Akashic

county

Marshall County, MS

Office (updates table and map)

President margin by year

Place winner margin

1892–2024 · D minus R

Full record · 1892 → 2024

2024

Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab

People and households

Who lives here

Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.

Race · ethnicity · ancestry

Communities and origins

English7.5%10.6%9.5%

American7.1%10.0%5.3%

Irish6.4%7.4%9.4%

German3.9%5.1%12.5%

Italian1.8%1.7%4.8%

French0.7%1.7%1.6%

Scottish0.4%1.6%1.3%

Scotch-Irish0.4%1.0%—

African American†42.5%35.3%9.9%

African0.3%0.8%0.5%

Mexican4.2%1.9%11.3%

Puerto Rican0.4%0.3%1.8%

Cuban0.2%—0.7%

Guatemalan0.2%0.2%0.5%

Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.

Age and life stage

Measure	Marshall County	Mississippi	United States
Median age	41.9	38.6	39.1
Age 18–24	9.3%	9.7%	9.2%
Age 65 and older	19.1%	17.3%	17.2%

Household economy

Measure	Marshall County	Mississippi	United States
Median household income	$53,458	$56,447	$84,427
Poverty rate	23.0%	19.0%	12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)	14.6%	25.3%	35.6%

Languages at home

Measure	Marshall County	Mississippi	United States
Speaks a non-English language at home	5.4%	4.3%	22.3%
Spanish	5.1%	2.7%	13.6%

Religious landscape

Measure	Marshall County	Mississippi	United States
Catholic	1.0%	3.4%	18.6%
Evangelical Protestant	32.9%	39.0%	16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted	41.4%	40.7%	51.5%
Mainline Protestant	5.5%	6.6%	5.2%
Black Protestant	17.1%	8.6%	2.2%

American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.

President results by year

2024 turnout 57.0% of 26,278 citizens 18+

HarrisDemocratic46.0%6,888TrumpRepublican53.2%7,977KennedyIndependent0.3%52

R+7.3

Lead: 1,089
Total: 14,983
vs nation: R+5.8
Turnout: 57.0%

BidenDemocratic50.9%8,057TrumpRepublican47.8%7,566WestIndependent0.3%51

D+3.1

Lead: 491
Total: 15,817
vs nation: R+1.3
Turnout: 57.6%

ClintonDemocratic54.1%8,023TrumpRepublican44.4%6,587JohnsonLibertarian0.6%95

D+9.7

Lead: 1,436
Total: 14,839
vs nation: D+7.6
Turnout: 53.3%

ObamaDemocratic59.4%9,650RomneyRepublican39.9%6,473JohnsonLibertarian0.7%112

D+19.6

Lead: 3,177
Total: 16,240
vs nation: D+15.7
Turnout: —

ObamaDemocratic58.8%9,685McCainRepublican40.6%6,683OtherAll other candidates0.7%110

D+18.2

Lead: 3,002
Total: 16,478
vs nation: D+10.9
Turnout: —

KerryDemocratic58.6%8,591BushRepublican40.8%5,975OtherAll other candidates0.6%83

D+17.9

Lead: 2,616
Total: 14,649
vs nation: D+20.3
Turnout: —

GoreDemocratic61.4%7,735BushRepublican37.5%4,723NaderGreen0.6%73

D+23.9

Lead: 3,012
Total: 12,592
vs nation: D+23.4
Turnout: —

ClintonDemocratic66.3%7,521DoleRepublican28.9%3,272PerotReform4.3%482

D+37.5

Lead: 4,249
Total: 11,340
vs nation: D+28.9
Turnout: —

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: R+7.3MIT Election Lab
Population: 33,9792024 5-year
Median household income: $53,4582024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 47.1%2024 5-year
Black: 42.8%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 5.1%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin: D+98.3 in 1916MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+73.6 in 1964MIT Election Lab
Most similar: Hampton County, SC · twin score 97.9

Participation

Midterm durability

Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.

2024 total turnout: 57.0%14,983 participants ÷ 26,278 CVAP
2020→2022 drop-off: +28.3 ptsPresidential-dependent
Drop-off versus state: +0.4 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Mechanical 2026 scenario: 28.7%–36.8%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast

Election	Participants	CVAP	Turnout	Quality
2016 · Presidential	14,839	27,865	53.3%	A/A
2018 · Midterm	11,443	27,758	41.2%	A/A
2020 · Presidential	15,898	27,617	57.6%	A/A
2022 · Midterm	7,822	26,742	29.2%	A/A
2024 · Presidential	14,983	26,278	57.0%	A/A

Sources and methods

2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.

Precinct data

Results by precinct

48 precincts · 14,983 votes

Election

Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.

