HarrisDemocratic28.8%33,087TrumpRepublican69.5%79,666KennedyIndependent0.6%649
R+40.6- Lead
- 46,579
- Total
- 114,698
- vs nation
- R+39.1
- Turnout
- 67.0%
Akashiccounty
Shelby County, AL
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the county’s overall result across 1876–2024.
President results by year
2024 turnout 67.0% of 171,591 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic28.9%33,268TrumpRepublican69.3%79,700JorgensenLibertarian1.3%1,462
R+40.4- Lead
- 46,432
- Total
- 114,950
- vs nation
- R+44.8
- Turnout
- 71.9%
ClintonDemocratic23.2%22,977TrumpRepublican73.8%73,020JohnsonLibertarian3.0%2,965
R+50.6- Lead
- 50,043
- Total
- 98,962
- vs nation
- R+52.7
- Turnout
- 68.2%
ObamaDemocratic21.7%20,051RomneyRepublican77.2%71,436OtherAll other candidates1.1%1,020
R+55.5- Lead
- 51,385
- Total
- 92,507
- vs nation
- R+59.4
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic22.8%20,625McCainRepublican76.2%69,060OtherAll other candidates1.1%958
R+53.4- Lead
- 48,435
- Total
- 90,643
- vs nation
- R+60.7
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic18.8%14,850BushRepublican80.4%63,435OtherAll other candidates0.8%621
R+61.6- Lead
- 48,585
- Total
- 78,906
- vs nation
- R+59.1
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic21.2%13,183BushRepublican76.7%47,651NaderGreen1.3%812
R+55.5- Lead
- 34,468
- Total
- 62,128
- vs nation
- R+56.0
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic22.2%11,280DoleRepublican73.1%37,090PerotReform4.0%2,035
R+50.8- Lead
- 25,810
- Total
- 50,773
- vs nation
- R+59.4
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+40.6MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 230,2112024 5-year
- Population density
- 293 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 786 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $97,9612024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 73.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 13.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 7.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+49.4 in 1940MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+75.7 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Cherokee County, GA · twin score 97.1
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 67.0%114,957 participants ÷ 171,591 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +28.4 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off versus state
- +2.9 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 38.6%–46.0%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 101,783 | 149,211 | 68.2% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 84,284 | 154,250 | 54.6% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 115,128 | 160,212 | 71.9% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 72,710 | 167,352 | 43.4% | C/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 114,957 | 171,591 | 67.0% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
presidential history
Party record book
Shelby County, AL · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1940
74.6%
2,777 votes · D+49.4
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1944 · 67.1%
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
81.2%
9,390 votes · R+65.2
Runner-up · George W. Bush, 2004 · 80.4%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
33,268votes
28.9% of the vote · R+40.4
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 33,087 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2020
79,700votes
69.3% of the vote · R+40.4
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 79,666 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1940
+39.5pts D vs U.S.
Place D+49.4 · U.S. D+9.9
Runner-up · Grover Cleveland, 1892 · +37.9 pts
Republican
Barry Goldwater1964
+98.2pts R vs U.S.
Place R+75.7 · U.S. D+22.6
Runner-up · John McCain, 2008 · +60.7 pts
U.S. House elections · 2 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2018 | 149,478 |
| 2020 | 165,412 |
| 2022 | 167,980 |
| 2024 | 178,361 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+1,717 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +20,761 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $75,666 in average income, against $116,882 for residents who stayed — 35% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+7.7 on average — 33 points more Democratic-leaning than Shelby County, AL itself (R+40.6).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Jefferson County, AL2,889D+10.4
- Chilton County, AL228R+72.0
- Tuscaloosa County, AL212R+20.3
- St. Clair County, AL195R+64.0
- Talladega County, AL158R+33.7
- Montgomery County, AL109D+30.6
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Jefferson County, AL2,379
- Chilton County, AL316
- St. Clair County, AL232
- Talladega County, AL149
- Madison County, AL140
- Tuscaloosa County, AL129
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +381 |
| 2012 | +1,648 |
| 2013 | +1,824 |
| 2014 | +1,046 |
| 2015 | +1,501 |
| 2016 | +1,040 |
| 2017 | +1,376 |
| 2018 | +1,037 |
| 2019 | +1,381 |
| 2021 | +3,091 |
| 2022 | +2,001 |
| 2023 | +2,000 |
| 2024 | +718 |
| 2025 | +1,717 |
Shelby County has added residents faster than almost any other Alabama county over the past two decades, drawing white-collar commuters from Birmingham. That suburban growth has yet to dent its heavily Republican presidential margins, which held above 40 points in 2024.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 49.4 points in 1940 and a Republican high of 75.7 points in 1964. The 2024 margin was 40.6 points.
A population of 230,211, a 73% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $97,961 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Cherokee County and Coweta County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Cherokee County
Georgia
97.1twin score
12-yr trend2000–2008 trajectory
Coweta County
Georgia
96.1twin score
12-yr trend2004–2008 trajectorymedian income≠ college share
Okaloosa County
Florida
92.8twin score
2000–2008 trajectory12-yr trend≠ college share
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Shelby County, Alabama. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/01117/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Frequently asked questions
How did Shelby County, Alabama vote in 2024?
In 2024, Shelby County, Alabama voted Republican by 40.6 points (R+40.6), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 114,698 votes cast, 33,087 went Democratic and 79,666 went Republican.
When did Shelby County, Alabama last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Shelby County, Alabama voted Democratic was 1960.
How many people live in Shelby County, Alabama?
Shelby County, Alabama has a population of 230,211 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Shelby County, Alabama?
Median household income in Shelby County, Alabama is $97,961 — above the national median of $80,734. The Alabama state median is $63,999.
What is the political history of Shelby County, Alabama?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Shelby County, Alabama from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 14 went Democratic and 21 went Republican.