Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
ArkansasTrumpR+30.6
2024StatewideR+30.6

75 counties · presidential margin · 2024

County75 areas · 2024 presidential vote
Pulaski92,03857,977D+22.1153,924Jefferson12,8028,468D+20.121,608Phillips2,7542,098D+13.34,938Chicot1,7961,658D+4.03,490Lee1,2701,181D+3.52,520Crittenden7,3627,028D+2.314,681St. Francis2,9532,909D+0.75,979Desha1,6381,805R+4.83,505Washington43,77950,243R+6.797,158Monroe1,0021,385R+15.72,433Ouachita3,4125,056R+19.18,626Clark2,9594,526R+20.57,657Benton45,23179,907R+27.0128,595Dallas7981,482R+29.42,324Mississippi3,5746,963R+31.610,717Carroll3,8127,470R+31.711,538Faulkner17,75235,357R+32.354,465Woodruff7601,513R+32.52,318Union5,01910,196R+33.515,448Drew2,0504,203R+33.86,365Garland13,01528,359R+36.342,327Columbia2,4665,367R+36.57,940Craighead11,21025,152R+37.437,242Sebastian13,65230,719R+37.545,452Lafayette6981,589R+38.32,325Bradley9612,213R+39.03,209Nevada8492,002R+39.72,907Hempstead1,7764,193R+39.76,089Saline16,60939,736R+40.157,609Conway2,4495,893R+40.38,541Arkansas1,5033,951R+44.15,547Howard1,1583,246R+46.74,473Cross1,6424,753R+47.66,534Ashley1,7745,145R+48.07,030Jackson1,1833,509R+48.74,775Lincoln8132,502R+50.13,372Miller3,76911,842R+51.115,803Johnson2,1076,766R+51.49,059Hot Spring2,8189,226R+52.212,283Pope5,48718,118R+52.224,191Lonoke6,79023,225R+53.730,620Little River1,0843,744R+54.34,899Baxter4,34116,253R+56.820,954Perry9233,559R+57.54,584Crawford4,75318,615R+58.223,834Madison1,4915,885R+58.67,501Independence2,68911,023R+59.514,011Van Buren1,4376,023R+60.27,621Marion1,5016,230R+60.27,851Yell1,2135,147R+60.76,477Greene2,93512,617R+61.215,820White5,64124,514R+61.230,837Clay9073,968R+61.64,967Stone1,0894,808R+61.76,030Sevier8623,772R+61.74,714Calhoun3791,674R+61.92,092Fulton9064,040R+62.15,043Logan1,4646,567R+62.28,205Franklin1,2325,582R+62.46,971Sharp1,3165,978R+62.77,437Montgomery6452,987R+63.23,707Poinsett1,2355,731R+63.57,079Randolph1,1385,367R+63.76,636Lawrence9654,608R+64.05,692Newton6443,063R+64.23,770Boone2,85413,968R+64.917,112Prairie5242,628R+65.83,200Izard9494,854R+65.95,925Cleveland5242,804R+67.63,374Cleburne1,94110,595R+67.912,739Grant1,1926,755R+68.98,078Polk1,1456,987R+70.58,288Searcy5113,305R+72.23,869Pike5603,746R+73.14,358Scott4252,913R+73.53,384

