Akashic

county

Garrard County, KY

Office (updates table and map)

President margin by year

Place winner margin

1892–2024 · D minus R

Full record · 1892 → 2024

2024

Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab

People and households

Who lives here

Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.

Race · ethnicity · ancestry

Communities and origins

American30.7%11.5%5.3%

English13.5%14.5%9.5%

German5.7%12.7%12.5%

Irish5.6%11.0%9.4%

Italian1.0%2.0%4.8%

Scottish0.9%2.0%1.3%

Scotch-Irish0.9%0.8%—

Dutch0.5%——

Mexican1.4%2.4%11.3%

Argentinean0.7%——

Puerto Rican0.5%0.5%1.8%

African American†2.4%6.6%9.9%

Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.

Age and life stage

Measure	Garrard County	Kentucky	United States
Median age	43	39.2	39.1
Age 18–24	7.1%	9.1%	9.2%
Age 65 and older	18.8%	17.3%	17.2%

Household economy

Measure	Garrard County	Kentucky	United States
Median household income	$63,087	$63,726	$84,427
Poverty rate	15.9%	16.1%	12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)	18.7%	27.7%	35.6%

Languages at home

Measure	Garrard County	Kentucky	United States
Speaks a non-English language at home	4.1%	6.8%	22.3%
Spanish	2.8%	3.4%	13.6%

Religious landscape

Measure	Garrard County	Kentucky	United States
Catholic	0.5%	7.9%	18.6%
Evangelical Protestant	45.0%	31.3%	16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted	49.6%	50.7%	51.5%

American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.

President results by year

2024 turnout 66.5% of 13,504 citizens 18+

HarrisDemocratic19.3%1,719TrumpRepublican79.5%7,086KennedyIndependent0.7%60

R+60.2

Lead: 5,367
Total: 8,917
vs nation: R+58.7
Turnout: 66.5%

BidenDemocratic21.0%1,830TrumpRepublican77.6%6,754JorgensenLibertarian1.0%86

R+56.6

Lead: 4,924
Total: 8,706
vs nation: R+61.0
Turnout: 64.7%

ClintonDemocratic19.1%1,453TrumpRepublican77.4%5,904JohnsonLibertarian2.1%157

R+58.4

Lead: 4,451
Total: 7,623
vs nation: R+60.5
Turnout: 58.7%

ObamaDemocratic23.5%1,661RomneyRepublican75.0%5,310OtherAll other candidates1.5%106

R+51.6

Lead: 3,649
Total: 7,077
vs nation: R+55.4
Turnout: —

ObamaDemocratic27.9%2,012McCainRepublican71.0%5,118OtherAll other candidates1.1%80

R+43.1

Lead: 3,106
Total: 7,210
vs nation: R+50.4
Turnout: —

KerryDemocratic27.7%1,841BushRepublican71.9%4,784OtherAll other candidates0.5%33

R+44.2

Lead: 2,943
Total: 6,658
vs nation: R+41.7
Turnout: —

GoreDemocratic29.4%1,713BushRepublican69.4%4,043NaderGreen0.7%43

R+40.0

Lead: 2,330
Total: 5,823
vs nation: R+40.5
Turnout: —

ClintonDemocratic34.0%1,486DoleRepublican58.1%2,540PerotReform7.7%337

R+24.1

Lead: 1,054
Total: 4,371
vs nation: R+32.6
Turnout: —

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: R+60.2MIT Election Lab
Population: 17,5682024 5-year
Median household income: $63,0872024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 91.6%2024 5-year
Black: 2.4%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 3.0%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin: D+27.1 in 1912MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+60.2 in 2024MIT Election Lab
Most similar: Rockcastle County, KY · twin score 94.6

Participation

Midterm durability

Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.

2024 total turnout: 66.5%8,984 participants ÷ 13,504 CVAP
2020→2022 drop-off: +19.3 ptsVolatile
Drop-off versus state: -0.5 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Mechanical 2026 scenario: 47.2%–50.0%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast

Election	Participants	CVAP	Turnout	Quality
2016 · Presidential	7,689	13,101	58.7%	A/A
2018 · Midterm	5,997	13,329	45.0%	A/A
2020 · Presidential	8,736	13,493	64.7%	A/A
2022 · Midterm	5,983	13,169	45.4%	A/A
2024 · Presidential	8,984	13,504	66.5%	A/A

Sources and methods

2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.

Precinct data

Results by precinct

14 precincts · 8,917 votes

Election

Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.