Marshall County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024

Precinct -3 Byhalia3 Byhalia	541	1,003	13	1,557	34.7%	64.4%	R+29.7
Precinct -5 South Holly Springs5 South Holly Springs	876	590	12	1,478	59.3%	39.9%	D+19.4
Precinct -2 Mt Pleasant2 Mt Pleasant	291	786	12	1,089	26.7%	72.2%	R+45.5
Precinct -1 West Holly Springs1 West Holly Springs	739	168	9	916	80.7%	18.3%	D+62.3
Precinct -3 Barton3 Barton	175	724	9	908	19.3%	79.7%	R+60.5
Precinct -1 Red Banks1 Red Banks	352	518	9	879	40.0%	58.9%	R+18.9
Precinct -5 Potts Camp5 Potts Camp	222	479	1	702	31.6%	68.2%	R+36.6
Precinct -2 North Holly Springs2 North Holly Springs	405	191	4	600	67.5%	31.8%	D+35.7
Precinct -1 North Holly Springs1 North Holly Springs	528	58	12	598	88.3%	9.7%	D+78.6
Precinct -2 Slayden2 Slayden	196	381	4	581	33.7%	65.6%	R+31.8
Precinct -4 Warsaw4 Warsaw	258	321	2	581	44.4%	55.2%	R+10.8
Precinct -4 Wall Hill4 Wall Hill	319	225	5	549	58.1%	41.0%	D+17.1
Precinct -3 Cayce3 Cayce	250	286	8	544	46.0%	52.6%	R+6.6
Precinct -5 Waterford5 Waterford	216	315	0	531	40.7%	59.3%	R+18.6
Precinct -2 Cayce2 Cayce	215	296	7	518	41.5%	57.1%	R+15.6
Precinct -4 Marianna4 Marianna	228	268	6	502	45.4%	53.4%	R+8.0
Precinct -4 Chulahoma4 Chulahoma	312	107	0	419	74.5%	25.5%	D+48.9
Precinct -4 Watson4 Watson	166	252	1	419	39.6%	60.1%	R+20.5
Precinct -2 Hudsonville2 Hudsonville	181	175	1	357	50.7%	49.0%	D+1.7
Precinct -4 Victoria4 Victoria	185	151	3	339	54.6%	44.5%	D+10.0
Precinct -5 Bethlehem5 Bethlehem	36	290	0	326	11.0%	89.0%	R+77.9
Precinct -2 Early Grove2 Early Grove	107	135	0	242	44.2%	55.8%	R+11.6
Precinct -4 Laws Hill4 Laws Hill	83	121	0	204	40.7%	59.3%	R+18.6
Precinct -5 Cornersville5 Cornersville	7	137	0	144	4.9%	95.1%	R+90.3
Barton Voting District28_28093303	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Bethlehem Voting District28_28093504	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Byhalia Voting District28_28093301	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Cayce Voting District28_28093302	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Chulahoma Voting District28_28093406	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Cornersville Voting District28_28093503	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Early Grove Voting District28_28093202	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Hudsonville Voting District28_28093203	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Laws Hill Voting District28_28093407	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Marianna Voting District28_28093405	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Mt. Pleasant Voting District28_28093205	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
N. Holly Springs Dist. 128_28093101	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
N. Holly Springs Dist. 228_28093201	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
North Cayce Voting District28_28093206	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Potts Camp Voting District28_28093502	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Redbanks Voting District28_28093103	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Slayden Voting District28_28093204	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
South Holly Springs Voting District28_28093501	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Victoria Voting District28_28093401	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Wall Hill Voting District28_28093404	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Warsaw Voting District28_28093402	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Waterford Voting District28_28093505	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Watson Voting District28_28093403	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
West Holly Springs Voting District28_28093102	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes

presidential history

Presidential margin, 1892–2024

Democratic minus Republican, by election

Presidential margin over time
Year	Margin (D minus R)
1892	+84.2%
1896	+88.1%
1900	+84.5%
1904	+96.4%
1908	+93.7%
1912	+92.1%
1916	+98.3%
1920	+92.6%
1924	+93.2%
1928	+86.9%
1932	+94.2%
1936	+96.0%
1940	+93.4%
1944	+91.6%
1948	+8.8%
1952	+50.7%
1956	+53.4%
1960	+15.5%
1964	−73.6%
1968	+37.1%
1972	−27.1%
1976	+49.1%
1980	+34.1%
1984	+14.2%
1988	+19.7%
1992	+32.5%
1996	+37.5%
2000	+23.9%
2004	+17.9%
2008	+18.2%
2012	+19.6%
2016	+9.7%
2020	+3.1%
2024	−7.3%

