HarrisDemocratic14.5%1,807TrumpRepublican84.6%10,559KennedyIndependent0.4%52
R+70.1- Lead
- 8,752
- Total
- 12,478
- vs nation
- R+68.7
- Turnout
- 60.0%
Akashiccounty
Union County, MS
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 60.0% of 20,801 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic17.0%2,160TrumpRepublican81.8%10,373JorgensenLibertarian0.6%81
R+64.8- Lead
- 8,213
- Total
- 12,683
- vs nation
- R+69.2
- Turnout
- 61.9%
ClintonDemocratic17.5%2,012TrumpRepublican80.3%9,235JohnsonLibertarian1.2%133
R+62.8- Lead
- 7,223
- Total
- 11,496
- vs nation
- R+64.9
- Turnout
- 56.5%
ObamaDemocratic24.1%2,742RomneyRepublican74.8%8,498OtherAll other candidates1.1%125
R+50.6- Lead
- 5,756
- Total
- 11,365
- vs nation
- R+54.5
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic24.5%2,985McCainRepublican74.4%9,072OtherAll other candidates1.1%138
R+49.9- Lead
- 6,087
- Total
- 12,195
- vs nation
- R+57.2
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic26.2%2,839BushRepublican73.1%7,906OtherAll other candidates0.7%74
R+46.8- Lead
- 5,067
- Total
- 10,819
- vs nation
- R+44.4
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic33.2%3,094BushRepublican65.4%6,087NaderGreen0.7%69
R+32.1- Lead
- 2,993
- Total
- 9,311
- vs nation
- R+32.7
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic38.8%3,316DoleRepublican51.1%4,375PerotReform9.2%788
R+12.4- Lead
- 1,059
- Total
- 8,555
- vs nation
- R+20.9
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+70.1MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 28,1222024 5-year
- Median household income
- $55,5052024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 76.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 13.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+94.4 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+77.4 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Pontotoc County, MS · twin score 95.5
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 60.0%12,478 participants ÷ 20,801 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +28.5 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off versus state
- +0.6 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 31.5%–37.8%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 11,496 | 20,352 | 56.5% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 8,436 | 20,806 | 40.5% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 12,911 | 20,856 | 61.9% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 6,805 | 20,350 | 33.4% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 12,478 | 20,801 | 60.0% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
40 precincts · 12,478 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -Watson Grove Baptist ChurchWatson Grove Baptist Church | 287 | 866 | 23 | 1,176 | 24.4% | 73.6% | R+49.2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -MyrtleMyrtle | 144 | 900 | 9 | 1,053 | 13.7% | 85.5% | R+71.8 |
| Precinct -IngomarIngomar | 115 | 834 | 4 | 953 | 12.1% | 87.5% | R+75.4 |
| Precinct -Ellistown Baptist ChurchEllistown Baptist Church | 113 | 699 | 4 | 816 | 13.8% | 85.7% | R+71.8 |
| Precinct -SportsplexSportsplex | 185 | 566 | 14 | 765 | 24.2% | 74.0% | R+49.8 |
| Precinct -Central MaintenanceCentral Maintenance | 67 | 688 | 7 | 762 | 8.8% | 90.3% | R+81.5 |
| Precinct -CourthouseCourthouse | 158 | 577 | 8 | 743 | 21.3% | 77.7% | R+56.4 |
| Precinct -GlenfieldGlenfield | 154 | 572 | 9 | 735 | 21.0% | 77.8% | R+56.9 |
| Precinct -Beacon HillBeacon Hill | 126 | 585 | 3 | 714 | 17.6% | 81.9% | R+64.3 |
| Precinct -West UnionWest Union | 39 | 653 | 1 | 693 | 5.6% | 94.2% | R+88.6 |
| Precinct -Hillcrest ChurchHillcrest Church | 160 | 382 | 12 | 554 | 28.9% | 69.0% | R+40.1 |
| Precinct -KeownvilleKeownville | 34 | 504 | 4 | 542 | 6.3% | 93.0% | R+86.7 |
| Precinct -Blue SpringsBlue Springs | 46 | 446 | 2 | 494 | 9.3% | 90.3% | R+81.0 |
| Precinct -King's ChapelKing's Chapel | 59 | 420 | 4 | 483 | 12.2% | 87.0% | R+74.7 |
| Precinct -CenterCenter | 23 | 387 | 0 | 410 | 5.6% | 94.4% | R+88.8 |
| Precinct -PinedalePinedale | 20 | 380 | 1 | 401 | 5.0% | 94.8% | R+89.8 |
| Precinct -JerichoJericho | 27 | 342 | 6 | 375 | 7.2% | 91.2% | R+84.0 |
| Precinct -MacedoniaMacedonia | 13 | 294 | 0 | 307 | 4.2% | 95.8% | R+91.5 |
| Precinct -BlytheBlythe | 19 | 235 | 1 | 255 | 7.5% | 92.2% | R+84.7 |
| Precinct -Pleasant RidgePleasant Ridge | 18 | 229 | 0 | 247 | 7.3% | 92.7% | R+85.4 |