Garrard County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024

Precinct -C102C102	157	818	16	991	15.8%	82.5%	R+66.7
Precinct -C103C103	198	780	7	985	20.1%	79.2%	R+59.1
Precinct -E101E101	138	720	6	864	16.0%	83.3%	R+67.4
Precinct -A104A104	174	681	7	862	20.2%	79.0%	R+58.8
Precinct -E103E103	144	679	8	831	17.3%	81.7%	R+64.4
Precinct -A103A103	152	598	16	766	19.8%	78.1%	R+58.2
Precinct -B102B102	124	614	9	747	16.6%	82.2%	R+65.6
Precinct -D101D101	89	532	4	625	14.2%	85.1%	R+70.9
Precinct -D104D104	105	432	7	544	19.3%	79.4%	R+60.1
Precinct -B101B101	125	322	5	452	27.7%	71.2%	R+43.6
Precinct -D103D103	104	254	11	369	28.2%	68.8%	R+40.7
Precinct -A101A101	90	254	9	353	25.5%	72.0%	R+46.5
Precinct -D102D102	49	248	3	300	16.3%	82.7%	R+66.3
Precinct -B103B103	70	154	4	228	30.7%	67.5%	R+36.8

presidential history

Presidential margin, 1892–2024

Democratic minus Republican, by election

Presidential margin over time
Year	Margin (D minus R)
1892	−1.2%
1896	−14.8%
1900	−9.5%
1904	−6.7%
1908	−11.0%
1912	+27.1%
1916	−8.4%
1920	−10.2%
1924	−9.8%
1928	−24.7%
1932	+6.3%
1936	+0.5%
1940	+0.3%
1944	−7.3%
1948	−4.5%
1952	−10.9%
1956	−12.4%
1960	−21.6%
1964	+6.7%
1968	−30.7%
1972	−36.5%
1976	−4.0%
1980	−18.1%
1984	−35.2%
1988	−21.8%
1992	−13.1%
1996	−24.1%
2000	−40.0%
2004	−44.2%
2008	−43.1%
2012	−51.6%
2016	−58.4%
2020	−56.6%
2024	−60.2%

