Akashic

county

Smith County, MS

Office (updates table and map)

President margin by year

Place winner margin

1892–2024 · D minus R

Full record · 1892 → 2024

2024

Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab

People and households

Who lives here

Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.

Race · ethnicity · ancestry

Communities and origins

American44.6%10.0%5.3%

English6.9%10.6%9.5%

Irish5.2%7.4%9.4%

German2.2%5.1%12.5%

Scotch-Irish0.7%1.0%—

Scottish0.6%1.6%1.3%

Dutch0.5%——

French0.3%1.7%1.6%

African American†22.9%35.3%9.9%

Mexican1.0%1.9%11.3%

Puerto Rican0.2%0.3%1.8%

Honduran0.2%0.2%0.3%

Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.

Age and life stage

Measure	Smith County	Mississippi	United States
Median age	43.5	38.6	39.1
Age 18–24	7.8%	9.7%	9.2%
Age 65 and older	20.9%	17.3%	17.2%

Household economy

Measure	Smith County	Mississippi	United States
Median household income	$60,916	$56,447	$84,427
Poverty rate	17.0%	19.0%	12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)	15.6%	25.3%	35.6%

Languages at home

Measure	Smith County	Mississippi	United States
Speaks a non-English language at home	2.7%	4.3%	22.3%
Spanish	2.2%	2.7%	13.6%

Religious landscape

Measure	Smith County	Mississippi	United States
Catholic	—	3.4%	18.6%
Evangelical Protestant	39.9%	39.0%	16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted	55.1%	40.7%	51.5%

American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.

President results by year

2024 turnout 71.3% of 10,769 citizens 18+

HarrisDemocratic19.4%1,486TrumpRepublican80.1%6,146KennedyIndependent0.3%20

R+60.7

Lead: 4,660
Total: 7,676
vs nation: R+59.2
Turnout: 71.3%

BidenDemocratic21.5%1,791TrumpRepublican77.6%6,458JorgensenLibertarian0.4%33

R+56.0

Lead: 4,667
Total: 8,327
vs nation: R+60.5
Turnout: 68.5%

ClintonDemocratic21.2%1,617TrumpRepublican77.7%5,928JohnsonLibertarian0.7%51

R+56.5

Lead: 4,311
Total: 7,627
vs nation: R+58.6
Turnout: 62.4%

ObamaDemocratic24.4%1,979RomneyRepublican74.7%6,049OtherAll other candidates0.9%71

R+50.3

Lead: 4,070
Total: 8,099
vs nation: R+54.1
Turnout: —

ObamaDemocratic23.7%1,968McCainRepublican75.4%6,265OtherAll other candidates0.9%72

R+51.7

Lead: 4,297
Total: 8,305
vs nation: R+59.0
Turnout: —

KerryDemocratic21.0%1,496BushRepublican78.3%5,577OtherAll other candidates0.7%47

R+57.3

Lead: 4,081
Total: 7,120
vs nation: R+54.9
Turnout: —

GoreDemocratic24.8%1,620BushRepublican74.1%4,838NaderGreen0.4%26

R+49.3

Lead: 3,218
Total: 6,528
vs nation: R+49.8
Turnout: —

ClintonDemocratic32.2%1,858DoleRepublican58.5%3,371PerotReform9.1%522

R+26.2

Lead: 1,513
Total: 5,765
vs nation: R+34.8
Turnout: —

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: R+60.7MIT Election Lab
Population: 14,1322024 5-year
Median household income: $60,9162024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 73.3%2024 5-year
Black: 23.0%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 1.7%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin: D+99.2 in 1896MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+88.9 in 1964MIT Election Lab
Most similar: Perry County, MS · twin score 92.5

Participation

Midterm durability

Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.

2024 total turnout: 71.3%7,676 participants ÷ 10,769 CVAP
2020→2022 drop-off: +27.5 ptsPresidential-dependent
Drop-off versus state: -0.4 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Mechanical 2026 scenario: 43.8%–51.3%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast

Election	Participants	CVAP	Turnout	Quality
2016 · Presidential	7,627	12,219	62.4%	A/A
2018 · Midterm	6,078	12,138	50.1%	A/A
2020 · Presidential	8,327	12,157	68.5%	C/A
2022 · Midterm	4,497	10,975	41.0%	A/A
2024 · Presidential	7,676	10,769	71.3%	A/A

Sources and methods

2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
2020: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 152/2.
2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.

Precinct data

Results by precinct

37 precincts · 7,676 votes

Election

Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.

