Mississippi 4th Congressional District, Mississippi: Old Confederacy district. In 2024, voted R+43%. Democratic peak: D+87 in 1936.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+43MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- Old ConfederacyAkashic typology
- Population
- 752,3892024 5-year
- Median household income
- $60,2332024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 67.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 21.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 5.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+87 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+72 in 1972MIT Election Lab
Predecessors: PALAZZO, Steven (2021–2023), PALAZZO, Steven (2019–2021), PALAZZO, Steven (2017–2019), PALAZZO, Steven (2015–2017)
Source · Voteview / Lewis, Poole, Rosenthal et al. (CC-BY).
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 83,021 | 208,864 | 295,285 | ||
| R | 91,484 | 207,209 | 303,381 | ||
| R | 75,007 | 186,360 | 267,896 | ||
| R | 86,115 | 188,589 | 277,993 | ||
| R | 83,598 | 184,923 | 271,235 | ||
| R | 78,152 | 175,774 | 255,777 | ||
| R | 70,901 | 143,589 | 218,804 | ||
| R | 68,174 | 108,979 | 192,867 | ||
| R | 66,703 | 112,899 | 208,974 | ||
| R | 58,335 | 137,048 | 198,049 | ||
| R | 50,717 | 138,857 | 190,480 | ||
| R | 70,165 | 102,050 | 176,582 | ||
| R | 70,243 | 78,910 | 154,075 | ||
| R | 17,374 | 114,727 | 134,628 | ||
| O | 16,306 | 19,639 | 120,431 | ||
| R | 14,436 | 69,519 | 83,955 | ||
| D | 27,428 | 16,912 | 61,868 | ||
| D | 24,958 | 17,652 | 47,881 | ||
| D | 30,404 | 23,272 | 53,675 | ||
| O | 3,379 | 1,312 | 33,849 | ||
| D | 26,524 | 2,211 | 28,735 | ||
| D | 24,449 | 1,762 | 26,238 | ||
| D | 21,672 | 1,504 | 23,308 | ||
| D | 18,753 | 1,270 | 20,318 | ||
| D | 14,089 | 8,619 | 22,708 | ||
| D | 12,790 | 1,825 | 15,560 | ||
| D | 6,811 | 1,604 | 8,847 | ||
| D | 8,931 | 880 | 10,295 | ||
| D | 6,023 | 194 | 7,410 | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| D | 3,095 | 940 | 4,140 | ||
| D | 3,754 | 371 | 4,286 | ||
| D | 2,330 | 62 | 2,691 | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — |
U.S. Senate
| Year | Won | D % | R % | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 37.2% | 62.8% | 1,215,401 |
| 2020 | R | 44.1% | 54.1% | 1,311,354 |
| 2018 | R | 39.5% | 58.5% | 936,215 |
| 2014 | R | 37.9% | 59.9% | 631,858 |
| 2012 | R | 40.6% | 57.2% | 1,241,568 |
| 2008 | R | 38.6% | 61.4% | 1,247,026 |
| 2006 | R | 34.9% | 63.6% | 610,921 |
| 2002 | R | 0.0% | 84.6% | 630,495 |
| 2000 | R | 31.6% | 65.9% | 994,144 |
| 1996 | R | 27.4% | 71.0% | 878,662 |
| 1994 | R | 31.2% | 68.8% | 608,085 |
| 1990 | R | 0.0% | 100.0% | 274,244 |
| 1988 | R | 46.1% | 53.9% | 946,719 |
| 1984 | R | 39.1% | 60.9% | 952,240 |
| 1982 | D | 64.2% | 35.8% | 645,026 |
| 1978 | R | 31.8% | 45.3% | 590,236 |
| 1976 | D | 100.0% | 0.0% | 554,433 |
Demographics
Mississippi's 4th stretches across the southern half of the state, anchored by the Gulf Coast and Hattiesburg, and has delivered Republican presidential margins above 40 points in recent cycles, reflecting deep structural conservatism in its rural and exurban electorate.
The shift began with civil rights. 1964 marked the realignment in Mississippi 4th Congressional District, by a sixty-six points margin. The Republican margin reached its widest at seventy-two points in 1972. The 2024 margin was forty-three points.
The political shift has tracked, in Mississippi 4th Congressional District, the political shift of the South more broadly. A 68% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $60,233, and a 17% poverty rate describe the demographic context.
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Congressional District 4, Mississippi. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/2804/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.