akashic
1876–2024
State House District 38·Mississippi

Mississippi 38th State House District delivered R+1 in 2024 — close enough to flip again next time.

A majority-minority district anchoring Jackson's urban core

1876 — 2024·38 elections
MS
Latest
R+1
in 2024
Archetype
Tossup
since the recent cycles
Population
28,031
2024 ACS

Mississippi 38th State House District, Mississippi: Tossup district. In 2024, voted R+1%. Democratic peak: D+97 in 1936.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+1MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
TossupAkashic typology
Population
28,0312024 5-year
Median household income
$47,2042024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
54.7%2024 5-year
Black
36.4%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
2.4%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+97 in 1932MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+82 in 1964MIT Election Lab
2024 results by constituent county
3 counties · 1 D · 2 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−0.8%
4,8634,94810,002
D
+5.8%
5,6675,02810,935
D
+1.1%
4,9054,79610,066
D
+1.9%
5,0944,89910,133
D
+0.0%
5,2005,19610,478
R
−12.4%
3,9265,0589,093
R
−10.8%
3,5334,4138,157
R
−2.9%
3,2243,4226,910
R
−6.2%
3,1443,5957,333
R
−17.5%
2,8023,9966,833
R
−20.5%
2,8064,2547,076
R
−3.7%
3,2803,5376,994
R
−8.9%
2,4272,9115,457
R
−53.2%
1,0403,4814,592
O
+7.3%
1,0087124,066
R
−81.7%
2162,1472,363
O
+0.9%
5084911,898
D
+31.7%
8713981,492
D
+4.5%
9028251,727
O
+4.6%
83311,125
D
+87.8%
1,063691,132
D
+91.1%
1,067461,121
D
+97.4%
95312966
D
+96.6%
88415900
D
+86.5%
88164944
D
+92.8%
75618795
D
+84.0%
43137469
D
+90.3%
50125527
D
+90.5%
46315495
—
No data
———
—
No data
———
D
+93.9%
3658380
D
+93.1%
44414462
D
+94.5%
3270346
—
No data
———
—
No data
———
—
No data
———
—
No data
———

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
English
16.4%
Irish
7.6%
American
6.8%
German
6.8%
Italian
2.8%
Scottish
2.4%
French
1.6%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 26.6 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
0.6%
85+
1.0%
1.7%
75–84
2.2%
3.3%
65–74
3.9%
4.0%
55–64
4.6%
3.9%
45–54
4.1%
4.9%
35–44
5.1%
6.7%
25–34
6.7%
15.5%
18–24
13.8%
6.6%
5–17
6.3%
2.3%
<5
2.8%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$47,204
State House District 38 ranks near the middle of US counties.
State House District 38$47,204
Mississippi$56,447
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
24.8%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1820.6%
Working age (18–64)26.9%
Seniors (65+)11.9%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
95.4%
speak English only
Other Indo-European1.6%
Spanish1.2%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.1%
Other languages0.7%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Baptist
30.8%
Methodist
7.3%
Other Christian
6.1%
Pentecostal & Holiness
2.5%
Catholic & Orthodox
2.2%
Mainline Protestant
1.7%
Non-Christian
0.9%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 48.5% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Mississippi House District 38 leans heavily Democratic in presidential contests, reflecting a dense urban constituency that has posted double-digit margins consistently. Its compact geography within the Jackson metro ties electoral outcomes closely to city-level turnout dynamics.

The district's recent history is a story of close margins. The Democratic margin reached ninety-seven points in 1936; the Republican margin reached eighty-two points in 1964. Most other elections have been decided by single-digit points.

Its demographics — a population of 28,031, a 55% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $47,204 — situate the district close to national averages on several dimensions.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
State House District 38, Mississippi. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/28038/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did State House District 38, Mississippi vote in 2024?
In 2024, State House District 38, Mississippi voted Republican by 0.8 points (R+1), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 10,002 votes cast, 4,863 went Democratic and 4,948 went Republican.
What is State House District 38, Mississippi's political archetype?
Akashic classifies State House District 38, Mississippi as a "Tossup" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 18 times, Republican 11 times, and other 3 times.
When did State House District 38, Mississippi last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which State House District 38, Mississippi voted Democratic was 2020.
How many people live in State House District 38, Mississippi?
State House District 38, Mississippi has a population of 28,031 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in State House District 38, Mississippi?
Median household income in State House District 38, Mississippi is $47,204 — below the national median of $80,734. The Mississippi state median is $56,447.
What is the political history of State House District 38, Mississippi?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in State House District 38, Mississippi from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 18 went Democratic and 11 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Tossup" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.