DemocraticRepublican

38 presidential elections

Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle; not shown when either cycle is estimated or under source review. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year	Won	Democratic	Republican	Other	Margin	Swing	vs U.S.	Total
2024	R	19.3%Harris1,719	79.5%Trump7,086	0.7%Kennedy60	R+60.2	R+3.6	R+58.7	8,917
2020	R	21.0%Biden1,830	77.6%Trump6,754	1.0%Jorgensen86	R+56.6	D+1.8	R+61.0	8,706
2016	R	19.1%Clinton1,453	77.4%Trump5,904	2.1%Johnson157	R+58.4	R+6.8	R+60.5	7,623
2012	R	23.5%Obama1,661	75.0%Romney5,310	1.5%	R+51.6	R+8.5	R+55.4	7,077
2008	R	27.9%Obama2,012	71.0%McCain5,118	1.1%	R+43.1	D+1.1	R+50.4	7,210
2004	R	27.7%Kerry1,841	71.9%Bush4,784	0.5%	R+44.2	R+4.2	R+41.7	6,658
2000	R	29.4%Gore1,713	69.4%Bush4,043	0.7%Nader43	R+40.0	R+15.9	R+40.5	5,823
1996	R	34.0%Clinton1,486	58.1%Dole2,540	7.7%Perot337	R+24.1	R+11.0	R+32.6	4,371
1992	R	36.1%Clinton1,730	49.2%Bush2,359	14.5%Perot697	R+13.1	D+8.7	R+18.7	4,797
1988	R	38.4%Dukakis1,710	60.2%Bush2,681	1.4%	R+21.8	D+13.4	R+14.1	4,455
1984	R	32.1%Mondale1,566	67.2%Reagan3,284	0.7%	R+35.2	R+17.1	R+16.9	4,886
1980	R	39.6%Carter1,774	57.7%Reagan2,585	2.7%	R+18.1	R+14.1	R+8.4	4,480
1976	R	47.3%Carter1,887	51.3%Ford2,045	1.4%	R+4.0	D+32.6	R+6.0	3,988
1972	R	30.9%McGovern1,441	67.5%Nixon3,143	1.6%	R+36.5	R+5.9	R+13.4	4,657
1968	R	25.5%Humphrey1,000	56.1%Nixon2,205	18.4%	R+30.7	R+37.4	R+30.0	3,927
1964	D	53.2%Johnson2,092	46.5%Goldwater1,828	0.4%	D+6.7	D+28.3	R+15.9	3,935
1960	R	39.2%Kennedy1,780	60.8%Nixon2,759	0.0%	R+21.6	R+9.2	R+21.7	4,539
1956	R	43.5%Stevenson1,798	55.9%Eisenhower2,311	0.6%	R+12.4	R+1.5	D+3.0	4,133
1952	R	44.5%Stevenson1,927	55.4%Eisenhower2,398	0.1%	R+10.9	R+6.4	R+0.1	4,331
1948	R	47.2%Truman1,725	51.7%Dewey1,890	1.1%	R+4.5	D+2.8	R+9.0	3,656
1944	R	46.2%Roosevelt1,764	53.5%Dewey2,042	0.4%	R+7.3	R+7.6	R+14.8	3,820
1940	D	50.1%Roosevelt2,162	49.7%Willkie2,148	0.2%	D+0.3	R+0.2	R+9.6	4,318
1936	D	50.2%Roosevelt2,276	49.7%Landon2,252	0.2%	D+0.5	R+5.8	R+23.7	4,535
1932	D	53.1%Roosevelt2,582	46.8%Hoover2,276	0.0%	D+6.3	D+31.0	R+11.5	4,859
1928	R	37.7%Smith1,729	62.3%Hoover2,862	0.0%	R+24.7	R+14.9	R+7.2	4,591
1924	R	44.8%Davis2,126	54.6%Coolidge2,592	0.5%La Follette26	R+9.8	D+0.4	D+15.4	4,745
1920	R	44.5%Cox2,434	54.7%Harding2,994	0.7%	R+10.2	R+1.9	D+16.0	5,469
1916	R	45.4%Wilson1,375	53.8%Hughes1,628	0.8%	R+8.4	R+35.4	R+11.5	3,027
1912	D	44.4%Wilson1,232	17.3%Taft481	38.3%	D+27.1	D+38.1	D+7.5	2,775
1908	R	43.5%Bryan1,259	54.5%Taft1,578	2.0%	R+11.0	R+4.3	R+1.5	2,894
1904	R	45.3%Parker1,176	52.1%Roosevelt1,351	2.6%	R+6.7	D+2.8	D+12.9	2,595
1900	R	44.6%Bryan1,312	54.1%McKinley1,592	1.3%	R+9.5	D+5.3	R+2.0	2,943
1896	R	40.8%Bryan1,171	55.6%McKinley1,595	3.6%	R+14.8	R+13.5	R+8.7	2,868
1892	R	48.2%Cleveland1,126	49.4%Harrison1,155	2.4%	R+1.2	—	R+2.9	2,338
1888	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1884	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1880	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1876	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—

Federal and statewide elections · 3 House · 36 Senate · 4 Senate special · 10 governor

U.S. House

Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Akashic actual-race rollup from certified returns, House; geographic aggregation.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	R	17.2%1,517	82.8%7,313	8,830
2020	R	19.2%1,593	80.8%6,713	8,306
2018	R	22.2%1,258	77.8%4,416	5,674

