren County
Georgia
96.0twin score
% Black2012–2020 trajectory
Adams County
Mississippi
95.8twin score
% Black2016–2024 trajectory≠ elasticity
Emporia city
Virginia
95.7twin score
% Black2012–2020 trajectory≠ African American ancestry
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Clay County, Mississippi. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/28025/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Clay County
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Frequently asked questions
How did Clay County, Mississippi vote in 2024?
In 2024, Clay County, Mississippi voted Democratic by 10.4 points (D+10.4), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 9,057 votes cast, 4,960 went Democratic and 4,017 went Republican.
When did Clay County, Mississippi last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Clay County, Mississippi voted Republican was 1984.
How many people live in Clay County, Mississippi?
Clay County, Mississippi has a population of 18,383 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Clay County, Mississippi?
Median household income in Clay County, Mississippi is $43,125 — below the national median of $80,734. The Mississippi state median is $56,447.
What is the political history of Clay County, Mississippi?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Clay County, Mississippi from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 28 went Democratic and 3 went Republican.