Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
Hot Springs, AR
presidential margin
2008R+25.02012R+30.02016R+35.02020R+34.02024R+36.3
full record · 1892 → 2024
R+36.3
2024
median income$57,181U.S. $80,734 · AR $60,773
median age45.5U.S. 39.1 · AR 38.8
poverty rate15.8%U.S. 12.5% · AR 16.0%
bachelor’s+ (25+)25.3%U.S. 35.6% · AR 26.0%
non-english7.0%U.S. 22.3% · AR 8.3%
race · ethnicity · ancestry
English13.7%
Irish12.5%
German11.2%
African American†6.8%
African0.7%
Mexican5.8%
Salvadoran0.6%
Honduran0.2%
religion
other traditions
Mainline8.0%
Black Protestant2.7%
Other Christian1.8%
Latter-day Saints0.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents, unaffiliated is the unclaimed remainder.

Hot Springs, AR, Arkansas

Akashic
Hot Springs, ARTrumpR+36.3
—
2024 presidential margin by county for Hot Springs, AR, ARA map of the single county of Hot Springs, AR, AR, outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), seated within the faint outlines of the surrounding states.Garland County, AR · R+36.3
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Donald Trump ✓Republican67.0%28,359
Kamala HarrisDemocratic30.7%13,015
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.Other2.3%953
D+60
R+60
A single county, filled by its 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover it for the full result.
County-level results (1 county) — table
2024 presidential result by county for Hot Springs, AR, AR — winner and D-vs-R margin.
CountyWinnerMargin
Garland County, ARRepublicanR+36.3
34 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonDemocraticRepublicanOtherMarginTotal
R
30.7%Harris13,015
67.0%Trump28,359
2.3%Kennedy953
−36.3%
42,327
R
31.8%Biden14,045
65.8%Trump29,069
2.5%Jorgensen1,085
−34.0%
44,199
R
31.3%Clinton12,311
66.2%Trump26,087
2.5%Johnson989
−35.0%
39,387
R
33.9%Obama13,804
63.9%Romney26,014
2.2%Johnson910
−30.0%
40,728
R
36.4%Obama15,899
61.4%McCain26,825
2.3%Nader995
−25.0%
43,719
R
44.9%Kerry18,040
54.1%Bush21,734
0.9%Nader380
−9.2%
40,154
R
44.1%Gore15,840
53.1%Bush19,098
2.8%Nader997
−9.1%
35,935
D
53.1%Clinton19,211
37.7%Dole13,662
9.2%Perot3,333
+15.3%
36,206
D
52.3%Clinton18,811
35.8%Bush12,886
11.9%Perot4,298
+16.5%
35,995
R
36.0%Dukakis11,406
60.9%Bush19,281
3.0%Dodge955
−24.9%
31,642
R
33.8%Mondale11,484
62.5%Reagan21,213
3.7%Bergland1,261
−28.7%
33,958
R
42.1%Carter12,515
53.0%Reagan15,739
4.9%Anderson1,463
−10.8%
29,717
D
60.0%Carter15,707
39.7%Ford10,394
0.3%Maddox69
+20.3%
26,170
R
24.7%McGovern5,207
73.9%Nixon15,602
1.4%Schmitz303
−49.2%
21,112
R
27.9%Humphrey5,655
37.8%Nixon7,674
34.3%Wallace6,955
−10.0%
20,284
D
53.6%Johnson11,591
46.0%Goldwater9,952
0.4%Hass86
+7.6%
21,629
R
45.4%Kennedy6,333
51.7%Nixon7,204
2.9%Byrd407
−6.2%
13,944
R
36.1%Stevenson5,437
62.5%Eisenhower9,427
1.4%Andrews212
−26.5%
15,076
R
39.5%Stevenson5,165
60.1%Eisenhower7,848
0.4%Hallinan52
−20.5%
13,065
D
52.6%Truman3,764
32.0%Dewey2,286
15.4%Thurmond1,104
+20.7%
7,154
D
63.4%Roosevelt3,596
36.5%Dewey2,069
0.1%Thomas4
+26.9%
5,669
D
69.9%Roosevelt3,335
29.8%Willkie1,424
0.3%Thomas13
+40.0%
4,772
D
70.1%Roosevelt2,931
29.1%Landon1,217
0.8%Lemke35
+41.0%
4,183
D
83.6%Roosevelt4,252
16.4%Hoover833
0.0%Thomas1
+67.2%
5,086
D
50.8%Smith2,823
48.9%Hoover2,720
0.3%Thomas15
+1.9%
5,558
D
52.9%Davis1,501
37.5%Coolidge1,064
9.6%La Follette272
+15.4%
2,837
D
57.6%Cox1,670
36.4%Harding1,055
6.1%Debs176
+21.2%
2,901
D
61.4%Wilson1,678
38.6%Hughes1,057
0.0%
+22.7%
2,735
D
51.6%Wilson1,046
14.8%Taft300
33.6%Roosevelt681
+36.8%
2,027
D
52.0%Bryan1,340
42.9%Taft1,105
5.0%Debs130
+9.1%
2,575
R
47.9%Parker804
50.9%Roosevelt854
1.1%Debs19
−3.0%
1,677
D
56.6%Bryan940
42.6%McKinley708
0.8%Woolley13
+14.0%
1,661
D
65.3%Bryan1,465
31.3%McKinley703
3.4%Palmer76
+34.0%
2,244
D
57.5%Cleveland1,456
37.1%Harrison940
5.4%Weaver138
+20.4%
2,534
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1892 to 2024. Most recent: −36.3% in 2024.flipped R · 2000−36.3%DR18922024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1892+20.4%
1896+34.0%
1900+14.0%
1904−3.0%
1908+9.1%
1912+36.8%
1916+22.7%
1920+21.2%
1924+15.4%
1928+1.9%
1932+67.2%
1936+41.0%
1940+40.0%
1944+26.9%
1948+20.7%
1952−20.5%
1956−26.5%
1960−6.2%
1964+7.6%
1968−10.0%
1972−49.2%
1976+20.3%
1980−10.8%
1984−28.7%
1988−24.9%
1992+16.5%
1996+15.3%
2000−9.1%
2004−9.2%
2008−25.0%
2012−30.0%
2016−35.0%
2020−34.0%
2024−36.3%
DemocraticRepublican
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Voter registration in Hot Springs, ARTotal registered voters, 2018–2024. Latest 63,951 in 2024.16.5K33.1K49.6K66.2K64K20182024
Registered voters
Voter registration in Hot Springs, AR
YearTotal registered
201865,899
202066,198
202265,049
202463,951
Source: U.S. Election Assistance Commission (EAVS)

