- Lead
- 1,662
- Total
- 11,928
- vs nation
- D+15.4
- Turnout
- 55.4%
Adams County, MS
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 55.4% of 21,520 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 2,221
- Total
- 13,759
- vs nation
- D+11.7
- Turnout
- 62.4%
- Lead
- 1,883
- Total
- 13,836
- vs nation
- D+11.5
- Turnout
- 60.7%
- Lead
- 2,768
- Total
- 15,447
- vs nation
- D+14.1
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,455
- Total
- 15,696
- vs nation
- D+8.4
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,427
- Total
- 15,479
- vs nation
- D+11.7
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,374
- Total
- 14,879
- vs nation
- D+8.7
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,840
- Total
- 14,421
- vs nation
- D+11.2
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+13.9MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 28,8032024 5-year
- Median household income
- $43,6442024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 37.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 56.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+88.1 in 1916MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+68.7 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Clay County, MS · twin score 95.8
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 55.4%11,928 participants ÷ 21,520 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +24.2 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off versus state
- -3.7 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 31.3%–37.1%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 13,836 | 22,793 | 60.7% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 11,088 | 22,956 | 48.3% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 14,073 | 22,555 | 62.4% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 8,286 | 21,669 | 38.2% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 11,928 | 21,520 | 55.4% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
39 precincts · 11,928 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -Dist. 1, Bellemont PrecinctDist. 1, Bellemont Precinct | 510 | 850 | 12 | 1,372 | 37.2% | 62.0% | R+24.8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -Dist. 4, Northside PrecinctDist. 4, Northside Precinct | 853 | 56 | 2 | 911 | 93.6% | 6.1% | D+87.5 |
| Precinct -Dist. 3, Palestine PrecinctDist. 3, Palestine Precinct | 443 | 422 | 10 | 875 | 50.6% | 48.2% | D+2.4 |
| Precinct -Dist. 2, Beau Pre PrecinctDist. 2, Beau Pre Precinct | 287 | 504 | 9 | 800 | 35.9% | 63.0% | R+27.1 |
| Precinct -Dist. 2, Duncan Park PrecinctDist. 2, Duncan Park Precinct | 344 | 397 | 14 | 755 | 45.6% | 52.6% | R+7.0 |
| Precinct -Dist. 5, Foster Mound PrecinctDist. 5, Foster Mound Precinct | 677 | 31 | 2 | 710 | 95.4% | 4.4% | D+91.0 |
| Precinct -Dist. 5, Oakland PrecinctDist. 5, Oakland Precinct | 311 | 344 | 5 | 660 | 47.1% | 52.1% | R+5.0 |
| Precinct -Dist. 4, Morgantown PrecinctDist. 4, Morgantown Precinct | 464 | 168 | 7 | 639 | 72.6% | 26.3% | D+46.3 |
| Precinct -Dist. 2, Liberty Park PrecinctDist. 2, Liberty Park Precinct | 179 | 450 | 4 | 633 | 28.3% | 71.1% | R+42.8 |
| Precinct -Dist. 1, By-Pass Fire PrecinctDist. 1, By-Pass Fire Precinct | 415 | 199 | 6 | 620 | 66.9% | 32.1% | D+34.8 |
| Precinct -Dist. 1, Courthouse PrecinctDist. 1, Courthouse Precinct | 185 | 358 | 9 | 552 | 33.5% | 64.9% | R+31.3 |
| Precinct -Dist. 5, Airport PrecinctDist. 5, Airport Precinct | 341 | 204 | 4 | 549 | 62.1% | 37.2% | D+25.0 |
| Precinct -Dist. 5, Washington PrecinctDist. 5, Washington Precinct | 177 | 326 | 1 | 504 | 35.1% | 64.7% | R+29.6 |
| Precinct -Dist. 2, Kingston PrecinctDist. 2, Kingston Precinct | 55 | 400 | 0 | 455 | 12.1% | 87.9% | R+75.8 |
| Precinct -Dist. 3, Concord PrecinctDist. 3, Concord Precinct | 389 | 31 | 5 | 425 | 91.5% | 7.3% | D+84.2 |
| Precinct -Dist. 3, Maryland Hgts. PrecinctDist. 3, Maryland Hgts. Precinct | 367 | 20 | 2 | 389 | 94.3% | 5.1% | D+89.2 |
| Precinct -Dist. 4, Pine Ridge PrecinctDist. 4, Pine Ridge Precinct | 304 | 71 | 4 | 379 | 80.2% | 18.7% | D+61.5 |
| Precinct -Dist. 4, Carpenter PrecinctDist. 4, Carpenter Precinct | 229 | 121 | 5 | 355 | 64.5% | 34.1% | D+30.4 |
| Precinct -Dist. 3, Nps Multi Purpose Bldg.Dist. 3, Nps Multi Purpose Bldg. | 213 | 129 | 3 | 345 | 61.7% | 37.4% | D+24.3 |