DemocraticRepublican

38 presidential elections

Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle; not shown when either cycle is estimated or under source review. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year	Won	Democratic	Republican	Other	Margin	Swing	vs U.S.	Total
2024	R	46.0%Harris6,888	53.2%Trump7,977	0.3%Kennedy52 +6	R+7.3	R+10.4	R+5.8	14,983
All 9 candidates in 2024 · 7 minor / independent Donald J TrumpRepublican53.2%7,977 Kamala D HarrisDemocratic46.0%6,888 Robert F KennedyIndependent0.3%52 Chase OliverLibertarian0.1%22 Jill SteinIndependent0.1%14 Claudia De La CruzIndependent0.1%10 Randall TerryIndependent0.1%9 Peter SonskiIndependent0.0%6 Shiva AyyaduraiIndependent0.0%5
2020	D	50.9%Biden8,057	47.8%Trump7,566	0.3%West51	D+3.1	R+6.6	R+1.3	15,817
2016	D	54.1%Clinton8,023	44.4%Trump6,587	0.6%Johnson95	D+9.7	R+9.9	D+7.6	14,839
2012	D	59.4%Obama9,650	39.9%Romney6,473	0.7%Johnson112	D+19.6	D+1.3	D+15.7	16,240
2008	D	58.8%Obama9,685	40.6%McCain6,683	0.7%	D+18.2	D+0.4	D+10.9	16,478
2004	D	58.6%Kerry8,591	40.8%Bush5,975	0.6%	D+17.9	R+6.1	D+20.3	14,649
2000	D	61.4%Gore7,735	37.5%Bush4,723	0.6%Nader73	D+23.9	R+13.5	D+23.4	12,592
1996	D	66.3%Clinton7,521	28.9%Dole3,272	4.3%Perot482	D+37.5	D+5.0	D+28.9	11,340
1992	D	63.2%Clinton7,913	30.7%Bush3,847	5.5%Perot689	D+32.5	D+12.8	D+26.9	12,512
1988	D	59.4%Dukakis6,982	39.7%Bush4,668	0.9%	D+19.7	D+5.5	D+27.4	11,751
1984	D	56.9%Mondale5,845	42.7%Reagan4,389	0.4%	D+14.2	R+19.9	D+32.4	10,278
1980	D	65.9%Carter7,153	31.8%Reagan3,455	2.2%	D+34.1	R+15.0	D+43.8	10,848
1976	D	73.4%Carter6,769	24.3%Ford2,242	2.3%	D+49.1	D+76.2	D+47.0	9,226
1972	R	35.0%McGovern1,875	62.1%Nixon3,326	2.9%	R+27.1	R+64.2	R+3.9	5,356
1968	D	46.3%Humphrey2,907	9.2%Nixon577	44.5%	D+37.1	D+110.7	D+37.8	6,278
1964	R	13.2%Johnson343	86.8%Goldwater2,251	0.0%	R+73.6	R+89.1	R+96.1	2,594
1960	O	38.2%Kennedy681	22.6%Nixon404	39.2%	Other +1.1	R+37.9	D+15.4	1,785
1956	D	70.4%Stevenson1,192	16.9%Eisenhower287	12.7%	D+53.4	D+2.7	D+68.8	1,694
1952	D	75.4%Stevenson1,847	24.6%Eisenhower604	0.0%	D+50.7	D+41.9	D+61.5	2,451
1948	O	10.9%Truman152	2.1%Dewey29	87.0%	Thurmond +76.2	R+82.8	D+4.3	1,397
1944	D	95.8%Roosevelt1,441	4.2%Dewey63	0.0%	D+91.6	R+1.8	D+84.1	1,504
1940	D	96.7%Roosevelt1,403	3.3%Willkie48	0.0%	D+93.4	R+2.6	D+83.4	1,451
1936	D	98.0%Roosevelt1,111	1.9%Landon22	0.1%	D+96.0	D+1.9	D+71.8	1,134
1932	D	97.0%Roosevelt1,281	2.9%Hoover38	0.1%	D+94.2	D+7.3	D+76.4	1,320
1928	D	93.4%Smith1,422	6.6%Hoover100	0.0%	D+86.9	R+6.4	D+104.3	1,522
1924	D	96.6%Davis1,142	3.4%Coolidge40	0.0%	D+93.2	D+0.6	D+118.4	1,182
1920	D	96.1%Cox823	3.5%Harding30	0.4%	D+92.6	R+5.7	D+118.8	856
1916	D	99.1%Wilson1,017	0.8%Hughes8	0.1%	D+98.3	D+6.2	D+95.2	1,026
1912	D	93.2%Wilson779	1.1%Taft9	5.7%	D+92.1	R+1.6	D+72.6	836
1908	D	96.8%Bryan913	3.1%Taft29	0.1%	D+93.7	R+2.6	D+103.3	943
1904	D	97.9%Parker1,031	1.5%Roosevelt16	0.6%	D+96.4	D+11.9	D+116.1	1,053
1900	D	92.2%Bryan1,085	7.7%McKinley91	0.1%	D+84.5	R+3.6	D+92.0	1,177
1896	D	93.3%Bryan1,286	5.2%McKinley72	1.5%	D+88.1	D+3.9	D+94.2	1,378
1892	D	86.0%Cleveland1,097	1.7%Harrison22	12.3%	D+84.2	—	D+82.6	1,276
1888	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1884	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1880	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1876	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—

Federal and statewide elections · 3 House · 37 Senate · 4 Senate special · 9 governor

U.S. House

Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Akashic actual-race rollup from certified returns, House; geographic aggregation.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	R	45.8%6,736	54.2%7,958	14,694
2020	R	47.8%6,971	52.2%7,621	14,592
2018	D	52.2%5,880	47.8%5,388	11,268