U.S. Senate

Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2022	R	22.8%1,346	77.2%4,560	5,906
2020Class II	R	22.5%Amy McGrath1,959	73.3%Mitch McConnell6,371	8,694
2016Class III	R	33.3%Jim Gray2,515	66.7%Rand Paul5,034	7,549
2014Class II	R	28.4%Alison L. Grimes1,562	68.4%Mitch McConnell3,764	5,504
2010Class III	R	31.9%Jack Conway1,693	68.1%Rand Paul3,617	5,310
2008Class II	R	40.1%Bruce Lunsford2,858	59.9%Mitch McConnell4,269	7,127
2004Class III	R	40.4%Dan Mongiardo2,556	59.6%Jim Bunning3,767	6,323
2002Class II	R	27.3%Lois C. Weinberg1,161	72.7%Mitch McConnell3,086	4,247
1998Class III	R	45.0%Scotty Baesler2,159	54.4%Jim Bunning2,612	4,799
1996Class II	R	34.2%Steve Beshear1,418	65.0%Mitch McConnell2,692	4,141
1992Class III	D	55.0%Wendell Ford2,359	44.3%Daniel L. Williams1,901	4,289
1990Class II	R	40.2%Harvey Sloane1,331	59.8%Mitch McConnell1,980	3,311
1986Class III	D	62.9%Wendell Ford1,872	37.1%Jackson Andrews1,102	2,974
1984Class II	R	38.6%Walter D. Huddleston1,801	60.9%Mitch McConnell2,842	4,670
1980Class III	D	51.1%Wendell Ford2,114	48.9%Mary L. Foust2,020	4,134
1978Class II	D	49.1%Walter D. Huddleston653	48.7%Louie Guenthner648	1,330
1974Class III	R	41.3%Wendell Ford1,182	57.2%Marlow W. Cook1,638	2,863
1972Class II	R	41.4%Walter D. Huddleston1,895	57.8%Louie B. Nunn2,644	4,572
1968Class III	R	36.2%Katherine Peden1,297	63.1%Marlow W. Cook2,257	3,579
1966Class II	R	32.1%John Young Brown1,044	67.9%John Sherman Cooper2,210	3,254
1962Class III	R	35.8%Wilson W. Wyatt1,196	64.2%Thruston B. Morton2,148	3,344
1960Class II	R	35.6%Keen Johnson1,601	64.4%John Sherman Cooper2,891	4,492
1956Class III	R	45.7%Earle C. Clements1,844	54.3%Thruston B. Morton2,191	4,035
1954Class II	R	48.7%Alben W. Barkley1,732	51.3%John Sherman Cooper1,823	3,555
1950Class III	R	43.5%Earle C. Clements1,225	56.3%Charles I. Dawson1,586	2,817
1948Class II	R	44.2%Virgil Chapman1,601	55.6%John Sherman Cooper2,011	3,619
1944Class III	R	46.3%Alben W. Barkley1,759	53.5%James Park2,032	3,798
1942Class II	R	46.8%Happy Chandler904	53.2%Richard Colbert1,029	1,933
1938Class III	D	58.3%Alben W. Barkley1,213	41.7%John P. Haswell866	2,079
1936Class II	D	50.5%Marvel M. Logan2,274	49.5%Robert M. Lucas2,231	4,506
1932Class III	D	53.1%Alben W. Barkley2,584	46.9%M.H. Thatcher2,284	4,868
1930Class II	R	46.8%Marvel M. Logan1,599	53.2%John M. Robsion1,821	3,420
1926Class III	R	46.6%Alben W. Barkley1,605	53.4%Richard P. Ernst1,839	3,444
1924Class II	R	43.8%Augustus O. Stanley2,057	56.2%Frederic M. Sackett2,642	4,699
1920Class III	R	44.9%John C.W. Beckham2,432	55.1%Richard P. Ernst2,982	5,414
1914Class III	D	48.3%John C.W. Beckham1,012	31.4%Augustus Willson658	2,094

U.S. Senate special elections

Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
1956Special · Class II	R	44.2%Lawrence W. Wetherby1,783	55.8%John Sherman Cooper2,255	4,038
1952Special · Class II	R	44.1%Thomas Underwood1,888	55.9%John Sherman Cooper2,392	4,280
1946Special · Class II	R	40.0%John Young Brown1,248	59.8%John Sherman Cooper1,868	3,123
1940Special · Class II	D	50.4%Happy Chandler2,196	49.6%Walter B. Smith2,162	4,358

Governor

Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2015	R	29.9%Jack Conway1,158	65.7%Matt Bevin2,542	3,871
2011	D	41.9%Steve Beshear1,373	38.2%David L. Williams1,252	3,276
2007	R	42.5%Steve Beshear1,798	57.5%Ernie Fletcher2,433	4,231
2003	R	32.0%Ben Chandler1,412	68.0%Ernie Fletcher2,994	4,406
1999	D	47.1%Paul Patton783	26.4%Peppy Martin439	1,661
1995	R	36.7%Paul Patton1,290	62.7%Larry Forgy2,203	3,512
1991	D	50.8%Brereton Jones1,402	49.2%Larry J. Hopkins1,359	2,761
1987	D	54.9%Wallace Wilkinson1,682	45.1%John Harper1,383	3,065
1983	R	43.6%Martha Layne Collins1,633	55.3%Jim Bunning2,073	3,749
1979	R	42.3%John Y. Brown Jr.1,605	57.7%Louie Nunn2,191	3,796

voter registration

Registered voters

By party of registration, over time

Party registration · 2024R+42.2

Presidential vote · 2024R+60.2

Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 18 points more Democratic.

