- Lead
- 22,294
- Total
- 86,091
- vs nation
- R+24.4
- Turnout
- 64.6%
Aiken County, SC
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 64.6% of 134,099 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 19,314
- Total
- 85,185
- vs nation
- R+27.1
- Turnout
- 66.2%
- Lead
- 20,570
- Total
- 74,851
- vs nation
- R+29.6
- Turnout
- 60.9%
- Lead
- 18,720
- Total
- 70,363
- vs nation
- R+30.5
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 16,748
- Total
- 69,770
- vs nation
- R+31.3
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 19,278
- Total
- 59,492
- vs nation
- R+29.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 16,794
- Total
- 50,782
- vs nation
- R+33.6
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 12,225
- Total
- 43,074
- vs nation
- R+36.9
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+25.9MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 174,1602024 5-year
- Median household income
- $70,6092024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 63.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 23.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 7.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+99.6 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+56.1 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Gaston County, NC · twin score 93.0
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 64.6%86,665 participants ÷ 134,099 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +23.9 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off versus state
- +2.4 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 40.7%–46.3%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 75,593 | 124,143 | 60.9% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 60,567 | 125,469 | 48.3% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 85,749 | 129,538 | 66.2% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 55,366 | 131,022 | 42.3% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 86,665 | 134,099 | 64.6% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
89 precincts · 86,091 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -Anderson Pond No. 69Anderson Pond No. 69 | 702 | 1,326 | 19 | 2,047 | 34.3% | 64.8% | R+30.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -Hammond No. 81Hammond No. 81 | 675 | 1,258 | 19 | 1,952 | 34.6% | 64.4% | R+29.9 |
| Precinct -Midland Valley No. 71Midland Valley No. 71 | 664 | 1,238 | 18 | 1,920 | 34.6% | 64.5% | R+29.9 |
| Precinct -VaucluseVaucluse | 744 | 1,090 | 33 | 1,867 | 39.9% | 58.4% | R+18.5 |
| Precinct -Ascauga Lake No. 84Ascauga Lake No. 84 | 506 | 1,234 | 13 | 1,753 | 28.9% | 70.4% | R+41.5 |
| Precinct -Windsor No. 82Windsor No. 82 | 507 | 1,096 | 25 | 1,628 | 31.1% | 67.3% | R+36.2 |
| Precinct -South Aiken No. 75South Aiken No. 75 | 555 | 1,021 | 14 | 1,590 | 34.9% | 64.2% | R+29.3 |
| Precinct -TalathaTalatha | 519 | 1,021 | 15 | 1,555 | 33.4% | 65.7% | R+32.3 |
| Precinct -WagenerWagener | 534 | 920 | 18 | 1,472 | 36.3% | 62.5% | R+26.2 |
| Precinct -ShilohShiloh | 413 | 1,031 | 11 | 1,455 | 28.4% | 70.9% | R+42.5 |
| Precinct -Misty LakesMisty Lakes | 514 | 915 | 23 | 1,452 | 35.4% | 63.0% | R+27.6 |