Smith County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024

Precinct -Zion Hill-New HavenZion Hill-New Haven	134	649	5	788	17.0%	82.4%	R+65.4
Precinct -TaylorsvilleTaylorsville	70	697	3	770	9.1%	90.5%	R+81.4
Precinct -North RaleighNorth Raleigh	215	368	6	589	36.5%	62.5%	R+26.0
Precinct -SummerlandSummerland	341	214	3	558	61.1%	38.4%	D+22.8
Precinct -MizeMize	28	515	5	548	5.1%	94.0%	R+88.9
Precinct -Ag-ComplexAg-Complex	44	464	1	509	8.6%	91.2%	R+82.5
Precinct -PolkvillePolkville	19	433	3	455	4.2%	95.2%	R+91.0
Precinct -Center RidgeCenter Ridge	28	393	1	422	6.6%	93.1%	R+86.5
Precinct -Union-New HomeUnion-New Home	100	318	4	422	23.7%	75.4%	R+51.7
Precinct -Shady GroveShady Grove	10	400	3	413	2.4%	96.9%	R+94.4
Precinct -Lorena-SophiaLorena-Sophia	45	290	0	335	13.4%	86.6%	R+73.1
Precinct -Warren HillWarren Hill	284	48	3	335	84.8%	14.3%	D+70.4
Precinct -West RaleighWest Raleigh	18	315	1	334	5.4%	94.3%	R+88.9
Precinct -White OakWhite Oak	11	304	1	316	3.5%	96.2%	R+92.7
Precinct -Clear Springs-PinevilleClear Springs-Pineville	15	269	2	286	5.2%	94.1%	R+88.8
Precinct -BurnsBurns	72	189	2	263	27.4%	71.9%	R+44.5
Precinct -SylvarenaSylvarena	13	167	0	180	7.2%	92.8%	R+85.6
Precinct -Cedar GroveCedar Grove	39	113	1	153	25.5%	73.9%	R+48.4
Ag Complex Voting District28_28129103	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Burns Voting District28_28129502	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Cedar Grove Voting District28_28129505	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Center Ridge Voting District28_28129101	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Clear Springs-Pineville Voting District28_28129503	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Lorena-Spinola Voting District28_28129504	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Mize Voting District28_28129303	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
North Raleigh Voting District28_28129501	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Polkville 77 Voting District28_28129404	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Polkville 79 Voting District28_28129405	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Shady Grove Voting District28_28129402	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Summerland Voting District28_28129202	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Sylvarena Voting District28_28129102	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Taylorsville Voting District28_28129302	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Union-New Home Voting District28_28129201	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Warren Hill Voting District28_28129203	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
West Raleigh Voting District28_28129401	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
White Oak Voting District28_28129403	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Zion Hill-New Haven Voting District28_28129301	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes

presidential history

Presidential margin, 1892–2024

Democratic minus Republican, by election

Presidential margin over time
Year	Margin (D minus R)
1892	+77.6%
1896	+99.2%
1900	+76.1%
1904	+91.5%
1908	+88.8%
1912	+91.8%
1916	+94.2%
1920	+56.0%
1924	+88.9%
1928	+55.2%
1932	+97.7%
1936	+97.9%
1940	+97.0%
1944	+87.4%
1948	+11.8%
1952	+51.2%
1956	+69.9%
1960	+41.2%
1964	−88.9%
1968	−1.6%
1972	−85.5%
1976	−12.4%
1980	−20.5%
1984	−52.8%
1988	−46.3%
1992	−31.5%
1996	−26.2%
2000	−49.3%
2004	−57.3%
2008	−51.7%
2012	−50.3%
2016	−56.5%
2020	−56.0%
2024	−60.7%