| Airport Voting District28_28001502 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Beau Pre Voting District28_28001203 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Bellemont Voting District28_28001103 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| By-Pass Firestation Voting District28_28001102 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Carpenter Voting District28_28001404 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Concord Voting District28_28001301 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Convention Center Voting District28_28001302 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Courthouse Voting District28_28001101 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Duncan Park Voting District28_28001202 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Foster Mound Voting District28_28001501 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Kingston Voting District28_28001204 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Liberty Park Voting District28_28001201 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Maryland Voting District28_28001303 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Morgantown Voting District28_28001405 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Northside School Voting District28_28001401 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Oakland Voting District28_28001503 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Palestine Voting District28_28001304 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Pine Ridge Voting District28_28001403 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Thompson Voting District28_28001402 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Washington Voting District28_28001504 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +67.6% |
| 1896 | +46.6% |
| 1900 | +62.1% |
| 1904 | +87.6% |
| 1908 | +77.5% |
| 1912 | +60.3% |
| 1916 | +88.1% |
| 1920 | +69.6% |
| 1924 | +46.0% |
| 1928 | +22.8% |
| 1932 | +57.0% |
| 1936 | +86.5% |
| 1940 | +83.6% |
| 1944 | +70.6% |
| 1948 | −1.1% |
| 1952 | −16.6% |
| 1956 | −9.4% |
| 1960 | +4.3% |
| 1964 | −68.7% |
| 1968 | +27.7% |
| 1972 | −37.9% |
| 1976 | +1.4% |
| 1980 | −1.9% |
| 1984 | −9.2% |
| 1988 | −2.4% |
| 1992 | +15.3% |
| 1996 | +19.7% |
| 2000 | +9.2% |
| 2004 | +9.2% |
| 2008 | +15.6% |
| 2012 | +17.9% |
| 2016 | +13.6% |
| 2020 | +16.1% |
| 2024 | +13.9% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 21,413 |
| 2018 | 21,273 |
| 2020 | 21,374 |
| 2022 | 19,829 |
| 2024 | 20,034 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−212 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −5,171 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $52,387 in average income, against $59,439 for residents who stayed — 12% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+7.8 on average — 22 points more Republican-leaning than Adams County, MS itself (D+13.9).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Concordia Parish, LA104R+29.3
- Jefferson County, MS25D+66.3
- East Baton Rouge Parish, LA21D+11.1
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Concordia Parish, LA87
- East Baton Rouge Parish, LA35
- Jefferson County, MS22
- Rankin County, MS21
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −173 |
| 2012 | −306 |
| 2013 | −15 |
| 2014 | −212 |
| 2015 | −704 |
| 2016 | −106 |
| 2017 | −568 |
| 2018 | −491 |
| 2019 | −414 |
| 2021 | −791 |
| 2022 | −364 |
| 2023 | −129 |
| 2024 | −686 |
| 2025 | −212 |
Adams County, home to Natchez, carries one of Mississippi's highest shares of Black residents—roughly 70%—which consistently produces Democratic margins in a state that trends heavily Republican statewide.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 88.1 points in 1916 and a Republican high of 68.7 points in 1964. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 2.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 13.9 points.
A population of 28,803, a 37% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $43,644 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Clay County and Crittenden County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Adams County, Mississippi. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/28001/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.