- Lead
- 20,907
- Total
- 52,410
- vs nation
- R+38.4
- Turnout
- 47.4%
Jackson County, MS
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 47.4% of 110,484 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 18,920
- Total
- 54,543
- vs nation
- R+39.1
- Turnout
- 51.1%
- Lead
- 18,972
- Total
- 49,567
- vs nation
- R+40.4
- Turnout
- 47.6%
- Lead
- 18,448
- Total
- 53,655
- vs nation
- R+38.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 18,212
- Total
- 54,296
- vs nation
- R+40.8
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 19,562
- Total
- 51,075
- vs nation
- R+35.8
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 15,875
- Total
- 45,107
- vs nation
- R+35.7
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 11,320
- Total
- 41,625
- vs nation
- R+35.7
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+39.9MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 145,2492024 5-year
- Median household income
- $66,2012024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 66.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 18.9%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 7.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+86.9 in 1892MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+78.6 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Autauga County, AL · twin score 88.9
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 47.4%52,410 participants ÷ 110,484 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +21.1 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -6.8 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 26.4%–32.3%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 49,567 | 104,099 | 47.6% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 40,742 | 105,814 | 38.5% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 55,222 | 107,970 | 51.1% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 32,814 | 109,156 | 30.1% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 52,410 | 110,484 | 47.4% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
96 precincts · 52,410 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -East CentralEast Central | 324 | 3,989 | 23 | 4,336 | 7.5% | 92.0% | R+84.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -FontainebleauFontainebleau | 1,079 | 2,667 | 42 | 3,788 | 28.5% | 70.4% | R+41.9 |
| Precinct -West JacksonWest Jackson | 1,076 | 2,448 | 43 | 3,567 | 30.2% | 68.6% | R+38.5 |
| Precinct -OS Civic CtrOS Civic Ctr | 956 | 2,005 | 47 | 3,008 | 31.8% | 66.7% | R+34.9 |
| Precinct -LatimerLatimer | 494 | 2,296 | 32 | 2,822 | 17.5% | 81.4% | R+63.9 |
| Precinct -Grace Baptist ChurchGrace Baptist Church | 841 | 1,939 | 35 | 2,815 | 29.9% | 68.9% | R+39.0 |
| Precinct -South VancleaveSouth Vancleave | 207 | 2,170 | 17 | 2,394 | 8.6% | 90.6% | R+82.0 |
| Precinct -Gautier SouthGautier South | 943 | 1,370 | 26 | 2,339 | 40.3% | 58.6% | R+18.3 |
| Precinct -St MartinSt Martin | 607 | 1,678 | 29 | 2,314 | 26.2% | 72.5% | R+46.3 |
| Precinct -Gulf Park EstatesGulf Park Estates | 596 | 1,599 | 30 | 2,225 | 26.8% | 71.9% | R+45.1 |
| Precinct -EscatawpaEscatawpa | 480 | 1,492 | 16 | 1,988 | 24.1% | 75.1% | R+50.9 |
| Precinct -FairFair | 1,199 | 698 | 21 | 1,918 | 62.5% | 36.4% | D+26.1 |
| Precinct -North VancleaveNorth Vancleave | 253 | 1,494 | 16 | 1,763 | 14.4% | 84.7% | R+70.4 |
| Precinct -EastlawnEastlawn | 375 | 1,280 | 17 | 1,672 | 22.4% | 76.6% | R+54.1 |
| Precinct -Big PointBig Point | 113 | 1,461 | 13 | 1,587 | 7.1% | 92.1% | R+84.9 |
| Precinct -Ryan Youth CenterRyan Youth Center | 537 | 1,005 | 38 | 1,580 | 34.0% | 63.6% | R+29.6 |
| Precinct -Hickory HillsHickory Hills | 487 | 988 | 23 | 1,498 | 32.5% | 66.0% | R+33.4 |
| Precinct -Gautier NorthGautier North | 587 | 792 | 18 | 1,397 | 42.0% | 56.7% | R+14.7 |
| Precinct -Ingalls Avenue Baptist ChurchIngalls Avenue Baptist Church | 341 | 950 | 15 | 1,306 | 26.1% | 72.7% | R+46.6 |
| Precinct -Sue EllenSue Ellen | 1,203 | 55 | 8 | 1,266 | 95.0% | 4.3% | D+90.7 |
| Precinct -Jefferson StreetJefferson Street | 870 | 330 | 4 | 1,204 | 72.3% | 27.4% | D+44.9 |
| Precinct -YMBC-DantzlerYMBC-Dantzler | 630 | 397 | 6 | 1,033 | 61.0% | 38.4% | D+22.6 |
| Precinct -PresbyterianPresbyterian | 174 | 702 | 12 | 888 | 19.6% | 79.1% | R+59.5 |
| Precinct -Pelican LandingPelican Landing | 683 | 142 | 4 | 829 | 82.4% | 17.1% | D+65.3 |
| Precinct -Orange GroveOrange Grove | 102 | 702 | 4 | 808 | 12.6% | 86.9% | R+74.3 |
| Precinct -CartervilleCarterville | 22 | 411 | 5 | 438 | 5.0% | 93.8% | R+88.8 |
| Precinct -Villa MariaVilla Maria | 126 | 274 | 7 | 407 | 31.0% | 67.3% | R+36.4 |
| Precinct -Hwy 57Hwy 57 | 18 | 381 | 3 | 402 | 4.5% | 94.8% | R+90.3 |
| Precinct -North PascagoulaNorth Pascagoula | 58 | 273 | 6 | 337 | 17.2% | 81.0% | R+63.8 |
| Precinct -LarueLarue | 16 | 242 | 2 | 260 | 6.2% | 93.1% | R+86.9 |
| Precinct -OS Senior CtrOS Senior Ctr | 72 | 146 | 3 | 221 | 32.6% | 66.1% | R+33.5 |
| American Legion Voting District28_280590306 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Arlington A Voting District28_280590213 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Arlington Voting District28_28059212 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Big Point Voting District28_280590108 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Carterville Voting District28_280590511 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Chico A Voting District28_28059215 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Chico Voting District28_280590214 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| East Central Voting District28_280590105 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Eastlawn Voting District28_280590305 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Eastside Voting District28_28059207 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Escatawpa A Voting District28_280590111 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Escatawpa B Voting District28_280590112 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Escatawpa Voting District28_280590110 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Fair A Voting District28_280590210 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Fair B Voting District28_280590211 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Fair Voting District28_28059209 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Fountainbleau Voting District28_28059503 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Gautier A Voting District28_280590311 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Gautier B Voting District28_28059312 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Gautier C Voting District28_28059313 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Gautier Voting District28_28059310 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Girl