DemocraticRepublican

38 presidential elections

Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle; not shown when either cycle is estimated or under source review. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year	Won	Democratic	Republican	Other	Margin	Swing	vs U.S.	Total
2024	R	19.4%Harris1,486	80.1%Trump6,146	0.3%Kennedy20 +6	R+60.7	R+4.7	R+59.2	7,676
All 9 candidates in 2024 · 7 minor / independent Donald J TrumpRepublican80.1%6,146 Kamala D HarrisDemocratic19.4%1,486 Robert F KennedyIndependent0.3%20 Randall TerryIndependent0.1%8 Chase OliverLibertarian0.1%7 Jill SteinIndependent0.0%3 Peter SonskiIndependent0.0%3 Shiva AyyaduraiIndependent0.0%2 Claudia De La CruzIndependent0.0%1
2020	R	21.5%Biden1,791	77.6%Trump6,458	0.4%Jorgensen33	R+56.0	D+0.5	R+60.5	8,327
2016	R	21.2%Clinton1,617	77.7%Trump5,928	0.7%Johnson51	R+56.5	R+6.3	R+58.6	7,627
2012	R	24.4%Obama1,979	74.7%Romney6,049	0.9%	R+50.3	D+1.5	R+54.1	8,099
2008	R	23.7%Obama1,968	75.4%McCain6,265	0.9%	R+51.7	D+5.6	R+59.0	8,305
2004	R	21.0%Kerry1,496	78.3%Bush5,577	0.7%	R+57.3	R+8.0	R+54.9	7,120
2000	R	24.8%Gore1,620	74.1%Bush4,838	0.4%Nader26	R+49.3	R+23.1	R+49.8	6,528
1996	R	32.2%Clinton1,858	58.5%Dole3,371	9.1%Perot522	R+26.2	D+5.3	R+34.8	5,765
1992	R	29.0%Clinton1,968	60.5%Bush4,106	10.0%Perot680	R+31.5	D+14.9	R+37.1	6,788
1988	R	26.4%Dukakis1,660	72.8%Bush4,573	0.8%	R+46.3	D+6.5	R+38.6	6,285
1984	R	23.4%Mondale1,573	76.2%Reagan5,116	0.3%	R+52.8	R+32.3	R+34.6	6,710
1980	R	39.0%Carter2,474	59.5%Reagan3,772	1.5%	R+20.5	R+8.1	R+10.7	6,340
1976	R	42.3%Carter2,434	54.7%Ford3,147	2.9%	R+12.4	D+73.1	R+14.5	5,748
1972	R	6.9%McGovern329	92.4%Nixon4,419	0.8%	R+85.5	R+83.8	R+62.3	4,785
1968	O	6.8%Humphrey352	8.5%Nixon437	84.7%	Wallace +76.2	D+87.2	R+1.0	5,156
1964	R	5.6%Johnson238	94.4%Goldwater4,045	0.0%	R+88.9	R+130.1	R+111.5	4,283
1960	D	53.2%Kennedy1,568	12.0%Nixon353	34.8%	D+41.2	R+28.7	D+41.1	2,946
1956	D	80.8%Stevenson2,055	10.9%Eisenhower277	8.3%	D+69.9	D+18.7	D+85.3	2,543
1952	D	75.6%Stevenson2,288	24.4%Eisenhower738	0.0%	D+51.2	D+39.5	D+62.0	3,026
1948	O	13.2%Truman295	1.5%Dewey33	85.3%	Thurmond +72.1	R+75.7	D+7.3	2,229
1944	D	93.7%Roosevelt2,456	6.3%Dewey165	0.0%	D+87.4	R+9.6	D+79.9	2,621
1940	D	98.5%Roosevelt1,826	1.5%Willkie27	0.1%	D+97.0	R+0.9	D+87.1	1,854
1936	D	98.9%Roosevelt1,676	1.0%Landon17	0.1%	D+97.9	D+0.2	D+73.7	1,694
1932	D	98.8%Roosevelt1,576	1.1%Hoover17	0.1%	D+97.7	D+42.6	D+80.0	1,595
1928	D	77.6%Smith1,450	22.4%Hoover419	0.0%	D+55.2	R+33.7	D+72.6	1,869
1924	D	93.1%Davis1,081	4.2%Coolidge49	2.7%	D+88.9	D+32.9	D+114.1	1,161
1920	D	77.1%Cox968	21.1%Harding265	1.8%	D+56.0	R+38.3	D+82.2	1,256
1916	D	96.5%Wilson1,271	2.3%Hughes30	1.2%	D+94.2	D+2.4	D+91.1	1,317
1912	D	93.1%Wilson854	1.3%Taft12	5.6%	D+91.8	D+3.0	D+72.3	917
1908	D	92.8%Bryan712	4.0%Taft31	3.1%	D+88.8	R+2.7	D+98.3	767
1904	D	94.3%Parker696	2.8%Roosevelt21	2.8%	D+91.5	D+15.3	D+111.1	738
1900	D	88.0%Bryan542	11.9%McKinley73	0.2%	D+76.1	R+23.0	D+83.7	616
1896	D	99.3%Bryan1,077	0.1%McKinley1	0.6%	D+99.2	D+21.5	D+105.2	1,085
1892	D	79.4%Cleveland547	1.7%Harrison12	18.9%	D+77.6	—	D+76.0	689
1888	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1884	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1880	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1876	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—

Federal and statewide elections · 3 House · 37 Senate · 4 Senate special · 9 governor

U.S. House

Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Akashic actual-race rollup from certified returns, House; geographic aggregation.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	R	0.0%0	100.0%6,940	6,940
2020	R	20.5%1,652	79.5%6,417	8,069
2018	R	23.4%1,383	76.6%4,527	5,910

