HarrisDemocratic47.2%3,722TrumpRepublican52.2%4,118KennedyIndependent0.3%20
R+5.0- Lead
- 396
- Total
- 7,890
- vs nation
- R+3.5
- Turnout
- 64.2%
Akashiccounty
Jasper County, MS
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 64.2% of 12,299 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic49.7%4,341TrumpRepublican49.2%4,302JorgensenLibertarian0.3%30
D+0.4- Lead
- 39
- Total
- 8,736
- vs nation
- R+4.0
- Turnout
- 70.3%
ClintonDemocratic51.5%4,368TrumpRepublican47.6%4,038JohnsonLibertarian0.3%28
D+3.9- Lead
- 330
- Total
- 8,475
- vs nation
- D+1.8
- Turnout
- 66.8%
ObamaDemocratic54.6%5,097RomneyRepublican44.9%4,193JohnsonLibertarian0.5%48
D+9.7- Lead
- 904
- Total
- 9,340
- vs nation
- D+5.8
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic54.6%5,025McCainRepublican44.9%4,135OtherAll other candidates0.5%50
D+9.7- Lead
- 890
- Total
- 9,210
- vs nation
- D+2.4
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic51.4%4,117BushRepublican48.1%3,855OtherAll other candidates0.5%37
D+3.3- Lead
- 262
- Total
- 8,009
- vs nation
- D+5.7
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic48.1%3,104BushRepublican51.1%3,294NaderGreen0.4%23
R+2.9- Lead
- 190
- Total
- 6,447
- vs nation
- R+3.5
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic51.5%3,170DoleRepublican42.5%2,615PerotReform5.7%353
D+9.0- Lead
- 555
- Total
- 6,153
- vs nation
- D+0.5
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+5.0MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 16,0592024 5-year
- Median household income
- $48,6602024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 44.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 52.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 0.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+97.8 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+85.4 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Terrell County, GA · twin score 94.9
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 64.2%7,890 participants ÷ 12,299 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +34.9 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off versus state
- +7.0 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 29.2%–38.6%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 8,475 | 12,685 | 66.8% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 6,457 | 12,751 | 50.6% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 8,951 | 12,735 | 70.3% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 4,449 | 12,575 | 35.4% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 7,890 | 12,299 | 64.2% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
31 precincts · 7,890 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -HeidelbergHeidelberg | 927 | 209 | 10 | 1,146 | 80.9% | 18.2% | D+62.7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -StringerStringer | 57 | 893 | 3 | 953 | 6.0% | 93.7% | R+87.7 |
| Precinct -PauldingPaulding | 636 | 295 | 7 | 938 | 67.8% | 31.4% | D+36.4 |
| Precinct -Bay Springs Beat 3Bay Springs Beat 3 | 439 | 377 | 3 | 819 | 53.6% | 46.0% | D+7.6 |
| Precinct -MossMoss | 170 | 556 | 5 | 731 | 23.3% | 76.1% | R+52.8 |
| Precinct -Rose HillRose Hill | 273 | 389 | 2 | 664 | 41.1% | 58.6% | R+17.5 |
| Precinct -Bay Springs Beat 4Bay Springs Beat 4 | 293 | 341 | 9 | 643 | 45.6% | 53.0% | R+7.5 |
| Precinct -LouinLouin | 276 | 239 | 3 | 518 | 53.3% | 46.1% | D+7.1 |
| Precinct -HoldersHolders | 209 | 252 | 5 | 466 | 44.8% | 54.1% | R+9.2 |
| Precinct -ClaiborneClaiborne | 239 | 176 | 1 | 416 | 57.5% | 42.3% | D+15.1 |
| Precinct -AntiochAntioch | 84 | 249 | 0 | 333 | 25.2% | 74.8% | R+49.5 |
| Precinct -MontroseMontrose | 119 | 142 | 2 | 263 | 45.2% | 54.0% | R+8.7 |
| Antioch Voting District28_28061101 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Bay Springs Beat 3 Voting District28_28061301 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Bay Springs Beat 4 Voting District28_28061401 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Claiborne Voting District28_28061502 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Fellowship Voting District28_28061202 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Heidelberg Voting District28_28061503 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Holders Church Voting District28_28061102 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Louin Voting District28_28061303 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Midway Voting District28_28061203 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Montrose Voting District28_28061304 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Mossville 