- Lead
- 1,651
- Total
- 9,014
- vs nation
- D+19.8
Mississippi 38th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 2,640
- Total
- 10,160
- vs nation
- D+21.5
- Lead
- 2,209
- Total
- 9,429
- vs nation
- D+21.3
- Lead
- 2,394
- Total
- 9,569
- vs nation
- D+21.2
- Lead
- 2,294
- Total
- 9,848
- vs nation
- D+16.0
- Lead
- 874
- Total
- 8,265
- vs nation
- D+13.0
- Lead
- 924
- Total
- 7,501
- vs nation
- D+11.8
- Lead
- 1,314
- Total
- 6,463
- vs nation
- D+11.8
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+18.3MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 25,1672024 5-year
- Population density
- 100 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 252 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $37,0482024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 36.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 55.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+98.8 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+71.0 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 68, MS · twin score 92.2
presidential history
Party record book
Mississippi 38th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
99.4%
1,123 votes · D+98.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · 99.2%
Republican
Barry Goldwater1964
85.5%
1,567 votes · R+71.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · 66.0%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
6,274votes
61.8% of the vote · D+26.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 6,034 votes
Republican
John McCain2008
3,740votes
38.0% of the vote · D+23.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · George W. Bush, 2004 · 3,643 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John W. Davis1924
+120.7pts D vs U.S.
Place D+95.5 · U.S. R+25.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · James M. Cox, 1920 · +117.0 pts
Republican
Barry Goldwater1964
+93.6pts R vs U.S.
Place R+71.0 · U.S. D+22.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · +10.6 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Mississippi House District 38 leans heavily Democratic in presidential contests, reflecting a dense urban constituency that has posted double-digit margins consistently. Its compact geography within the Jackson metro ties electoral outcomes closely to city-level turnout dynamics.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 98.8 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 71.0 points in 1964. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 7.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 18.3 points.
A population of 25,167, a 37% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $37,048 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 68 and State House District 49.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Mississippi 38th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/28038/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.