U.S. Senate

Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	R	19.1%1,458	80.9%6,158	7,616
2020Class II	R	23.8%Mike Espy1,977	74.6%Cindy Hyde-Smith6,202	8,309
2018Class I	R	22.2%David Baria1,298	75.2%Roger Wicker4,394	5,844
2014Class II	R	29.7%Travis Childers1,276	67.3%Thad Cochran2,890	4,292
2012Class I	R	23.5%Albert N. Gore1,881	74.0%Roger Wicker5,930	8,015
2008Class II	R	21.7%Erik R. Fleming1,765	78.3%Thad Cochran6,369	8,134
2006Class I	R	18.1%Erik R. Fleming720	80.5%Trent Lott3,200	3,977
2002Class II	R	0.0%None0	91.7%Thad Cochran5,075	5,537
2000Class I	R	16.7%Troy Brown1,124	81.2%Trent Lott5,464	6,731
1996Class II	R	20.0%James W. Hunt1,206	78.7%Thad Cochran4,747	6,031
1994Class I	R	21.6%Ken Harper933	78.4%Trent Lott3,378	4,311
1990Class II	R	0.0%None0	100.0%Thad Cochran1,617	1,617
1988Class I	R	35.4%Wayne Dowdy2,409	64.6%Trent Lott4,393	6,802
1984Class II	R	23.7%William D. Winter1,643	76.3%Thad Cochran5,295	6,938
1982Class I	D	53.2%John C. Stennis2,507	46.8%Haley Barbour2,202	4,709
1978Class II	R	42.6%Maurice Dantin1,855	47.0%Thad Cochran2,047	4,355
1976Class I	D	100.0%John C. Stennis4,386	0.0%None0	4,386
1972Class II	D	47.2%James Eastland2,409	32.8%Gil Carmichael1,676	5,109
1970Class I	D	96.4%John C. Stennis3,037	0.0%None0	3,150
1966Class II	R	32.9%James Eastland1,314	66.4%Prentiss Walker2,654	3,999
1964Class I	—	0.0%John C. Stennis0	0.0%None0	3,036
1960Class II	D	95.3%James Eastland2,431	4.7%Joe A. Moore121	2,552
1958Class I	D	100.0%John C. Stennis950	0.0%None0	950
1954Class II	D	95.3%James Eastland1,189	4.7%James A White58	1,247
1952Class I	D	100.0%John C. Stennis2,400	0.0%None0	2,400
1948Class II	D	100.0%James Eastland1,468	0.0%None0	1,468
1946Class I	D	100.0%Theodore Bilbo574	0.0%None0	574
1942Class II	D	100.0%James Eastland616	0.0%None0	616
1940Class I	—	0.0%Theodore Bilbo0	0.0%None0	1,645
1936Class II	D	100.0%Pat Harrison1,509	0.0%None0	1,509
1934Class I	D	100.0%Theodore Bilbo788	0.0%None0	788
1930Class II	D	100.0%Pat Harrison473	0.0%None0	473
1928Class I	D	100.0%Hubert Stephens1,274	0.0%None0	1,274
1924Class II	D	100.0%Pat Harrison1,015	0.0%None0	1,015
1922Class I	D	69.4%Hubert Stephens1,420	3.2%John Cook66	2,047
1918Class II	D	100.0%Pat Harrison121	0.0%None0	121
1916Class I	D	100.0%John S. Williams1,124	0.0%None0	1,124

U.S. Senate special elections

Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2018Special · Class II	R	26.4%Mike Espy1,496	73.6%Cindy Hyde-Smith4,180	5,676
2008Special · Class I	R	32.1%Ronnie Musgrove2,595	67.9%Roger Wicker5,480	8,075
1947Special · Class I	—	0.0%John C. Stennis0	0.0%L.R. Collins0	2,607
1941Special · Class II	D	46.8%Wall Doxey809	0.0%None0	1,728

Governor

Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2015	R	17.4%Robert Gray1,003	81.2%Phil Bryant4,680	5,761
2011	R	23.5%Johnny DuPree1,651	76.5%Phil Bryant5,377	7,028
2007	R	38.2%John Arthur Eaves Jr.2,251	61.8%Haley Barbour3,640	5,891
2003	R	34.8%Ronnie Musgrove2,482	63.1%Haley Barbour4,499	7,126
1995	R	28.5%Dick Molpus1,918	71.5%Kirk Fordice4,805	6,723
1991	R	27.3%Ray Mabus1,652	71.4%Kirk Fordice4,321	6,052
1987	R	41.8%Ray Mabus2,473	58.2%Jack Reed3,443	5,916
1983	D	58.0%William Allain3,544	37.9%Leon Bramlett2,317	6,115
1979	D	58.9%William F. Winter3,242	41.1%Gil Carmichael2,263	5,505

voter registration

Registered voters

Total registered voters, over time

Registered voters

Voter registration in Smith County, MS
Year	Total registered
2016	11,198
2018	11,264
2020	11,744
2022	11,193
2024	11,248

domestic migration

Who moves in and out

Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote

−13 net domestic migration · 2025

20112025

Net −799 over 2011–2025 · gain loss

Arrivals reported $44,859 in average income, against $59,579 for residents who stayed — 25% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)

The places arrivals came from lean R+33.9 on average — 27 points more Democratic-leaning than Smith County, MS itself (R+60.7).