Scout A Voting District28_280590217 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Girl Scout Voting District28_28059216 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Griffin Heights Voting District28_280590206 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Gulf Hills A Voting District28_280590405 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Gulf Hills B Voting District28_280590512 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Gulf Hills Voting District28_280590404 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Gulf Park Estates A Voting District28_28059513 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Gulf Park Estates Voting District28_28059504 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Helena Voting District28_280590109 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Hickory Hill Voting District28_28059501 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Hickory Hills A Voting District28_28059502 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Hwy 57 A Voting District28_280590101a | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Hwy 57 Voting District28_280590101 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Jefferson Street Voting District28_280590208 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Larue Voting District28_280590408 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Latimer Voting District28_280590407 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Nazarene Voting District28_280590303 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| North Pascagoula Voting District28_280590309 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| North Vancleave A Voting District28_280590102a | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| North Vancleave Voting District28_280590102 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Ocean Springs Armory Voting District28_28059403 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Ocean Springs Civic Center A Voting District28_280590506 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Ocean Springs Civic Center Voting District28_28059505 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Ocean Springs Comm Center Voting District28_280590402 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Orange Grove A Voting District28_280590114 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Orange Grove Voting District28_280590113 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Pinecrest A Voting District28_280590302 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Pinecrest Voting District28_28059301 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Presbyterian A Voting District28_28059308 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Presbyterian B Voting District28_28059314 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Presbyterian Voting District28_280590307 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Rec Center A Voting District28_280590204 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Rec Center Voting District28_280590203 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Red Hill A Voting District28_280590509a | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Red Hill Voting District28_280590509 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Sacred Heart Voting District28_280590304 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| South Vancleave A Voting District28_280590507a | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| South Vancleave Voting District28_280590507 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| St. Martin Voting District28_280590406 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Sue Ellen Voting District28_280590202 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Union Hall Voting District28_280590201 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Villia Maria Voting District28_280590401 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Wade A Voting District28_280590106 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| YMBC/Dantzler Voting District28_280590205 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +86.9% |
| 1896 | +54.7% |
| 1900 | +43.4% |
| 1904 | +78.2% |
| 1908 | +69.2% |
| 1912 | +81.6% |
| 1916 | +77.0% |
| 1920 | +65.0% |
| 1924 | +72.8% |
| 1928 | +38.0% |
| 1932 | +85.2% |
| 1936 | +86.5% |
| 1940 | +84.9% |
| 1944 | +85.0% |
| 1948 | +14.7% |
| 1952 | +31.3% |
| 1956 | +17.2% |
| 1960 | +29.8% |
| 1964 | −65.5% |
| 1968 | −3.5% |
| 1972 | −78.6% |
| 1976 | −14.9% |
| 1980 | −28.6% |
| 1984 | −53.9% |
| 1988 | −48.3% |
| 1992 | −27.4% |
| 1996 | −27.2% |
| 2000 | −35.2% |
| 2004 | −38.3% |
| 2008 | −33.5% |
| 2012 | −34.4% |
| 2016 | −38.3% |
| 2020 | −34.7% |
| 2024 | −39.9% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 88,135 |
| 2018 | 92,615 |
| 2020 | 97,577 |
| 2022 | 93,508 |
| 2024 | 100,434 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+656 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +2,755 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $57,976 in average income, against $72,002 for residents who stayed — 19% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+28.5 on average — 11 points more Democratic-leaning than Jackson County, MS itself (R+39.9).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Harrison County, MS1,013R+28.9
- Mobile County, AL247R+16.4
- George County, MS124R+78.8
- Baldwin County, AL51R+58.0
- Forrest County, MS49R+17.9
- Lamar County, MS44R+48.8
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Harrison County, MS963
- Mobile County, AL262
- George County, MS143
- Forrest County, MS57
- Harris County, TX56
- Hancock County, MS45
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −103 |
| 2012 | −730 |
| 2013 | −42 |
| 2014 | +430 |
| 2015 | −683 |
| 2016 | −355 |
| 2017 | +102 |
| 2018 | +194 |
| 2019 | +262 |
| 2021 | +1,142 |
| 2022 | +595 |
| 2023 | +749 |
| 2024 | +538 |
| 2025 | +656 |
Anchored by Pascagoula's shipbuilding economy and a largely white coastal population, Jackson County has shifted steadily rightward over two decades, landing at an R+39.9 margin in 2024 — one of the widest gaps on Mississippi's coast.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 86.9 points in 1892 and a Republican high of 78.6 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 5.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 39.9 points.
A population of 145,249, a 66% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $66,201 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Autauga County and Rankin County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Jackson County, Mississippi. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/28059/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.