akashic
1876–2024
Jasper County, Mississippi
Jasper County·Mississippi

Jasper County votes the way the country votes.

A rural delta-edge county where a five-point margin masks decades of electoral flux.

18762024·38 elections
Jasper County, Mississippi · NatalieMaynor · Wikimedia Commons
Latest
R+5
in 2024
Archetype
Bellwether
since the recent cycles
Population
16,059
2024 ACS
Most similar
Pasquotank County
NC · similarity 0.94
12 precincts · 7,890 votes cast
Trump · R+5
Margin
Turnout
Harris +50
Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024R
−5.0%
3,7224,1187,890
2020D
+0.4%
4,3414,3028,736
2016D
+3.9%
4,3684,0388,475
2012D
+9.7%
5,0974,1939,340
2008D
+9.7%
5,0254,1359,210
2004D
+3.3%
4,1173,8558,009
2000R
−2.9%
3,1043,2946,447
1996D
+9.0%
3,1702,6156,153
1992D
+4.2%
3,0592,7896,428
1988R
−2.8%
3,1843,3686,572
1984R
−9.0%
3,1043,7276,902
1980D
+15.5%
3,8132,7816,673
1976D
+13.7%
3,1092,3565,513
1972R
−58.1%
9353,5974,584
1968D
+13.8%
9873734,460
1964R
−85.4%
2362,9943,230
1960D
+32.2%
1,1473622,435
1956D
+68.3%
1,9582872,445
1952D
+47.4%
1,8726682,540
1948D
+4.9%
121261,942
1944D
+94.5%
1,667471,714
1940D
+96.0%
1,713351,748
1936D
+97.8%
2,004212,027
1932D
+94.2%
1,526381,579
1928D
+22.1%
9796251,604
1924D
+90.7%
1,257611,319
1920D
+79.2%
899981,012
1916D
+89.9%
1,040381,115
1912D
+90.0%
86012942
1908
No data
1904
No data
1900D
+89.0%
73433788
1896D
+93.3%
87120912
1892D
+90.1%
6753746
1888
No data
1884
No data
1880
No data
1876
No data
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
100.0%
African American
41.6%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
0.0%
speak English only
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Baptist
31.1%
Methodist
8.9%
Other Christian
3.8%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.8%
Mainline Protestant
1.0%
Catholic & Orthodox
0.1%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 53.3% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Jasper County sits in east-central Mississippi with a population split nearly evenly between Black and white residents, a demographic balance that has historically compressed presidential margins well below the state average.

The Democratic margin in Jasper County has rarely exceeded ninety-eight points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded eighty-five points. 2024 delivered the county to the Republican candidate by five points.

Jasper County's demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most counties. A 45% non-Hispanic-white share, a 19% poverty rate, and a median household income of $48,660 — all within the broad national range. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Pasquotank County and Socorro County.