Where arrivals came from lean of each source

Jones County, MS46R+46.8
Simpson County, MS36R+36.7
Covington County, MS32R+33.3
Scott County, MS31R+24.0
Jasper County, MS23R+5.0
Rankin County, MS22R+47.1

Where departures went households, 2022–23

Simpson County, MS39
Jones County, MS36
Covington County, MS35
Rankin County, MS30
Scott County, MS27

Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.

Domestic migration in Smith County, MS in Smith County, MS: net domestic migration by year
Year	Net domestic migration
2011	−42
2012	−204
2013	−128
2014	−29
2015	−117
2016	−138
2017	+100
2018	−85
2019	−122
2021	+27
2022	−58
2023	+38
2024	−28
2025	−13

Smith County's small, rural population has delivered lopsided Republican margins for over a decade, with the 2024 presidential result landing at R+60.7 — among the widest gaps recorded in the state.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 99.2 points in 1896 and a Republican high of 88.9 points in 1964. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 4.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 60.7 points.

A population of 14,132, a 73% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $60,916 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Perry County and Casey County.

Political twins — counties

The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Perry County

Mississippi

92.5twin score

2004–2024 trajectoryAmerican ancestry≠ Irish ancestry

Casey County

Kentucky

89.1twin score

2000–2008 trajectoryAmerican ancestry≠ % Black

Garrard County

Kentucky

88.6twin score

2008–2024 trajectoryAmerican ancestry≠ % Black

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

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Mississippi at the ballot boxAll elections →

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Frequently asked questions

How did Smith County, Mississippi vote in 2024?

In 2024, Smith County, Mississippi voted Republican by 60.7 points (R+60.7), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 7,676 votes cast, 1,486 went Democratic and 6,146 went Republican.

When did Smith County, Mississippi last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Smith County, Mississippi voted Democratic was 1960.

How many people live in Smith County, Mississippi?

Smith County, Mississippi has a population of 14,132 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Smith County, Mississippi?

Median household income in Smith County, Mississippi is $60,916 — below the national median of $80,734. The Mississippi state median is $56,447.

What is the political history of Smith County, Mississippi?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Smith County, Mississippi from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 17 went Democratic and 15 went Republican.

Measure

Smith County

Mississippi

United States

Median age

43.5

38.6

39.1

Age 18–24

7.8%

9.7%

9.2%

Age 65 and older

20.9%

17.3%

17.2%

Measure

Smith County

Mississippi

United States

Median household income

$60,916

$56,447

$84,427

Poverty rate

17.0%

19.0%

12.5%

Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)

15.6%

25.3%

35.6%

Measure

Smith County

Mississippi

United States

Speaks a non-English language at home

2.7%

4.3%

22.3%

Spanish

2.2%

2.7%

13.6%

Measure

Smith County

Mississippi

United States

Catholic

—

3.4%

18.6%

Evangelical Protestant

39.9%

39.0%

16.5%

Unclaimed / not counted

55.1%

40.7%

51.5%

Key facts

2024 presidential margin

R+60.7MIT Election Lab

Population

14,1322024 5-year

Median household income

$60,9162024 5-year

White (non-Hispanic)

