HarrisDemocratic28.4%6,720TrumpRepublican70.7%16,756KennedyIndependent0.4%96
R+42.4- Lead
- 10,036
- Total
- 23,696
- vs nation
- R+40.9
- Turnout
- 68.4%
Akashiccounty
Fayette County, TN
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 68.4% of 34,869 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic30.6%7,027TrumpRepublican68.3%15,690JorgensenLibertarian0.6%145
R+37.7- Lead
- 8,663
- Total
- 22,984
- vs nation
- R+42.1
- Turnout
- 71.1%
ClintonDemocratic30.3%5,874TrumpRepublican67.3%13,055JohnsonLibertarian1.3%261
R+37.0- Lead
- 7,181
- Total
- 19,394
- vs nation
- R+39.1
- Turnout
- 63.8%
ObamaDemocratic34.2%6,688RomneyRepublican64.8%12,689OtherAll other candidates1.0%197
R+30.7- Lead
- 6,001
- Total
- 19,574
- vs nation
- R+34.5
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic35.8%6,892McCainRepublican63.2%12,173OtherAll other candidates1.0%189
R+27.4- Lead
- 5,281
- Total
- 19,254
- vs nation
- R+34.7
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic38.7%5,696BushRepublican60.8%8,962OtherAll other candidates0.5%79
R+22.2- Lead
- 3,266
- Total
- 14,737
- vs nation
- R+19.7
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic43.7%5,037BushRepublican55.5%6,402NaderGreen0.4%44
R+11.8- Lead
- 1,365
- Total
- 11,529
- vs nation
- R+12.4
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic48.9%4,655DoleRepublican46.3%4,406PerotReform4.4%416
D+2.6- Lead
- 249
- Total
- 9,519
- vs nation
- R+5.9
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+42.4MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 43,2672024 5-year
- Median household income
- $88,4562024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 65.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 25.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+98.7 in 1908MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+42.4 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Putnam County, GA · twin score 73.2
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 68.4%23,848 participants ÷ 34,869 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +28.6 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off versus state
- +1.8 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 39.8%–49.8%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 19,554 | 30,650 | 63.8% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 17,360 | 31,444 | 55.2% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 23,127 | 32,530 | 71.1% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 14,449 | 33,964 | 42.5% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 23,848 | 34,869 | 68.4% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
16 precincts · 23,696 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -7 Hickory Withe7 Hickory Withe | 638 | 2,244 | 31 | 2,913 | 21.9% | 77.0% | R+55.1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -6 North Oakland6 North Oakland | 782 | 2,043 | 29 | 2,854 | 27.4% | 71.6% | R+44.2 |
| Precinct -16 South Oakland16 South Oakland | 946 | 1,588 | 34 | 2,568 | 36.8% | 61.8% | R+25.0 |
| Precinct -9 Piperton9 Piperton | 382 | 1,542 | 18 | 1,942 | 19.7% | 79.4% | R+59.7 |
| Precinct -11 Macon11 Macon | 370 | 1,522 | 15 | 1,907 | 19.4% | 79.8% | R+60.4 |
| Precinct -1 Somerville1 Somerville | 597 | 1,117 | 15 | 1,729 | 34.5% | 64.6% | R+30.1 |
| Precinct -8 Elba8 Elba | 365 | 1,088 | 17 | 1,470 | 24.8% | 74.0% | R+49.2 |
| Precinct -10 Rossville10 Rossville | 414 | 995 | 12 | 1,421 | 29.1% | 70.0% | R+40.9 |
| Precinct -2 Fayette Corner2 Fayette Corner | 325 | 1,033 | 11 | 1,369 | 23.7% | 75.5% | R+51.7 |
| Precinct -13 Moscow13 Moscow | 494 | 549 | 3 | 1,046 | 47.2% | 52.5% | R+5.3 |
| Precinct -5 Gallaway5 Gallaway | 273 | 765 | 8 | 1,046 | 26.1% | 73.1% | R+47.0 |
| Precinct -4 Braden4 Braden | 260 | 540 | 5 | 805 | 32.3% | 67.1% | R+34.8 |
| Precinct -12 Williston12 Williston | 228 | 479 | 6 | 713 | 32.0% | 67.2% | R+35.2 |
| Precinct -3 Garnett3 Garnett | 344 | 361 | 4 | 709 | 48.5% | 50.9% | R+2.4 |
| Precinct -14 Parks14 Parks | 132 | 499 | 2 | 633 | 20.9% | 78.8% | R+58.0 |
| Precinct -15 La Grange15 La Grange | 170 | 391 | 10 | 571 | 29.8% | 68.5% | R+38.7 |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +49.9% |