13,970 registered voters · 2024

Democratic23.9%Republican66.1%Unaffiliated3.9%Other6.1%

domestic migration

Who moves in and out

Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote

+307 net domestic migration · 2025

20112025

Net +2,097 over 2011–2025 · gain loss

Arrivals reported $61,763 in average income, against $67,933 for residents who stayed — 9% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)

The places arrivals came from lean R+26.4 on average — 34 points more Democratic-leaning than Garrard County, KY itself (R+60.2).

Where arrivals came from lean of each source

Jessamine County, KY97R+35.8
Madison County, KY86R+30.9
Fayette County, KY79D+18.1
Lincoln County, KY60R+61.2
Boyle County, KY56R+29.0

Where departures went households, 2022–23

Madison County, KY73
Jessamine County, KY65
Fayette County, KY64
Boyle County, KY61
Lincoln County, KY57
Mercer County, KY25

Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.

Domestic migration in Garrard County, KY in Garrard County, KY: net domestic migration by year
Year	Net domestic migration
2011	−92
2012	+93
2013	−18
2014	0
2015	+211
2016	+130
2017	+79
2018	+51
2019	+144
2021	+513
2022	+255
2023	+298
2024	+126
2025	+307

Garrard County, a rural Bluegrass region county of under 15,000 residents, delivered a 60-point Republican presidential margin in 2024, reflecting the broader realignment of small, non-metropolitan Kentucky counties over the past two decades.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 27.1 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 60.2 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 3.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 60.2 points.

A population of 17,568, a 92% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $63,087 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Rockcastle County and Casey County.

Political twins — counties

The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Rockcastle County

Kentucky

94.6twin score

2000–2016 trajectory≠ American ancestry

Casey County

Kentucky

94.4twin score

American ancestry2008–2016 trajectory

Lincoln County

Kentucky

93.3twin score

American ancestry2016–2024 trajectory% Evangelical

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page

All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.

Garrard County, Kentucky. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/21079/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.

License: CC BY 4.0

Embed this page

A live widget for your site — no API key, attribution built in, CC BY 4.0. All widgets & sizes →

<iframe src="https://akashic.app/embed/county/21079/stat-card/" width="100%" height="200" style="border:0;border-radius:12px;max-width:560px" title="Garrard County, KY — Akashic" loading="lazy"></iframe>

Cities & towns in Garrard County

Lancaster

R+43

4K residents

Kentucky at the ballot boxAll elections →

Presidentcounty detail2024 US Senatestatewide2022 Governorstate + county2023 US Houseall districts2024

Frequently asked questions

How did Garrard County, Kentucky vote in 2024?

In 2024, Garrard County, Kentucky voted Republican by 60.2 points (R+60.2), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 8,917 votes cast, 1,719 went Democratic and 7,086 went Republican.

When did Garrard County, Kentucky last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Garrard County, Kentucky voted Democratic was 1964.

How many people live in Garrard County, Kentucky?

Garrard County, Kentucky has a population of 17,568 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Garrard County, Kentucky?

Median household income in Garrard County, Kentucky is $63,087 — below the national median of $80,734. The Kentucky state median is $63,726.

What is the political history of Garrard County, Kentucky?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Garrard County, Kentucky from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 5 went Democratic and 29 went Republican.

Measure

Garrard County

Kentucky

United States

Median age

39.2

39.1

Age 18–24

7.1%

9.1%

9.2%

Age 65 and older

18.8%

17.3%

17.2%

Measure

Garrard County

Kentucky

United States

Median household income

$63,087

$63,726

$84,427

Poverty rate

15.9%

16.1%

12.5%

Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)

18.7%

27.7%

35.6%

Measure

Garrard County

Kentucky

United States

Speaks a non-English language at home

4.1%

6.8%

22.3%

Spanish

2.8%

3.4%

13.6%

Measure

Garrard County

Kentucky

United States

Catholic

0.5%

7.9%

18.6%

Evangelical Protestant

45.0%

31.3%

16.5%

Unclaimed / not counted

49.6%

50.7%

51.5%

Key facts

2024 presidential margin

R+60.2MIT Election Lab

Population

17,5682024 5-year

Median household income

$63,0872024 5-year

White (non-Hispanic)