73.3%2024 5-year

Black

23.0%2024 5-year

Hispanic / Latino

1.7%2024 5-year

Peak Democratic margin

D+99.2 in 1896MIT Election Lab

Peak Republican margin

R+88.9 in 1964MIT Election Lab

Most similar

Perry County, MS · twin score 92.5

Election

Participants

CVAP

Turnout

Quality

2016 · Presidential

7,627

12,219

62.4%

A/A

2018 · Midterm

6,078

12,138

50.1%

A/A

2020 · Presidential

8,327

12,157

68.5%

C/A

2022 · Midterm

4,497

10,975

41.0%

A/A

2024 · Presidential

7,676

10,769

71.3%

A/A

Smith County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024

Precinct -Zion Hill-New HavenZion Hill-New Haven

134

649

788

17.0%

82.4%

R+65.4

Precinct -TaylorsvilleTaylorsville

697

770

9.1%

90.5%

R+81.4

Precinct -North RaleighNorth Raleigh

215

368

589

36.5%

62.5%

R+26.0

Precinct -SummerlandSummerland

341

214

558

61.1%

38.4%

D+22.8

Precinct -MizeMize

515

548

5.1%

94.0%

R+88.9

Precinct -Ag-ComplexAg-Complex

464

509

8.6%

91.2%

R+82.5

Precinct -PolkvillePolkville

433

455

4.2%

95.2%

R+91.0

Precinct -Center RidgeCenter Ridge

393

422

6.6%

93.1%

R+86.5

Precinct -Union-New HomeUnion-New Home

100

318

422

23.7%

75.4%

R+51.7

Precinct -Shady GroveShady Grove

400

413

2.4%

96.9%

R+94.4

Precinct -Lorena-SophiaLorena-Sophia

290

335

13.4%

86.6%

R+73.1

Precinct -Warren HillWarren Hill

284

335

84.8%

14.3%

D+70.4

Precinct -West RaleighWest Raleigh

315

334

5.4%

94.3%

R+88.9

Precinct -White OakWhite Oak

304

316

3.5%

96.2%

R+92.7

Precinct -Clear Springs-PinevilleClear Springs-Pineville

269

286

5.2%

94.1%

R+88.8

Precinct -BurnsBurns

189

263

27.4%

71.9%

R+44.5

Precinct -SylvarenaSylvarena

167

180

7.2%

92.8%

R+85.6

Precinct -Cedar GroveCedar Grove

113

153

25.5%

73.9%

R+48.4

Ag Complex Voting District28_28129103

—

No votes

Burns Voting District28_28129502

—

No votes

Cedar Grove Voting District28_28129505

—

No votes

Center Ridge Voting District28_28129101

—

No votes

Clear Springs-Pineville Voting District28_28129503

—

No votes

Lorena-Spinola Voting District28_28129504

—

No votes

Mize Voting District28_28129303

—

No votes

North Raleigh Voting District28_28129501

—

No votes

Polkville 77 Voting District28_28129404

—

No votes

Polkville 79 Voting District28_28129405

—

No votes

Shady Grove Voting District28_28129402

—

No votes

Summerland Voting District28_28129202

—

No votes

Sylvarena Voting District28_28129102

—

No votes

Taylorsville Voting District28_28129302

—

No votes

Union-New Home Voting District28_28129201

—

No votes

Warren Hill Voting District28_28129203

—

No votes

West Raleigh Voting District28_28129401

—

No votes

White Oak Voting District28_28129403

—

No votes

Zion Hill-New Haven Voting District28_28129301

—

No votes

Presidential margin, 1892–2024

Democratic minus Republican, by election

Presidential margin over time
Year	Margin (D minus R)
1892	+77.6%
1896	+99.2%
1900	+76.1%
1904	+91.5%
1908	+88.8%
1912	+91.8%
1916	+94.2%
1920	+56.0%
1924	+88.9%
1928	+55.2%
1932	+97.7%
1936	+97.9%
1940	+97.0%
1944	+87.4%
1948	+11.8%
1952	+51.2%
1956	+69.9%
1960	+41.2%
1964	−88.9%
1968	−1.6%
1972	−85.5%
1976	−12.4%
1980	−20.5%
1984	−52.8%
1988	−46.3%
1992	−31.5%
1996	−26.2%
2000	−49.3%
2004	−57.3%
2008	−51.7%
2012	−50.3%
2016	−56.5%
2020	−56.0%
2024	−60.7%

DemocraticRepublican

Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle; not shown when either cycle is estimated or under source review. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.

Year

Won

Democratic

Republican

Other

Margin

Swing

vs U.S.

Total

2024

19.4%Harris1,486

80.1%Trump6,146

0.3%Kennedy20 +6

R+60.7

R+4.7

R+59.2

7,676

All 9 candidates in 2024 · 7 minor / independent

Donald J TrumpRepublican80.1%6,146
Kamala D HarrisDemocratic19.4%1,486
Robert F KennedyIndependent0.3%20
Randall TerryIndependent0.1%8
Chase OliverLibertarian0.1%7
Jill SteinIndependent0.0%3
Peter SonskiIndependent0.0%3
Shiva AyyaduraiIndependent0.0%2
Claudia De La CruzIndependent0.0%1

