- Lead
- 8,571
- Total
- 28,353
- vs nation
- R+28.8
Arkansas 20th State Senate District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 8,491
- Total
- 29,539
- vs nation
- R+33.2
- Lead
- 7,754
- Total
- 26,359
- vs nation
- R+31.5
- Lead
- 5,907
- Total
- 24,332
- vs nation
- R+28.1
- Lead
- 4,241
- Total
- 23,964
- vs nation
- R+25.0
- Lead
- 151
- Total
- 23,439
- vs nation
- D+3.1
- Lead
- 1,661
- Total
- 19,887
- vs nation
- D+7.8
- Lead
- 4,590
- Total
- 19,716
- vs nation
- D+14.8
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+30.2MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 86,3472024 5-year
- Population density
- 595 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 145 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $60,3392024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 66.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 20.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 6.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+78.9 in 1876MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+30.2 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State Senate District 45, MS · twin score 95.6
presidential history
Party record book
Arkansas 20th State Senate District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Samuel J. Tilden1876
89.5%
441 votes · D+78.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · 88.3%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
63.8%
18,101 votes · R+30.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · 63.1%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Bill Clinton1992
11,862votes
57.6% of the vote · D+25.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Jimmy Carter, 1976 · 11,783 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2020
18,600votes
63.0% of the vote · R+28.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 18,101 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
William J. Bryan1896
+78.7pts D vs U.S.
Place D+72.6 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · James M. Cox, 1920 · +63.2 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+33.2pts R vs U.S.
Place R+28.7 · U.S. D+4.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · +31.5 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 27.5%7,454 | 72.5%19,622 | 27,076 |
| 2020 | R | 0.0%0 | 100.0%26,204 | 26,204 |
Arkansas 20th State Senate District sits in the Mid-South. In 2024 it voted Republican.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 78.9 points in 1876 and a Republican high of 30.2 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 1.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 30.2 points.
A population of 86,347, a 66% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $60,339 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State Senate District 45 and State Senate District 17.
The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Arkansas 20th State Senate District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/05020/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.