Arkansas, Arkansas

presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1892 to 2024. Most recent: −30.6% in 2024.flipped R · 2000−30.6%DR18922024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1892+27.6%
1896+48.6%
1900+28.5%
1904+15.2%
1908+20.3%
1912+35.9%
1916+40.9%
1920+18.9%
1924+31.9%
1928+20.9%
1932+73.9%
1936+63.9%
1940+57.4%
1944+40.1%
1948+40.7%
1952+12.1%
1956+6.6%
1960+7.1%
1964+12.7%
1968−0.4%
1972−38.1%
1976+30.0%
1980−0.6%
1984−22.2%
1988−14.2%
1992+17.7%
1996+16.9%
2000−5.4%
2004−9.8%
2008−19.9%
2012−23.7%
2016−27.8%
2020−27.6%
2024−30.6%
DemocraticRepublican
34 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonDemocraticRepublicanOtherMarginTotal
R
33.6%Harris396,905
64.2%Trump759,241
1.1%Kennedy13,255
−30.6%
1,182,676
R
34.8%Biden423,932
62.4%Trump760,647
1.1%Jorgensen13,133
−27.6%
1,219,069
R
34.7%Clinton380,494
62.5%Trump684,872
2.7%Johnson29,829
−27.8%
1,095,195
R
36.9%Obama394,409
60.6%Romney647,744
1.5%Johnson16,276
−23.7%
1,069,468
R
38.9%Obama422,310
58.7%McCain638,017
1.2%Nader12,882
−19.9%
1,086,617
R
44.5%Kerry469,953
54.3%Bush572,898
0.6%Nader6,171
−9.8%
1,054,945
R
45.9%Gore422,768
51.3%Bush472,940
1.5%Nader13,421
−5.4%
921,781
D
53.7%Clinton475,171
36.8%Dole325,416
7.9%Perot69,884
+16.9%
884,262
D
53.2%Clinton505,823
35.5%Bush337,324
10.4%Perot99,132
+17.7%
950,653
R
42.2%Dukakis349,237
56.4%Bush466,578
0.8%Dodge6,465
−14.2%
827,738
R
38.3%Mondale338,646
60.5%Reagan534,774
0.3%Bergland2,221
−22.2%
884,406
R
47.5%Carter398,041
48.1%Reagan403,164
2.7%Anderson22,468
−0.6%
837,582
D
64.9%Carter499,614
34.9%Ford268,753
0.1%Maddox389
+30.0%
769,396
R
30.7%McGovern198,899
68.8%Nixon445,751
0.5%Schmitz3,016
−38.1%
647,666
O
30.4%Humphrey188,228
30.8%Nixon190,759
38.9%Wallace240,982
Wallace +8.1
619,969
D
56.1%Johnson314,197
43.4%Goldwater243,264
0.5%Hass2,965
+12.7%
560,426
D
50.2%Kennedy215,049
43.1%Nixon184,508
6.8%Byrd28,952
+7.1%
428,509
D
52.5%Stevenson213,277
45.8%Eisenhower186,287
1.7%Andrews7,008
+6.6%
406,572
D
55.9%Stevenson226,300
43.8%Eisenhower177,155
0.3%Hallinan1,345
+12.1%
404,800
D
61.7%Truman149,659
21.0%Dewey50,959
17.3%Thurmond41,857
+40.7%
242,475
D
70.0%Roosevelt148,965
29.8%Dewey63,551
0.2%Thomas438
+40.1%
212,954
D
78.4%Roosevelt157,213
21.0%Willkie42,122
0.5%Thomas1,094
+57.4%
200,429
D
81.8%Roosevelt146,765
17.9%Landon32,049
0.3%Lemke617
+63.9%
179,431
D
86.4%Roosevelt189,529
12.5%Hoover27,465
1.0%Thomas2,275
+73.9%
219,269
D
60.3%Smith119,196
39.3%Hoover77,784
0.4%Thomas746
+20.9%
197,726
D
61.2%Davis84,790
29.3%Coolidge40,583
9.5%La Follette13,167
+31.9%
138,540
D
58.1%Cox106,682
39.2%Harding71,948
2.8%Debs5,141
+18.9%
183,771
D
70.4%Wilson112,282
29.6%Hughes47,135
0.0%
+40.9%
159,417
D
56.0%Wilson68,876
20.1%Taft24,675
24.0%Roosevelt29,485
+35.9%
123,036
D
57.5%Bryan87,520
37.2%Taft56,624
5.4%Debs8,191
+20.3%
152,335
D
55.4%Parker64,434
40.2%Roosevelt46,760
4.4%Debs5,164
+15.2%
116,358
D
63.5%Bryan81,242
35.0%McKinley44,800
1.5%Woolley1,924
+28.5%
127,966
D
73.7%Bryan110,103
25.1%McKinley37,512
1.2%Palmer1,781
+48.6%
149,396
D
59.3%Cleveland87,834
31.7%Harrison46,983
8.9%Weaver13,211
+27.6%
148,028
2026 election
On the ballot
Governor
Sarah Huckabee SandersnomineeFredrick LovenomineeColt Shelbynominee

Incumbent Sarah Huckabee Sanders (R) is running for re-election and won the GOP nomination unopposed. Primary held March 3, 2026. Democrat Fredrick Love (state senator) won his primary with ~81%. Libertarian Colt Shelby also on the general ballot. Sanders heavily favored.

Full 2026 forecast →

U.S. Senate
Tom CottonnomineeHallie ShoffnernomineeJeff Wadlinnominee

Incumbent Tom Cotton (R) won the March 3, 2026 primary (81.6%) seeking a third term. Hallie Shoffner won the Democratic primary (78.3%). Jeff Wadlin was nominated by the Libertarian Party of Arkansas convention (Feb 22, 2026) and is on the general ballot.