2020

21.5%Biden1,791

77.6%Trump6,458

0.4%Jorgensen33

R+56.0

D+0.5

R+60.5

8,327

2016

21.2%Clinton1,617

77.7%Trump5,928

0.7%Johnson51

R+56.5

R+6.3

R+58.6

7,627

2012

24.4%Obama1,979

74.7%Romney6,049

0.9%

R+50.3

D+1.5

R+54.1

8,099

2008

23.7%Obama1,968

75.4%McCain6,265

0.9%

R+51.7

D+5.6

R+59.0

8,305

2004

21.0%Kerry1,496

78.3%Bush5,577

0.7%

R+57.3

R+8.0

R+54.9

7,120

2000

24.8%Gore1,620

74.1%Bush4,838

0.4%Nader26

R+49.3

R+23.1

R+49.8

6,528

1996

32.2%Clinton1,858

58.5%Dole3,371

9.1%Perot522

R+26.2

D+5.3

R+34.8

5,765

1992

29.0%Clinton1,968

60.5%Bush4,106

10.0%Perot680

R+31.5

D+14.9

R+37.1

6,788

1988

26.4%Dukakis1,660

72.8%Bush4,573

0.8%

R+46.3

D+6.5

R+38.6

6,285

1984

23.4%Mondale1,573

76.2%Reagan5,116

0.3%

R+52.8

R+32.3

R+34.6

6,710

1980

39.0%Carter2,474

59.5%Reagan3,772

1.5%

R+20.5

R+8.1

R+10.7

6,340

1976

42.3%Carter2,434

54.7%Ford3,147

2.9%

R+12.4

D+73.1

R+14.5

5,748

1972

6.9%McGovern329

92.4%Nixon4,419

0.8%

R+85.5

R+83.8

R+62.3

4,785

1968

6.8%Humphrey352

8.5%Nixon437

84.7%

Wallace +76.2

D+87.2

R+1.0

5,156

1964

5.6%Johnson238

94.4%Goldwater4,045

0.0%

R+88.9

R+130.1

R+111.5

4,283

1960

53.2%Kennedy1,568

12.0%Nixon353

34.8%

D+41.2

R+28.7

D+41.1

2,946

1956

80.8%Stevenson2,055

10.9%Eisenhower277

8.3%

D+69.9

D+18.7

D+85.3

2,543

1952

75.6%Stevenson2,288

24.4%Eisenhower738

0.0%

D+51.2

D+39.5

D+62.0

3,026

1948

13.2%Truman295

1.5%Dewey33

85.3%

Thurmond +72.1

R+75.7

D+7.3

2,229

1944

93.7%Roosevelt2,456

6.3%Dewey165

0.0%

D+87.4

R+9.6

D+79.9

2,621

1940

98.5%Roosevelt1,826

1.5%Willkie27

0.1%

D+97.0

R+0.9

D+87.1

1,854

1936

98.9%Roosevelt1,676

1.0%Landon17

0.1%

D+97.9

D+0.2

D+73.7

1,694

1932

98.8%Roosevelt1,576

1.1%Hoover17

0.1%

D+97.7

D+42.6

D+80.0

1,595

1928

77.6%Smith1,450

22.4%Hoover419

0.0%

D+55.2

R+33.7

D+72.6

1,869

1924

93.1%Davis1,081

4.2%Coolidge49

2.7%

D+88.9

D+32.9

D+114.1

1,161

1920

77.1%Cox968

21.1%Harding265

1.8%

D+56.0

R+38.3

D+82.2

1,256

1916

96.5%Wilson1,271

2.3%Hughes30

1.2%

D+94.2

D+2.4

D+91.1

1,317

1912

93.1%Wilson854

1.3%Taft12

5.6%

D+91.8

D+3.0

D+72.3

917

1908

92.8%Bryan712

4.0%Taft31

3.1%

D+88.8

R+2.7

D+98.3

767

1904

94.3%Parker696

2.8%Roosevelt21

2.8%

D+91.5

D+15.3

D+111.1

738

1900

88.0%Bryan542

11.9%McKinley73

0.2%

D+76.1

R+23.0

D+83.7

616

1896

99.3%Bryan1,077

0.1%McKinley1

0.6%

D+99.2

D+21.5

D+105.2

1,085

1892

79.4%Cleveland547

1.7%Harrison12

18.9%

D+77.6

—

D+76.0

689

1888

—

No data

—

1884

—

No data

—

1880

—

No data

—

1876

—

No data

—

Source · Akashic actual-race rollup from certified returns, House; geographic aggregation.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2024

