HarrisDemocratic38.0%466,668TrumpRepublican60.9%747,744KennedyOther0.4%5,387
R+22.9- Lead
- 281,076
- Total
- 1,228,008
- vs nation
- R+21.4
- Turnout
- 55.3%
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+22.9MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 2,946,7792024 5-year
- Population density
- 63 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 46,925 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $56,4472024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 55.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 36.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+94.3 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+74.3 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- South Carolina, SC · twin score 93.8
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 55.3%1,228,008 participants ÷ 2,221,758 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +27.9 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off versus state
- 0.0 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 27.4%–35.6%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 1,211,088 | 2,217,764 | 54.6% | C/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 961,025 | 2,228,659 | 43.1% | B/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 1,334,155 | 2,238,133 | 59.6% | B/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 708,585 | 2,232,895 | 31.7% | B/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 1,228,008 | 2,221,758 | 55.3% | C/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 147/110.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-state-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 279/137.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-state-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 282/1.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-state-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 285/182.
- 2024: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 155/227.
presidential history
Party record book
Mississippi · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
97.0%
157,333 votes · D+94.3
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · 96.0%
Republican
Barry Goldwater1964
87.1%
356,529 votes · R+74.3
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · 78.2%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2012
562,949votes
43.8% of the vote · R+11.5
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 554,662 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2020
756,764votes
57.6% of the vote · R+16.5
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 747,744 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John W. Davis1924
+107.0pts D vs U.S.
Place D+81.8 · U.S. R+25.2
Runner-up · Alton B. Parker, 1904 · +105.2 pts
Republican
Barry Goldwater1964
+96.9pts R vs U.S.
Place R+74.3 · U.S. D+22.6
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · +35.4 pts
2026 election
On the ballot
U.S. Senate
Cindy Hyde-SmithnomineeScott ColomnomineeTy Pinkinsnominee
Primary held March 10, 2026 (before 2026-06-25). Incumbent Cindy Hyde-Smith (R) is seeking re-election and won the GOP primary with 80.8% — a majority, so no GOP runoff. Scott Colom won the Democratic nomination (~73%). Ty Pinkins qualified for the November ballot as an Independent (no primary required). A general-election runoff would occur Dec 1, 2026 only if no candidate gets a majority in November.
U.S. House elections · 113 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
| Year | Seats won | D % | R % | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D 1 · R 3 | 30.1% | 69.9% | 1,163,152 | |
| D 1 · R 3 | 35.4% | 64.1% | 709,100 | |
| D 1 · R 3 | 34.3% | 65.7% | 1,227,846 | |
| D 1 · R 3 | 42.5% | 50.2% | 938,903 |
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 2,072,395 |
| 2018 | 2,079,732 |
| 2020 | 2,143,149 |
| 2022 | 2,081,999 |
| 2024 | 2,131,726 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
−917 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −99,915 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −4,551 |
| 2012 | −7,558 |
| 2013 | −4,719 |
| 2014 | −8,968 |
| 2015 | −12,296 |
| 2016 | −8,032 |
| 2017 | −7,490 |
| 2018 | −14,775 |
| 2019 | −10,740 |
| 2021 | −5,392 |
| 2022 | −6,015 |
| 2023 | −3,356 |
| 2024 | −5,106 |
| 2025 | −917 |
Twenty of Mississippi’s eighty-two counties voted Democratic in 2024; the other sixty-two voted Republican, and almost none sit near the middle.
- Largest Black share
- 36.3% Black — the largest of any state · ACS 2024 5-year (B03002)
- Presidential margin, 2024
- R+22.9 — Republican every cycle since 1980 · MIT Election Lab
- The split by county
- 20 of 82 counties voted Democratic; the other 62 Republican · MIT Election Lab 2024
- Most and least Democratic
- Claiborne County D+67.6 against Itawamba County R+80.0 · MIT Election Lab 2024
- The poorest state
- Median household income $56,447 — 50th of 50; poverty 19% — 50th · ACS 2024 5-year
- U.S. Senate in 2026
- Hyde-Smith (R, incumbent) vs Colom (D) and Pinkins (I); she took 80.8% in the March primary · Akashic 2026 forecast
Political twins — states
The states whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
South Carolina
South Carolina
93.8twin score
2000–2024 trajectory≠ % Black
Alabama
Alabama
92.1twin score
% Evangelical% Catholic% unaffiliated≠ % Black
Tennessee
Tennessee
80.6twin score
% Evangelical% Catholic2008–2024 trajectory≠ % Black
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Mississippi. Akashic. https://akashic.app/state/MS/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Frequently asked questions
How did Mississippi vote in 2024?
In 2024, Mississippi voted Republican by 22.9 points (R+22.9), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 1,228,008 votes cast, 466,668 went Democratic and 747,744 went Republican.
When did Mississippi last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Mississippi voted Democratic was 1976.
How many people live in Mississippi?
Mississippi has a population of 2,946,779 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Mississippi?
Median household income in Mississippi is $56,447 — below the national median of $80,734. The Mississippi state median is $56,447.
What is the political history of Mississippi?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Mississippi from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 17 went Democratic and 14 went Republican.