- Lead
- 7,980
- Total
- 27,468
- vs nation
- R+27.6
Mississippi 10th State Senate District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 5,462
- Total
- 28,272
- vs nation
- R+23.8
- Lead
- 3,683
- Total
- 25,709
- vs nation
- R+16.4
- Lead
- 1,024
- Total
- 27,450
- vs nation
- R+7.6
- Lead
- 1,458
- Total
- 28,060
- vs nation
- R+12.5
- Lead
- 1,392
- Total
- 24,686
- vs nation
- R+3.2
- Lead
- 25
- Total
- 20,341
- vs nation
- R+0.6
- Lead
- 2,506
- Total
- 17,692
- vs nation
- D+5.6
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+29.1MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 59,4872024 5-year
- Population density
- 53 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 1,130 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $60,4612024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 59.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 33.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+96.5 in 1940MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+73.6 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State Senate District 7, MS · twin score 96.6
presidential history
Party record book
Mississippi 10th State Senate District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
97.8%
2,253 votes · D+95.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1940 · 97.7%
Republican
Barry Goldwater1964
86.8%
4,753 votes · R+73.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · 72.0%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
13,194votes
47.0% of the vote · R+5.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · 13,089 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
17,616votes
64.1% of the vote · R+29.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 16,682 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John W. Davis1924
+117.3pts D vs U.S.
Place D+92.2 · U.S. R+25.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Alton B. Parker, 1904 · +111.8 pts
Republican
Barry Goldwater1964
+96.2pts R vs U.S.
Place R+73.6 · U.S. D+22.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · +27.6 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
With a 2024 presidential margin of R+29.1 across roughly 59,000 residents, this district reflects the deeply entrenched Republican lean common to rural Mississippi, where low population density and a predominantly non-urban electorate shape consistent voting patterns.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 96.5 points in 1940 and a Republican high of 73.6 points in 1964. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 9.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 29.1 points.
A population of 59,487, a 60% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $60,461 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State Senate District 7 and State Senate District 8.
The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Mississippi 10th State Senate District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/28010/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.