Full 2026 forecast →

Source · Akashic 2026 forecast.
Congressional elections · 100 House races · 16 Senate races

U.S. House

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), House. CC-BY 4.0. Seat totals count district winners; vote shares aggregate every district.
YearSeats wonD %R %Total
R 431.3%66.8%1,144,800
R 430.4%66.8%895,102
R 428.0%70.2%1,179,396
R 435.2%62.6%889,298

U.S. Senate

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
YearWonDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2022R
31.1%280,187
65.7%592,437
901,306
2020R
0.0%0
66.5%793,871
1,193,261
2016R
36.2%400,602
59.8%661,984
1,106,452
2014R
39.5%334,174
56.5%478,819
847,000
2010R
37.0%288,156
57.9%451,618
779,581
2008D
79.5%804,678
0.0%0
1,011,754
2004D
55.9%580,973
44.1%458,036
1,039,221
2002D
53.9%433,386
46.1%370,735
804,121
1998D
55.1%385,878
42.2%295,870
700,644
1996R
47.3%400,241
52.7%445,942
846,183
1992D
60.2%553,635
39.8%366,373
920,008
1990D
100.0%493,910
0.0%0
493,910
1986D
62.3%433,122
37.7%262,313
695,435
1984D
57.3%502,341
42.7%373,615
875,956
1980D
59.1%477,905
40.9%330,576
808,481
1978D
76.5%395,506
16.3%84,308
517,025
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Voter registration in ArkansasTotal registered voters, 2018–2024. Latest 1,835,723 in 2024.458.9K917.9K1.4M1.8M1.8M20182024
Registered voters
Voter registration in Arkansas
YearTotal registered
20181,786,840
20201,831,414
20221,805,777
20241,835,723
Source: U.S. Election Assistance Commission (EAVS)
The only state to give either party a majority in 1992 went to Donald Trump by 30.6 points in 2024.
The lone majority, 1992
Clinton 53.2% — the only state either party cleared 50% in the Perot three-way · MIT Election Lab
Swing since 1992
D+17.7 (1992) → R+30.6 (2024), a 48-point reversal in margin · MIT Election Lab
Solidly Republican now
All seven statewide offices, both U.S. Senate seats, and all four U.S. House seats · Akashic officeholder roster, 2026
Among the poorest
Median household income $60,773 — 47th of 50; bachelor’s degrees 48th · ACS 2024 5-year
Bible Belt
38.2% Evangelical adherents — 4th-highest of any state · 2020 U.S. Religion Census
Springdale’s Marshallese
The largest Marshallese community in the U.S., drawn by poultry work · ACS 2024; Encyclopedia of Arkansas
Political twins — states

The states whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Tennessee
Tennessee
86.4twin score
% Evangelical2016–2024 trajectory≠ elasticity
Oklahoma
Oklahoma
86.1twin score
% Evangelical2008–2024 trajectory≠ elasticity
Alabama
Alabama
80.0twin score
% Evangelical2008–2024 trajectory≠ elasticity

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Arkansas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/state/AR/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Largest cities in Arkansas
Little Rock
203.4K residents
Fayetteville
99.3K residents
Fort Smith
89.8K residents
Springdale
88.2K residents
Jonesboro
80.1K residents
Rogers
73K residents
Conway
67.6K residents
North Little Rock
64.5K residents
Bentonville
58.2K residents
Pine Bluff
39.7K residents
Hot Springs
37.9K residents
Benton
36.6K residents
Arkansas at the ballot boxAll elections →
Presidentcounty detail2024US Senatestatewide2022Governorstate + county2022US Houseall districts2024

Places within Arkansas

75counties20metro areas3combined areas3media markets4congressional districts35state senate districts100state house districts
More in Arkansas
Arkansas County
Ashley County
Baxter County
Benton County
Boone County
Bradley County

Frequently asked questions

How did Arkansas vote in 2024?
In 2024, Arkansas voted Republican by 30.6 points (R+30.6), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 1,182,676 votes cast, 396,905 went Democratic and 759,241 went Republican.
When did Arkansas last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Arkansas voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Arkansas?
Arkansas has a population of 3,049,391 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Arkansas?
Median household income in Arkansas is $60,773 — below the national median of $80,734. The Arkansas state median is $60,773.
What is the political history of Arkansas?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Arkansas from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 22 went Democratic and 11 went Republican.