| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 2,818 | 9,226 | 12,283 | |
| 2020 | R | 3,082 | 9,202 | 12,557 | |
| 2016 | R | 3,149 | 8,172 | 11,560 | |
| 2012 | R | 3,830 | 7,097 | 11,260 | |
| 2008 | R | 4,288 | 7,209 | 11,955 | |
| 2004 | R | 5,901 | 5,960 | 12,065 | |
| 2000 | D | 5,527 | 5,042 | 10,981 | |
| 1996 | D | 6,002 | 2,864 | 10,155 | |
| 1992 | D | 6,308 | 3,036 | 10,616 | |
| 1988 | D | 5,090 | 4,181 | 9,405 | |
| 1984 | D | 5,836 | 5,629 | 11,546 | |
| 1980 | D | 6,897 | 3,561 | 10,817 | |
| 1976 | D | 7,809 | 2,187 | 9,996 | |
| 1972 | R | 2,872 | 5,378 | 8,333 | |
| 1968 | D | 2,137 | 1,780 | 8,056 | |
| 1964 | D | 4,543 | 2,911 | 7,522 | |
| 1960 | D | 3,454 | 1,732 | 5,854 | |
| 1956 | D | 3,525 | 2,923 | 6,502 | |
| 1952 | D | 3,474 | 1,842 | 5,331 | |
| 1948 | D | 1,932 | 555 | 2,764 | |
| 1944 | D | 1,646 | 853 | 2,510 | |
| 1940 | D | 1,730 | 482 | 2,217 | |
| 1936 | D | 1,581 | 444 | 2,033 | |
| 1932 | D | 2,542 | 237 | 2,806 | |
| 1928 | R | 999 | 1,126 | 2,130 | |
| 1924 | D | 793 | 392 | 1,340 | |
| 1920 | D | 1,061 | 910 | 2,024 | |
| 1916 | D | 1,429 | 645 | 2,074 | |
| 1912 | D | 668 | 248 | 1,205 | |
| 1908 | D | 833 | 686 | 1,566 | |
| 1904 | D | 605 | 537 | 1,175 | |
| 1900 | D | 763 | 423 | 1,198 | |
| 1896 | D | 1,331 | 292 | 1,644 | |
| 1892 | D | 1,025 | 277 | 1,441 | |
| 1888 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1884 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1880 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1876 | — | — | — | — |
Hot Spring County's 2024 presidential margin of R+52.2 reflects a broader consolidation of rural Arkansas toward one party, a trend that has accelerated consistently since the early 2000s.
The unraveling was not abrupt. The Democratic margin in Hot Spring County peaked at eighty-two points in 1932; it narrowed steadily over the late twentieth century. The 2004 election delivered the county to the Republican party for the first time in many years, by a margin of zero points. By 2024, the margin had widened further.
The economic and demographic context is severe. Hot Spring County's median household income of $55,405 is among the lowest of any county in the United States; 15% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Little River County and Conway County.
