akashic
1876–2024
Hot Spring County, Arkansas
Hot Spring County·Arkansas

For one hundred eight years, Hot Spring County voted Democratic. Then it stopped.

One of Arkansas's most lopsided rural counties in recent cycles

18762024·38 elections
Hot Spring County, Arkansas · Brandonrush · Wikimedia Commons
Latest
R+52
in 2024
Archetype
Realigner
since the recent cycles
Population
33,180
2024 ACS
Most similar
Little River County
AR · similarity 0.99
32 precincts · 12,283 votes cast
Trump · R+52
Margin
Turnout
Harris +50
Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024R
−52.2%
2,8189,22612,283
2020R
−48.7%
3,0829,20212,557
2016R
−43.5%
3,1498,17211,560
2012R
−29.0%
3,8307,09711,260
2008R
−24.4%
4,2887,20911,955
2004R
−0.5%
5,9015,96012,065
2000D
+4.4%
5,5275,04210,981
1996D
+30.9%
6,0022,86410,155
1992D
+30.8%
6,3083,03610,616
1988D
+9.7%
5,0904,1819,405
1984D
+1.8%
5,8365,62911,546
1980D
+30.8%
6,8973,56110,817
1976D
+56.2%
7,8092,1879,996
1972R
−30.1%
2,8725,3788,333
1968D
+4.4%
2,1371,7808,056
1964D
+21.7%
4,5432,9117,522
1960D
+29.4%
3,4541,7325,854
1956D
+9.3%
3,5252,9236,502
1952D
+30.6%
3,4741,8425,331
1948D
+49.8%
1,9325552,764
1944D
+31.6%
1,6468532,510
1940D
+56.3%
1,7304822,217
1936D
+55.9%
1,5814442,033
1932D
+82.1%
2,5422372,806
1928R
−6.0%
9991,1262,130
1924D
+29.9%
7933921,340
1920D
+7.5%
1,0619102,024
1916D
+37.8%
1,4296452,074
1912D
+34.9%
6682481,205
1908D
+9.4%
8336861,566
1904D
+5.8%
6055371,175
1900D
+28.4%
7634231,198
1896D
+63.2%
1,3312921,644
1892D
+51.9%
1,0252771,441
1888
No data
1884
No data
1880
No data
1876
No data
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
100.0%
African American
8.9%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
0.0%
speak English only
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Baptist
33.1%
Other Christian
8.1%
Methodist
4.6%
Pentecostal & Holiness
4.1%
Catholic & Orthodox
0.4%
Mainline Protestant
0.4%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 49.3% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Hot Spring County's 2024 presidential margin of R+52.2 reflects a broader consolidation of rural Arkansas toward one party, a trend that has accelerated consistently since the early 2000s.

The unraveling was not abrupt. The Democratic margin in Hot Spring County peaked at eighty-two points in 1932; it narrowed steadily over the late twentieth century. The 2004 election delivered the county to the Republican party for the first time in many years, by a margin of zero points. By 2024, the margin had widened further.

The economic and demographic context is severe. Hot Spring County's median household income of $55,405 is among the lowest of any county in the United States; 15% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Little River County and Conway County.