- Lead
- 6,985
- Total
- 20,169
- vs nation
- R+33.2
South Carolina 86th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 5,455
- Total
- 19,726
- vs nation
- R+32.1
- Lead
- 5,022
- Total
- 18,129
- vs nation
- R+29.8
- Lead
- 4,593
- Total
- 17,242
- vs nation
- R+30.5
- Lead
- 4,177
- Total
- 17,099
- vs nation
- R+31.7
- Lead
- 4,713
- Total
- 14,356
- vs nation
- R+30.4
- Lead
- 4,126
- Total
- 12,367
- vs nation
- R+33.9
- Lead
- 2,969
- Total
- 10,100
- vs nation
- R+37.9
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+34.6MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 40,3652024 5-year
- Population density
- 49 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 820 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $57,2722024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 65.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 21.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 7.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+100.0 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+57.9 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 90, AL · twin score 95.5
presidential history
Party record book
South Carolina 86th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
John W. Davis1924
100.0%
296 votes · D+100.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Woodrow Wilson, 1912 · 100.0%
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
78.6%
4,884 votes · R+57.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1984 · 72.6%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
7,001votes
35.5% of the vote · R+27.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 6,467 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
13,452votes
66.7% of the vote · R+34.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 12,456 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John W. Davis1924
+125.2pts D vs U.S.
Place D+100.0 · U.S. R+25.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · James M. Cox, 1920 · +123.3 pts
Republican
Barry Goldwater1964
+61.0pts R vs U.S.
Place R+38.4 · U.S. D+22.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Bob Dole, 1996 · +37.9 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
With a 34.6-point Republican presidential margin and a population of roughly 40,000, this district sits firmly outside competitive territory, making it a reliable baseline for tracking statewide shifts in rural South Carolina.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 100.0 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 57.9 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 7.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 34.6 points.
A population of 40,365, a 66% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $57,272 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 90 and State House District 7.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
South Carolina 86th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/45086/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.