HarrisDemocratic52.4%264,640TrumpRepublican45.8%231,564OtherAll other candidates1.8%8,877
D+6.5- Lead
- 33,076
- Total
- 505,081
- vs nation
- D+8.0
Akashicmetro area
Memphis, TN-MS-AR
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
9 counties by 2024 margin · County returns · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
BidenDemocratic55.8%313,247TrumpRepublican42.6%239,039OtherAll other candidates1.7%9,316
D+13.2- Lead
- 74,208
- Total
- 561,602
- vs nation
- D+8.8
ClintonDemocratic53.6%265,987TrumpRepublican43.0%213,548OtherAll other candidates3.3%16,549
D+10.6- Lead
- 52,439
- Total
- 496,084
- vs nation
- D+8.5
ObamaDemocratic55.6%297,435RomneyRepublican43.4%232,296OtherAll other candidates1.0%5,194
D+12.2- Lead
- 65,139
- Total
- 534,925
- vs nation
- D+8.3
ObamaDemocratic56.4%321,271McCainRepublican42.9%244,375OtherAll other candidates0.7%3,908
D+13.5- Lead
- 76,896
- Total
- 569,554
- vs nation
- D+6.2
KerryDemocratic52.5%269,203BushRepublican46.9%240,167OtherAll other candidates0.6%3,033
D+5.7- Lead
- 29,036
- Total
- 512,403
- vs nation
- D+8.1
GoreDemocratic53.0%233,152BushRepublican45.7%201,188OtherAll other candidates1.3%5,798
D+7.3- Lead
- 31,964
- Total
- 440,138
- vs nation
- D+6.7
ClintonDemocratic52.9%223,534DoleRepublican42.5%179,630OtherAll other candidates4.6%19,625
D+10.4- Lead
- 43,904
- Total
- 422,789
- vs nation
- D+1.9
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+6.5MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 1,341,9242024 5-year
- Population density
- 270 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 4,972 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $67,4032024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 40.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 46.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 7.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+93.9 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+34.5 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Columbus, GA-AL · twin score 95.6
presidential history
Party record book
Memphis, TN-MS-AR · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
96.9%
75,769 votes · D+93.9
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1940 · 90.2%
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
66.2%
196,837 votes · R+34.5
Runner-up · George H. W. Bush, 1988 · 52.1%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
321,271votes
56.4% of the vote · D+13.5
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 313,247 votes
Republican
John McCain2008
244,375votes
42.9% of the vote · D+13.5
Runner-up · George W. Bush, 2004 · 240,167 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Alton B. Parker1904
+71.2pts D vs U.S.
Place D+51.6 · U.S. R+19.7
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1940 · +70.6 pts
Republican
Barry Goldwater1964
+21.1pts R vs U.S.
Place D+1.4 · U.S. D+22.6
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · +11.3 pts
U.S. House elections · 3 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
On a multi-state Place, each row sums votes cast in the separate U.S. House races held inside the Place that year. It is a geographic vote total, not one contest or a seat tally.
Some U.S. House rows cover a contest held in only part of this Place — the votes are real, but the total is not place-wide because the rest of the Place had no such race that year.
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
† Some years predate full county coverage; a flagged year sums only the counties reporting it.
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 (partial) | 800,570 |
| 2018 | 846,365 |
| 2020 | 879,025 |
| 2022 | 885,715 |
| 2024 | 912,694 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
−10,302 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −87,658 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −3,360 |
| 2012 | −1,900 |
| 2013 | −8,462 |
| 2014 | −7,741 |
| 2015 | −7,600 |
| 2016 | −6,443 |
| 2017 | −5,269 |
| 2018 | −3,492 |
| 2019 | −3,449 |
| 2021 | −5,289 |
| 2022 | −5,924 |
| 2023 | −8,479 |
| 2024 | −9,948 |
| 2025 | −10,302 |
The Memphis metro straddles Tennessee, Mississippi, and Arkansas, with Shelby County's dense urban core driving reliably Democratic presidential margins above 60% even as surrounding exurban and rural counties trend sharply Republican.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 93.9 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 34.5 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 6.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 6.5 points.
A population of 1,341,924, a 40% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $67,403 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Columbus, GA-AL and Columbia, SC.
Political twins — metros
The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Columbus, GA-AL
95.6twin score
% Black2000–2024 trajectory≠ population scale
Columbia, SC
94.0twin score
population scale2016–2024 trajectory≠ % Black
Jackson, MS
92.6twin score
% Black2020 marginAfrican American ancestry≠ 2000 margin
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Memphis, TN-MS-AR, Mississippi. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/32820/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Places within Memphis, TN-MS-AR
Frequently asked questions
How did Memphis, TN-MS-AR, Mississippi vote in 2024?
In 2024, Memphis, TN-MS-AR, Mississippi voted Democratic by 6.5 points (D+6.5), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 505,081 votes cast, 264,640 went Democratic and 231,564 went Republican.
When did Memphis, TN-MS-AR, Mississippi last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Memphis, TN-MS-AR, Mississippi voted Republican was 1988.
How many people live in Memphis, TN-MS-AR, Mississippi?
Memphis, TN-MS-AR, Mississippi has a population of 1,341,924 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Memphis, TN-MS-AR, Mississippi?
Median household income in Memphis, TN-MS-AR, Mississippi is $67,403 — below the national median of $80,734. The Mississippi state median is $60,773.
What is the political history of Memphis, TN-MS-AR, Mississippi?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Memphis, TN-MS-AR, Mississippi from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 29 went Democratic and 3 went Republican.