Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
Memphis, TN-MS-AR
presidential margin
2008D+13.52012D+12.22016D+10.62020D+13.22024D+6.5
full record · 18922024
D+6.5
2024
median income$67,403U.S. $80,734 · MS $60,773
median age36.9U.S. 39.1
poverty rate16.6%U.S. 12.5%
bachelor’s+ (25+)31.1%U.S. 35.6%
non-english9.2%U.S. 22.3%
race · ethnicity · ancestry
African American45.1%
African0.7%
Nigerian0.3%
English8.0%
American6.2%
Irish6.0%
Mexican4.2%
Guatemalan0.6%
Honduran0.6%
Asian Indian0.8%
Vietnamese0.4%
Chinese0.3%
religion
other traditions
Black Protestant17.0%
Mainline5.8%
Muslim1.2%
Other Christian0.8%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents, unaffiliated is the unclaimed remainder.

Memphis, TN-MS-AR, Mississippi

Akashic
Memphis, TN-MS-ARHarrisD+6.5
2024 presidential margin by county for Memphis, TN-MS-AR, MSA map of the constituent counties of Memphis, TN-MS-AR, MS, each outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), seated within the faint outlines of the surrounding states.Crittenden County, AR · D+2.3Benton County, MS · R+31.4DeSoto County, MS · R+24.1Marshall County, MS · R+7.3Tate County, MS · R+43.8Tunica County, MS · D+38.9Fayette County, TN · R+42.4Shelby County, TN · D+25.4Tipton County, TN · R+52.8
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Kamala HarrisDemocratic52.4%264,640
Donald TrumpRepublican45.8%231,564
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.Other1.8%8,877
D+60
R+60
9 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
County-level results (9 counties) — table
2024 presidential result by county for Memphis, TN-MS-AR, MS — winner and D-vs-R margin.
CountyWinnerMargin
Benton County, MSRepublicanR+31.4
Crittenden County, ARDemocraticD+2.3
DeSoto County, MSRepublicanR+24.1
Fayette County, TNRepublicanR+42.4
Marshall County, MSRepublicanR+7.3
Shelby County, TNDemocraticD+25.4
Tate County, MSRepublicanR+43.8
Tipton County, TNRepublicanR+52.8
Tunica County, MSDemocraticD+38.9
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonDemocraticRepublicanOtherMarginTotal
D
52.4%Harris264,640
45.8%Trump231,564
1.8%Kennedy8,877
+6.5%
505,081
D
55.8%Biden313,247
42.6%Trump239,039
1.7%Jorgensen9,316
+13.2%
561,602
D
53.6%Clinton265,987
43.0%Trump213,548
3.3%Johnson16,549
+10.6%
496,084
D
55.6%Obama297,435
43.4%Romney232,296
1.0%Johnson5,194
+12.2%
534,925
D
56.4%Obama321,271
42.9%McCain244,375
0.7%Nader3,908
+13.5%
569,554
D
52.5%Kerry269,203
46.9%Bush240,167
0.6%Nader3,033
+5.7%
512,403
D
53.0%Gore233,152
45.7%Bush201,188
1.3%Phillips5,798
+7.3%
440,138
D
52.9%Clinton223,534
42.5%Dole179,630
4.6%Browne19,625
+10.4%
422,789
D
51.1%Clinton234,986
42.5%Bush195,783
6.4%Perot29,431
+8.5%
460,200
R
47.3%Dukakis182,108
52.1%Bush200,886
0.6%Paul2,406
−4.9%
385,400
R
47.9%Mondale196,392
51.4%Reagan210,546
0.7%Bergland2,700
−3.5%
409,638
D
51.8%Carter197,018
45.3%Reagan172,349
2.8%Anderson10,834
+6.5%
380,201
D
54.6%Carter188,004
44.2%Ford152,030
1.2%Anderson4,083
+10.5%
344,117
R
31.8%McGovern94,397
66.2%Nixon196,837
2.0%Schmitz6,018
−34.5%
297,252
O
34.6%Humphrey97,218
28.8%Nixon80,904
36.5%Wallace102,529
Wallace +1.9
280,651
D
50.7%Johnson123,543
49.3%Goldwater120,035
0.0%Hass69
+1.4%
243,647
D
48.8%Kennedy96,747
47.6%Nixon94,331
3.5%Byrd7,000
+1.2%
198,078
D
48.2%Stevenson74,736
45.6%Eisenhower70,671
6.2%Andrews9,573
+2.6%
154,980
D
54.9%Stevenson87,488
45.0%Eisenhower71,720
0.1%Hallinan220
+9.9%
159,428
O
35.5%Truman28,369
18.9%Dewey15,060
45.6%Thurmond36,424
Thurmond +10.1
79,853
D
83.6%Roosevelt61,666
16.3%Dewey11,985
0.1%Thomas86
+67.4%
73,737
D
90.2%Roosevelt73,504
9.7%Willkie7,878
0.1%Thomas116
+80.5%
81,498
D
96.9%Roosevelt75,769
3.0%Landon2,337
0.1%Lemke82
+93.9%
78,188
D
87.3%Roosevelt49,960
11.6%Hoover6,641
1.1%Thomas610
+75.7%
57,211
D
68.1%Smith28,164
31.7%Hoover13,098
0.2%Thomas96
+36.4%
41,358
D
68.7%Davis21,816
24.7%Coolidge7,840
6.6%La Follette2,100
+44.0%
31,756
D
70.3%Cox25,177
28.8%Harding10,316
1.0%Debs345
+41.5%
35,838
D
78.2%Wilson19,220
20.7%Hughes5,079
1.1%Benson278
+57.5%
24,577
D
68.5%Wilson11,586
8.1%Taft1,362
23.5%Roosevelt3,968
+60.4%
16,916
D
70.2%Bryan11,350
27.8%Taft4,496
2.0%Debs325
+42.4%
16,171
D
74.8%Parker12,922
23.3%Roosevelt4,017
1.9%Debs334
+51.6%
17,273
D
68.8%Bryan13,306
30.1%McKinley5,815
1.1%Woolley212
+38.7%
19,333
D
61.3%Bryan15,056
36.5%McKinley8,971
2.1%Palmer525
+24.8%
24,552
D
73.3%Cleveland13,949
17.4%Harrison3,309
9.3%Weaver1,772
+55.9%
19,030
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1892 to 2024. Most recent: +6.5% in 2024.flipped D · 1992+6.5%DR18922024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1892+55.9%
1896+24.8%
1900+38.7%
1904+51.6%
1908+42.4%
1912+60.4%
1916+57.5%
1920+41.5%
1924+44.0%
1928+36.4%
1932+75.7%
1936+93.9%
1940+80.5%
1944+67.4%
1948+16.7%
1952+9.9%
1956+2.6%
1960+1.2%
1964+1.4%
1968+5.8%
1972−34.5%
1976+10.5%
1980+6.5%
1984−3.5%
1988−4.9%
1992+8.5%
1996+10.4%
2000+7.3%
2004+5.7%
2008+13.5%
2012+12.2%
2016+10.6%
2020+13.2%
2024+6.5%
DemocraticRepublican
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Voter registration in Memphis, TN-MS-ARTotal registered voters, 2016–2024. Latest 912,694 in 2024.228.2K456.3K684.5K912.7K912.7K20162024
Registered voters