U.S. Senate

Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	R	45.0%6,634	55.0%8,100	14,734
2020Class II	D	54.7%Mike Espy8,590	44.0%Cindy Hyde-Smith6,904	15,706
2018Class I	D	50.3%David Baria5,692	47.9%Roger Wicker5,415	11,313
2014Class II	D	55.0%Travis Childers4,007	43.0%Thad Cochran3,130	7,283
2012Class I	D	56.9%Albert N. Gore8,894	41.0%Roger Wicker6,409	15,637
2008Class II	D	54.5%Erik R. Fleming8,435	45.5%Thad Cochran7,032	15,467
2006Class I	D	52.8%Erik R. Fleming3,999	44.6%Trent Lott3,382	7,576
2002Class II	R	0.0%None0	77.8%Thad Cochran4,068	5,227
2000Class I	D	51.1%Troy Brown5,858	47.4%Trent Lott5,439	11,467
1996Class II	R	44.4%James W. Hunt4,361	53.5%Thad Cochran5,255	9,819
1994Class I	R	44.4%Ken Harper2,833	55.6%Trent Lott3,554	6,387
1990Class II	R	0.0%None0	100.0%Thad Cochran2,142	2,142
1988Class I	D	63.8%Wayne Dowdy7,244	36.2%Trent Lott4,118	11,362
1984Class II	D	54.0%William D. Winter5,582	46.0%Thad Cochran4,757	10,339
1982Class I	D	71.8%John C. Stennis4,263	28.2%Haley Barbour1,672	5,935
1978Class II	R	36.7%Maurice Dantin1,776	42.9%Thad Cochran2,075	4,836
1976Class I	D	100.0%John C. Stennis5,246	0.0%None0	5,246
1972Class II	D	82.9%James Eastland4,250	13.5%Gil Carmichael693	5,124
1970Class I	D	63.5%John C. Stennis1,759	0.0%None0	2,768
1966Class II	D	63.1%James Eastland2,082	14.9%Prentiss Walker493	3,299
1964Class I	—	0.0%John C. Stennis0	0.0%None0	2,300
1960Class II	D	95.4%James Eastland1,496	4.6%Joe A. Moore72	1,568
1958Class I	D	100.0%John C. Stennis486	0.0%None0	486
1954Class II	D	99.1%James Eastland742	0.9%James A White7	749
1952Class I	D	100.0%John C. Stennis1,843	0.0%None0	1,843
1948Class II	D	100.0%James Eastland1,163	0.0%None0	1,163
1946Class I	D	100.0%Theodore Bilbo520	0.0%None0	520
1942Class II	—	0.0%James Eastland0	0.0%None0	535
1940Class I	D	100.0%Theodore Bilbo1,280	0.0%None0	1,280
1936Class II	D	100.0%Pat Harrison1,055	0.0%None0	1,055
1934Class I	D	100.0%Theodore Bilbo387	0.0%None0	387
1930Class II	D	100.0%Pat Harrison474	0.0%None0	474
1928Class I	D	100.0%Hubert Stephens1,352	0.0%None0	1,352
1924Class II	D	100.0%Pat Harrison1,115	0.0%None0	1,115
1922Class I	D	95.6%Hubert Stephens865	0.9%John Cook8	905
1918Class II	D	97.7%Pat Harrison626	0.0%None0	641
1916Class I	D	100.0%John S. Williams956	0.0%None0	956

U.S. Senate special elections

Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2018Special · Class II	D	58.7%Mike Espy6,334	41.3%Cindy Hyde-Smith4,462	10,796
2008Special · Class I	D	52.4%Ronnie Musgrove7,928	47.6%Roger Wicker7,191	15,119
1947Special · Class I	—	0.0%John C. Stennis0	0.0%L.R. Collins0	1,469
1941Special · Class II	D	6.9%Wall Doxey109	0.0%None0	1,578

Governor

Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2015	R	47.2%Robert Gray3,105	51.8%Phil Bryant3,412	6,585
2011	D	50.6%Johnny DuPree4,638	49.4%Phil Bryant4,529	9,167
2007	D	50.1%John Arthur Eaves Jr.3,587	49.9%Haley Barbour3,570	7,157
2003	D	61.2%Ronnie Musgrove5,043	37.5%Haley Barbour3,094	8,243
1995	D	52.4%Dick Molpus4,501	47.6%Kirk Fordice4,086	8,587
1991	D	71.4%Ray Mabus4,871	26.9%Kirk Fordice1,835	6,825
1987	D	68.7%Ray Mabus5,657	31.3%Jack Reed2,577	8,234
1983	D	64.2%William Allain5,660	25.9%Leon Bramlett2,283	8,814
1979	D	75.8%William F. Winter7,261	24.2%Gil Carmichael2,315	9,576

voter registration

Registered voters

Total registered voters, over time

Registered voters

Voter registration in Marshall County, MS
Year	Total registered
2016	23,359
2018	23,850
2020	25,449
2022	25,300
2024	26,634

domestic migration

Who moves in and out

Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote

+442 net domestic migration · 2025

20112025

Net −338 over 2011–2025 · gain loss

Arrivals reported $58,798 in average income, against $52,707 for residents who stayed — 12% higher. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)

The places arrivals came from lean R+8.8 on average — 1.6 points more Republican-leaning than Marshall County, MS itself (R+7.3).

