- Lead
- 49,150
- Total
- 146,903
- vs nation
- R+32.0
- Turnout
- 65.8%
Lexington County, SC
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 65.8% of 224,806 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 43,516
- Total
- 144,568
- vs nation
- R+34.6
- Turnout
- 66.4%
- Lead
- 44,796
- Total
- 122,093
- vs nation
- R+38.8
- Turnout
- 60.2%
- Lead
- 42,514
- Total
- 112,623
- vs nation
- R+41.6
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 41,657
- Total
- 109,512
- vs nation
- R+45.3
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 41,739
- Total
- 93,432
- vs nation
- R+42.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 35,265
- Total
- 83,081
- vs nation
- R+43.0
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 20,751
- Total
- 62,720
- vs nation
- R+41.6
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+33.5MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 304,8872024 5-year
- Median household income
- $77,4082024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 70.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 15.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 7.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+98.9 in 1924MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+71.1 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Shelby County, AL · twin score 92.5
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 65.8%147,971 participants ÷ 224,806 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +20.9 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off versus state
- -0.7 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 44.9%–49.2%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 122,827 | 204,135 | 60.2% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 100,846 | 211,173 | 47.8% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 145,092 | 218,546 | 66.4% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 100,352 | 220,482 | 45.5% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 147,971 | 224,806 | 65.8% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
96 precincts · 146,903 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -Amicks FerryAmicks Ferry | 781 | 2,532 | 39 | 3,352 | 23.3% | 75.5% | R+52.2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -Red BankRed Bank | 1,053 | 2,134 | 41 | 3,228 | 32.6% | 66.1% | R+33.5 |
| Precinct -Round HillRound Hill | 842 | 2,258 | 41 | 3,141 | 26.8% | 71.9% | R+45.1 |
| Precinct -Lake Murray #2Lake Murray #2 | 808 | 2,223 | 42 | 3,073 | 26.3% | 72.3% | R+46.0 |
| Precinct -Barr Road #2Barr Road #2 | 912 | 2,025 | 46 | 2,983 | 30.6% | 67.9% | R+37.3 |
| Precinct -Dutchman ShoresDutchman Shores | 650 | 2,243 | 36 | 2,929 | 22.2% | 76.6% | R+54.4 |
| Precinct -Platt Springs 2Platt Springs 2 | 1,248 | 1,512 | 45 | 2,805 | 44.5% | 53.9% | R+9.4 |
| Precinct -River BluffRiver Bluff | 851 | 1,765 | 63 | 2,679 | 31.8% | 65.9% | R+34.1 |
| Precinct -Lexington No. 3Lexington No. 3 | 770 | 1,852 | 38 | 2,660 | 28.9% | 69.6% | R+40.7 |
| Precinct -Old LexingtonOld Lexington | 652 | 1,945 | 40 | 2,637 | 24.7% | 73.8% | R+49.0 |
| Precinct -ChapinChapin | 694 | 1,861 | 30 | 2,585 | 26.8% | 72.0% | R+45.1 |
| Precinct -Hollow CreekHollow Creek | 497 | 1,939 | 19 | 2,455 | 20.2% | 79.0% | R+58.7 |
| Precinct -Beulah ChurchBeulah Church | 374 | 2,029 | 25 | 2,428 | 15.4% | 83.6% | R+68.2 |
