- Lead
- 50
- Total
- 18,051
- vs nation
- D+1.2
- Turnout
- 43.8%
Oktibbeha County, MS
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 43.8% of 41,211 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 1,295
- Total
- 19,757
- vs nation
- D+2.1
- Turnout
- 50.9%
- Lead
- 283
- Total
- 18,124
- vs nation
- R+0.5
- Turnout
- 46.2%
- Lead
- 334
- Total
- 18,117
- vs nation
- R+2.0
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 6
- Total
- 18,792
- vs nation
- R+7.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,053
- Total
- 16,290
- vs nation
- R+10.1
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,516
- Total
- 14,804
- vs nation
- R+10.8
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 219
- Total
- 12,524
- vs nation
- R+10.3
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+0.3MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 51,7712024 5-year
- Median household income
- $46,6952024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 54.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 35.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+97.8 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+81.4 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Lafayette County, MS · twin score 90.4
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 43.8%18,051 participants ÷ 41,211 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +25.9 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -2.0 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 17.9%–26.3%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 18,124 | 39,209 | 46.2% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 14,716 | 39,527 | 37.2% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 20,046 | 39,354 | 50.9% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 10,245 | 40,961 | 25.0% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 18,051 | 41,211 | 43.8% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
45 precincts · 18,051 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -South StarkvilleSouth Starkville | 1,217 | 2,296 | 60 | 3,573 | 34.1% | 64.3% | R+30.2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -Oktibbeha Co Storm ShelterOktibbeha Co Storm Shelter | 1,355 | 1,046 | 54 | 2,455 | 55.2% | 42.6% | D+12.6 |
| Precinct -Hickory GroveHickory Grove | 875 | 782 | 38 | 1,695 | 51.6% | 46.1% | D+5.5 |
| Precinct -North Starkville District 3North Starkville District 3 | 922 | 571 | 39 | 1,532 | 60.2% | 37.3% | D+22.9 |
| Precinct -NeedmoreNeedmore | 681 | 265 | 19 | 965 | 70.6% | 27.5% | D+43.1 |
| Precinct -SessumsSessums | 543 | 334 | 14 | 891 | 60.9% | 37.5% | D+23.5 |
| Precinct -OsbornOsborn | 547 | 287 | 7 | 841 | 65.0% | 34.1% | D+30.9 |
| Precinct -Central StarkvilleCentral Starkville | 605 | 168 | 14 | 787 | 76.9% | 21.3% | D+55.5 |
| Precinct -OktocOktoc | 416 | 348 | 6 | 770 | 54.0% | 45.2% | D+8.8 |
| Precinct -SturgisSturgis | 168 | 566 | 2 | 736 | 22.8% | 76.9% | R+54.1 |
| Precinct -North LongviewNorth Longview | 211 | 500 | 8 | 719 | 29.3% | 69.5% | R+40.2 |
| Precinct -North AdatonNorth Adaton | 268 | 301 | 7 | 576 | 46.5% | 52.3% | R+5.7 |
| Precinct -Double SpringsDouble Springs | 58 | 401 | 6 | 465 | 12.5% | 86.2% | R+73.8 |
| Precinct -North Starkville District 2North Starkville District 2 | 300 | 115 | 6 | 421 | 71.3% | 27.3% | D+43.9 |
| Precinct -South AdatonSouth Adaton | 151 | 245 | 6 | 402 | 37.6% | 60.9% | R+23.4 |
| Precinct -East StarkvilleEast Starkville | 190 | 179 | 5 | 374 | 50.8% | 47.9% | D+2.9 |
| Precinct -Bell SchoolhouseBell Schoolhouse | 175 | 117 | 7 | 299 | 58.5% | 39.1% | D+19.4 |
| Precinct -Craig SpringsCraig Springs | 17 | 185 | 0 | 202 | 8.4% | 91.6% | R+83.2 |
| Precinct -MabenMaben | 100 | 100 | 1 | 201 | 49.8% | 49.8% | Exact tie |
| Precinct -South LongviewSouth Longview | 52 | 95 | 0 | 147 | 35.4% | 64.6% | R+29.3 |