Where arrivals came from lean of each source

DeSoto County, MS357R+24.1
Shelby County, TN311D+25.4
Benton County, MS61R+31.4
Lafayette County, MS34R+21.8
Union County, MS28R+70.1
Tate County, MS25R+43.8

Where departures went households, 2022–23

DeSoto County, MS314
Shelby County, TN204
Benton County, MS64
Tate County, MS36
Lafayette County, MS28
Union County, MS20

Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.

Domestic migration in Marshall County, MS in Marshall County, MS: net domestic migration by year
Year	Net domestic migration
2011	−386
2012	−250
2013	−132
2014	−312
2015	−291
2016	−131
2017	−152
2018	−162
2019	−81
2021	+21
2022	+373
2023	+383
2024	+340
2025	+442

Marshall County's population is roughly 45% Black, yet its presidential margin shifted sharply rightward between 2012 and 2024, reflecting a statewide realignment pattern that analysts are still working to explain.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 98.3 points in 1916 and a Republican high of 73.6 points in 1964. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 10.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 7.3 points.

A population of 33,979, a 47% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $53,458 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Hampton County and Haywood County.

Political twins — counties

The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Hampton County

South Carolina

97.9twin score

2000–2012 trajectory% Black

2000–2016 trajectory% Black≠ % unaffiliated

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page

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Cities & towns in Marshall County

Holly Springs

D+45

6.7K residents

Mississippi at the ballot boxAll elections →

Presidentcounty detail2024 US Senatestatewide2024 Governorstate + county2023 US Houseall districts2024

Frequently asked questions

How did Marshall County, Mississippi vote in 2024?

In 2024, Marshall County, Mississippi voted Republican by 7.3 points (R+7.3), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 14,983 votes cast, 6,888 went Democratic and 7,977 went Republican.

When did Marshall County, Mississippi last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Marshall County, Mississippi voted Democratic was 2020.

How many people live in Marshall County, Mississippi?

Marshall County, Mississippi has a population of 33,979 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Marshall County, Mississippi?

Median household income in Marshall County, Mississippi is $53,458 — below the national median of $80,734. The Mississippi state median is $56,447.

What is the political history of Marshall County, Mississippi?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Marshall County, Mississippi from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 29 went Democratic and 3 went Republican.

Measure

Marshall County

Mississippi

United States

Median age

41.9

38.6

39.1

Age 18–24

9.3%

9.7%

9.2%

Age 65 and older

19.1%

17.3%

17.2%

Measure

Marshall County

Mississippi

United States

Median household income

$53,458

$56,447

$84,427

Poverty rate

23.0%

19.0%

12.5%

Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)

14.6%

25.3%

35.6%

Measure

Marshall County

Mississippi

United States

Speaks a non-English language at home

5.4%

4.3%

22.3%

Spanish

5.1%

2.7%

13.6%

Measure

Marshall County

Mississippi

United States

Catholic

1.0%

3.4%

18.6%

Evangelical Protestant

32.9%

39.0%

16.5%

Unclaimed / not counted

41.4%

40.7%

51.5%

Mainline Protestant

5.5%

6.6%

5.2%

Black Protestant

17.1%

8.6%

2.2%

Key facts

2024 presidential margin

R+7.3MIT Election Lab

Population

33,9792024 5-year

Median household income

$53,4582024 5-year

White (non-Hispanic)