| Precinct -OakwoodOakwood | 741 | 1,526 | 49 | 2,316 | 32.0% | 65.9% | R+33.9 |
| Precinct -Lexington No. 4Lexington No. 4 | 827 | 1,431 | 25 | 2,283 | 36.2% | 62.7% | R+26.5 |
| Precinct -Lexington No. 1Lexington No. 1 | 777 | 1,455 | 29 | 2,261 | 34.4% | 64.4% | R+30.0 |
| Precinct -Mount HorebMount Horeb | 538 | 1,673 | 23 | 2,234 | 24.1% | 74.9% | R+50.8 |
| Precinct -Providence ChurchProvidence Church | 523 | 1,616 | 23 | 2,162 | 24.2% | 74.7% | R+50.6 |
| Precinct -Pilgrim ChurchPilgrim Church | 602 | 1,426 | 54 | 2,082 | 28.9% | 68.5% | R+39.6 |
| Precinct -Boiling SpringsBoiling Springs | 526 | 1,504 | 18 | 2,048 | 25.7% | 73.4% | R+47.8 |
| Precinct -White KnollWhite Knoll | 599 | 1,421 | 27 | 2,047 | 29.3% | 69.4% | R+40.2 |
| Precinct -St DavidsSt Davids | 659 | 1,335 | 20 | 2,014 | 32.7% | 66.3% | R+33.6 |
| Precinct -Ridge RoadRidge Road | 307 | 1,658 | 23 | 1,988 | 15.4% | 83.4% | R+68.0 |
| Precinct -St. MichaelSt. Michael | 611 | 1,344 | 19 | 1,974 | 31.0% | 68.1% | R+37.1 |
| Precinct -Chalk HillChalk Hill | 1,339 | 590 | 24 | 1,953 | 68.6% | 30.2% | D+38.4 |
| Precinct -GilbertGilbert | 332 | 1,544 | 17 | 1,893 | 17.5% | 81.6% | R+64.0 |
| Precinct -LincreekLincreek | 803 | 1,033 | 31 | 1,867 | 43.0% | 55.3% | R+12.3 |
| Precinct -Lake Murray 1Lake Murray 1 | 417 | 1,414 | 25 | 1,856 | 22.5% | 76.2% | R+53.7 |
| Precinct -Park Road #1Park Road #1 | 562 | 1,192 | 32 | 1,786 | 31.5% | 66.7% | R+35.3 |
| Precinct -LeesvilleLeesville | 513 | 1,149 | 31 | 1,693 | 30.3% | 67.9% | R+37.6 |
| Precinct -IrmoIrmo | 871 | 793 | 25 | 1,689 | 51.6% | 47.0% | D+4.6 |
| Precinct -EdenwoodEdenwood | 638 | 1,011 | 26 | 1,675 | 38.1% | 60.4% | R+22.3 |
| Precinct -WhitehallWhitehall | 802 | 814 | 34 | 1,650 | 48.6% | 49.3% | R+0.7 |
| Precinct -Carolina SpringsCarolina Springs | 544 | 1,048 | 33 | 1,625 | 33.5% | 64.5% | R+31.0 |
| Precinct -SpringdaleSpringdale | 502 | 1,097 | 26 | 1,625 | 30.9% | 67.5% | R+36.6 |
| Precinct -MurraywoodMurraywood | 715 | 852 | 32 | 1,599 | 44.7% | 53.3% | R+8.6 |
| Precinct -Pond BranchPond Branch | 261 | 1,301 | 17 | 1,579 | 16.5% | 82.4% | R+65.9 |
| Precinct -Pineridge #2Pineridge #2 | 513 | 1,020 | 23 | 1,556 | 33.0% | 65.6% | R+32.6 |
| Precinct -Quail HollowQuail Hollow | 607 | 930 | 19 | 1,556 | 39.0% | 59.8% | R+20.8 |
| Precinct -Quail ValleyQuail Valley | 761 | 760 | 26 | 1,547 | 49.2% | 49.1% | D+0.1 |
| Precinct -Lexington No. 2Lexington No. 2 | 581 | 925 | 25 | 1,531 | 37.9% | 60.4% | R+22.5 |
| Precinct -Emmanuel ChurchEmmanuel Church | 456 | 1,040 | 23 | 1,519 | 30.0% | 68.5% | R+38.4 |
| Precinct -Red Bank South 1Red Bank South 1 | 356 | 1,087 | 20 | 1,463 | 24.3% | 74.3% | R+50.0 |
| Precinct -CedarcrestCedarcrest | 563 | 873 | 16 | 1,452 | 38.8% | 60.1% | R+21.3 |
| Precinct -Dreher IslandDreher Island | 238 | 1,202 | 9 | 1,449 | 16.4% | 83.0% | R+66.5 |
| Precinct -ColdstreamColdstream | 658 | 753 | 23 | 1,434 | 45.9% | 52.5% | R+6.6 |
| Precinct -Red Bank South #2Red Bank South #2 | 473 | 927 | 15 | 1,415 | 33.4% | 65.5% | R+32.1 |
| Precinct -Edmund #2Edmund #2 | 282 | 1,079 | 12 | 1,373 | 20.5% | 78.6% | R+58.0 |
| Precinct -PineviewPineview | 422 | 913 | 25 | 1,360 | 31.0% | 67.1% | R+36.1 |
| Precinct -Old Barnwell RdOld Barnwell Rd | 507 | 818 | 22 | 1,347 | 37.6% | 60.7% | R+23.1 |