| Precinct -Sleepy Hollow No. 65Sleepy Hollow No. 65 | 363 | 1,070 | 16 | 1,449 | 25.1% | 73.8% | R+48.8 |
| Precinct -WarrenvilleWarrenville | 437 | 978 | 18 | 1,433 | 30.5% | 68.2% | R+37.8 |
| Precinct -Montmorenci No. 22Montmorenci No. 22 | 539 | 864 | 16 | 1,419 | 38.0% | 60.9% | R+22.9 |
| Precinct -Cedar Creek No. 64Cedar Creek No. 64 | 433 | 956 | 17 | 1,406 | 30.8% | 68.0% | R+37.2 |
| Precinct -Pine ForestPine Forest | 325 | 1,056 | 11 | 1,392 | 23.3% | 75.9% | R+52.5 |
| Precinct -Silver BluffSilver Bluff | 638 | 691 | 22 | 1,351 | 47.2% | 51.1% | R+3.9 |
| Precinct -MillbrookMillbrook | 509 | 801 | 21 | 1,331 | 38.2% | 60.2% | R+21.9 |
| Precinct -Fox Creek No. 73Fox Creek No. 73 | 322 | 985 | 10 | 1,317 | 24.4% | 74.8% | R+50.3 |
| Precinct -College AcresCollege Acres | 435 | 846 | 24 | 1,305 | 33.3% | 64.8% | R+31.5 |
| Precinct -Breezy HillBreezy Hill | 721 | 525 | 23 | 1,269 | 56.8% | 41.4% | D+15.4 |
| Precinct -Gem Lakes No. 77Gem Lakes No. 77 | 366 | 836 | 21 | 1,223 | 29.9% | 68.4% | R+38.4 |
| Precinct -EurekaEureka | 313 | 888 | 14 | 1,215 | 25.8% | 73.1% | R+47.3 |
| Precinct -N. Augusta No. 27N. Augusta No. 27 | 265 | 898 | 32 | 1,195 | 22.2% | 75.1% | R+53.0 |
| Precinct -JacksonJackson | 222 | 874 | 14 | 1,110 | 20.0% | 78.7% | R+58.7 |
| Precinct -Midlands No. 88Midlands No. 88 | 397 | 701 | 8 | 1,106 | 35.9% | 63.4% | R+27.5 |
| Precinct -Midland Valley No. 51Midland Valley No. 51 | 361 | 727 | 17 | 1,105 | 32.7% | 65.8% | R+33.1 |
| Precinct -New EllentonNew Ellenton | 515 | 560 | 20 | 1,095 | 47.0% | 51.1% | R+4.1 |
| Precinct -WardWard | 377 | 696 | 12 | 1,085 | 34.7% | 64.1% | R+29.4 |
| Precinct -Fox Creek No. 58Fox Creek No. 58 | 302 | 763 | 15 | 1,080 | 28.0% | 70.6% | R+42.7 |
| Precinct -N. Augusta No. 29N. Augusta No. 29 | 415 | 630 | 25 | 1,070 | 38.8% | 58.9% | R+20.1 |
| Precinct -N. Augusta No. 67N. Augusta No. 67 | 276 | 760 | 21 | 1,057 | 26.1% | 71.9% | R+45.8 |
| Precinct -Six Points No. 35Six Points No. 35 | 438 | 604 | 15 | 1,057 | 41.4% | 57.1% | R+15.7 |
| Precinct -Hollow CreekHollow Creek | 365 | 667 | 17 | 1,049 | 34.8% | 63.6% | R+28.8 |
| Precinct -N. Augusta No. 68N. Augusta No. 68 | 241 | 787 | 18 | 1,046 | 23.0% | 75.2% | R+52.2 |
| Precinct -Creek No. 85Creek No. 85 | 372 | 644 | 21 | 1,037 | 35.9% | 62.1% | R+26.2 |
| Precinct -South Aiken No. 76South Aiken No. 76 | 372 | 641 | 9 | 1,022 | 36.4% | 62.7% | R+26.3 |
| Precinct -Beech IslandBeech Island | 515 | 483 | 12 | 1,010 | 51.0% | 47.8% | D+3.2 |
| Precinct -Gem Lakes No. 60Gem Lakes No. 60 | 298 | 693 | 13 | 1,004 | 29.7% | 69.0% | R+39.3 |
| Precinct -Belvedere No. 9Belvedere No. 9 | 449 | 511 | 14 | 974 | 46.1% | 52.5% | R+6.4 |
| Precinct -China SpringsChina Springs | 562 | 380 | 18 | 960 | 58.5% | 39.6% | D+19.0 |
| Precinct -Belvedere No. 44Belvedere No. 44 | 361 | 569 | 20 | 950 | 38.0% | 59.9% | R+21.9 |
| Precinct -Aiken No. 6Aiken No. 6 | 388 | 538 | 19 | 945 | 41.1% | 56.9% | R+15.9 |
| Precinct -Aiken No. 1Aiken No. 1 | 345 | 589 | 10 | 944 | 36.5% | 62.4% | R+25.8 |
| Precinct -N. Augusta No. 25N. Augusta No. 25 | 406 | 519 | 19 | 944 | 43.0% | 55.0% | R+12.0 |
| Precinct -CouchtonCouchton | 328 | 599 | 10 | 937 | 35.0% | 63.9% | R+28.9 |