47.1%2024 5-year

Black

42.8%2024 5-year

Hispanic / Latino

5.1%2024 5-year

Peak Democratic margin

D+98.3 in 1916MIT Election Lab

Peak Republican margin

R+73.6 in 1964MIT Election Lab

Most similar

Hampton County, SC · twin score 97.9

Election

Participants

CVAP

Turnout

Quality

2016 · Presidential

14,839

27,865

53.3%

A/A

2018 · Midterm

11,443

27,758

41.2%

A/A

2020 · Presidential

15,898

27,617

57.6%

A/A

2022 · Midterm

7,822

26,742

29.2%

A/A

2024 · Presidential

14,983

26,278

57.0%

A/A

Marshall County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024

Precinct -3 Byhalia3 Byhalia

541

1,003

1,557

34.7%

64.4%

R+29.7

Precinct -5 South Holly Springs5 South Holly Springs

876

590

1,478

59.3%

39.9%

D+19.4

Precinct -2 Mt Pleasant2 Mt Pleasant

291

786

1,089

26.7%

72.2%

R+45.5

Precinct -1 West Holly Springs1 West Holly Springs

739

168

916

80.7%

18.3%

D+62.3

Precinct -3 Barton3 Barton

175

724

908

19.3%

79.7%

R+60.5

Precinct -1 Red Banks1 Red Banks

352

518

879

40.0%

58.9%

R+18.9

Precinct -5 Potts Camp5 Potts Camp

222

479

702

31.6%

68.2%

R+36.6

Precinct -2 North Holly Springs2 North Holly Springs

405

191

600

67.5%

31.8%

D+35.7

Precinct -1 North Holly Springs1 North Holly Springs

528

598

88.3%

9.7%

D+78.6

Precinct -2 Slayden2 Slayden

196

381

581

33.7%

65.6%

R+31.8

Precinct -4 Warsaw4 Warsaw

258

321

581

44.4%

55.2%

R+10.8

Precinct -4 Wall Hill4 Wall Hill

319

225

549

58.1%

41.0%

D+17.1

Precinct -3 Cayce3 Cayce

250

286

544

46.0%

52.6%

R+6.6

Precinct -5 Waterford5 Waterford

216

315

531

40.7%

59.3%

R+18.6

Precinct -2 Cayce2 Cayce

215

296

518

41.5%

57.1%

R+15.6

Precinct -4 Marianna4 Marianna

228

268

502

45.4%

53.4%

R+8.0

Precinct -4 Chulahoma4 Chulahoma

312

107

419

74.5%

25.5%

D+48.9

Precinct -4 Watson4 Watson

166

252

419

39.6%

60.1%

R+20.5

Precinct -2 Hudsonville2 Hudsonville

181

175

357

50.7%

49.0%

D+1.7

Precinct -4 Victoria4 Victoria

185

151

339

54.6%

44.5%

D+10.0

Precinct -5 Bethlehem5 Bethlehem

290

326

11.0%

89.0%

R+77.9

Precinct -2 Early Grove2 Early Grove

107

135

242

44.2%

55.8%

R+11.6

Precinct -4 Laws Hill4 Laws Hill

121

204

40.7%

59.3%

R+18.6

Precinct -5 Cornersville5 Cornersville

137

144

4.9%

95.1%

R+90.3

Barton Voting District28_28093303

—

No votes

Bethlehem Voting District28_28093504

—

No votes

Byhalia Voting District28_28093301

—

No votes

Cayce Voting District28_28093302

—

No votes

Chulahoma Voting District28_28093406

—

No votes

Cornersville Voting District28_28093503

—

No votes

Early Grove Voting District28_28093202

—

No votes

Hudsonville Voting District28_28093203

—

No votes

Laws Hill Voting District28_28093407

—

No votes

Marianna Voting District28_28093405

—

No votes

Mt. Pleasant Voting District28_28093205

—

No votes

N. Holly Springs Dist. 128_28093101

—

No votes

N. Holly Springs Dist. 228_28093201

—

No votes

North Cayce Voting District28_28093206

—

No votes

Potts Camp Voting District28_28093502

—

No votes

Redbanks Voting District28_28093103

—

No votes

Slayden Voting District28_28093204

—

No votes

South Holly Springs Voting District28_28093501

—

No votes

Victoria Voting District28_28093401

—

No votes

Wall Hill Voting District28_28093404

—

No votes

Warsaw Voting District28_28093402

—

No votes

Waterford Voting District28_28093505

—

No votes

Watson Voting District28_28093403

—

No votes

West Holly Springs Voting District28_28093102

—

No votes

Presidential margin, 1892–2024

Democratic minus Republican, by election

Presidential margin over time
Year	Margin (D minus R)
1892	+84.2%
1896	+88.1%
1900	+84.5%
1904	+96.4%
1908	+93.7%
1912	+92.1%
1916	+98.3%
1920	+92.6%
1924	+93.2%
1928	+86.9%
1932	+94.2%
1936	+96.0%
1940	+93.4%
1944	+91.6%
1948	+8.8%
1952	+50.7%
1956	+53.4%
1960	+15.5%
1964	−73.6%
1968	+37.1%
1972	−27.1%
1976	+49.1%
1980	+34.1%
1984	+14.2%
1988	+19.7%
1992	+32.5%
1996	+37.5%
2000	+23.9%
2004	+17.9%
2008	+18.2%
2012	+19.6%
2016	+9.7%
2020	+3.1%
2024	−7.3%

DemocraticRepublican

Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle; not shown when either cycle is estimated or under source review. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.

Year

Won

Democratic

Republican

Other

Margin

Swing

vs U.S.