| Precinct -Sharpe's HillSharpe's Hill | 339 | 969 | 15 | 1,323 | 25.6% | 73.2% | R+47.6 |
| Precinct -Hook's StoreHook's Store | 573 | 730 | 19 | 1,322 | 43.3% | 55.2% | R+11.9 |
| Precinct -WestoverWestover | 465 | 788 | 24 | 1,277 | 36.4% | 61.7% | R+25.3 |
| Precinct -Saluda RiverSaluda River | 590 | 619 | 27 | 1,236 | 47.7% | 50.1% | R+2.3 |
| Precinct -Kitti WakeKitti Wake | 411 | 798 | 17 | 1,226 | 33.5% | 65.1% | R+31.6 |
| Precinct -Bush RiverBush River | 546 | 626 | 18 | 1,190 | 45.9% | 52.6% | R+6.7 |
| Precinct -Congaree 1Congaree 1 | 270 | 887 | 16 | 1,173 | 23.0% | 75.6% | R+52.6 |
| Precinct -BatesburgBatesburg | 544 | 604 | 21 | 1,169 | 46.5% | 51.7% | R+5.1 |
| Precinct -Seven OaksSeven Oaks | 606 | 507 | 30 | 1,143 | 53.0% | 44.4% | D+8.7 |
| Precinct -GrenadierGrenadier | 666 | 450 | 17 | 1,133 | 58.8% | 39.7% | D+19.1 |
| Precinct -MidwayMidway | 307 | 804 | 22 | 1,133 | 27.1% | 71.0% | R+43.9 |
| Precinct -Barr Road 1Barr Road 1 | 275 | 833 | 14 | 1,122 | 24.5% | 74.2% | R+49.7 |
| Precinct -Pelion #2Pelion #2 | 195 | 896 | 12 | 1,103 | 17.7% | 81.2% | R+63.6 |
| Precinct -Cayce Ward No.1Cayce Ward No.1 | 580 | 487 | 22 | 1,089 | 53.3% | 44.7% | D+8.5 |
| Precinct -SummitSummit | 203 | 851 | 12 | 1,066 | 19.0% | 79.8% | R+60.8 |
| Precinct -Park Road #2Park Road #2 | 303 | 755 | 7 | 1,065 | 28.5% | 70.9% | R+42.4 |
| Precinct -Mt. HebronMt. Hebron | 404 | 636 | 22 | 1,062 | 38.0% | 59.9% | R+21.8 |
| Precinct -ChalledonChalledon | 645 | 400 | 16 | 1,061 | 60.8% | 37.7% | D+23.1 |
| Precinct -CromerCromer | 323 | 718 | 13 | 1,054 | 30.6% | 68.1% | R+37.5 |
| Precinct -Boiling Springs SouthBoiling Springs South | 150 | 889 | 11 | 1,050 | 14.3% | 84.7% | R+70.4 |
| Precinct -West Columbia No. 4West Columbia No. 4 | 452 | 583 | 15 | 1,050 | 43.0% | 55.5% | R+12.5 |
| Precinct -Faith ChurchFaith Church | 391 | 642 | 15 | 1,048 | 37.3% | 61.3% | R+24.0 |
| Precinct -SandhillSandhill | 353 | 685 | 9 | 1,047 | 33.7% | 65.4% | R+31.7 |
| Precinct -Swansea #2Swansea #2 | 321 | 690 | 11 | 1,022 | 31.4% | 67.5% | R+36.1 |
| Precinct -Cayce Ward No.2Cayce Ward No.2 | 573 | 421 | 25 | 1,019 | 56.2% | 41.3% | D+14.9 |
| Precinct -MimsMims | 193 | 815 | 11 | 1,019 | 18.9% | 80.0% | R+61.0 |
| Precinct -FairviewFairview | 191 | 814 | 10 | 1,015 | 18.8% | 80.2% | R+61.4 |
| Precinct -Gaston #2Gaston #2 | 270 | 719 | 20 | 1,009 | 26.8% | 71.3% | R+44.5 |
| Precinct -Platt Springs 1Platt Springs 1 | 249 | 742 | 14 | 1,005 | 24.8% | 73.8% | R+49.1 |
| Precinct -GardendaleGardendale | 578 | 380 | 17 | 975 | 59.3% | 39.0% | D+20.3 |
| Precinct -Pine Ridge 1Pine Ridge 1 | 295 | 656 | 11 | 962 | 30.7% | 68.2% | R+37.5 |
| Precinct -Pelion 1Pelion 1 | 145 | 794 | 9 | 948 | 15.3% | 83.8% | R+68.5 |
| Precinct -Cayce 2ACayce 2A | 378 | 515 | 15 | 908 | 41.6% | 56.7% | R+15.1 |
| Precinct -Edmund 1Edmund 1 | 249 | 625 | 13 | 887 | 28.1% | 70.5% | R+42.4 |
| Precinct -Gaston 1Gaston 1 | 150 | 692 | 15 | 857 | 17.5% | 80.7% | R+63.2 |
| Precinct -Swansea 1Swansea 1 | 328 | 507 | 16 | 851 | 38.5% | 59.6% | R+21.0 |
| Precinct -Congaree #2Congaree #2 | 268 | 542 | 11 | 821 | 32.6% | 66.0% | R+33.4 |
| Precinct -Woodland HillsWoodland Hills | 492 | 312 | 16 | 820 | 60.0% | 38.0% | D+22.0 |
| Precinct -Sandy RunSandy Run | 238 | 519 | 5 | 762 | 31.2% | 68.1% | R+36.9 |
| Precinct -Leaphart RoadLeaphart Road | 341 | 394 | 11 | 746 | 45.7% | 52.8% | R+7.1 |