0.0%0

100.0%6,940

6,940

2020

20.5%1,652

79.5%6,417

8,069

2018

23.4%1,383

76.6%4,527

5,910

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2024

19.1%1,458

80.9%6,158

7,616

2020Class II

23.8%Mike Espy1,977

74.6%Cindy Hyde-Smith6,202

8,309

2018Class I

22.2%David Baria1,298

75.2%Roger Wicker4,394

5,844

2014Class II

29.7%Travis Childers1,276

67.3%Thad Cochran2,890

4,292

2012Class I

23.5%Albert N. Gore1,881

74.0%Roger Wicker5,930

8,015

2008Class II

21.7%Erik R. Fleming1,765

78.3%Thad Cochran6,369

8,134

2006Class I

18.1%Erik R. Fleming720

80.5%Trent Lott3,200

3,977

2002Class II

0.0%None0

91.7%Thad Cochran5,075

5,537

2000Class I

16.7%Troy Brown1,124

81.2%Trent Lott5,464

6,731

1996Class II

20.0%James W. Hunt1,206

78.7%Thad Cochran4,747

6,031

1994Class I

21.6%Ken Harper933

78.4%Trent Lott3,378

4,311

1990Class II

0.0%None0

100.0%Thad Cochran1,617

1,617

1988Class I

35.4%Wayne Dowdy2,409

64.6%Trent Lott4,393

6,802

1984Class II

23.7%William D. Winter1,643

76.3%Thad Cochran5,295

6,938

1982Class I

53.2%John C. Stennis2,507

46.8%Haley Barbour2,202

4,709

1978Class II

42.6%Maurice Dantin1,855

47.0%Thad Cochran2,047

4,355

1976Class I

100.0%John C. Stennis4,386

0.0%None0

4,386

1972Class II

47.2%James Eastland2,409

32.8%Gil Carmichael1,676

5,109

1970Class I

96.4%John C. Stennis3,037

0.0%None0

3,150

1966Class II

32.9%James Eastland1,314

66.4%Prentiss Walker2,654

3,999

1964Class I

—

0.0%John C. Stennis0

0.0%None0

3,036

1960Class II

95.3%James Eastland2,431

4.7%Joe A. Moore121

2,552

1958Class I

100.0%John C. Stennis950

0.0%None0

950

1954Class II

95.3%James Eastland1,189

4.7%James A White58

1,247

1952Class I

100.0%John C. Stennis2,400

0.0%None0

2,400

1948Class II

100.0%James Eastland1,468

0.0%None0

1,468

1946Class I

100.0%Theodore Bilbo574

0.0%None0

574

1942Class II

100.0%James Eastland616

0.0%None0

616

1940Class I

—

0.0%Theodore Bilbo0

0.0%None0

1,645

1936Class II

100.0%Pat Harrison1,509

0.0%None0

1,509

1934Class I

100.0%Theodore Bilbo788

0.0%None0

788

1930Class II

100.0%Pat Harrison473

0.0%None0

473

1928Class I

100.0%Hubert Stephens1,274

0.0%None0

1,274

1924Class II

100.0%Pat Harrison1,015

0.0%None0

1,015

1922Class I

69.4%Hubert Stephens1,420

3.2%John Cook66

2,047

1918Class II

100.0%Pat Harrison121

0.0%None0

121

1916Class I

100.0%John S. Williams1,124

0.0%None0

1,124

Source · Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2018Special · Class II

26.4%Mike Espy1,496

73.6%Cindy Hyde-Smith4,180

5,676

2008Special · Class I

32.1%Ronnie Musgrove2,595

67.9%Roger Wicker5,480

8,075

1947Special · Class I

—

0.0%John C. Stennis0

0.0%L.R. Collins0

2,607

1941Special · Class II

46.8%Wall Doxey809

0.0%None0

1,728

Source · Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2015

17.4%Robert Gray1,003

81.2%Phil Bryant4,680

5,761

2011

23.5%Johnny DuPree1,651

76.5%Phil Bryant5,377

7,028

2007

38.2%John Arthur Eaves Jr.2,251

61.8%Haley Barbour3,640

5,891

2003

34.8%Ronnie Musgrove2,482

63.1%Haley Barbour4,499

7,126

1995

28.5%Dick Molpus1,918

71.5%Kirk Fordice4,805

6,723

1991

27.3%Ray Mabus1,652

71.4%Kirk Fordice4,321

6,052

1987

41.8%Ray Mabus2,473

58.2%Jack Reed3,443

5,916

1983

58.0%William Allain3,544

37.9%Leon Bramlett2,317

6,115

1979

58.9%William F. Winter3,242

41.1%Gil Carmichael2,263

5,505

Frequently asked questions

Voter registration in Smith County, MS
Year	Total registered
2016	11,198
2018	11,264
2020	11,744
2022	11,193
2024	11,248

How did Smith County, Mississippi vote in 2024?

In 2024, Smith County, Mississippi voted Republican by 60.7 points (R+60.7), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 7,676 votes cast, 1,486 went Democratic and 6,146 went Republican.

When did Smith County, Mississippi last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Smith County, Mississippi voted Democratic was 1960.

How many people live in Smith County, Mississippi?

Smith County, Mississippi has a population of 14,132 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Smith County, Mississippi?

Median household income in Smith County, Mississippi is $60,916 — below the national median of $80,734. The Mississippi state median is $56,447.

What is the political history of Smith County, Mississippi?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Smith County, Mississippi from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 17 went Democratic and 15 went Republican.