Hot Springs anchors a small metro where tourism history and a disproportionately older population shape turnout patterns, contributing to the low-density, high-Republican-margin profile typical of Arkansas's non-delta interior counties.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 67.2 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 49.2 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 2.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 36.3 points.

A population of 100,035, a 79% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $57,181 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Malvern, AR and Jonesboro, AR.

Political twins — metros

The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Malvern, AR
87.0twin score
elasticity2008–2012 trajectorymedian income≠ 12-yr trend
Jonesboro, AR
84.2twin score
elasticity2008–2012 trajectorymedian income≠ median age
Batesville, AR
83.2twin score
elasticitymedian income2008 margin≠ % Evangelical

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Hot Springs, AR, Arkansas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/26300/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Places within Hot Springs, AR

counties1
Garland County

Frequently asked questions

How did Hot Springs, AR, Arkansas vote in 2024?
In 2024, Hot Springs, AR, Arkansas voted Republican by 36.3 points (R+36.3), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 42,327 votes cast, 13,015 went Democratic and 28,359 went Republican.
When did Hot Springs, AR, Arkansas last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Hot Springs, AR, Arkansas voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Hot Springs, AR, Arkansas?
Hot Springs, AR, Arkansas has a population of 100,035 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Hot Springs, AR, Arkansas?
Median household income in Hot Springs, AR, Arkansas is $57,181 — below the national median of $80,734. The Arkansas state median is $60,773.
What is the political history of Hot Springs, AR, Arkansas?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Hot Springs, AR, Arkansas from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 18 went Democratic and 16 went Republican.