91.6%2024 5-year

Black

2.4%2024 5-year

Hispanic / Latino

3.0%2024 5-year

Peak Democratic margin

D+27.1 in 1912MIT Election Lab

Peak Republican margin

R+60.2 in 2024MIT Election Lab

Most similar

Rockcastle County, KY · twin score 94.6

Election

Participants

CVAP

Turnout

Quality

2016 · Presidential

7,689

13,101

58.7%

A/A

2018 · Midterm

5,997

13,329

45.0%

A/A

2020 · Presidential

8,736

13,493

64.7%

A/A

2022 · Midterm

5,983

13,169

45.4%

A/A

2024 · Presidential

8,984

13,504

66.5%

A/A

Garrard County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024

Precinct -C102C102

157

818

991

15.8%

82.5%

R+66.7

Precinct -C103C103

198

780

985

20.1%

79.2%

R+59.1

Precinct -E101E101

138

720

864

16.0%

83.3%

R+67.4

Precinct -A104A104

174

681

862

20.2%

79.0%

R+58.8

Precinct -E103E103

144

679

831

17.3%

81.7%

R+64.4

Precinct -A103A103

152

598

766

19.8%

78.1%

R+58.2

Precinct -B102B102

124

614

747

16.6%

82.2%

R+65.6

Precinct -D101D101

532

625

14.2%

85.1%

R+70.9

Precinct -D104D104

105

432

544

19.3%

79.4%

R+60.1

Precinct -B101B101

125

322

452

27.7%

71.2%

R+43.6

Precinct -D103D103

104

254

369

28.2%

68.8%

R+40.7

Precinct -A101A101

254

353

25.5%

72.0%

R+46.5

Precinct -D102D102

248

300

16.3%

82.7%

R+66.3

Precinct -B103B103

154

228

30.7%

67.5%

R+36.8

Presidential margin, 1892–2024

Democratic minus Republican, by election

Presidential margin over time
Year	Margin (D minus R)
1892	−1.2%
1896	−14.8%
1900	−9.5%
1904	−6.7%
1908	−11.0%
1912	+27.1%
1916	−8.4%
1920	−10.2%
1924	−9.8%
1928	−24.7%
1932	+6.3%
1936	+0.5%
1940	+0.3%
1944	−7.3%
1948	−4.5%
1952	−10.9%
1956	−12.4%
1960	−21.6%
1964	+6.7%
1968	−30.7%
1972	−36.5%
1976	−4.0%
1980	−18.1%
1984	−35.2%
1988	−21.8%
1992	−13.1%
1996	−24.1%
2000	−40.0%
2004	−44.2%
2008	−43.1%
2012	−51.6%
2016	−58.4%
2020	−56.6%
2024	−60.2%

DemocraticRepublican

Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle; not shown when either cycle is estimated or under source review. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.

Year

Won

Democratic

Republican

Other

Margin

Swing

vs U.S.