† Some years predate full county coverage; a flagged year sums only the counties reporting it.

Voter registration in Memphis, TN-MS-AR
YearTotal registered
2016 (partial)800,570
2018846,365
2020879,025
2022885,715
2024912,694
Source: U.S. Election Assistance Commission (EAVS)

The Memphis metro straddles Tennessee, Mississippi, and Arkansas, with Shelby County's dense urban core driving reliably Democratic presidential margins above 60% even as surrounding exurban and rural counties trend sharply Republican.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 93.9 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 34.5 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 6.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 6.5 points.

A population of 1,341,924, a 40% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $67,403 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Columbus, GA-AL and Columbia, SC.

The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Memphis, TN-MS-AR, Mississippi. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/32820/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Places within Memphis, TN-MS-AR

Frequently asked questions

How did Memphis, TN-MS-AR, Mississippi vote in 2024?
In 2024, Memphis, TN-MS-AR, Mississippi voted Democratic by 6.5 points (D+6.5), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 505,081 votes cast, 264,640 went Democratic and 231,564 went Republican.
When did Memphis, TN-MS-AR, Mississippi last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Memphis, TN-MS-AR, Mississippi voted Republican was 1988.
How many people live in Memphis, TN-MS-AR, Mississippi?
Memphis, TN-MS-AR, Mississippi has a population of 1,341,924 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Memphis, TN-MS-AR, Mississippi?
Median household income in Memphis, TN-MS-AR, Mississippi is $67,403 — below the national median of $80,734. The Mississippi state median is $60,773.
What is the political history of Memphis, TN-MS-AR, Mississippi?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Memphis, TN-MS-AR, Mississippi from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 29 went Democratic and 3 went Republican.