Hot Springs-Malvern, AR · how this place’s counties split between candidates in each party’s presidential nominating contest, cycle by cycle. A primary is a contest inside one party, so it has no Democratic–Republican margin and is not part of the general-election record above.
Akashic reports votes cast, not delegates awarded. The two can disagree: Clinton led the 2008 national primary popular vote by less than half a point and did not win the nomination.
Primary returns are published at county grain and there is no roll-up above it. Each cell counts how many of this place’s counties a candidate led — a count of records, not a vote total. Who led the place as a whole is not knowable from these returns, because county rows carry a leader and a lead but no per-candidate votes.
Presidential nominating contests in Hot Springs-Malvern, AR, by party and cycle.
○no contest record — Akashic holds no result for that party and cycle here. It is not a claim that no contest was held. Telling apart a contest that was cancelled, one that went uncontested, and one simply not yet ingested needs a nominating-contest calendar, which is a separate ingest from results and does not exist yet.
Republican presidential primaries are not yet ingested — the Republican series runs from 1856 and is in scope. The row is kept so its absence is visible: a Democratic-only panel would otherwise read as though no one else held a contest.
Where a cell reads All others, no named candidate led — the source’s residual bucket did. That bucket holds every name past the ones the contest itemises, including candidates who had withdrawn but still drew votes. It is a total, not a person, so it carries no candidate colour.
Akashic carries 10 states for 2012 and 3 states for 2024. Cycles in which an incumbent president seeks renomination are thin by nature — few states run a contested primary — so a sparse column is politics, not a hole in the record.
County returns carry a leader and a lead over the runner-up, and nothing more. The full candidate field with vote shares is published at state grain — follow a cycle above to the state contest for it.
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
Voter registration in Hot Springs-Malvern, AR
Year
Total registered
2018
84,103
2020
84,407
2022
83,585
2024
82,469
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
+741 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +10,413 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Domestic migration in Hot Springs-Malvern, AR in Hot Springs-Malvern, AR: net domestic migration by year
Year
Net domestic migration
2011
+856
2012
+823
2013
+1,011
2014
+317
2015
+453
2016
+678
2017
+588
2018
+1,095
2019
+845
2021
+937
2022
+660
2023
+595
2024
+814
2025
+741
Hot Springs-Malvern, AR sits in the Mid-South. In 2024 it voted Republican.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 72.5 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 43.8 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the region moved 2.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 39.8 points.
A population of 133,215, a 80% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $56,739 describe the region. The region's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Jonesboro-Paragould, AR and Union City-Martin, TN.
Akashic
Political twins — combined metros
The combined metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Hot Springs-Malvern, AR, Arkansas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/csa/284/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
How did Hot Springs-Malvern, AR, Arkansas vote in 2024?
In 2024, Hot Springs-Malvern, AR, Arkansas voted Republican by 39.8 points (R+39.8), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 54,610 votes cast, 15,833 went Democratic and 37,585 went Republican.
When did Hot Springs-Malvern, AR, Arkansas last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Hot Springs-Malvern, AR, Arkansas voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Hot Springs-Malvern, AR, Arkansas?
Hot Springs-Malvern, AR, Arkansas has a population of 133,215 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Hot Springs-Malvern, AR, Arkansas?
Median household income in Hot Springs-Malvern, AR, Arkansas is $56,739 — below the national median of $80,734. The Arkansas state median is $60,773.
What is the political history of Hot Springs-Malvern, AR, Arkansas?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Hot Springs-Malvern, AR, Arkansas from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 20 went Democratic and 13 went Republican.