1st Voting District28_28061105 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Mossville 2nd Voting District28_28061103 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Palestine Voting District28_28061104 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Paulding Voting District28_28061201 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Philadelphia Voting District28_28061501 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Rose Hill Voting District28_28061205 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Stringer Voting District28_28061402 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Vossburg Voting District28_28061206 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Waldrup Voting District28_28061504 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +90.1% |
| 1896 | +93.3% |
| 1900 | +89.0% |
| 1904 | +89.5% |
| 1908 | +89.7% |
| 1912 | +90.0% |
| 1916 | +89.9% |
| 1920 | +79.2% |
| 1924 | +90.7% |
| 1928 | +22.1% |
| 1932 | +94.2% |
| 1936 | +97.8% |
| 1940 | +96.0% |
| 1944 | +94.5% |
| 1948 | +4.9% |
| 1952 | +47.4% |
| 1956 | +68.3% |
| 1960 | +32.2% |
| 1964 | −85.4% |
| 1968 | +13.8% |
| 1972 | −58.1% |
| 1976 | +13.7% |
| 1980 | +15.5% |
| 1984 | −9.0% |
| 1988 | −2.8% |
| 1992 | +4.2% |
| 1996 | +9.0% |
| 2000 | −2.9% |
| 2004 | +3.3% |
| 2008 | +9.7% |
| 2012 | +9.7% |
| 2016 | +3.9% |
| 2020 | +0.4% |
| 2024 | −5.0% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 3 House · 37 Senate · 4 Senate special · 9 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 12,116 |
| 2018 | 11,861 |
| 2020 | 12,169 |
| 2022 | 11,391 |
| 2024 | 11,702 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−55 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −993 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $45,175 in average income, against $52,362 for residents who stayed — 14% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+44.3 on average — 39 points more Republican-leaning than Jasper County, MS itself (R+5.0).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Jones County, MS100R+46.8
- Clarke County, MS28R+35.2
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Jones County, MS121
- Clarke County, MS23
- Smith County, MS23
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −187 |
| 2012 | −324 |
| 2013 | −111 |
| 2014 | +36 |
| 2015 | +9 |
| 2016 | +14 |
| 2017 | −23 |
| 2018 | −131 |
| 2019 | −35 |
| 2021 | −83 |
| 2022 | −33 |
| 2023 | +25 |
| 2024 | −95 |
| 2025 | −55 |
Jasper County sits in east-central Mississippi with a population split nearly evenly between Black and white residents, a demographic balance that has historically compressed presidential margins well below the state average.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 97.8 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 85.4 points in 1964. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 5.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 5.0 points.
A population of 16,059, a 45% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $48,660 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Terrell County and Barnwell County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Terrell County
Georgia
94.9twin score
% Black2004–2016 trajectory≠ American ancestry
Barnwell County
South Carolina
93.8twin score
% Black2012–2020 trajectory≠ American ancestry
Claiborne Parish
Louisiana
92.5twin score
% BlackAmerican ancestry% White
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Jasper County, Mississippi. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/28061/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Frequently asked questions
How did Jasper County, Mississippi vote in 2024?
In 2024, Jasper County, Mississippi voted Republican by 5.0 points (R+5.0), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 7,890 votes cast, 3,722 went Democratic and 4,118 went Republican.
When did Jasper County, Mississippi last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Jasper County, Mississippi voted Democratic was 2020.
How many people live in Jasper County, Mississippi?
Jasper County, Mississippi has a population of 16,059 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Jasper County, Mississippi?
Median household income in Jasper County, Mississippi is $48,660 — below the national median of $80,734. The Mississippi state median is $56,447.
What is the political history of Jasper County, Mississippi?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Jasper County, Mississippi from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 26 went Democratic and 6 went Republican.