HarrisDemocratic30.7%13,015TrumpRepublican67.0%28,359KennedyIndependent1.1%482
R+36.3- Lead
- 15,344
- Total
- 42,327
- vs nation
- R+34.8
- Turnout
- 54.4%
Akashiccounty
Garland County, AR
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the county’s overall result across 1892–2024.
President results by year
2024 turnout 54.4% of 78,152 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic31.8%14,045TrumpRepublican65.8%29,069JorgensenLibertarian0.9%396
R+34.0- Lead
- 15,024
- Total
- 44,199
- vs nation
- R+38.4
- Turnout
- 58.0%
ClintonDemocratic31.3%12,311TrumpRepublican66.2%26,087JohnsonLibertarian2.5%989
R+35.0- Lead
- 13,776
- Total
- 39,387
- vs nation
- R+37.1
- Turnout
- 54.7%
ObamaDemocratic33.9%13,804RomneyRepublican63.9%26,014GrayLibertarian1.3%513
R+30.0- Lead
- 12,210
- Total
- 40,728
- vs nation
- R+33.8
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic36.4%15,899McCainRepublican61.4%26,825OtherAll other candidates2.3%995
R+25.0- Lead
- 10,926
- Total
- 43,719
- vs nation
- R+32.3
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic44.9%18,040BushRepublican54.1%21,734OtherAll other candidates0.9%380
R+9.2- Lead
- 3,694
- Total
- 40,154
- vs nation
- R+6.7
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic44.1%15,840BushRepublican53.1%19,098NaderGreen1.6%566
R+9.1- Lead
- 3,258
- Total
- 35,935
- vs nation
- R+9.6
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic53.1%19,211DoleRepublican37.7%13,662PerotReform7.6%2,769
D+15.3- Lead
- 5,549
- Total
- 36,206
- vs nation
- D+6.8
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+36.3MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 100,0352024 5-year
- Population density
- 148 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 678 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $57,1812024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 79.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 7.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 7.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+67.2 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+49.2 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Conway County, AR · twin score 84.3
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 54.4%42,538 participants ÷ 78,152 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +14.3 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -0.5 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 40.1%–40.9%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 41,173 | 75,219 | 54.7% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 32,080 | 76,295 | 42.0% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 44,407 | 76,598 | 58.0% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 34,140 | 78,187 | 43.7% | C/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 42,538 | 78,152 | 54.4% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
presidential history
Party record book
Garland County, AR · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
83.6%
4,252 votes · D+67.2
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 70.1%
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
73.9%
15,602 votes · R+49.2
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 67.0%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Bill Clinton1996
19,211votes
53.1% of the vote · D+15.3
Runner-up · Bill Clinton, 1992 · 18,811 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2020
29,069votes
65.8% of the vote · R+34.0
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 28,359 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
+49.4pts D vs U.S.
Place D+67.2 · U.S. D+17.8
Runner-up · James M. Cox, 1920 · +47.4 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+38.4pts R vs U.S.
Place R+34.0 · U.S. D+4.5
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · +37.1 pts
U.S. House elections · 2 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 27.7%11,165 | 72.3%29,186 | 40,351 |
| 2020 | R | 27.7%11,800 | 72.3%30,747 | 42,547 |
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2018 | 65,899 |
| 2020 | 66,198 |
| 2022 | 65,049 |
| 2024 | 63,951 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+380 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +8,154 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $61,962 in average income, against $76,385 for residents who stayed — 19% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+25.6 on average — 11 points more Democratic-leaning than Garland County, AR itself (R+36.3).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Saline County, AR236R+40.1
- Hot Spring County, AR216R+52.2
- Pulaski County, AR178D+22.1
- Clark County, AR64R+20.5
- Tarrant County, TX46R+5.1
- Faulkner County, AR44R+32.3
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Saline County, AR356
- Hot Spring County, AR238
- Pulaski County, AR216
- Washington County, AR75
- Clark County, AR70
- Faulkner County, AR52
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +980 |
| 2012 | +428 |
| 2013 | +965 |
| 2014 | +349 |
| 2015 | +319 |
| 2016 | +693 |
| 2017 | +366 |
| 2018 | +971 |
| 2019 | +726 |
| 2021 | +705 |
| 2022 | +379 |
| 2023 | +338 |
| 2024 | +555 |
| 2025 | +380 |
Garland County's resort-city core around Hot Springs gives it more tourism-driven economic diversity than many Arkansas counties, yet it has posted Republican presidential margins above 30 points in recent cycles, reflecting the broader rightward tilt of non-metropolitan Arkansas.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 67.2 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 49.2 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 2.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 36.3 points.
A population of 100,035, a 79% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $57,181 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Conway County and Hot Spring County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Conway County
Arkansas
84.3twin score
elasticity2000–2004 trajectorymedian income≠ 12-yr trend
Hot Spring County
Arkansas
82.5twin score
elasticity2004–2008 trajectory% Evangelical≠ 12-yr trend
Craighead County
Arkansas
81.3twin score
elasticity12-yr trend2004 margin≠ median age
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Garland County, Arkansas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/05051/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Garland County
Arkansas at the ballot boxAll elections →
Frequently asked questions
How did Garland County, Arkansas vote in 2024?
In 2024, Garland County, Arkansas voted Republican by 36.3 points (R+36.3), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 42,327 votes cast, 13,015 went Democratic and 28,359 went Republican.
When did Garland County, Arkansas last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Garland County, Arkansas voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Garland County, Arkansas?
Garland County, Arkansas has a population of 100,035 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Garland County, Arkansas?
Median household income in Garland County, Arkansas is $57,181 — below the national median of $80,734. The Arkansas state median is $60,773.
What is the political history of Garland County, Arkansas?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Garland County, Arkansas from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 18 went Democratic and 16 went Republican.