akashic
1876–2024
State Senate District 15·Mississippi

Mississippi 15th State Senate District voted Democratic for a century; it now votes Republican by 28 points.

One of Mississippi's most lopsided presidential margins in 2024

18762024·38 elections
MS
Latest
R+28
in 2024
Archetype
Old Confederacy
since the recent cycles
Population
48,930
2024 ACS

Mississippi 15th State Senate District, Mississippi: Old Confederacy district. In 2024, voted R+28%. Democratic peak: D+96 in 1932.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+28MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
Old ConfederacyAkashic typology
Population
48,9302024 5-year
Median household income
$49,4252024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
61.7%2024 5-year
Black
31.6%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
2.0%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+96 in 1932MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+85 in 1964MIT Election Lab
4 counties · 0 D · 4 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−28.0%
7,15212,83020,254
R
−21.6%
8,45813,21522,020
R
−22.7%
7,72612,42320,663
R
−19.4%
8,47912,61621,324
R
−18.8%
8,75812,85021,778
R
−25.0%
7,41112,39619,964
R
−20.7%
6,98710,72518,026
R
−9.4%
6,5457,98815,390
R
−11.8%
7,0479,12917,640
R
−22.9%
6,34810,13316,554
R
−29.8%
6,01911,15017,199
R
−2.5%
8,2268,65317,291
R
−1.0%
7,0427,18714,601
R
−65.8%
2,10710,52112,788
O
+5.0%
2,0501,40812,854
R
−85.5%
6548,3519,005
O
+14.1%
2,1181,2316,306
D
+55.5%
3,8338935,300
D
+37.7%
4,6142,0896,703
O
+8.9%
5361354,486
D
+87.1%
4,2362934,529
D
+90.7%
4,4842134,709
D
+94.7%
4,2801094,404
D
+95.5%
3,621793,708
D
+73.5%
3,6395574,196
D
+81.9%
3,2942553,711
D
+57.5%
2,1335512,751
D
+81.7%
2,7312363,052
D
+83.5%
2,013732,323
No data
No data
D
+70.7%
1,9772772,403
D
+85.1%
2,6692052,895
D
+60.8%
1,410382,255
No data
No data
No data
No data

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
English
19.0%
American
9.0%
Irish
8.8%
German
5.7%
Scottish
2.1%
Italian
2.0%
French
1.0%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
96.9%
speak English only
Spanish1.0%
Other Indo-European1.0%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.7%
Other languages0.4%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Baptist
38.2%
Methodist
7.7%
Other Christian
4.9%
Pentecostal & Holiness
3.0%
Mainline Protestant
1.6%
Catholic & Orthodox
1.2%
Non-Christian
0.5%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 42.8% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

With a 2024 presidential margin of R+44.3, this district ranks among the state's most one-sided legislative seats. Its roughly 54,000 residents are concentrated in a predominantly rural stretch where statewide Republican candidates have posted consistent supermajority-level performances.

The shift began with civil rights. The realignment unfolded over the late twentieth century. The Republican margin reached its widest at eighty-five points in 1964. The 2024 margin was twenty-eight points.

The political shift has tracked, in Mississippi 15th State Senate District, the political shift of the South more broadly. A 62% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $49,425, and a 22% poverty rate describe the demographic context.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
State Senate District 15, Mississippi. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/28015/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did State Senate District 15, Mississippi vote in 2024?
In 2024, State Senate District 15, Mississippi voted Republican by 28.0 points (R+28), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 20,254 votes cast, 7,152 went Democratic and 12,830 went Republican.
What is State Senate District 15, Mississippi's political archetype?
Akashic classifies State Senate District 15, Mississippi as a "Old Confederacy" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 14 times, Republican 15 times, and other 3 times.
When did State Senate District 15, Mississippi last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which State Senate District 15, Mississippi voted Democratic was 1956.
How many people live in State Senate District 15, Mississippi?
State Senate District 15, Mississippi has a population of 48,930 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in State Senate District 15, Mississippi?
Median household income in State Senate District 15, Mississippi is $49,425 — below the national median of $80,734. The Mississippi state median is $56,447.
What is the political history of State Senate District 15, Mississippi?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in State Senate District 15, Mississippi from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 14 went Democratic and 15 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Old Confederacy" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.