| Bell Schoolhouse Voting District28_28105303 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Bradley Voting District28_28105404 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Center Grove Voting District28_28105304 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Central Starkville Voting District28_28105501 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Craig Springs Voting District28_28105403 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Double Springs Voting District28_28105105 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| East Starkville Voting District28_28105301 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Gillespie Street Center Voting District28_28105502 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Hickory Grove Voting District28_28105203 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Maben Voting District28_28105305 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| North Adaton Voting District28_28105106 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| North Longview Voting District28_28105103 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| North Starkville 2 Voting District28_28105204 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| North Starkville 3 Voting District28_28105302 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Northeast Starkville Voting District28_28105202 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Oktoc Voting District28_28105504 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Osborn Voting District28_28105201 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Self Creek Voting District28_28105104 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Sessums Voting District28_28105503 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| South Adaton Voting District28_28105102 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| South Longview Voting District28_28105402 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| South Starkville Voting District28_28105401 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Southeast Oktibehha Voting District28_28105505 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Sturgis Voting District28_28105405 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| West Starkville Voting District28_28105101 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +94.6% |
| 1896 | +92.9% |
| 1900 | +94.2% |
| 1904 | +93.8% |
| 1908 | +92.5% |
| 1912 | +90.0% |
| 1916 | +89.9% |
| 1920 | +83.4% |
| 1924 | +92.9% |
| 1928 | +86.8% |
| 1932 | +96.8% |
| 1936 | +97.8% |
| 1940 | +91.6% |
| 1944 | +89.3% |
| 1948 | +5.0% |
| 1952 | +7.4% |
| 1956 | +32.2% |
| 1960 | +2.5% |
| 1964 | −81.4% |
| 1968 | +7.6% |
| 1972 | −52.5% |
| 1976 | −8.8% |
| 1980 | −2.1% |
| 1984 | −19.5% |
| 1988 | −16.5% |
| 1992 | −5.0% |
| 1996 | −1.7% |
| 2000 | −10.2% |
| 2004 | −12.6% |
| 2008 | +0.0% |
| 2012 | +1.8% |
| 2016 | +1.6% |
| 2020 | +6.6% |
| 2024 | −0.3% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 29,493 |
| 2018 | 31,177 |
| 2020 | 32,935 |
| 2022 | 30,862 |
| 2024 | 33,008 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−519 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −3,569 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $57,939 in average income, against $71,023 for residents who stayed — 18% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+15.4 on average — 15 points more Republican-leaning than Oktibbeha County, MS itself (R+0.3).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Lowndes County, MS115R+8.2
- Clay County, MS56D+10.4
- Rankin County, MS55R+47.1
- Madison County, MS48R+17.3
- Webster County, MS48R+65.2
- Winston County, MS45R+18.2
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Lowndes County, MS122
- Clay County, MS69
- Rankin County, MS63
- Webster County, MS58
- Winston County, MS51
- Shelby County, TN44
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −344 |
| 2012 | +667 |
| 2013 | −78 |
| 2014 | −439 |
| 2015 | +53 |
| 2016 | −236 |
| 2017 | −154 |
| 2018 | −809 |
| 2019 | +42 |
| 2021 | −63 |
| 2022 | −596 |
| 2023 | −579 |
| 2024 | −514 |
| 2025 | −519 |
Home to Mississippi State University, Oktibbeha County's large student and faculty population pulls it toward statewide competitiveness in a way few rural Mississippi counties can match, making it a reliable bellwether for university-anchored demographics.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 97.8 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 81.4 points in 1964. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 6.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 0.3 points.
A population of 51,771, a 55% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $46,695 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Lafayette County and Pitt County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Oktibbeha County, Mississippi. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/28105/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.