Total

2024

19.3%Harris1,719

79.5%Trump7,086

0.7%Kennedy60

R+60.2

R+3.6

R+58.7

8,917

2020

21.0%Biden1,830

77.6%Trump6,754

1.0%Jorgensen86

R+56.6

D+1.8

R+61.0

8,706

2016

19.1%Clinton1,453

77.4%Trump5,904

2.1%Johnson157

R+58.4

R+6.8

R+60.5

7,623

2012

23.5%Obama1,661

75.0%Romney5,310

1.5%

R+51.6

R+8.5

R+55.4

7,077

2008

27.9%Obama2,012

71.0%McCain5,118

1.1%

R+43.1

D+1.1

R+50.4

7,210

2004

27.7%Kerry1,841

71.9%Bush4,784

0.5%

R+44.2

R+4.2

R+41.7

6,658

2000

29.4%Gore1,713

69.4%Bush4,043

0.7%Nader43

R+40.0

R+15.9

R+40.5

5,823

1996

34.0%Clinton1,486

58.1%Dole2,540

7.7%Perot337

R+24.1

R+11.0

R+32.6

4,371

1992

36.1%Clinton1,730

49.2%Bush2,359

14.5%Perot697

R+13.1

D+8.7

R+18.7

4,797

1988

38.4%Dukakis1,710

60.2%Bush2,681

1.4%

R+21.8

D+13.4

R+14.1

4,455

1984

32.1%Mondale1,566

67.2%Reagan3,284

0.7%

R+35.2

R+17.1

R+16.9

4,886

1980

39.6%Carter1,774

57.7%Reagan2,585

2.7%

R+18.1

R+14.1

R+8.4

4,480

1976

47.3%Carter1,887

51.3%Ford2,045

1.4%

R+4.0

D+32.6

R+6.0

3,988

1972

30.9%McGovern1,441

67.5%Nixon3,143

1.6%

R+36.5

R+5.9

R+13.4

4,657

1968

25.5%Humphrey1,000

56.1%Nixon2,205

18.4%

R+30.7

R+37.4

R+30.0

3,927

1964

53.2%Johnson2,092

46.5%Goldwater1,828

0.4%

D+6.7

D+28.3

R+15.9

3,935

1960

39.2%Kennedy1,780

60.8%Nixon2,759

0.0%

R+21.6

R+9.2

R+21.7

4,539

1956

43.5%Stevenson1,798

55.9%Eisenhower2,311

0.6%

R+12.4

R+1.5

D+3.0

4,133

1952

44.5%Stevenson1,927

55.4%Eisenhower2,398

0.1%

R+10.9

R+6.4

R+0.1

4,331

1948

47.2%Truman1,725

51.7%Dewey1,890

1.1%

R+4.5

D+2.8

R+9.0

3,656

1944

46.2%Roosevelt1,764

53.5%Dewey2,042

0.4%

R+7.3

R+7.6

R+14.8

3,820

1940

50.1%Roosevelt2,162

49.7%Willkie2,148

0.2%

D+0.3

R+0.2

R+9.6

4,318

1936

50.2%Roosevelt2,276

49.7%Landon2,252

0.2%

D+0.5

R+5.8

R+23.7

4,535

1932

53.1%Roosevelt2,582

46.8%Hoover2,276

0.0%

D+6.3

D+31.0

R+11.5

4,859

1928

37.7%Smith1,729

62.3%Hoover2,862

0.0%

R+24.7

R+14.9

R+7.2

4,591

1924

44.8%Davis2,126

54.6%Coolidge2,592

0.5%La Follette26

R+9.8

D+0.4

D+15.4

4,745

1920

44.5%Cox2,434

54.7%Harding2,994

0.7%

R+10.2

R+1.9

D+16.0

5,469

1916

45.4%Wilson1,375

53.8%Hughes1,628

0.8%

R+8.4

R+35.4

R+11.5

3,027

1912

44.4%Wilson1,232

17.3%Taft481

38.3%

D+27.1

D+38.1

D+7.5

2,775

1908

43.5%Bryan1,259

54.5%Taft1,578

2.0%

R+11.0

R+4.3

R+1.5

2,894

1904

45.3%Parker1,176

52.1%Roosevelt1,351

2.6%

R+6.7

D+2.8

D+12.9

2,595

1900

44.6%Bryan1,312

54.1%McKinley1,592

1.3%

R+9.5

D+5.3

R+2.0

2,943

1896

40.8%Bryan1,171

55.6%McKinley1,595

3.6%

R+14.8

R+13.5

R+8.7

2,868

1892

48.2%Cleveland1,126

49.4%Harrison1,155

2.4%

R+1.2

—

R+2.9

2,338

1888

—

No data

—

1884

—

No data

—

1880

—

No data

—

1876

—

No data

—

Source · Akashic actual-race rollup from certified returns, House; geographic aggregation.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2024