Total

2024

46.0%Harris6,888

53.2%Trump7,977

0.3%Kennedy52 +6

R+7.3

R+10.4

R+5.8

14,983

All 9 candidates in 2024 · 7 minor / independent

Donald J TrumpRepublican53.2%7,977
Kamala D HarrisDemocratic46.0%6,888
Robert F KennedyIndependent0.3%52
Chase OliverLibertarian0.1%22
Jill SteinIndependent0.1%14
Claudia De La CruzIndependent0.1%10
Randall TerryIndependent0.1%9
Peter SonskiIndependent0.0%6
Shiva AyyaduraiIndependent0.0%5

2020

50.9%Biden8,057

47.8%Trump7,566

0.3%West51

D+3.1

R+6.6

R+1.3

15,817

2016

54.1%Clinton8,023

44.4%Trump6,587

0.6%Johnson95

D+9.7

R+9.9

D+7.6

14,839

2012

59.4%Obama9,650

39.9%Romney6,473

0.7%Johnson112

D+19.6

D+1.3

D+15.7

16,240

2008

58.8%Obama9,685

40.6%McCain6,683

0.7%

D+18.2

D+0.4

D+10.9

16,478

2004

58.6%Kerry8,591

40.8%Bush5,975

0.6%

D+17.9

R+6.1

D+20.3

14,649

2000

61.4%Gore7,735

37.5%Bush4,723

0.6%Nader73

D+23.9

R+13.5

D+23.4

12,592

1996

66.3%Clinton7,521

28.9%Dole3,272

4.3%Perot482

D+37.5

D+5.0

D+28.9

11,340

1992

63.2%Clinton7,913

30.7%Bush3,847

5.5%Perot689

D+32.5

D+12.8

D+26.9

12,512

1988

59.4%Dukakis6,982

39.7%Bush4,668

0.9%

D+19.7

D+5.5

D+27.4

11,751

1984

56.9%Mondale5,845

42.7%Reagan4,389

0.4%

D+14.2

R+19.9

D+32.4

10,278

1980

65.9%Carter7,153

31.8%Reagan3,455

2.2%

D+34.1

R+15.0

D+43.8

10,848

1976

73.4%Carter6,769

24.3%Ford2,242

2.3%

D+49.1

D+76.2

D+47.0

9,226

1972

35.0%McGovern1,875

62.1%Nixon3,326

2.9%

R+27.1

R+64.2

R+3.9

5,356

1968

46.3%Humphrey2,907

9.2%Nixon577

44.5%

D+37.1

D+110.7

D+37.8

6,278

1964

13.2%Johnson343

86.8%Goldwater2,251

0.0%

R+73.6

R+89.1

R+96.1

2,594

1960

38.2%Kennedy681

22.6%Nixon404

39.2%

Other +1.1

R+37.9

D+15.4

1,785

1956

70.4%Stevenson1,192

16.9%Eisenhower287

12.7%

D+53.4

D+2.7

D+68.8

1,694

1952

75.4%Stevenson1,847

24.6%Eisenhower604

0.0%

D+50.7

D+41.9

D+61.5

2,451

1948

10.9%Truman152

2.1%Dewey29

87.0%

Thurmond +76.2

R+82.8

D+4.3

1,397

1944

95.8%Roosevelt1,441

4.2%Dewey63

0.0%

D+91.6

R+1.8

D+84.1

1,504

1940

96.7%Roosevelt1,403

3.3%Willkie48

0.0%

D+93.4

R+2.6

D+83.4

1,451

1936

98.0%Roosevelt1,111

1.9%Landon22

0.1%

D+96.0

D+1.9

D+71.8

1,134

1932

97.0%Roosevelt1,281

2.9%Hoover38

0.1%

D+94.2

D+7.3

D+76.4

1,320

1928

93.4%Smith1,422

6.6%Hoover100

0.0%

D+86.9

R+6.4

D+104.3

1,522

1924

96.6%Davis1,142

3.4%Coolidge40

0.0%

D+93.2

D+0.6

D+118.4

1,182

1920

96.1%Cox823

3.5%Harding30

0.4%

D+92.6

R+5.7

D+118.8

856

1916

99.1%Wilson1,017

0.8%Hughes8

0.1%

D+98.3

D+6.2

D+95.2

1,026

1912

93.2%Wilson779

1.1%Taft9

5.7%

D+92.1

R+1.6

D+72.6

836

1908

96.8%Bryan913

3.1%Taft29

0.1%

D+93.7

R+2.6

D+103.3

943

1904

97.9%Parker1,031

1.5%Roosevelt16

0.6%

D+96.4

D+11.9

D+116.1

1,053

1900

92.2%Bryan1,085

7.7%McKinley91

0.1%

D+84.5

R+3.6

D+92.0

1,177

1896

93.3%Bryan1,286

5.2%McKinley72

1.5%

D+88.1

D+3.9

D+94.2

1,378

1892

86.0%Cleveland1,097

1.7%Harrison22

12.3%

D+84.2

—

D+82.6

1,276

1888

—

No data

—

1884

—

No data

—

1880

—

No data

—

1876

—

No data

—

Source · Akashic actual-race rollup from certified returns, House; geographic aggregation.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2024