| Precinct -Belvedere No. 62Belvedere No. 62 | 462 | 451 | 19 | 932 | 49.6% | 48.4% | D+1.2 |
| Precinct -South Creek No. 89South Creek No. 89 | 277 | 588 | 10 | 875 | 31.7% | 67.2% | R+35.5 |
| Precinct -Willow SpringsWillow Springs | 200 | 660 | 12 | 872 | 22.9% | 75.7% | R+52.8 |
| Precinct -Oak GroveOak Grove | 188 | 662 | 11 | 861 | 21.8% | 76.9% | R+55.1 |
| Precinct -Redds BranchRedds Branch | 275 | 579 | 7 | 861 | 31.9% | 67.2% | R+35.3 |
| Precinct -Aiken No. 3Aiken No. 3 | 653 | 152 | 15 | 820 | 79.6% | 18.5% | D+61.1 |
| Precinct -Sandstone No. 79Sandstone No. 79 | 331 | 475 | 11 | 817 | 40.5% | 58.1% | R+17.6 |
| Precinct -LangleyLangley | 189 | 614 | 5 | 808 | 23.4% | 76.0% | R+52.6 |
| Precinct -N. Augusta No. 28N. Augusta No. 28 | 235 | 561 | 12 | 808 | 29.1% | 69.4% | R+40.3 |
| Precinct -Sandstone No. 70Sandstone No. 70 | 301 | 462 | 19 | 782 | 38.5% | 59.1% | R+20.6 |
| Precinct -Montmorenci No. 78Montmorenci No. 78 | 276 | 487 | 10 | 773 | 35.7% | 63.0% | R+27.3 |
| Precinct -N. Augusta No. 55N. Augusta No. 55 | 259 | 503 | 11 | 773 | 33.5% | 65.1% | R+31.6 |
| Precinct -Aiken No. 47Aiken No. 47 | 327 | 435 | 7 | 769 | 42.5% | 56.6% | R+14.0 |
| Precinct -Aiken No. 5Aiken No. 5 | 443 | 309 | 16 | 768 | 57.7% | 40.2% | D+17.4 |
| Precinct -Hitchcock No. 66Hitchcock No. 66 | 291 | 463 | 12 | 766 | 38.0% | 60.4% | R+22.5 |
| Precinct -Levels No. 72Levels No. 72 | 331 | 420 | 14 | 765 | 43.3% | 54.9% | R+11.6 |
| Precinct -Carolina HeightsCarolina Heights | 441 | 302 | 8 | 751 | 58.7% | 40.2% | D+18.5 |
| Precinct -MonettaMonetta | 250 | 488 | 13 | 751 | 33.3% | 65.0% | R+31.7 |
| Precinct -GlovervilleGloverville | 191 | 536 | 12 | 739 | 25.8% | 72.5% | R+46.7 |
| Precinct -N. Augusta No. 54N. Augusta No. 54 | 381 | 327 | 9 | 717 | 53.1% | 45.6% | D+7.5 |
| Precinct -Six Points No. 46Six Points No. 46 | 583 | 121 | 10 | 714 | 81.7% | 16.9% | D+64.7 |
| Precinct -Levels No. 52Levels No. 52 | 333 | 362 | 10 | 705 | 47.2% | 51.3% | R+4.1 |
| Precinct -Community No. 86Community No. 86 | 212 | 464 | 10 | 686 | 30.9% | 67.6% | R+36.7 |
| Precinct -N. Augusta No. 80N. Augusta No. 80 | 165 | 497 | 7 | 669 | 24.7% | 74.3% | R+49.6 |
| Precinct -Aiken No. 2Aiken No. 2 | 478 | 166 | 11 | 655 | 73.0% | 25.3% | D+47.6 |
| Precinct -N. Augusta No. 26N. Augusta No. 26 | 300 | 338 | 10 | 648 | 46.3% | 52.2% | R+5.9 |
| Precinct -PerryPerry | 141 | 494 | 13 | 648 | 21.8% | 76.2% | R+54.5 |
| Precinct -GranitevilleGraniteville | 192 | 439 | 9 | 640 | 30.0% | 68.6% | R+38.6 |
| Precinct -New HollandNew Holland | 145 | 484 | 6 | 635 | 22.8% | 76.2% | R+53.4 |
| Precinct -Shaws ForkShaws Fork | 177 | 419 | 10 | 606 | 29.2% | 69.1% | R+39.9 |
| Precinct -Levels No. 83Levels No. 83 | 274 | 311 | 11 | 596 | 46.0% | 52.2% | R+6.2 |
| Precinct -White PondWhite Pond | 226 | 342 | 0 | 568 | 39.8% | 60.2% | R+20.4 |
| Precinct -LynwoodLynwood | 124 | 413 | 4 | 541 | 22.9% | 76.3% | R+53.4 |
| Precinct -TabernacleTabernacle | 211 | 305 | 9 | 525 | 40.2% | 58.1% | R+17.9 |
| Precinct -Breezy No. 87Breezy No. 87 | 137 | 367 | 10 | 514 | 26.7% | 71.4% | R+44.7 |
| Precinct -BathBath | 198 | 278 | 5 | 481 | 41.2% | 57.8% | R+16.6 |
| Precinct -SalleySalley | 191 | 259 | 9 | 459 | 41.6% | 56.4% | R+14.8 |