| B.F. Ford Voting District28_28145402 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Beacon Hill Voting District28_28145306 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Blue Springs Voting District28_28145401 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Blythe Voting District28_28145102 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Center Voting District28_28145404 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Central Maintenance Voting District28_28145304 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Courthouse Voting District28_28145302 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| East Union Voting District28_28145407 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Glenfield Voting District28_28145105 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Imgomar Voting District28_28145206 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Jericho Voting District28_28145508 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Keownville Voting District28_28145504 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Kings Chapel Voting District28_28145301 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Macedonia Voting District28_28145101 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Myrtle Voting District28_28145103 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Northeast MS Community College Voting District28_28145503 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Pinedale Voting District28_28145201 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Pleasant Ridge Voting District28_28145505 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Sportsplex Voting District28_28145205 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| West Union Voting District28_28145202 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +60.2% |
| 1896 | +83.0% |
| 1900 | +70.8% |
| 1904 | +81.8% |
| 1908 | +82.0% |
| 1912 | +87.1% |
| 1916 | +89.4% |
| 1920 | +47.7% |
| 1924 | +81.9% |
| 1928 | +70.3% |
| 1932 | +93.4% |
| 1936 | +94.4% |
| 1940 | +91.7% |
| 1944 | +84.2% |
| 1948 | +21.1% |
| 1952 | +50.0% |
| 1956 | +70.3% |
| 1960 | +42.4% |
| 1964 | −40.8% |
| 1968 | −4.8% |
| 1972 | −77.4% |
| 1976 | +32.8% |
| 1980 | +16.7% |
| 1984 | −35.6% |
| 1988 | −28.7% |
| 1992 | −15.0% |
| 1996 | −12.4% |
| 2000 | −32.1% |
| 2004 | −46.8% |
| 2008 | −49.9% |
| 2012 | −50.6% |
| 2016 | −62.8% |
| 2020 | −64.8% |
| 2024 | −70.1% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 3 House · 37 Senate · 4 Senate special · 9 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 17,069 |
| 2018 | 17,318 |
| 2020 | 18,141 |
| 2022 | 17,453 |
| 2024 | 18,288 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+84 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +1,258 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $46,352 in average income, against $63,051 for residents who stayed — 26% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+47.4 on average — 23 points more Democratic-leaning than Union County, MS itself (R+70.1).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Pontotoc County, MS111R+67.7
- Lee County, MS107R+38.8
- Tippah County, MS64R+67.1
- Benton County, MS30R+31.4
- Lafayette County, MS29R+21.8
- DeSoto County, MS25R+24.1
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Lee County, MS142
- Pontotoc County, MS116
- Tippah County, MS55
- Lafayette County, MS37
- Prentiss County, MS35
- Marshall County, MS28
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +64 |
| 2012 | −49 |
| 2013 | +251 |
| 2014 | +226 |
| 2015 | +79 |
| 2016 | −97 |
| 2017 | +84 |
| 2018 | +17 |
| 2019 | +94 |
| 2021 | +197 |
| 2022 | +118 |
| 2023 | +128 |
| 2024 | +62 |
| 2025 | +84 |
Union County's R+70.1 margin in 2024 placed it among the most one-sided counties in the state, reflecting the rural, predominantly white demographic pattern common to northeastern Mississippi's hill country.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 94.4 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 77.4 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 5.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 70.1 points.
A population of 28,122, a 77% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $55,505 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Pontotoc County and Chilton County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Pontotoc County
Mississippi
95.5twin score
2008–2024 trajectory% Evangelical
Chilton County
Alabama
95.2twin score
% Evangelical2008–2024 trajectory
Wayne County
Georgia
94.5twin score
% Evangelical2008–2016 trajectory≠ % unaffiliated
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Union County, Mississippi. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/28145/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Union County
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Frequently asked questions
How did Union County, Mississippi vote in 2024?
In 2024, Union County, Mississippi voted Republican by 70.1 points (R+70.1), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 12,478 votes cast, 1,807 went Democratic and 10,559 went Republican.
When did Union County, Mississippi last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Union County, Mississippi voted Democratic was 1980.
How many people live in Union County, Mississippi?
Union County, Mississippi has a population of 28,122 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Union County, Mississippi?
Median household income in Union County, Mississippi is $55,505 — below the national median of $80,734. The Mississippi state median is $56,447.
What is the political history of Union County, Mississippi?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Union County, Mississippi from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 19 went Democratic and 13 went Republican.