45.8%6,736

54.2%7,958

14,694

2020

47.8%6,971

52.2%7,621

14,592

2018

52.2%5,880

47.8%5,388

11,268

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2024

45.0%6,634

55.0%8,100

14,734

2020Class II

54.7%Mike Espy8,590

44.0%Cindy Hyde-Smith6,904

15,706

2018Class I

50.3%David Baria5,692

47.9%Roger Wicker5,415

11,313

2014Class II

55.0%Travis Childers4,007

43.0%Thad Cochran3,130

7,283

2012Class I

56.9%Albert N. Gore8,894

41.0%Roger Wicker6,409

15,637

2008Class II

54.5%Erik R. Fleming8,435

45.5%Thad Cochran7,032

15,467

2006Class I

52.8%Erik R. Fleming3,999

44.6%Trent Lott3,382

7,576

2002Class II

0.0%None0

77.8%Thad Cochran4,068

5,227

2000Class I

51.1%Troy Brown5,858

47.4%Trent Lott5,439

11,467

1996Class II

44.4%James W. Hunt4,361

53.5%Thad Cochran5,255

9,819

1994Class I

44.4%Ken Harper2,833

55.6%Trent Lott3,554

6,387

1990Class II

0.0%None0

100.0%Thad Cochran2,142

2,142

1988Class I

63.8%Wayne Dowdy7,244

36.2%Trent Lott4,118

11,362

1984Class II

54.0%William D. Winter5,582

46.0%Thad Cochran4,757

10,339

1982Class I

71.8%John C. Stennis4,263

28.2%Haley Barbour1,672

5,935

1978Class II

36.7%Maurice Dantin1,776

42.9%Thad Cochran2,075

4,836

1976Class I

100.0%John C. Stennis5,246

0.0%None0

5,246

1972Class II

82.9%James Eastland4,250

13.5%Gil Carmichael693

5,124

1970Class I

63.5%John C. Stennis1,759

0.0%None0

2,768

1966Class II

63.1%James Eastland2,082

14.9%Prentiss Walker493

3,299

1964Class I

—

0.0%John C. Stennis0

0.0%None0

2,300

1960Class II

95.4%James Eastland1,496

4.6%Joe A. Moore72

1,568

1958Class I

100.0%John C. Stennis486

0.0%None0

486

1954Class II

99.1%James Eastland742

0.9%James A White7

749

1952Class I

100.0%John C. Stennis1,843

0.0%None0

1,843

1948Class II

100.0%James Eastland1,163

0.0%None0

1,163

1946Class I

100.0%Theodore Bilbo520

0.0%None0

520

1942Class II

—

0.0%James Eastland0

0.0%None0

535

1940Class I

100.0%Theodore Bilbo1,280

0.0%None0

1,280

1936Class II

100.0%Pat Harrison1,055

0.0%None0

1,055

1934Class I

100.0%Theodore Bilbo387

0.0%None0

387

1930Class II

100.0%Pat Harrison474

0.0%None0

474

1928Class I

100.0%Hubert Stephens1,352

0.0%None0

1,352

1924Class II

100.0%Pat Harrison1,115

0.0%None0

1,115

1922Class I

95.6%Hubert Stephens865

0.9%John Cook8

905

1918Class II

97.7%Pat Harrison626

0.0%None0

641

1916Class I

100.0%John S. Williams956

0.0%None0

956

Source · Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2018Special · Class II

58.7%Mike Espy6,334

41.3%Cindy Hyde-Smith4,462

10,796

2008Special · Class I

52.4%Ronnie Musgrove7,928

47.6%Roger Wicker7,191

15,119

1947Special · Class I

—

0.0%John C. Stennis0

0.0%L.R. Collins0

1,469

1941Special · Class II

6.9%Wall Doxey109

0.0%None0

1,578

Source · Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2015

47.2%Robert Gray3,105

51.8%Phil Bryant3,412

6,585

2011

50.6%Johnny DuPree4,638

49.4%Phil Bryant4,529

9,167

2007

50.1%John Arthur Eaves Jr.3,587

49.9%Haley Barbour3,570

7,157

2003

61.2%Ronnie Musgrove5,043

37.5%Haley Barbour3,094

8,243

1995

52.4%Dick Molpus4,501

47.6%Kirk Fordice4,086

8,587

1991

71.4%Ray Mabus4,871

26.9%Kirk Fordice1,835

6,825

1987

68.7%Ray Mabus5,657

31.3%Jack Reed2,577

8,234

1983

64.2%William Allain5,660

25.9%Leon Bramlett2,283

8,814

1979

75.8%William F. Winter7,261

24.2%Gil Carmichael2,315

9,576

Frequently asked questions

Voter registration in Marshall County, MS
Year	Total registered
2016	23,359
2018	23,850
2020	25,449
2022	25,300
2024	26,634

How did Marshall County, Mississippi vote in 2024?

In 2024, Marshall County, Mississippi voted Republican by 7.3 points (R+7.3), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 14,983 votes cast, 6,888 went Democratic and 7,977 went Republican.

When did Marshall County, Mississippi last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Marshall County, Mississippi voted Democratic was 2020.

How many people live in Marshall County, Mississippi?

Marshall County, Mississippi has a population of 33,979 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Marshall County, Mississippi?

Median household income in Marshall County, Mississippi is $53,458 — below the national median of $80,734. The Mississippi state median is $56,447.

What is the political history of Marshall County, Mississippi?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Marshall County, Mississippi from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 29 went Democratic and 3 went Republican.