- Lead
- 4,594
- Total
- 7,919
- vs nation
- R+56.5
- Turnout
- 53.6%
Stone County, MS
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 53.6% of 14,761 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 4,162
- Total
- 7,878
- vs nation
- R+57.3
- Turnout
- 56.2%
- Lead
- 3,733
- Total
- 7,045
- vs nation
- R+55.1
- Turnout
- 51.1%
- Lead
- 3,417
- Total
- 7,532
- vs nation
- R+49.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 3,153
- Total
- 7,246
- vs nation
- R+50.8
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,618
- Total
- 5,735
- vs nation
- R+43.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,025
- Total
- 5,523
- vs nation
- R+37.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 737
- Total
- 4,281
- vs nation
- R+25.7
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+58.0MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 18,8942024 5-year
- Median household income
- $61,4132024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 75.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 17.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+93.3 in 1940MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+81.7 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Bradford County, FL · twin score 92.0
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 53.6%7,919 participants ÷ 14,761 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +22.7 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off versus state
- -5.1 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 30.9%–36.9%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 7,045 | 13,777 | 51.1% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 5,761 | 14,263 | 40.4% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 8,013 | 14,268 | 56.2% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 4,800 | 14,366 | 33.4% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 7,919 | 14,761 | 53.6% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
30 precincts · 7,919 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -Tuxechana-SunflowerTuxechana-Sunflower | 96 | 1,037 | 12 | 1,145 | 8.4% | 90.6% | R+82.2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -Flint CreekFlint Creek | 132 | 715 | 6 | 853 | 15.5% | 83.8% | R+68.3 |
| Precinct -McHenry Community CenterMcHenry Community Center | 178 | 589 | 14 | 781 | 22.8% | 75.4% | R+52.6 |
| Precinct -New HopeNew Hope | 456 | 232 | 6 | 694 | 65.7% | 33.4% | D+32.3 |
| Precinct -Big LevelBig Level | 87 | 559 | 6 | 652 | 13.3% | 85.7% | R+72.4 |
| Precinct -Fairgrounds Exhibit BldgFairgrounds Exhibit Bldg | 294 | 321 | 9 | 624 | 47.1% | 51.4% | R+4.3 |
| Precinct -Critz StreetCritz Street | 84 | 414 | 8 | 506 | 16.6% | 81.8% | R+65.2 |
| Precinct -Justice CourtJustice Court | 93 | 371 | 7 | 471 | 19.7% | 78.8% | R+59.0 |
| Precinct -Elarbee-Silver RunElarbee-Silver Run | 32 | 375 | 2 | 409 | 7.8% | 91.7% | R+83.9 |
| Precinct -McHenry LibraryMcHenry Library | 28 | 374 | 4 | 406 | 6.9% | 92.1% | R+85.2 |
| Precinct -MagnoliaMagnolia | 25 | 378 | 1 | 404 | 6.2% | 93.6% | R+87.4 |
| Precinct -PerkinstonPerkinston | 55 | 246 | 3 | 304 | 18.1% | 80.9% | R+62.8 |
| Precinct -National GuardNational Guard | 25 | 262 | 5 | 292 | 8.6% | 89.7% | R+81.2 |
| Precinct -Ramsey SpringsRamsey Springs | 26 | 226 | 0 | 252 | 10.3% | 89.7% | R+79.4 |
| Precinct -BondBond | 9 | 115 | 2 | 126 | 7.1% | 91.3% | R+84.1 |
| American Legion Voting District28_28131201 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Big Level Voting District28_28131502 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Bond Voting District28_28131101 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Courthouse Voting District28_28131102 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Elarbee Voting District28_28131302 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Flint Creek Voting District28_28131501 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Magnolia Voting District28_28131304 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| McHenry Fire Station Voting District28_28131403 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| McHenry Library Voting District28_28131303 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Old Hospital Voting District28_28131103 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Perkinston Voting District28_28131301 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Pleasant Hill Voting District28_28131503 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Project Road Voting District28_28131203 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Ten Mile Voting District28_28131402 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Tuxachanie Voting District28_28131401 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1916–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1916 | +86.2% |
| 1920 | +88.4% |
| 1924 | +76.1% |
| 1928 | −25.6% |
| 1932 | +85.6% |
| 1936 | +93.1% |
| 1940 | +93.3% |
| 1944 | +91.7% |
| 1948 | +2.9% |
| 1952 | +25.8% |
| 1956 | +40.1% |
| 1960 | +4.7% |
| 1964 | −81.7% |
| 1968 | +2.1% |
| 1972 | −78.0% |
| 1976 | +2.2% |
| 1980 | −1.7% |
| 1984 | −42.8% |
| 1988 | −34.6% |
| 1992 | −20.1% |
| 1996 | −17.2% |
| 2000 | −36.7% |
| 2004 | −45.6% |
| 2008 | −43.5% |
| 2012 | −45.4% |
| 2016 | −53.0% |
| 2020 | −52.8% |
| 2024 | −58.0% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 11,328 |
| 2018 | 11,226 |
| 2020 | 11,804 |
| 2022 | 11,766 |
| 2024 | 12,586 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+246 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +1,656 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $49,511 in average income, against $62,975 for residents who stayed — 21% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+33.4 on average — 25 points more Democratic-leaning than Stone County, MS itself (R+58.0).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Harrison County, MS167R+28.9
- Jackson County, MS34R+39.9
- Forrest County, MS25R+17.9
- George County, MS20R+78.8
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Harrison County, MS126
- Jackson County, MS35
- Forrest County, MS26
- Pearl River County, MS24
- Lamar County, MS20
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −47 |
| 2012 | +137 |
| 2013 | −130 |
| 2014 | +88 |
| 2015 | +95 |
| 2016 | −83 |
| 2017 | +392 |
| 2018 | −647 |
| 2019 | +302 |
| 2021 | +511 |
| 2022 | +130 |
| 2023 | +143 |
| 2024 | +519 |
| 2025 | +246 |
Stone County's 13,600 residents have delivered Republican presidential margins exceeding 55 points in recent cycles, making it one of Mississippi's most lopsided rural counties despite sitting within range of the more economically diverse Gulf Coast corridor.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 93.3 points in 1940 and a Republican high of 81.7 points in 1964. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 5.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 58.0 points.
A population of 18,894, a 75% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $61,413 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Bradford County and Greene County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Stone County, Mississippi. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/28131/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.