| Precinct -Belvedere No. 74Belvedere No. 74 | 151 | 280 | 8 | 439 | 34.4% | 63.8% | R+29.4 |
| Precinct -ClearwaterClearwater | 167 | 219 | 10 | 396 | 42.2% | 55.3% | R+13.1 |
| Precinct -Aiken No. 4Aiken No. 4 | 288 | 81 | 6 | 375 | 76.8% | 21.6% | D+55.2 |
| Precinct -Ascauga LakeAscauga Lake | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct -HammondHammond | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct -WindsorWindsor | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +62.0% |
| 1896 | +85.5% |
| 1900 | +93.0% |
| 1904 | +95.9% |
| 1908 | +95.3% |
| 1912 | +99.6% |
| 1916 | +96.5% |
| 1920 | +92.5% |
| 1924 | +97.5% |
| 1928 | +68.6% |
| 1932 | +98.6% |
| 1936 | +98.9% |
| 1940 | +93.8% |
| 1944 | +89.0% |
| 1948 | +8.6% |
| 1952 | +0.7% |
| 1956 | −15.6% |
| 1960 | −23.2% |
| 1964 | −39.2% |
| 1968 | −21.7% |
| 1972 | −56.1% |
| 1976 | −3.5% |
| 1980 | −17.2% |
| 1984 | −44.2% |
| 1988 | −44.3% |
| 1992 | −23.4% |
| 1996 | −28.4% |
| 2000 | −33.1% |
| 2004 | −32.4% |
| 2008 | −24.0% |
| 2012 | −26.6% |
| 2016 | −27.5% |
| 2020 | −22.7% |
| 2024 | −25.9% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 111,606 |
| 2018 | 123,953 |
| 2020 | 134,809 |
| 2022 | 130,105 |
| 2024 | 131,806 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+2,671 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +19,408 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $69,078 in average income, against $75,493 for residents who stayed — 8% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+0.1 on average — 26 points more Democratic-leaning than Aiken County, SC itself (R+25.9).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Richmond County, GA655D+36.1
- Columbia County, GA313R+25.6
- Edgefield County, SC277R+31.8
- Lexington County, SC235R+33.5
- Barnwell County, SC145R+15.5
- Richland County, SC133D+34.6
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Richmond County, GA565
- Edgefield County, SC323
- Columbia County, GA247
- Lexington County, SC213
- Richland County, SC165
- Barnwell County, SC79
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +640 |
| 2012 | +880 |
| 2013 | +587 |
| 2014 | +235 |
| 2015 | +1,018 |
| 2016 | +1,070 |
| 2017 | +868 |
| 2018 | +915 |
| 2019 | +1,272 |
| 2021 | +2,348 |
| 2022 | +2,717 |
| 2023 | +2,627 |
| 2024 | +1,560 |
| 2025 | +2,671 |
Aiken's economy revolves around the Savannah River Site, a federal nuclear facility that draws a highly educated technical workforce — a demographic that has nonetheless not softened the county's consistent Republican margins, which held above 25 points in 2024.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 99.6 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 56.1 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 3.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 25.9 points.
A population of 174,160, a 64% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $70,609 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Gaston County and DeSoto County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Aiken County, South Carolina. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/45003/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.