akashic
1876–2024
Barnwell County, South Carolina
Barnwell County·South Carolina

Barnwell County votes the way the country votes.

A rural Lowcountry county where turnout gaps shape the final margin

18762024·38 elections
Barnwell County, South Carolina · Calvin Beale · Wikimedia Commons
Latest
R+16
in 2024
Archetype
Bellwether
since the recent cycles
Population
20,521
2024 ACS
Most similar
Porter County
IN · similarity 0.95
15 precincts · 9,803 votes cast
Trump · R+16
Margin
Turnout
Harris +50
Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024R
−15.5%
4,0825,6059,803
2020R
−7.5%
4,7205,49210,321
2016R
−5.2%
4,4004,8899,485
2012D
+5.3%
5,1884,6599,923
2008D
+1.7%
4,9314,7699,798
2004R
−7.2%
3,9824,6068,685
2000R
−10.4%
3,6614,5218,276
1996R
−2.4%
3,6203,8087,774
1992R
−8.3%
3,3444,0268,177
1988R
−26.9%
2,5644,4677,075
1984R
−21.4%
2,8114,3467,189
1980D
+2.6%
3,3993,2286,705
1976D
+22.8%
4,0832,5696,652
1972R
−43.4%
1,5603,9555,515
1968R
−2.2%
1,7161,8495,916
1964R
−45.3%
1,3823,6705,052
1960R
−16.1%
1,3311,8423,173
1956D
+46.3%
1,9145203,009
1952D
+41.7%
1,5986572,255
1948D
+4.2%
115282,064
1944D
+97.9%
1,48281,506
1940D
+98.6%
1,845131,858
1936D
+99.9%
2,15702,159
1932D
+99.2%
1,87701,892
1928D
+93.6%
1,028341,062
1924D
+94.5%
84723872
1920D
+93.3%
72125746
1916D
+97.1%
1,454211,476
1912D
+98.3%
1,13901,159
1908D
+88.2%
1,407881,495
1904D
+95.1%
1,401351,436
1900D
+91.9%
1,356571,413
1896
No data
1892D
+58.3%
2,1375492,726
1888
No data
1884
No data
1880
No data
1876
No data
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
100.0%
Polish
1.0%
African American
34.2%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
0.0%
speak English only
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Baptist
39.7%
Other Christian
10.9%
Pentecostal & Holiness
3.1%
Methodist
2.8%
Catholic & Orthodox
1.7%
Mainline Protestant
1.3%
Non-Christian
0.4%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 40.1% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Barnwell's electorate skews older and rural, with a substantial Black population concentrated in the county seat that consistently offsets some of the countywide Republican lean, keeping margins closer in local races than federal ones.

The Democratic margin in Barnwell County has rarely exceeded 100 points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded forty-five points. 2024 delivered the county to the Republican candidate by sixteen points.

Barnwell County's demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most counties. A 52% non-Hispanic-white share, a 25% poverty rate, and a median household income of $46,626 — all within the broad national range. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Porter County and Berks County.