akashic
1876–2024
Congressional District 1·Mississippi

Mississippi 1st Congressional District changed its political identity in living memory.

One of the most reliably Republican congressional districts in the nation

18762024·38 elections
MS
Latest
R+36
in 2024
Archetype
Realigner
since the recent cycles
Population
756,678
2024 ACS

Mississippi 1st Congressional District, Mississippi: Realigner district. In 2024, voted R+36%. Democratic peak: D+95 in 1936.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+36MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
RealignerAkashic typology
Population
756,6782024 5-year
Median household income
$63,7152024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
64.0%2024 5-year
Black
28.0%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
4.0%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+95 in 1932MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+66 in 1972MIT Election Lab
R
KELLY, TrentCongress 119 · Republican

Predecessors: NUNNELEE, Alan (2015–2017), NUNNELEE, Alan (2013–2015), NUNNELEE, Alan (2011–2013), CHILDERS, Travis W. (2009–2011)

Source · Voteview / Lewis, Poole, Rosenthal et al. (CC-BY).

21 counties · 1 D · 20 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−36.4%
101,747221,032327,337
R
−31.1%
113,702218,484337,188
R
−33.1%
98,427199,428305,208
R
−25.2%
115,402194,189313,153
R
−26.2%
115,518198,558317,321
R
−26.8%
100,216174,532276,859
R
−21.2%
87,700135,726227,006
R
−6.8%
83,56297,088198,451
R
−8.4%
89,449107,739217,533
R
−20.6%
75,114114,532191,010
R
−26.3%
68,176117,055186,149
D
+7.8%
98,10183,538186,770
D
+17.5%
92,73664,448161,733
R
−66.0%
19,615101,276123,669
O
+3.4%
21,93717,417134,292
R
−60.4%
15,20061,62576,825
D
+25.4%
27,94012,88859,260
D
+59.1%
40,7138,97753,733
D
+42.1%
43,91117,90261,813
O
+18.5%
8,34496439,923
D
+85.5%
38,0362,96541,001
D
+91.7%
40,3861,71942,161
D
+95.3%
37,20086338,135
D
+94.8%
37,12995438,168
D
+73.1%
30,7224,78135,502
D
+84.7%
27,7322,03930,320
D
+61.6%
19,7554,56024,678
D
+86.9%
24,5091,58126,375
D
+86.1%
17,42558519,556
No data
No data
D
+77.7%
16,9631,89419,396
D
+86.0%
20,2981,38721,977
D
+68.5%
13,23861718,415
No data
No data
No data
No data

U.S. Senate

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
YearWonD %R %Total
2024R37.2%62.8%1,215,401
2020R44.1%54.1%1,311,354
2018R39.5%58.5%936,215
2014R37.9%59.9%631,858
2012R40.6%57.2%1,241,568
2008R38.6%61.4%1,247,026
2006R34.9%63.6%610,921
2002R0.0%84.6%630,495
2000R31.6%65.9%994,144
1996R27.4%71.0%878,662
1994R31.2%68.8%608,085
1990R0.0%100.0%274,244
1988R46.1%53.9%946,719
1984R39.1%60.9%952,240
1982D64.2%35.8%645,026
1978R31.8%45.3%590,236
1976D100.0%0.0%554,433

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
English
12.1%
American
9.3%
Irish
8.3%
German
5.3%
Italian
1.6%
Scottish
1.5%
French
0.8%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
95.8%
speak English only
Spanish2.9%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.6%
Other Indo-European0.5%
Other languages0.2%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Baptist
38.7%
Other Christian
8.6%
Methodist
7.7%
Catholic & Orthodox
2.0%
Mainline Protestant
1.9%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.8%
Non-Christian
0.1%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 39.2% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Mississippi's 1st district, anchored in the northeast Hill Country and Tennessee Valley region, has delivered Republican presidential margins above 30 points in recent cycles, reflecting a rural, majority-white electorate with deep roots in manufacturing and agriculture.

The unraveling was not abrupt. The Democratic margin in Mississippi 1st Congressional District peaked at ninety-five points in 1936; it narrowed steadily over the late twentieth century. The 1984 election delivered the district to the Republican party for the first time in many years, by a margin of twenty-six points. By 2024, the margin had settled into deep Republican territory.

The economic and demographic context is severe. The median household income of $63,715 is among the lowest at this geographic scale; 16% of residents live below the federal poverty line.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Congressional District 1, Mississippi. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/2801/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Congressional District 1, Mississippi vote in 2024?
In 2024, Congressional District 1, Mississippi voted Republican by 36.4 points (R+36), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 327,337 votes cast, 101,747 went Democratic and 221,032 went Republican.
What is Congressional District 1, Mississippi's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Congressional District 1, Mississippi as a "Realigner" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 17 times, Republican 13 times, and other 2 times.
When did Congressional District 1, Mississippi last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Congressional District 1, Mississippi voted Democratic was 1980.
How many people live in Congressional District 1, Mississippi?
Congressional District 1, Mississippi has a population of 756,678 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Congressional District 1, Mississippi?
Median household income in Congressional District 1, Mississippi is $63,715 — below the national median of $80,734. The Mississippi state median is $56,447.
What is the political history of Congressional District 1, Mississippi?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Congressional District 1, Mississippi from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 17 went Democratic and 13 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Realigner" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.