- Lead
- 334
- Total
- 14,681
- vs nation
- D+3.7
- Turnout
- 43.6%
Crittenden County, AR
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 43.6% of 33,949 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 1,181
- Total
- 16,367
- vs nation
- D+2.8
- Turnout
- 48.1%
- Lead
- 1,446
- Total
- 15,616
- vs nation
- D+7.2
- Turnout
- 45.7%
- Lead
- 2,489
- Total
- 16,716
- vs nation
- D+11.0
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,680
- Total
- 18,255
- vs nation
- D+7.4
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,347
- Total
- 15,300
- vs nation
- D+11.3
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,367
- Total
- 13,234
- vs nation
- D+9.8
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 3,742
- Total
- 14,236
- vs nation
- D+17.8
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+2.3MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 47,2662024 5-year
- Median household income
- $55,3582024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 38.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 50.9%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+97.7 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+42.1 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Russell County, AL · twin score 97.6
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 43.6%14,797 participants ÷ 33,949 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +16.6 ptsPersistently low turnout
- Drop-off versus state
- +1.8 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 27.0%–29.7%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 16,049 | 35,098 | 45.7% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 12,082 | 35,005 | 34.5% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 16,684 | 34,678 | 48.1% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 10,899 | 34,561 | 31.5% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 14,797 | 33,949 | 43.6% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
17 precincts · 14,681 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -MARION SCHOOLMARION SCHOOL | 1,517 | 2,628 | 87 | 4,232 | 35.8% | 62.1% | R+26.3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -WM HIGH SCHOOLWM HIGH SCHOOL | 1,122 | 1,344 | 53 | 2,519 | 44.5% | 53.4% | R+8.8 |
| Precinct -TABERNACLE OF GOD CHURCHTABERNACLE OF GOD CHURCH | 801 | 716 | 28 | 1,545 | 51.8% | 46.3% | D+5.5 |
| Precinct -WEST MPH 1ST BAPTIST CHURCHWEST MPH 1ST BAPTIST CHURCH | 300 | 610 | 20 | 930 | 32.3% | 65.6% | R+33.3 |
| Precinct -7TH STREET CHURCH WMPH7TH STREET CHURCH WMPH | 789 | 80 | 15 | 884 | 89.3% | 9.0% | D+80.2 |
| Precinct -CIVIC CENTERCIVIC CENTER | 705 | 131 | 19 | 855 | 82.5% | 15.3% | D+67.1 |
| Precinct -R. JACKSON NEIGHBORHOOD CENTERR. JACKSON NEIGHBORHOOD CENTER | 640 | 26 | 11 | 677 | 94.5% | 3.8% | D+90.7 |
| Precinct -EARLEEARLE | 417 | 167 | 9 | 593 | 70.3% | 28.2% | D+42.2 |
| Precinct -CRAWFORDSVILLECRAWFORDSVILLE | 197 | 359 | 12 | 568 | 34.7% | 63.2% | R+28.5 |
| Precinct -LR JACKSONLR JACKSON | 300 | 74 | 12 | 386 | 77.7% | 19.2% | D+58.5 |
| Precinct -CALVARY BAPTIST WMPHCALVARY BAPTIST WMPH | 138 | 201 | 9 | 348 | 39.7% | 57.8% | R+18.1 |
| Precinct -TURRELL FIRE STATIONTURRELL FIRE STATION | 150 | 127 | 2 | 279 | 53.8% | 45.5% | D+8.2 |
| Precinct -HORSESHOE LAKEHORSESHOE LAKE | 45 | 227 | 6 | 278 | 16.2% | 81.7% | R+65.5 |
| Precinct -JERICHO CITY HALLJERICHO CITY HALL | 52 | 198 | 2 | 252 | 20.6% | 78.6% | R+57.9 |
| Precinct -EDMONDSONEDMONDSON | 102 | 113 | 4 | 219 | 46.6% | 51.6% | R+5.0 |
| Precinct -GILMOREGILMORE | 45 | 25 | 1 | 71 | 63.4% | 35.2% | D+28.2 |
| Precinct -ANTHONYVILLE CITY HALLANTHONYVILLE CITY HALL | 42 | 2 | 1 | 45 | 93.3% | 4.4% | D+88.9 |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −32.5% |
| 1896 | +41.1% |
| 1900 | −7.5% |
| 1904 | −8.9% |
| 1908 | +5.6% |
| 1912 | +41.9% |
| 1916 | +72.2% |
| 1920 | +68.3% |
| 1924 | +80.1% |
| 1928 | +68.6% |
| 1932 | +96.7% |
| 1936 | +97.7% |
| 1940 | +92.8% |
| 1944 | +61.3% |
| 1948 | +19.1% |
| 1952 | +23.0% |
| 1956 | −7.3% |
| 1960 | +8.7% |
| 1964 | +1.2% |
| 1968 | +9.6% |
| 1972 | −42.1% |
| 1976 | +22.6% |
| 1980 | +5.6% |
| 1984 | −1.0% |
| 1988 | −5.1% |
| 1992 | +22.1% |
| 1996 | +26.3% |
| 2000 | +10.3% |
| 2004 | +8.8% |
| 2008 | +14.7% |
| 2012 | +14.9% |
| 2016 | +9.3% |
| 2020 | +7.2% |
| 2024 | +2.3% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 49.3%6,863 | 50.7%7,067 | 13,930 |
| 2020 | R | 0.0%0 | 100.0%12,315 | 12,315 |
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2018 | 29,531 |
| 2020 | 31,886 |
| 2022 | 32,790 |
| 2024 | 28,441 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−555 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −7,488 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $41,162 in average income, against $58,809 for residents who stayed — 30% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+1.7 on average — about the same lean as Crittenden County, AR (D+2.3).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Shelby County, TN313D+25.4
- Craighead County, AR61R+37.4
- DeSoto County, MS50R+24.1
- St. Francis County, AR41D+0.7
- Poinsett County, AR33R+63.5
- Pulaski County, AR31D+22.1
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Shelby County, TN270
- Craighead County, AR95
- DeSoto County, MS62
- Pulaski County, AR44
- St. Francis County, AR39
- Poinsett County, AR31
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −732 |
| 2012 | −778 |
| 2013 | −632 |
| 2014 | −489 |
| 2015 | −894 |
| 2016 | −48 |
| 2017 | −796 |
| 2018 | −526 |
| 2019 | −591 |
| 2021 | −625 |
| 2022 | −411 |
| 2023 | +101 |
| 2024 | −512 |
| 2025 | −555 |
Crittenden County, anchored by West Memphis, is one of the few Arkansas counties to return Democratic presidential margins, a pattern rooted in its majority-Black population and historic Delta economy along the Mississippi.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 97.7 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 42.1 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 4.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 2.3 points.
A population of 47,266, a 39% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $55,358 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Russell County and Orangeburg County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Crittenden County, Arkansas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/05035/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.