17.2%1,517

82.8%7,313

8,830

2020

19.2%1,593

80.8%6,713

8,306

2018

22.2%1,258

77.8%4,416

5,674

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2022

22.8%1,346

77.2%4,560

5,906

2020Class II

22.5%Amy McGrath1,959

73.3%Mitch McConnell6,371

8,694

2016Class III

33.3%Jim Gray2,515

66.7%Rand Paul5,034

7,549

2014Class II

28.4%Alison L. Grimes1,562

68.4%Mitch McConnell3,764

5,504

2010Class III

31.9%Jack Conway1,693

68.1%Rand Paul3,617

5,310

2008Class II

40.1%Bruce Lunsford2,858

59.9%Mitch McConnell4,269

7,127

2004Class III

40.4%Dan Mongiardo2,556

59.6%Jim Bunning3,767

6,323

2002Class II

27.3%Lois C. Weinberg1,161

72.7%Mitch McConnell3,086

4,247

1998Class III

45.0%Scotty Baesler2,159

54.4%Jim Bunning2,612

4,799

1996Class II

34.2%Steve Beshear1,418

65.0%Mitch McConnell2,692

4,141

1992Class III

55.0%Wendell Ford2,359

44.3%Daniel L. Williams1,901

4,289

1990Class II

40.2%Harvey Sloane1,331

59.8%Mitch McConnell1,980

3,311

1986Class III

62.9%Wendell Ford1,872

37.1%Jackson Andrews1,102

2,974

1984Class II

38.6%Walter D. Huddleston1,801

60.9%Mitch McConnell2,842

4,670

1980Class III

51.1%Wendell Ford2,114

48.9%Mary L. Foust2,020

4,134

1978Class II

49.1%Walter D. Huddleston653

48.7%Louie Guenthner648

1,330

1974Class III

41.3%Wendell Ford1,182

57.2%Marlow W. Cook1,638

2,863

1972Class II

41.4%Walter D. Huddleston1,895

57.8%Louie B. Nunn2,644

4,572

1968Class III

36.2%Katherine Peden1,297

63.1%Marlow W. Cook2,257

3,579

1966Class II

32.1%John Young Brown1,044

67.9%John Sherman Cooper2,210

3,254

1962Class III

35.8%Wilson W. Wyatt1,196

64.2%Thruston B. Morton2,148

3,344

1960Class II

35.6%Keen Johnson1,601

64.4%John Sherman Cooper2,891

4,492

1956Class III

45.7%Earle C. Clements1,844

54.3%Thruston B. Morton2,191

4,035

1954Class II

48.7%Alben W. Barkley1,732

51.3%John Sherman Cooper1,823

3,555

1950Class III

43.5%Earle C. Clements1,225

56.3%Charles I. Dawson1,586

2,817

1948Class II

44.2%Virgil Chapman1,601

55.6%John Sherman Cooper2,011

3,619

1944Class III

46.3%Alben W. Barkley1,759

53.5%James Park2,032

3,798

1942Class II

46.8%Happy Chandler904

53.2%Richard Colbert1,029

1,933

1938Class III

58.3%Alben W. Barkley1,213

41.7%John P. Haswell866

2,079

1936Class II

50.5%Marvel M. Logan2,274

49.5%Robert M. Lucas2,231

4,506

1932Class III

53.1%Alben W. Barkley2,584

46.9%M.H. Thatcher2,284

4,868

1930Class II

46.8%Marvel M. Logan1,599

53.2%John M. Robsion1,821

3,420

1926Class III

46.6%Alben W. Barkley1,605

53.4%Richard P. Ernst1,839

3,444

1924Class II

43.8%Augustus O. Stanley2,057

56.2%Frederic M. Sackett2,642

4,699

1920Class III

44.9%John C.W. Beckham2,432

55.1%Richard P. Ernst2,982

5,414

1914Class III

48.3%John C.W. Beckham1,012

31.4%Augustus Willson658

2,094

Source · Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

1956Special · Class II

44.2%Lawrence W. Wetherby1,783

55.8%John Sherman Cooper2,255

4,038

1952Special · Class II

44.1%Thomas Underwood1,888

55.9%John Sherman Cooper2,392

4,280

1946Special · Class II

40.0%John Young Brown1,248

59.8%John Sherman Cooper1,868

3,123

1940Special · Class II

50.4%Happy Chandler2,196

49.6%Walter B. Smith2,162

4,358

Source · Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2015

29.9%Jack Conway1,158

65.7%Matt Bevin2,542

3,871

2011

41.9%Steve Beshear1,373

38.2%David L. Williams1,252

3,276

2007

42.5%Steve Beshear1,798

57.5%Ernie Fletcher2,433

4,231

2003

32.0%Ben Chandler1,412

68.0%Ernie Fletcher2,994

4,406

1999

47.1%Paul Patton783

26.4%Peppy Martin439

1,661

1995

36.7%Paul Patton1,290

62.7%Larry Forgy2,203

3,512

1991

50.8%Brereton Jones1,402

49.2%Larry J. Hopkins1,359

2,761

1987

54.9%Wallace Wilkinson1,682

45.1%John Harper1,383

3,065

1983

43.6%Martha Layne Collins1,633

55.3%Jim Bunning2,073

3,749

1979

42.3%John Y. Brown Jr.1,605

57.7%Louie Nunn2,191

3,796

Frequently asked questions

How did Garrard County, Kentucky vote in 2024?

In 2024, Garrard County, Kentucky voted Republican by 60.2 points (R+60.2), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 8,917 votes cast, 1,719 went Democratic and 7,086 went Republican.

When did Garrard County, Kentucky last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Garrard County, Kentucky voted Democratic was 1964.

How many people live in Garrard County, Kentucky?

Garrard County, Kentucky has a population of 17,568 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Garrard County, Kentucky?

Median household income in Garrard County, Kentucky is $63,087 — below the national median of $80,734. The Kentucky state median is $63,726.

What is the political history of Garrard County, Kentucky?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Garrard County, Kentucky from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 5 went Democratic and 29 went Republican.