akashic
1876–2024
Marshall County, Mississippi
Marshall County·Mississippi

Marshall County delivered a near-tie in 2024.

A majority-Black county where presidential margins have tightened over a decade

18762024·38 elections
Marshall County, Mississippi · lucianvenutian · Wikimedia Commons
Latest
R+7
in 2024
Archetype
Tossup
since the recent cycles
Population
33,979
2024 ACS
Most similar
Jasper County
SC · similarity 0.99
24 precincts · 14,983 votes cast
Trump · R+7
Margin
Turnout
Harris +50
Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024R
−7.3%
6,8887,97714,983
2020D
+3.1%
8,0577,56615,817
2016D
+9.7%
8,0236,58714,839
2012D
+19.6%
9,6506,47316,240
2008D
+18.2%
9,6856,68316,478
2004D
+17.9%
8,5915,97514,649
2000D
+23.9%
7,7354,72312,592
1996D
+37.5%
7,5213,27211,340
1992D
+32.5%
7,9133,84712,512
1988D
+19.7%
6,9824,66811,751
1984D
+14.2%
5,8454,38910,278
1980D
+34.1%
7,1533,45510,848
1976D
+49.1%
6,7692,2429,226
1972R
−27.1%
1,8753,3265,356
1968D
+37.1%
2,9075776,278
1964R
−73.6%
3432,2512,594
1960D
+15.5%
6814041,785
1956D
+53.4%
1,1922871,694
1952D
+50.7%
1,8476042,451
1948D
+8.8%
152291,397
1944D
+91.6%
1,441631,504
1940D
+93.4%
1,403481,451
1936D
+96.0%
1,111221,134
1932D
+94.2%
1,281381,320
1928D
+86.9%
1,4221001,522
1924D
+93.2%
1,142401,182
1920D
+92.6%
82330856
1916D
+98.3%
1,01781,026
1912D
+92.1%
7799836
1908
No data
1904
No data
1900D
+84.5%
1,085911,177
1896D
+88.1%
1,286721,378
1892D
+84.2%
1,097221,276
1888
No data
1884
No data
1880
No data
1876
No data
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
100.0%
African American
34.3%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
0.0%
speak English only
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Baptist
33.1%
Methodist
16.6%
Other Christian
6.8%
Catholic & Orthodox
1.0%
Mainline Protestant
0.7%
Pentecostal & Holiness
0.4%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 41.4% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Marshall County's population is roughly 45% Black, yet its presidential margin shifted sharply rightward between 2012 and 2024, reflecting a statewide realignment pattern that analysts are still working to explain.

The county's recent history is a story of close margins. The Democratic margin reached ninety-eight points in 1916; the Republican margin reached seventy-four points in 1964. Most other elections have been decided by single-digit points.

Marshall County's demographics — a population of 33,979, a 47% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $53,458 — situate the county close to national averages on several dimensions. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Jasper County and Lee County.