| Precinct -West Columbia No. 1West Columbia No. 1 | 375 | 295 | 17 | 687 | 54.6% | 42.9% | D+11.6 |
| Precinct -Mack-EdistoMack-Edisto | 111 | 524 | 5 | 640 | 17.3% | 81.9% | R+64.5 |
| Precinct -West Columbia No. 3West Columbia No. 3 | 293 | 314 | 17 | 624 | 47.0% | 50.3% | R+3.4 |
| Precinct -Cayce Ward No.3Cayce Ward No.3 | 214 | 307 | 21 | 542 | 39.5% | 56.6% | R+17.2 |
| Precinct -Springdale SouthSpringdale South | 170 | 286 | 5 | 461 | 36.9% | 62.0% | R+25.2 |
| Precinct -West Columbia No. 2West Columbia No. 2 | 244 | 73 | 8 | 325 | 75.1% | 22.5% | D+52.6 |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +76.0% |
| 1896 | +78.9% |
| 1900 | +95.5% |
| 1904 | +95.1% |
| 1908 | +93.8% |
| 1912 | +94.9% |
| 1916 | +93.7% |
| 1920 | +93.7% |
| 1924 | +98.9% |
| 1928 | +90.5% |
| 1932 | +95.9% |
| 1936 | +98.5% |
| 1940 | +97.8% |
| 1944 | +92.7% |
| 1948 | +17.8% |
| 1952 | −6.7% |
| 1956 | +15.8% |
| 1960 | −22.0% |
| 1964 | −42.9% |
| 1968 | −32.4% |
| 1972 | −71.1% |
| 1976 | −19.7% |
| 1980 | −38.1% |
| 1984 | −62.4% |
| 1988 | −56.5% |
| 1992 | −34.0% |
| 1996 | −33.1% |
| 2000 | −42.4% |
| 2004 | −44.7% |
| 2008 | −38.0% |
| 2012 | −37.7% |
| 2016 | −36.7% |
| 2020 | −30.1% |
| 2024 | −33.5% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 178,496 |
| 2018 | 197,009 |
| 2020 | 216,744 |
| 2022 | 211,719 |
| 2024 | 217,332 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+2,657 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +42,119 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $65,058 in average income, against $82,979 for residents who stayed — 22% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+13.7 on average — 47 points more Democratic-leaning than Lexington County, SC itself (R+33.5).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Richland County, SC3,183D+34.6
- Aiken County, SC213R+25.9
- Orangeburg County, SC176D+24.6
- Greenville County, SC142R+22.2
- Charleston County, SC138D+5.7
- Mecklenburg County, NC132D+32.7
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Richland County, SC2,753
- Aiken County, SC235
- Greenville County, SC217
- Newberry County, SC211
- Charleston County, SC199
- Mecklenburg County, NC183
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +1,658 |
| 2012 | +2,054 |
| 2013 | +2,034 |
| 2014 | +2,722 |
| 2015 | +2,914 |
| 2016 | +3,437 |
| 2017 | +2,964 |
| 2018 | +2,914 |
| 2019 | +3,398 |
| 2021 | +5,652 |
| 2022 | +3,859 |
| 2023 | +3,462 |
| 2024 | +2,394 |
| 2025 | +2,657 |
Lexington County sits just west of the state capital and has absorbed decades of suburban migration from Columbia, producing a reliably lopsided Republican tilt — the 2024 presidential margin landed at R+33.5 despite steady population growth.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 98.9 points in 1924 and a Republican high of 71.1 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 3.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 33.5 points.
A population of 304,887, a 70% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $77,408 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Shelby County and Coweta County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Lexington County, South Carolina. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/45063/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.