| 1896 | +28.4% |
| 1900 | +43.7% |
| 1904 | +93.3% |
| 1908 | +98.7% |
| 1912 | +78.5% |
| 1916 | +87.9% |
| 1920 | +73.8% |
| 1924 | +87.7% |
| 1928 | +80.2% |
| 1932 | +92.5% |
| 1936 | +96.8% |
| 1940 | +91.7% |
| 1944 | +78.3% |
| 1948 | +9.0% |
| 1952 | +6.5% |
| 1956 | +14.3% |
| 1960 | −17.1% |
| 1964 | −5.1% |
| 1968 | +27.0% |
| 1972 | −21.9% |
| 1976 | +28.5% |
| 1980 | +16.6% |
| 1984 | −1.3% |
| 1988 | −4.1% |
| 1992 | +5.8% |
| 1996 | +2.6% |
| 2000 | −11.8% |
| 2004 | −22.2% |
| 2008 | −27.4% |
| 2012 | −30.7% |
| 2016 | −37.0% |
| 2020 | −37.7% |
| 2024 | −42.4% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 2 House · 37 Senate · 4 Senate special · 11 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 25.1%5,460 | 74.9%16,316 | 21,776 |
| 2020 | R | 27.1%5,766 | 72.9%15,502 | 21,268 |
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 28,063 |
| 2018 | 28,318 |
| 2020 | 30,419 |
| 2022 | 31,106 |
| 2024 | 32,823 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+623 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +5,945 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $79,230 in average income, against $97,323 for residents who stayed — 19% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+15.6 on average — 58 points more Democratic-leaning than Fayette County, TN itself (R+42.4).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Shelby County, TN913D+25.4
- DeSoto County, MS73R+24.1
- Hardeman County, TN52R+24.1
- Tipton County, TN41R+52.8
- Haywood County, TN24D+0.4
- Madison County, TN23R+18.2
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Shelby County, TN549
- Hardeman County, TN67
- DeSoto County, MS58
- Tipton County, TN40
- Marshall County, MS24
- Madison County, TN24
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +18 |
| 2012 | +1 |
| 2013 | +20 |
| 2014 | +236 |
| 2015 | +124 |
| 2016 | +406 |
| 2017 | +444 |
| 2018 | +400 |
| 2019 | +570 |
| 2021 | +925 |
| 2022 | +837 |
| 2023 | +871 |
| 2024 | +470 |
| 2025 | +623 |
Fayette County sits in the Memphis metro's eastern fringe but votes far more conservatively than its urban neighbor, delivering some of the largest Republican presidential margins in the state across recent elections.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 98.7 points in 1908 and a Republican high of 42.4 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 4.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 42.4 points.
A population of 43,267, a 66% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $88,456 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Putnam County and Carroll County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Putnam County
Georgia
73.2twin score
elasticity% Blackmedian age≠ % unaffiliated
Carroll County
Mississippi
71.5twin score
elasticity% Blackmedian age≠ median income
Tipton County
Tennessee
69.0twin score
elasticity% Evangelical% Catholic≠ median age
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Fayette County, Tennessee. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/47047/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Fayette County
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Frequently asked questions
How did Fayette County, Tennessee vote in 2024?
In 2024, Fayette County, Tennessee voted Republican by 42.4 points (R+42.4), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 23,696 votes cast, 6,720 went Democratic and 16,756 went Republican.
When did Fayette County, Tennessee last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Fayette County, Tennessee voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Fayette County, Tennessee?
Fayette County, Tennessee has a population of 43,267 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Fayette County, Tennessee?
Median household income in Fayette County, Tennessee is $88,456 — above the national median of $80,734. The Tennessee state median is $69,595.
What is the political history of Fayette County, Tennessee?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Fayette County, Tennessee from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 19 went Democratic and 12 went Republican.